Proposes BHT-ARIMA for forecasting multiple short time series.
problem Forecasting multiple short time series with mutual correlations.
method Block Hankel tensors, Tucker decomposition, generalized tensor ARIMA.
result Improves forecasting accuracy and reduces computational cost.
TEAFormers preserve multi-dimensional time series structures for better forecasting.
problem Traditional Transformers flatten multi-dimensional time series data, losing critical multi-dimensional relationships.
method Tensor-Augmented Transformer (TEAFormer) with Tensor-Augmentation (TEA) module.
result Significant performance enhancements in time series forecasting across benchmarks.
Paper proposes LATC for multivariate time series prediction and missing data imputation.
problem Large-scale, incomplete, and corrupted multivariate time series data.
method Transforms multivariate time series into a tensor structure, models global and local trends, and uses autoregressive norm.
result Integration of global and local trends improves missing data imputation and rolling prediction.
The paper develops tensor learning methods exploiting symmetries of tensor functions.
problem Efficiently handling tensors in various scientific contexts.
method Equivariant machine learning architectures exploiting orthogonal, Lorentz, and symplectic symmetries.
result Equivariant models outperform non-equivariant baselines in time series analysis.
Seq2Tens uses tensors to efficiently represent sequences, improving performance on time series and video tasks.
problem Challenges in analyzing sequential data due to complex dependencies and non-commutativity.
method Uses tensor algebra to capture dependencies and low-rank tensor projections to manage computational complexity.
result State-of-the-art performance on multivariate time series classification and video generation benchmarks.
Novel deep learning model for multivariate time series prediction.
problem Challenges in multivariate time series prediction with correlations and complex temporal patterns.
method Temporal Tensor Transformation Network (TTNT) that transforms multivariate time series into tensors for improved feature extraction.
result TTNT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in window-based predictions across various tasks.
KTVGL models tensor time series data for interpretable dynamic network estimation.
problem Estimating time-varying dependencies in multi-mode tensor time series data.
method Kronecker Time-Varying Graphical Lasso (KTVGL) for mode-specific dynamic network estimation.
result KTVGL produces interpretable modeling results and higher edge estimation accuracy than existing methods.
New MSMs model time-series data with tensors to handle heterogeneity and longer intervals.
problem Causal inference from time-series data with subject heterogeneity and scalability issues.
method Proposes a new family of MSMs using a three-dimensional tensor of low rank, allowing dimensions to grow with data.
result The proposed method converges to the true model under certain conditions and can be efficiently solved.
New method models matrix time series using tensor CP-decomposition.
problem Modeling matrix time series with reduced complexity.
method One-pass estimation via generalized eigenanalysis and refined projection.
result Component coefficient vectors estimated consistently with certain rates.
Sparse Tucker decomposition with graph regularization improves time series forecasting accuracy.
problem High-dimensional time series forecasting with over-parameterization issue.
method Sparse Tucker decomposition and graph regularization for tensor-based model.
result Non-asymptotic error bound and superior performance in numerical experiments.
Enhances stock movement prediction using Higher Order Transformers for multimodal time-series data.
problem Predicting stock movements in financial markets with complex dynamics.
method Introduced Higher Order Transformers, extending self-attention and transformer architecture to capture complex market dynamics. Employed low-rank tensor decomposition and kernel attention to manage computational complexity. Integrated technical and fundamental analysis from historical prices and tweets.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of the method on the Stocknet dataset, improving stock movement prediction.
Model learns tensor representations from imperfect multimodal data.
problem Learning from imperfect multimodal data with noise or missing entries.
method Tensor rank minimization to regularize rank of tensor representations.
result Model effectively learns tensor representations from imperfect data.
A new MLDS model captures nonlinear tensor time series with improved accuracy and efficiency.
problem Modeling and analyzing nonlinear tensor time series data.
method Transform-based multilinear dynamical system (MLDS) with EM algorithm for parameter estimation.
result Significantly higher prediction accuracy and exponential improvement in training time compared to state-of-the-art models.
New method forecasts multilinear data using tensor autoregression.
problem Forecasting 2D data in big data.
method L-Transform Tensor autoregressive (L-TAR) method.
result Statistical independence achieved through invertible discrete linear transforms.
CP-factorization for high-dimensional tensor time series and double projection iterations
problem Identifying and estimating factor loadings in CP decomposition for high-dimensional tensor time series
method One-pass estimation procedure using standard eigen-analysis for matrix constructed based on serial dependence
result Asymptotic properties established under general settings, adapt to sparsity, accommodates weak factors
Variant of mSSA improves time series prediction error.
problem Improve prediction error in multivariate time series.
method Introduce spatio-temporal factor model, establish prediction error scaling.
result Prediction error scales as 1 / √(min(N, T)T).
We generalize a support vector machine to a support spinor machine by using the mathematical structure of wedge product over vector machine in order to extend field from vector field to spinor field. The separated hyperplane is extended to Kolmogorov space in time series data which allow us to extend a structure of sup…
SALT models combine ARHMM and SLDS for efficient, interpretable time-series analysis.
problem Efficient modeling of systems with time-varying dynamics and long-range dependencies.
method Switching autoregressive low-rank tensor models parameterized with a low-rank factorization.
result SALT models provide a balance of interpretability and efficiency, outperforming ARHMMs and SLDSs.
This work speeds up fHMM analysis by tensor algebra.
problem Scalability issues in analyzing factorial hidden Markov models.
method Tensorized algorithms and scalable filtering methods.
result Significant improvement in computational performance.
DCIts interprets complex time series data with interpretable coefficients.
problem Interpreting nonlinear multivariate time series data.
method Deep convolutional architecture with a Focuser and Modeler components.
result DCIts provides interpretable coefficients and interaction patterns.
New method estimates tensors from noisy data with missing entries.
problem Tensor estimation from noisy observations with missing entries.
method Sign series representation for tensor completion, addressing low- and high-rank signals.
result Excess risk bounds, estimation error rates, and sample complexities established.
Accelerates signature kernel computation for sequences.
problem Severe computational bottleneck in computing signature kernel.
method Random Fourier features to accelerate signature kernel computation.
result Uniform approximation guarantees for unbiased estimator with linear computation time.
tvGP-VAE models tensor-valued latent variables with Gaussian processes for better data structure representation.
problem Agnostic latent variables in VAEs ignore data structure correlations.
method Proposes tensor-variate Gaussian process prior for variational autoencoder.
result Explicitly modeling correlation structures improves model performance in reconstruction.
Quantum models generate financial time series with desired properties.
problem Generating synthetic financial data with temporal correlations.
method Quantum generative adversarial networks (QGANs) with quantum and classical components.
result QGANs can generate financial time series with matching distribution and temporal correlations.
A new method for filling in missing traffic data improves accuracy over existing techniques.
problem Incomplete spatiotemporal traffic data.
method Low-rank autoregressive tensor completion (LATC) framework.
result LATC framework better captures spatiotemporal consistency and local consistency.
A distributed framework for reducing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series data.
problem Reducing dimensionality of high-dimensional, heterogeneous matrix-variate time series data.
method Data partitioning, distributed two-dimensional tensor PCA, aggregation, final PCA, factor matrix computation.
result Preserves latent matrix structure, improves computational efficiency and information utilization.
A formula for the Riemannian metric tensor of differentiable manifolds of linear dynamical systems of same McMillan degree is presented in terms of their transfer function matrices. The necessary calculations for its application to ARMA and state space overlapping parametrizations are drafted. The importance of this ap…
New approach learns mixtures of linear dynamical systems without separation conditions.
problem Learning mixtures of linear dynamical systems with better fit or understanding.
method Tensor decompositions to learn mixtures of linear dynamical systems.
result Algorithm succeeds without strong separation conditions and can compete with Bayes optimal clustering.
It is shown that in the multivariate case the orders p, of the AR part, and q, of the MA part, are not invariants of the time series. Thus, it is concluded that it only makes sense to define the class of ARMA(p,p)- irreducible models, where p is the biggest of the system's Kronecker indices. This class is shown not to …
The cohomology theory for financial market can allow us to deform Kolmogorov space of time series data over time period with the explicit definition of eight market states in grand unified theory. The anti-de Sitter space induced from a coupling behavior field among traders in case of a financial market crash acts like…
Algorithm learns neural architecture for financial time-series forecasting.
problem Challenges in forecasting financial time-series data due to nonstationary property and nonlinear dependencies.
method Adaptive learning of a heterogeneous neural architecture using a modified objective function to handle imbalanced data.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms tensor-based methods in financial time-series forecasting.
Efficiently calibrates volatility models using Chebyshev Tensors.
problem Calibrating pricing models efficiently.
method Used Chebyshev Tensors to speed up calibration of the rough Bergomi volatility model.
result Chebyshev Tensors can calibrate the rough Bergomi volatility model 40,000 times more efficiently than brute-force methods.
A new method learns time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate time series.
problem Learning interpretable spatiotemporal structure in multivariate time series data.
method Windowed low rank tensor approach with non-smooth and non-convex optimization.
result The method can identify the true rank of a switching linear system in noisy data.
New model captures time series dependence across and within blocks.
problem Complex multivariate time series dependence structures.
method Time series Gaussian chain graph models with directed and undirected edges.
result Consistent recovery of time series chain graph structure.
The main objective of this paper is to control the geometry of null cones with time foliation in Einstein vacuum spacetime under the assumptions of small curvature flux and a weaker condition on the deformation tensor for $\bT$. We establish a series of estimates on Ricci coefficients, which plays a crucial role to pro…
Bayesian Temporal Factorization predicts multidimensional time series with missing data.
problem Predicting large-scale, multidimensional spatiotemporal data with missing values.
method Integrates low-rank matrix/tensor factorization and VAR process into a probabilistic model.
result Superior performance on real-world spatiotemporal data sets compared to existing methods.
A new method reduces Volterra kernel complexity and uncertainty quantification.
problem Challenges in modeling nonlinear systems with Volterra series due to high model order.
method Bayesian Tensor Network Volterra kernel machines (BTN-V) using canonical polyadic decomposition.
result Competitive accuracy, enhanced uncertainty quantification, and reduced computational cost.
CPOPT-Net predicts sparse client actions in banking using tensor decomposition and neural networks.
problem Predicting sparse client activities in the banking environment with evolving regulations.
method Combines CP tensor decomposition and neural networks for time series predictions.
result CPOPT-Net achieves accurate predictions of clients' financial activities.
Optimal tensor PCA for estimating factors and loadings in high-dimensional panel data.
problem Estimating factors and loadings in high-dimensional panel data with non-negligible correlations.
method Tensor Principal Component Analysis (TPCA) for estimating factors and loadings in a tensor factor model.
result Simple TPCA is optimal for strong factors and can be improved for weak factors with alternating least-squares iterations.
Study uncovers complex critical points in tensor decomposition.
problem Nonconvex optimization of symmetric tensor decomposition.
method Utilized symmetry to construct critical points and analyze Hessian.
result Obtained precise analytic estimates on objective function and Hessian.
New model improves portfolio selection by analyzing tensor data.
problem Improving portfolio selection through better analysis of style returns.
method Introducing a tensor dynamic conditional correlation (TDCC) model with trace-normalization and dimension-normalization.
result The TDCC model enhances portfolio selection across multiple markets.
Proves well-posedness for Einstein equations with specific boundary data.
problem Proving well-posedness for Einstein equations with Dirichlet boundary data.
method Local-in-time well-posedness proof for vacuum Einstein equations with specific boundary conditions.
result Proves well-posedness for Einstein equations with Dirichlet boundary data under convexity-type assumptions.
New method speeds up CNN inference by storing centroids instead of full filters.
problem Reduction of time and space complexity in CNN inference.
method Centroid filter quantization for convolutional layers.
result 2.9 times better computational gain on ImageNet benchmark.
tsbootstrap handles time series uncertainty without assuming independence.
problem Time series data violate IID assumptions, leading to undercoverage in traditional methods.
method Provides various resampling and bootstrap methods, including classical and adaptive conformal calibration.
result Dependence-aware methods reduce coverage deficits, with sieve resampling performing best.
In every point of a Kähler manifold there exist special holomorphic coordinates well adapted to the underlying geometry. Comparing these Kähler normal coordinates with the Riemannian normal coordinates defined via the exponential map we prove that their difference is a universal power series in the curvature tensor and…
Adaptive tensor modeling preserves continuity in multidimensional data.
problem Discretization of continuous multidimensional data loses important information.
method Functional Tucker decomposition (FTD) with RKHS modeling.
result FTD enables adaptive and expressive tensor modeling.
Surveying machine learning methods for economic forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy of economic forecasts using machine learning.
method Nowcasting, textual data, panel and tensor data, high-dimensional Granger causality tests, time series cross-validation, classification with economic losses.
result Recent advances in machine learning methods enhance economic forecasting accuracy.
Tensor network architecture for classification and regression using wavelet transformations.
problem Efficiently performing classification and regression tasks on complex data.
method Tensor network layers based on MERA and MPS, with adaptive fine-graining.
result Adaptive fine-graining improves model performance without loss in accuracy.