A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
TimeTrail detects financial fraud patterns through temporal correlation analysis.
DMSTF models spatio-temporal data with deep Markov priors.
New analysis shows how temporal variability affects online learning performance.
This study prioritizes temporal resolution over spatial in energy systems models due to higher influence.
RTFN extracts robust temporal features for time series analysis.
Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.
In this work, we consider the problem of combining link, content and temporal analysis for community detection and prediction in evolving networks. Such temporal and content-rich networks occur in many real-life settings, such as bibliographic networks and question answering forums. Most of the work in the literature (…
Novel framework for spatio-temporal event analysis using Hawkes processes.
FinTMMBench benchmarks RAG systems for finance tasks across multiple data types and time periods.
Credit risk analysis improved with a joint model for spatial and temporal effects.
OMBA learns product and user representations for better online market basket analysis.
New method clusters evolving networks using spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
Quantile Temporal-Difference learning proved convergent with proof.
This letter extends the concept of graph-frequency to graph signals that evolve with time. Our goal is to generalize and, in fact, unify the familiar concepts from time- and graph-frequency analysis. To this end, we study a joint temporal and graph Fourier transform (JFT) and demonstrate its attractive properties. We b…
There is often latent network structure in spatial and temporal data and the tools of network analysis can yield fascinating insights into such data. In this paper, we develop a nonparametric method for network reconstruction from spatiotemporal data sets using multivariate Hawkes processes. In contrast to prior work o…
Temporal difference learning (TD) is a simple iterative algorithm used to estimate the value function corresponding to a given policy in a Markov decision process. Although TD is one of the most widely used algorithms in reinforcement learning, its theoretical analysis has proved challenging and few guarantees on its s…
Study on eigenvalue distribution of correlated time series, showing deformation of Marchenko-Pastur distribution.
GNNs improve brain activity forecasting in fMRI studies.
Probabilistic Temporal Tensor Factorization (PTTF) is an effective algorithm to model the temporal tensor data. It leverages a time constraint to capture the evolving properties of tensor data. Nowadays the exploding dataset demands a large scale PTTF analysis, and a parallel solution is critical to accommodate the tre…
Temporal-difference and Q-learning learn feature representations that converge to optimal ones.
Digital currencies exhibit multifractality due to heavy-tailed returns and temporal correlations.
Paper introduces a new reinforcement learning method with improved performance.
When sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped. Missing data negatively impacts the performance of data analysis and machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we study deep autoencoders for missing data imputation in spatio-temporal problems. We…
Neural signals are characterized by rich temporal and spatiotemporal dynamics that reflect the organization of cortical networks. Theoretical research has shown how neural networks can operate at different dynamic ranges that correspond to specific types of information processing. Here we present a data analysis framew…
odeN efficiently approximates multiple temporal motifs in large networks.
Concept Relation Discovery and Innovation Enabling Technology (CORDIET), is a toolbox for gaining new knowledge from unstructured text data. At the core of CORDIET is the C-K theory which captures the essential elements of innovation. The tool uses Formal Concept Analysis (FCA), Emergent Self Organizing Maps (ESOM) and…
FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.
SWoTTeD discovers hidden temporal patterns in EHR data.
Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…
Improved TD learning with tail averaging and regularization achieves optimal convergence rates.
Due to the dynamic nature, chaotic time series are difficult predict. In conventional signal processing approaches signals are treated either in time or in space domain only. Spatio-temporal analysis of signal provides more advantages over conventional uni-dimensional approaches by harnessing the information from both …
The paper develops a new model to evaluate policies in complex temporal/spatial experiments.
The analysis of temporal networks has a wide area of applications in a world of technological advances. An important aspect of temporal network analysis is the discovery of community structures. Real data networks are often very large and the communities are observed to have a hierarchical structure referred to as mult…
Transformer-based method for causal discovery with prior knowledge integration.
Framework reconstructs missing spatio-temporal data for extreme value prediction.
Detects malicious accounts in permissionless blockchains using graph properties and ML.
Variant of mSSA improves time series prediction error.
Inductive representation learning on temporal graphs is an important step toward salable machine learning on real-world dynamic networks. The evolving nature of temporal dynamic graphs requires handling new nodes as well as capturing temporal patterns. The node embeddings, which are now functions of time, should repres…
New method improves blockchain analysis by handling temporal changes and scalability.
Extracting significant places or places of interest (POIs) using individuals' spatio-temporal data is of fundamental importance for human mobility analysis. Classical clustering methods have been used in prior work for detecting POIs, but without considering temporal constraints. Usually, the involved parameters for cl…
Functional brain networks exhibit dynamics on the sub-second temporal scale and are often assumed to embody the physiological substrate of cognitive processes. Here we analyse the temporal and spatial dynamics of these states, as measured by EEG, with a hidden Markov model and compare this approach to classical EEG mic…
Next-generation sequencing (NGS) to profile temporal changes in living systems is gaining more attention for deriving better insights into the underlying biological mechanisms compared to traditional static sequencing experiments. Nonetheless, the majority of existing statistical tools for analyzing NGS data lack the c…
Recently, studies on deep Reservoir Computing (RC) highlighted the role of layering in deep recurrent neural networks (RNNs). In this paper, the use of linear recurrent units allows us to bring more evidence on the intrinsic hierarchical temporal representation in deep RNNs through frequency analysis applied to the sta…
The paper proposes a deep generative model for complex disease trajectories.
Human affect recognition is an essential part of natural human-computer interaction. However, current methods are still in their infancy, especially for in-the-wild data. In this work, we introduce our submission to the Affective Behavior Analysis in-the-wild (ABAW) 2020 competition. We propose a two-stream aural-visua…
Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality and trend. Many existing methods suffer from strong statistical assumptions, numer…
Classifiers are among the most widely used supervised machine learning algorithms. Many classification models exist, and choosing the right one for a given task is difficult. During model selection and debugging, data scientists need to assess classifiers' performances, evaluate their learning behavior over time, and c…
Predictive process monitoring is concerned with the analysis of events produced during the execution of a business process in order to predict as early as possible the final outcome of an ongoing case. Traditionally, predictive process monitoring methods are optimized with respect to accuracy. However, in environments …