A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
At the heart of technology transitions lie complex processes of social and industrial dynamics. The quantitative study of sustainability transitions requires modelling work, which necessitates a theory of technology substitution. Many, if not most, contemporary modelling approaches for future technology pathways overlo…
Optimizes chip component placement with self-alignment for SMT technology.
Safety evaluation of self-driving technologies has been extensively studied. One recent approach uses Monte Carlo based evaluation to estimate the occurrence probabilities of safety-critical events as safety measures. These Monte Carlo samples are generated from stochastic input models constructed based on real-world d…
Breakthroughs in machine learning are rapidly changing science and society, yet our fundamental understanding of this technology has lagged far behind. Indeed, one of the central tenets of the field, the bias-variance trade-off, appears to be at odds with the observed behavior of methods used in the modern machine lear…
The American economy can be thought of as a highly connected random network in terms of both its technological and informational connections. The cumulative size of economic recessions, the fall in output from peak to trough, is analysed for the US economy 1900-2002. A least squares fit of an exponential relationship b…
Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.
Due to the rapid innovation of technology and the desire to find and employ biomarkers for neurodegenerative disease, high-dimensional data classification problems are routinely encountered in neuroimaging studies. To avoid over-fitting and to explore relationships between disease and potential biomarkers, feature lear…
Feed in tariff (FiT) is one of the most efficient ways that many governments throughout the world use to stimulate investment in renewable energies (REs) technology. For governments, financial management of the policy is very challenging as that it needs a considerable amount of budget to support RE producers during th…
Study of dynamic competition between old and new technologies using a nonlinear map.
Study develops machine learning model to predict component movement during reflow in SMT.
How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…
Quantum crypto-economics models price risks in blockchain technology.
Estimates yearly improvement rates for nearly all technologies using US patent data.
Industry evolution caused by various reasons, among which technology progress driving industry development has been approved, but with the new trend of industry convergence, inter-industry convergence also plays an increasing important role. This paper plans to probe the industry synergetic evolution mechanism based on…
Spatial processes with nonstationary and anisotropic covariance structure are often used when modelling, analysing and predicting complex environmental phenomena. Such processes may often be expressed as ones that have stationary and isotropic covariance structure on a warped spatial domain. However, the warping functi…
Paper reviews neurolinguistics and language technologies, emphasizing mutual enrichment.
Different technological domains have significantly different rates of performance improvement. Prior theory indicates that such differing rates should influence the relative speed of diffusion of the products embodying the different technologies since improvement in performance during the diffusion process increases th…
Optimal neuron activation functions improve neural network performance.
Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.
Qlib aims to integrate AI into quantitative investment.
Tool uses text mining to define innovative tech fields from abstracts.
This paper analyzes the dynamic incentives for technology adoption under a transferable permits system, which allows for strategic trading on the permit market. Initially, firms can invest both in low-emitting production technologies and trade permits. In the model, technology adoption and allowance price are generated…
Modeling tech transfer to explain convergence in Central and Eastern Europe.
Smart contracts are a digital technology with potential but also flaws.
TechRank ranks companies and technologies based on investor preferences.
Recently, mobile operators in many developing economies have launched "Mobile Money" platforms that deliver basic financial services over the mobile phone network. While many believe that these services can improve the lives of the poor, a consistent difficulty has been identifying individuals most likely to benefit fr…
Geoeconomic analysis of venture capital portfolios reveals key emerging tech domains and countries.
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
New method assesses energy storage value beyond cost reduction.
The Lightning Network is a so-called second-layer technology built on top of the Bitcoin blockchain to provide "off-chain" fast payment channels between users, which means that not all transactions are settled and stored on the main blockchain. In this paper, we model the emergence of the Lightning Network as a (bond) …
In this paper, the agent-based modeling is employed to model the effect of intellectual property policy at the speed of technological advancement. Every agent has inborn preferences towards investing their capital into independent technological development, innovation appropriation, and production. The relative cost of…
Machine learning and blockchain are two of the most noticeable technologies in recent years. The first one is the foundation of artificial intelligence and big data, and the second one has significantly disrupted the financial industry. Both technologies are data-driven, and thus there are rapidly growing interests in …
Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as a power law of cumul…
AI enhances quantitative investment for better returns and risk control.
National statistical systems are the enterprises tasked with collecting, validating and reporting societal attributes. These data serve many purposes - they allow governments to improve services, economic actors to traverse markets, and academics to assess social theories. National statistical systems vary in quality, …
This paper presents a general theory that aims at explaining timescales observed empirically in technology transitions and predicting those of future transitions. This framework is used further to derive a theory for exploring the dynamics that underlie the complex phenomenon of irreversible and path dependent price or…
The optimal (`equilibrium') macroscopic properties of an economy with industries endowed with different technologies, commodities and one consumer are derived in the limit with fixed using the replica method. When technologies are strictly inefficient, a phase transition occurs upon increas…
This paper provides a quantitative method for estimating the risk associated with candidate transportation technology, before it is developed and deployed. The proposed solution extends previous methods that rely exclusively on low-fidelity human-in-the-loop experimental data, or high-fidelity traffic data, by adopting…
A new method to predict uncertainties in trained neural networks.
Being one of the most important factors of economic growth of the country, innovations became one of the key vectors in Russian economic policy. In this field technology parks are one of the most effective instruments which can provide growth of innovative activity in sectors, regions and economies. In this paper, we m…
This is an expository paper on Mom-technology, describing the recent work of the authors in this area (found in arXiv:math/0606072, arXiv:0705.4325, and arXiv:0809.0346) concerning the use of Mom-technology to find the minimum-volume compact hyperbolic 3-manifold and the 10 smallest cusped hyperbolic 3-manifolds. In ad…
This paper explores IT governance for CBDC adoption in financial markets.
This paper is the first in a series whose goal is to understand the structure of low-volume complete orientable hyperbolic 3-manifolds. Here we introduce Mom technology and enumerate the hyperbolic Mom-n manifolds for n <= 4.
Study uses Perelman and Ricci flow methods to analyze economic inequality.
Study shows financial literacy, social capital, and financial tech positively impact financial inclusion of Indonesian students.
Modeling government intervention's impact on company market technology growth.
We study the competitive equilibrium of large random economies with linear activities using methods of statistical mechanics. We focus on economies with commodities, firms, each running a randomly drawn linear technology, and one consumer. We derive, in the limit with fixed, a complete de…