New CV method reduces bias in spatial prediction models.
problem Bias in standard cross-validation due to uneven sampling.
method Target-Weighted Cross-Validation (TWCV) framework.
result Weighted CV approaches reduce bias in prediction error.
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48 results for “Targeted Cross-validation”
Targeted Cross-Validationstat.ML
Proposes TCV for selecting models in regions of interest.
problem Selecting models for specific regions of predictor variables.
method Targeted Cross-Validation (TCV) using weighted L2 loss.
result TCV is consistent in selecting the best performing candidate under weighted L2 loss.
The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified up to unknown constants. In practice, however, this oracle tuning parameter is …
LEARNER improves low-rank matrix estimation using source population data.
problem Improving low-rank matrix estimation in target populations with diverse data sources.
method LEARNER uses similarity in latent spaces between source and target populations to enhance estimation.
result LEARNER often outperforms benchmark methods, especially with higher signal-to-noise ratios in the source population.
A method to improve surrogate model accuracy using multiple fidelity models.
problem Efficiently combining models of varying accuracy and computational cost.
method Multifidelity Gaussian process models and leave-one-out cross-validation.
result Reduced LOO-CV error at the highest fidelity through adaptive learning.
Framework designs antiviral drugs using deep learning and RL.
problem Designing effective antiviral drugs for SARS-CoV-2.
method Deep learning framework with conditional molecular generator and RL.
result Framework generates more antiviral ligands than a VAE baseline.
CVTMLE improves statistical inference in settings of positivity or Donsker class violations.
problem Inference issues in causal inference due to data sparsity or near-positivity violations.
method Cross-validation of TMLE (CVTMLE) to improve performance in settings of positivity or Donsker class violations.
result CVTMLE vastly improves confidence interval coverage without affecting bias, especially in small sample sizes and near-positivity violations.
Two adaptive kernel selection methods improve the accuracy of Kernelized Diffusion Maps.
problem Selecting an appropriate kernel for Kernelized Diffusion Maps.
method Two complementary approaches: variational outer loop and unsupervised cross-validation.
result Both methods improve the quality and stability of the recovered eigenfunctions.
A novel transfer learning framework combines multiple data sources for PU learning.
problem Challenges in PU learning due to lack of negative labels and data scarcity.
method Model averaging of heterogeneous data sources, including binary labeled, semi-supervised, and PU data.
result Method outperforms other methods in predictive accuracy and robustness, especially under limited labeled data.
In this paper we consider a version of the zero-shot learning problem where seen class source and target domain data are provided. The goal during test-time is to accurately predict the class label of an unseen target domain instance based on revealed source domain side information (\eg attributes) for unseen classes. …
We study the problem of unsupervised domain adaptation, which aims to adapt classifiers trained on a labeled source domain to an unlabeled target domain. Many existing approaches first learn domain-invariant features and then construct classifiers with them. We propose a novel approach that jointly learn the both. Spec…
A new IL framework estimates invariant predictors with single domain data.
problem Deep networks inherit spurious correlations and fail on unseen domains.
method Assumes multiple labeled domains for higher-level tasks, uses single domain for target task, employs cross-validation for hyperparameter selection.
result Empirically demonstrates effectiveness and correctness of hyperparameter selection.
In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for empirical risk minimizers. In the general setting, we prove sanity-check bounds in the spirit of \cite{KR99} \textquotedblleft\textit{bounds showing that the worst-case error of this estimate is not m…
K-fold cross validation (CV) is a popular method for estimating the true performance of machine learning models, allowing model selection and parameter tuning. However, the very process of CV requires random partitioning of the data and so our performance estimates are in fact stochastic, with variability that can be s…
In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for stable predictors in the context of risk assessment. The notion of stability has been first introduced by \cite{DEWA79} and extended by \cite{KEA95}, \cite{BE01} and \cite{KUNIY02} to characterize cla…
This paper identifies a problem with the usual procedure for L2-regularization parameter estimation in a domain adaptation setting. In such a setting, there are differences between the distributions generating the training data (source domain) and the test data (target domain). The usual cross-validation procedure requ…
In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for subagged estimators, both for classification and regressor. General loss functions and class of predictors with both finite and infinite VC-dimension are considered. We slightly generalize the formali…
Nested cross-validation when selecting classifiers is overzealous for most practical applicationscs.LG
When selecting a classification algorithm to be applied to a particular problem, one has to simultaneously select the best algorithm for that dataset \emph{and} the best set of hyperparameters for the chosen model. The usual approach is to apply a nested cross-validation procedure; hyperparameter selection is performed…
A fast bootstrap method estimates cross-validation standard error.
problem Uncertainty quantification in cross-validation estimates.
method Random-effects model to estimate variance component.
result Valid confidence intervals for model performance.
New cross-validation methods for Gaussian process regression with efficient gradient computation.
problem Estimating parameters of Gaussian process covariance functions.
method Derive new cross-validation criteria and efficient adjoint computation of gradients.
result Efficient method for evaluating cross-validation criteria and their gradients.
Cross-validation estimates model performance on unseen data, not training data.
problem Understanding how cross-validation estimates prediction error and its limitations.
method Analyzing linear models and popular prediction error estimates, introducing nested cross-validation.
result Cross-validation estimates the average prediction error of models fit on other unseen training sets, not the model at hand.
Improves test set performance and reduces out-of-sample disappointment for unstable models.
problem Ensuring strong test set performance via cross-validation for unstable models.
method Nested k-fold cross-validation with hyperparameter selection based on a weighted sum of cross-validation metric and model stability measure.
result Improves out-of-sample MSE for sparse ridge regression and CART by 4% and 2% respectively, compared to k-fold cross-validation.
RTSCV detects unknown unknowns to improve model performance.
problem Model deficiency due to incomplete training data.
method Random Test Sampling and Cross-Validation (RTSCV) framework.
result Reduces performance gap by up to 41%.
The paper develops a cross-validation method for improving signal denoising techniques.
problem Improving signal denoising methods for nonparametric regression.
method Develops a general cross-validation framework for signal denoising and applies it to Trend Filtering and Dyadic CART.
result Cross validated versions of Trend Filtering and Dyadic CART achieve nearly optimal convergence rates.
Optimizes Lasso hyperparameters using leave-one-out CV.
problem Finding optimal hyperparameters for Lasso regression.
method Develops an algorithm to compute exact or approximate leave-one-out CV.
result Algorithm finds optimal hyperparameters for Lasso.
Study evaluates cross-validation methods for clinical ECG classification, finding leave-source-out more reliable.
problem Overoptimistic cross-validation estimates for new patient sources.
method Empirical evaluation of K-fold and leave-source-out cross-validation methods.
result Leave-source-out cross-validation provides more reliable performance estimates.
A new method improves super learner validation efficiency.
problem Improving the efficiency of super learner validation.
method Bootstrap Bias Corrected Cross Validation applied to Super Learning.
result Bootstrap Bias Corrected Cross Validation proved efficient and cost-effective.
Cross-validation is the workhorse of modern applied statistics and machine learning, as it provides a principled framework for selecting the model that maximizes generalization performance. In this paper, we show that the cross-validation risk is differentiable with respect to the hyperparameters and training data for …
Cross-validation methods help learn dynamical systems from data.
problem Learning surrogate models for dynamical systems from limited data.
method Variants of cross-validation (Kernel Flows, MMD, Lyapunov exponents).
result Simple approaches for kernel selection in dynamical system emulators.
Cross-validationmath.ST
This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given family. For the risk estimation problem, we compute the bias (which can also be …
The paper improves confidence intervals for test error using cross-validation.
problem Improving confidence intervals for test error in machine learning.
method Develops central limit theorems and consistent estimators for cross-validation.
result Provides asymptotically-exact confidence intervals and hypothesis tests.
Cross validation residuals are well known for the ordinary least squares model. Here leave-M-out cross validation is extended to generalised least squares. The relationship between cross validation residuals and Cook's distance is demonstrated, in terms of an approximation to the difference in the generalised residual …
A new cross-validation method reduces redundancy and improves model performance.
problem Redundancy in traditional k-fold cross-validation leads to biased results.
method Irredundant k-fold cross-validation, where each instance is used exactly once for training and testing.
result Consistent performance estimates with reduced variance and lower computational cost.
With the increasing size of today's data sets, finding the right parameter configuration in model selection via cross-validation can be an extremely time-consuming task. In this paper we propose an improved cross-validation procedure which uses nonparametric testing coupled with sequential analysis to determine the bes…
Proposes a new cross-validation method to estimate model performance.
problem The standard cross-validation method does not accurately estimate the performance of the recommended model.
method Develops a new random-effects model framework to improve naive cross-validation estimators.
result Proposed estimators outperform conventional and naive methods in estimating model performance.
In this paper, we introduce a new concept of stability for cross-validation, called the -stability, and use it as a new perspective to build the general theory for cross-validation. The -stability mathematically connects the generalization ability and the stability of…
In silico drug-target interaction (DTI) prediction is an important and challenging problem in biomedical research with a huge potential benefit to the pharmaceutical industry and patients. Most existing methods for DTI prediction including deep learning models generally have binary endpoints, which could be an oversimp…
Used to estimate the risk of an estimator or to perform model selection, cross-validation is a widespread strategy because of its simplicity and its apparent universality. Many results exist on the model selection performances of cross-validation procedures. This survey intends to relate these results to the most recen…
Fast calculation of Gaussian Process multiple-fold cross-validation residuals and their covariancesstat.ME
We speed up Gaussian process cross-validation calculations and improve model diagnostics.
problem Efficiently calculating cross-validation residuals and their covariances in Gaussian processes.
method Generalized fast Gaussian process leave-one-out formulae to multiple-fold cross-validation, highlighting covariance structures.
result Correcting for residual covariances in cross-validation improves back to Maximum Likelihood Estimation.
Cross-validation is one of the most popular model selection methods in statistics and machine learning. Despite its wide applicability, traditional cross validation methods tend to select overfitting models, due to the ignorance of the uncertainty in the testing sample. We develop a new, statistically principled infere…
K-fold Cross Validation is commonly used to evaluate classifiers and tune their hyperparameters. However, it assumes that data points are Independent and Identically Distributed (i.i.d.) so that samples used in the training and test sets can be selected randomly and uniformly. In Human Activity Recognition datasets, we…
The paper assesses quality measures for machine learning models using cross-validation.
problem Evaluating the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for machine learning models.
method Cross-validation approach to estimate prediction error and quantify explained variation. Confidence bounds and local quality measures derived from residuals.
result The reliability and robustness of quality measures are assessed through numerical examples and confidence bounds.
New algorithms delete user data from machine learning models efficiently.
problem Deleting user data from machine learning models trained with empirical risk minimization.
method Developed an online unlearning algorithm using the infinitesimal jackknife, targeting non-smooth regularizers.
result Empirically improved runtime while maintaining memory requirements and test accuracy.
Model predicts EU carbon prices using market and political factors.
problem Predict future carbon prices for EU market management.
method Support vector regression with grid search and cross validation.
result Model predicts carbon prices accurately for 2030.
Improved LOO cross-validation for function approximation.
problem Estimating the Integrated Squared Error (ISE) for function approximation.
method Weighted Leave-One-Out cross-validation based on Gaussian Process.
result Significantly more precise ISE estimation compared to unweighted LOO.
Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the mismatch between the current proposal and a target distribution. In this work, we prese…
A method for efficient CV estimates in Bayesian hierarchical models.
problem Computational infeasibility of cross-validation in Bayesian hierarchical regression models.
method Conditioning on variance-covariance parameters to transform CV into an optimization problem.
result Equivalent or improved predictive estimates compared to full cross-validation.
We show how to adjust the coefficient of determination () when used for measuring predictive accuracy via leave-one-out cross-validation.