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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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14294357 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Tail-statistic recovery

HTFM improves mode coverage and tail-statistic recovery for heavy-tailed data.

problem Tackles heavy-tailed data in various domains with rare events.
method Proposes a framework using clock-conditioned Gaussian sources and truncated logsignature features.
result Improves mode coverage, sample quality, and tail-statistic recovery over Gaussian flow matching and baselines.

A federated learning framework using superquantile aggregation for robust performance across heterogeneous data.

problem Robust predictive performance across clients with heterogeneous data.
method Superquantile-based learning objective and stochastic training algorithm with differential privacy.
result Proves finite time convergence guarantees and demonstrates competitive performance with tail statistics improvement.

Improved Clipped-SGD achieves near-optimal heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming settings.

problem High-dimensional heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming with memory constraints.
method Stochastic convex optimization with Clipped-SGD, proving near-optimal sub-Gaussian statistical rates.
result Clipped-SGD achieves an error of Tr(Σ)+Tr(Σ)Σ2log(log(T)δ)T\sqrt{\frac{\mathsf{Tr}(Σ)+\sqrt{\mathsf{Tr}(Σ)\|Σ\|_2}\log(\frac{\log(T)}δ)}{T}} with probability 1δ1-δ.

In complex systems such as turbulent flows and financial markets, the dynamics in long and short time-lags, signaled by Gaussian and fat-tailed statistics, respectively, calls for a unified description. To address this issue we analyze a real dataset, namely, price fluctuations, in a wide range of temporal scales to em…

2008-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm improves heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming data.

problem Heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming data.
method Clipped stochastic gradient descent algorithm with improved analysis.
result Guarantees exponential concentration with O(1)O(1) batch size for mean estimation and linear regression.

New method optimizes language model performance for test-time strategies.

problem Mismatch between training objectives and test-time deployment of large language models.
method Tail-Extrapolated estimators to approximate best-of-N performance from limited training rollouts.
result Improved performance of best-of-N deployment across various models and datasets.

We derive an arbitrage free relationship between recovery swap rates, digital default swap spreads and conventional CDS spreads, and argue that the fair forward recovery rate used in recovery swaps must contain a convexity premium over the expected recovery value.

2010-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Method uses Seq2Seq learning to automatically generate recovery commands for ICT systems.

problem Manual decision-making for recovery commands is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Seq2Seq neural network model trained on past logs and commands.
result The model can estimate accurate recovery commands from new failures.

A new model explains U- and Swoosh-shaped stock price recovery during the COVID-19.

problem Modeling stock price recovery during the COVID-19 with V- and L-shaped recovery.
method Introducing a sentiment variable θθ to quantify investor sentiment and simulate U- and Swoosh-shaped recovery.
result The model explains U- and Swoosh-shaped recovery of sectoral indices with positive sentiment.

This paper improves support recovery in universal one-bit compressed sensing.

problem Support recovery in one-bit compressed sensing for sparse signals.
method Proposes approximate support recovery and superset recovery algorithms with polynomial-time complexity.
result Achieves improved support recovery with fewer measurements compared to existing methods.

This work provides a guaranteed tensor recovery method by combining low-rankness and smoothness priors.

problem Guaranteed tensor recovery with theoretical guarantees for low-rank and smoothness priors.
method Developed a new regularization term that combines low-rankness and smoothness priors, proving exact recovery guarantees.
result Rigorously proved exact recovery guarantees for tensor completion and tensor robust principal component analysis.

We consider the problem of signal recovery on graphs as graphs model data with complex structure as signals on a graph. Graph signal recovery implies recovery of one or multiple smooth graph signals from noisy, corrupted, or incomplete measurements. We propose a graph signal model and formulate signal recovery as a cor…

2014-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

IRKSN algorithm achieves sparse recovery with wider applicability conditions.

problem Sparse recovery challenges due to NP-hard nature and restrictive conditions.
method IRKSN algorithm based on kk-support norm regularizer.
result Achieves sparse recovery with explicit constants and standard linear rate.

Higher-order tensors can represent scores in a rating system, frames in a video, and images of the same subject. In practice, the measurements are often highly quantized due to the sampling strategies or the quality of devices. Existing works on tensor recovery have focused on data losses and random noises. Only a few …

2019-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds the cutoff for exact recovery in Gaussian mixture models.

problem Determining the separation of cluster centers for exact recovery in Gaussian mixture models.
method Used information theory and SDP relaxation of KK-means clustering.
result Sharp threshold for exact recovery of cluster labels without assuming cluster center symmetry.

In recent years research on credit risk modelling has mainly focused on default probabilities. Recovery rates are usually modelled independently, quite often they are even assumed constant. Then, however, the structural connection between recovery rates and default probabilities is lost and the tails of the loss distri…

2011-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal portfolio selection with Recovery Average Value at Risk, showing better control over liabilities.

problem Optimizing portfolios with a new risk measure under known or uncertain distributions.
method Existence results for mean-risk optimal portfolios under different distributional assumptions.
result Portfolio selection under Recovery Average Value at Risk provides better control over liabilities.

The paper improves conditions for unique recovery in homomorphic sensing of subspaces.

problem Unique recovery of points in a linear subspace from their images under linear maps.
method Tighter and simpler conditions for unique recovery in single and subspace arrangement cases, extending to noise stability.
result Conditions for unique recovery in homomorphic sensing are improved and unified.

Unified framework for pattern recovery in penalized and thresholded estimation.

problem Pattern recovery in penalized and thresholded estimation methods.
method Defining a novel pattern notion based on subdifferentials, introducing accessibility and noiseless recovery conditions.
result Unified and extended conditions for pattern recovery in a broad class of penalized estimators.

Paper explores exact recovery of communities in weighted graphs using Gaussian and exponential distributions.

problem Exact recovery of communities in weighted graphs with Gaussian and exponential distributions.
method Introduces a new semi-metric to describe conditions for exact recovery and analyzes conditions for both complete and incomplete graphs.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for exact recovery are asymptotically tight and applicable to both complete and incomplete graphs.

Guarantees sparse recovery for neural networks with iterative hard thresholding.

problem Recovering sparse network weights in neural networks.
method Structural properties of sparse network weights and iterative hard thresholding algorithm.
result Simple iterative hard thresholding algorithm recovers sparse network weights exactly using linear memory.

New risk measure improves creditor protection in financial regulation.

problem Current solvency requirements fail to control the size of recovery on creditors' claims.
method Developed Recovery Value at Risk (Recovery VaR) to control recovery on creditors' claims.
result Recovery VaR flexibly controls recovery on creditors' claims and integrates protection needs into management incentives.

Develops a new method to discover stochastic systems with non-Gaussian noise.

problem Discovering governing laws from complex systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method Theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to extract stochastic differential equations with Gaussian and non-Gaussian noise.
result Demonstrated the efficacy and accuracy of the approach on various systems.

While defaults are rare events, losses can be substantial even for credit portfolios with a large number of contracts. Therefore, not only a good evaluation of the probability of default is crucial, but also the severity of losses needs to be estimated. The recovery rate is often modeled independently with regard to th…

2012-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tracks patient recovery using graphs of joint movement data.

problem Tracking individual patient recovery trajectories in physical therapy.
method Bayesian learning of Random Geometric Graphs from joint movement data.
result Optimal exercise routines can be recommended based on patient recovery data.

Modified model for Quanto CDS pricing with stochastic recovery and reduced complexity.

problem Modeling Quanto CDS with stochastic recovery and reduced complexity of interest rate.
method Modified Itkin, Shcherbakov, and Veygman (2019) model with RBF-FD method.
result Influence of recovery rate volatility and mean-reversion on Quanto CDS spread.

This paper investigates the problem of sparse signal recovery in the presence of additive impulsive noise. The heavytailed impulsive noise is well modelled with stable distributions. Since there is no explicit formulation for the probability density function of SαSSαS distribution, alternative approximations like Genera…

2018-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Flat minima lead to better generalization in low-rank matrix recovery models.

problem Understanding why flat minima generalize well in overparameterized models.
method Analysis of overparameterized matrix and bilinear sensing, robust PCA, covariance matrix estimation, and neural networks with quadratic activation functions.
result Flat minima, measured by the trace of the Hessian, exactly recover the ground truth in low-rank matrix recovery models under standard statistical assumptions.

Study shows DNNs can recover functions with fewer samples than model parameters at overparameterization.

problem Determining reliable function recovery in overparameterized deep neural networks.
method Introducing 'local linear recovery' (LLR) and proving upper bounds on sample sizes for recovery.
result Upper bounds on optimistic sample sizes for function recovery in overparameterized DNNs are achieved.

Study on sparse recovery with mixed-quality data, establishing sample-size conditions.

problem Sparse recovery with heterogeneous noise from high- and low-quality sources.
method Establishes linear trade-off for sufficient conditions, analyzes LASSO algorithm.
result Linear trade-off for sufficient conditions, robustness of LASSO to data heterogeneity.

New algorithm recovers model coefficients and supports from noisy data.

problem Simultaneous estimation and support recovery in linear models with Gaussian noise.
method Projection-based algorithm for STG regularized minimization problem, proving convergence and support recovery guarantees.
result New algorithm outperforms existing methods in support recovery for various data setups.

We propose a general modeling and algorithmic framework for discrete structure recovery that can be applied to a wide range of problems. Under this framework, we are able to study the recovery of clustering labels, ranks of players, signs of regression coefficients, cyclic shifts, and even group elements from a unified…

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper connects neural network hyperparameter optimization and NAS to structured sparse recovery.

problem Hyperparameter optimization and neural architecture search in neural networks.
method Structured sparse recovery methods applied to HPO and NAS.
result Improvements in hyperparameter optimization and discovery of novel neural architectures.

Efficient algorithms for sparse parameter recovery in mixture models.

problem Support recovery of high-dimensional sparse latent vectors in mixture models.
method Efficient algorithms with logarithmic sample complexity dependence on dimensionality.
result First guarantees on support recovery for various mixture models.