New method models unknown systems with hidden parameters using neural networks.
problem Modeling unknown dynamical systems with hidden parameters.
method Training a deep neural network (DNN) model using trajectory data of the unknown system.
result DNN model accurately predicts unknown dynamical systems with new initial conditions.
DeepONet models system discrepancies with low data.
problem Modeling complex systems with limited data.
method Bi-fidelity modeling using DeepONet for uncertain and partially unknown systems.
result DeepONet effectively models complex systems with parametric uncertainty and partial unknownness.
NESYM combines AI and Earth models for new climate insights.
problem Replacing traditional Earth models with AI.
method Neural Earth System Modelling (NESYM) integrating AI and climate models.
result Artificial intelligence may render traditional models obsolete.
Learn dynamics of a system using auxiliary data from similar systems.
problem Learning dynamics of a linear system with limited data.
method Weighted least squares approach, incorporating auxiliary data.
result Auxiliary data can help reduce intrinsic error due to noise.
New method integrates sparse parametric and nonparametric techniques for complex system modeling.
problem Lack of accurate modeling for complex biological systems due to nonlinearities.
method Sparse nonparametric estimation framework combining parametric and nonparametric techniques.
result Accurately captures nonlinearities in complex systems without prior information.
Paper uses deep learning to model systems with degrading behavior.
problem Modeling systems with degrading hysteretic behavior and uncertainty.
method Uses low-fidelity data to train a deep operator network (DeepONet).
result Improves prediction error in degrading hysteretic systems with uncertainty.
Stable deep models learn dynamical systems with formal stability guarantees.
problem Difficulties in making formal claims about stability of deep network dynamics models.
method Jointly learning a dynamics model and Lyapunov function to ensure non-expansiveness.
result Proposes an approach for stable deep learning of dynamical systems.
Modeling dynamical systems is important in many disciplines, e.g., control, robotics, or neurotechnology. Commonly the state of these systems is not directly observed, but only available through noisy and potentially high-dimensional observations. In these cases, system identification, i.e., finding the measurement map…
The study analyzes stochastic Lie systems and their applications in various models.
problem Analyzing stochastic differential equations on manifolds.
method Coalgebra method for Hamiltonian stochastic Lie systems.
result New examples of stochastic Lie systems and Hamiltonian stochastic Lie systems are analyzed.
Method learns model for unknown stochastic system from data.
problem Modeling unknown stochastic dynamical systems.
method Autoencoder approach using deep neural networks (DNNs).
result Decoder serves as a predictive model for unknown stochastic systems.
Gradient model for memristive systems in neurophysiology and neuromorphic circuits.
problem Understanding and modeling memristive systems.
method Introducing a gradient modeling framework based on Chua's definition of memristive elements.
result Gradient properties of memristive systems have implications for neuromorphic circuit analysis and design.
Bayesian neural networks with nonparametric noise models for system identification.
problem Estimating parameters and noise processes in stochastic dynamic systems.
method Bayesian nonparametric approach using neural networks and Gibbs sampler.
result The method converges to full nonparametric Bayesian regression model.
Model captures system input variations in latent space for actionable dynamics.
problem Learning dynamical systems from data without prescribing a mathematical model.
method Structured latent ODE model with stochastic factors of variation for each input.
result Improves generation of time-series data and inference of system inputs over baselines.
Geometric models for Lie--Hamilton systems on \(\mathbb{R}^2\) are described.
problem Analyzing Lie--Hamilton systems on \(\mathbb{R}^2\).
method Two geometric models: 1) restriction to symplectic leaves, 2) projection onto quotient space.
result Natural framework for Lie--Hamilton systems on \(\mathbb{R}^2\).
We introduce Supersparse Linear Integer Models (SLIM) as a tool to create scoring systems for binary classification. We derive theoretical bounds on the true risk of SLIM scoring systems, and present experimental results to show that SLIM scoring systems are accurate, sparse, and interpretable classification models.
The paper explores how complex models can improve system identification beyond traditional limits.
problem Balancing model richness and spurious learning in system identification.
method Investigates the double-descent phenomenon in the context of dynamic systems.
result Complex models can improve system identification performance beyond the point of interpolation.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
Transformer model for probabilistic dynamical systems.
problem Modeling high-dimensional dynamical systems from noisy observations.
method Parallel between dynamical systems and language modeling; transformer-based model with geometrical properties; iterative training algorithm.
result Fine-grid approximation of conditional probabilities for high-dimensional systems.
New model stabilizes asynchronous LTI systems, independent of synchronous stability.
problem Stability of asynchronous LTI systems under randomization and asynchrony.
method Introduced a new model for random asynchronous LTI systems and developed a method for system identification.
result Stability of random asynchronous LTI systems is independent of synchronous stability.
We present a network-based framework for simulating systemic risk that considers shock propagation in banking systems. In particular, the framework allows the modeller to reflect a top-down framework where a shock to one bank in the system affects the solvency and liquidity position of other banks, through systemic mar…
The paper presents a model-free method for stabilizing unknown control systems.
problem Stabilizing unknown control systems in engineering.
method Solving discounted LQR problems with increasing discount factors.
result The method efficiently recovers a stabilizing controller for linear and smooth nonlinear systems.
Model-Based Offline Planning (MBOP) learns models from offline data to control systems directly.
problem Training RL policies from offline data without direct system interaction.
method Generates models from offline data and uses planning to control the system.
result Near-optimal policies found for simulated systems with minimal real-time interaction.
Framework predicts responses in misspecified systems using GPLFM and BNNs.
problem Predicting responses in dynamical systems with model misspecification.
method Integrates GPLFM and BNNs for uncertainty-aware inference and prediction.
result Systematic propagation of uncertainty from diagnosis to prediction.
Unified framework models credit cycles and systemic risk.
problem Inadequate classical models for bubbles, crises, and credit cycles.
method Marshall-Walras price formation process and mathematical formalism.
result Unified framework reflects different economic states and systemic risk.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the difference between assets and liabilities of the bank. A bank is solvent when its capit…
Fair ML systems can be safe ML systems by considering uncertainty.
problem Safety of data-driven decision systems is often neglected.
method Viewing ML systems as socio-technical, uncertainty-aware modeling.
result Fair models should be uncertainty-aware, e.g. through distributional regression.
Equation discovery method reconstructs model structure and parameters from data.
problem Nonlinear system identification challenges.
method Two interlaced parts: model structure identification and parameter estimation.
result Equation discovery method successfully reconstructs model structure and parameters from data.
Paper explores foundation models for dynamical systems using synthetic data.
problem Lack of synthetic data for dynamical systems training.
method Pretrained transformer model on synthetic dynamics functions sampled from RKHS.
result Pretrained model generalizes across various dynamical systems in simulations and hardware.
FSNN learns causal relationships in complex systems using neural nets.
problem Inferring causality in directed cyclic graphs.
method Constructs a non-linear system of ODEs using feed forward neural nets.
result Accurately models complex, non-linear systems with causal relationships.
MPP trains a transformer to predict multiple physical systems, improving accuracy across various tasks.
problem Training models for specific physical systems is inefficient and requires fine-tuning.
method MPP trains a shared transformer on multiple heterogeneous physical systems, projecting fields into a shared embedding space.
result A single MPP-pretrained transformer outperforms task-specific models on all pretraining sub-tasks and downstream tasks.
Deep SSMs use neural networks to identify complex systems.
problem Identifying nonlinear systems with high uncertainty.
method Deep state space models with neural networks.
result Deep SSMs outperform traditional methods on benchmarks.
Study connects bank default models using dynamic contagion.
problem Understanding default contagion in heterogeneous interbank systems.
method Proposes a dynamic default contagion model with endogenous early defaults for a finite set of banks, reformulating as a stochastic particle system.
result Existence of clearing systems and continuity of the system response for the mean-field problem.
NDS learns dynamical models with prior knowledge, improving accuracy and efficiency.
problem Learning accurate dynamical models with limited data and varying dynamics.
method Neural Dynamical Systems (NDS) integrates prior knowledge in ODEs with neural networks to estimate parameters and predict states.
result NDS achieves higher accuracy and uses fewer samples compared to other methods.
Bayesian ANN method predicts chaotic systems with uncertainty.
problem Estimating chaotic dynamical systems from noisy data.
method Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks for ODE inverse problems.
result Accurate time predictions and uncertainty bounds.
Inferring a person's goal from their behavior is an important problem in applications of AI (e.g. automated assistants, recommender systems). The workhorse model for this task is the rational actor model - this amounts to assuming that people have stable reward functions, discount the future exponentially, and construc…
Meta learning enables cross-domain Hamiltonian dynamics.
problem Adapting to new physical systems with different laws.
method Graph Neural Network (GNN) with meta learning.
result Unified Hamiltonian representation across multiple system domains.
Bayesian framework integrates prior and data knowledge for nonlinear dynamical systems.
problem Fusing diverse prior knowledge with data for accurate model learning.
method General-purpose Bayesian inference and learning framework combining explicit and implicit prior knowledge.
result Efficient parameter marginalization and closed-form densities for online and offline inference.
Proposes neural delay differential equations for stable system identification with partially observed states.
problem Learning stable models for systems with partial or delayed observations.
method Augments states with history, uses neural delay differential equations, and ensures stability through time delay analysis.
result The approach ensures stability of learned models for partially observed systems.
Optimizes exploration for nonlinear systems to learn controllers efficiently.
problem Learning optimal controllers for unknown nonlinear systems.
method Formally quantifies which parameters are most critical, and develops an algorithm to efficiently explore these parameters.
result Proves a near-instance-optimal rate for learning controllers.
Proposes a RL method using simulators for stabilizing uncertain systems.
problem Limited experiences and potential dangerous actions during RL learning of real systems.
method Two-stage approach: virtual systems for Q-function learning, real system interactions for final policy.
result Proposed method improves RL performance in uncertain discrete-time systems.
In this paper, a new deep reinforcement learning based augmented general sequence tagging system is proposed. The new system contains two parts: a deep neural network (DNN) based sequence tagging model and a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) based augmented tagger. The augmented tagger helps improve system performance …
Estimates system parameters from a single observation using kernel-based score.
problem Estimating parameters of a dynamical system from a high-dimensional signal.
method Kernel-based score to compare temporal dependencies between signal and model.
result Accuracy and efficiency demonstrated on chaotic systems.
This work extends identifiability analysis to sequential latent variable models, focusing on Switching Dynamical Systems.
problem Identifying latent variables in sequential data models.
method Proved identifiability of Markov Switching Models and established conditions for Switching Dynamical Systems.
result Identifiability of latent variables and non-linear mappings in Switching Dynamical Systems up to affine transformations.
Paper corrects and expands stochastic Lie systems theory.
problem Stochastic Lie systems and their properties.
method Corrected stochastic Lie theorem, introduced new stochastic Lie systems.
result Stochastic Lie systems can differ significantly between Stratonovich and Itô approaches.
Framework predicts nonlinear system responses using GFDT and generative models.
problem Predicting higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small perturbations.
method Combining GFDT with generative modeling to estimate score function directly from data.
result Accurately captures nonlinear and non-Gaussian features of system responses.
Enhances HNNs for conservative systems with noisy data.
problem Modeling conservative systems with neural networks.
method Proposes a deep hidden physics model for continuous-time trajectory estimation.
result Integration scheme works well for HNNs, especially with low sampling rates.
Extends Neural ODEs to model discrete changes in continuous systems.
problem Lack of explicit termination time in existing Neural ODE formulations.
method Introduces neural event functions to implicitly define termination criteria.
result Models discrete changes in continuous systems without prior knowledge.
Method learns latent dynamics of complex systems from noisy data.
problem Challenging to construct ROMs from noisy high-dimensional data.
method Recurrent stochastic variational deep kernel learning (SVDKL).
result Framework accurately predicts system evolution in low-dimensional latent spaces.