A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Supply uncertainty leads to inefficient supply chain network formation.
Inter-firm organizations, which play a driving role in the economy of a country, can be represented in the form of a customer-supplier network. Such a network exhibits a heavy-tailed degree distribution, disassortative mixing and a prominent community structure. We analyze a large-scale data set of customer-supplier re…
Supply Chain Management often requires independent organizations to work together to achieve shared objectives. This collaboration is necessary when coordinated actions benefit the group more than the uncoordinated efforts of individual firms. Despite the commonly reported benefits that can be gained in close relations…
We investigate the structure of global inter-firm linkages using a dataset that contains information on business partners for about 400,000 firms worldwide, including all the firms listed on the major stock exchanges. Among the firms, we examine three networks, which are based on customer-supplier, licensee-licensor, a…
Companies do not operate in a vacuum. As companies move towards an increasingly specialized production function and their reach is becoming truly global, their aptitude in managing and shaping their inter-organizational network is a determining factor in measuring their health. Current models of company financial healt…
Paper proposes machine learning for pricing 3D printing services in marketplaces.
Supplier learns to price contracts against a learning retailer.
Suppliers (including companies and individual prosumers) may wish to protect their private information when selling items they have in stock. A market is envisaged where private information can be protected through the use of differential privacy and option contracts, while privacy-aware suppliers deliver their stock a…
Approach for assessing supply chain cyber risks using expert judgment and forecasting.
Modeling supply chain disruptions from climate hazards with adaptive firms.
To investigate the actual phenomena of transport on a complex network, we analysed empirical data for an inter-firm trading network, which consists of about one million Japanese firms and the sales of these firms (a sale corresponds to the total in-flow into a node). First, we analysed the relationships between sales a…
Supply chain resilience depends on balancing competition and self-interest.
This paper presents a model to describe contractual dispute resolution by mediation in situations where a defaulting supplier is near insolvent. While each party has internal constraints, and if alternate performances are available, such as more costly alternative goods, the proposed approach allows the mediator to fin…
We study equilibrium in hedonic markets, when consumers and suppliers have reservation utilities, and the utility functions are separable with respect to price. There is one indivisible good, which comes in different qualities; each consumer buys 0 or 1 unit, and each supplier sells 0 or 1 unit. Consumer types, supplie…
Supply chains lend themselves to blockchain technology, but certain challenges remain, especially around invoice financing. For example, the further a supplier is removed from the final consumer product, the more difficult it is to get their invoices financed. Moreover, for competitive reasons, retailers and manufactur…
Study develops smart contract framework for procurement under demand variability.
PriceAggregator optimizes hotel price fetching to increase Agoda's bookings.
We model a nonlinear price curve quoted in a market as the utility indifference curve of a representative liquidity supplier. As the utility function we adopt a g-expectation. In contrast to the standard framework of financial engineering, a trader is no more price taker as any trade has a permanent market impact via a…
FS-GCLSTM predicts stock returns by leveraging value-chain relationships.
We propose a novel approach and an empirical procedure to test direct contagion of growth rate in a trade credit network of firms. Our hypotheses are that the use of trade credit contributes to contagion (from many customers to a single supplier - "many to one" contagion) and amplification (through their interaction wi…
By analysing the financial data of firms across Japan, a nonlinear power law with an exponent of 1.3 was observed between the number of business partners (i.e. the degree of the inter-firm trading network) and sales. In a previous study using numerical simulations, we found that this scaling can be explained by both th…
Study a market with uncertain informed traders, finding price impact depends on both asset value and informed trader count distribution.
Although standard economics textbooks are seldom interested in production networks, modern economies are more and more based upon suppliers/customers interactions. One can consider entire sectors of the economy as generalised supply chains. We will take this view in the present paper and study under which conditions lo…
Network models assume unrealistic idiosyncratic risk, which can be mitigated by allowing for correlated shocks.
This paper optimizes revenue and resource balance in network revenue management.
Study on supply chain networks using wire transfers in Brazil.
The recently announced Energy Union by the European Commission is the most recent step in a series of developments aiming at integrating the EU's gas markets to increase social welfare (SW) and security of gas supply. Based on a spatial partial equilibrium model, we analyze the changes in consumption, prices, and SW up…
This paper shows how we can build a model for transactions when goods are given away in the expectation of a later settlement. In settings where people keep track of their social accounts we are able to redefine concepts like account balance, yield curve and the law of diminishing returns. The model provides us with a …
Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.
In this paper, we describe a solution to tackle a common set of challenges in e-commerce, which arise from the fact that new products are continually being added to the catalogue. The challenges involve properly personalising the customer experience, forecasting demand and planning the product range. We argue that the …
Optimal online learning for joint pricing and resource allocation.
Our recent study of a nation-wide production network uncovered a community structure, namely how firms are connected by supplier-customer links into tightly-knit groups with high density in intra-groups and with lower connectivity in inter-groups. Here we propose a method to visualize the community structure by a graph…
This paper explores using graph neural networks for stock market predictions, improving accuracy with richer data.
The kind of realized mission inflows the sensitivity to risk. Among other factors, the risk results from decision about liquid assets investment level and liquid assets financing. The higher the risk exposure, the higher the level of liquid assets. If the specific risk exposure is smaller, the more aggressive could be …
AI framework predicts invoice dilution in supply chain finance.
In this article we quantify the bullwhip effect (the variance amplification in replenishment orders) when demands and lead times are predicted in a simple two-stage supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. In recent research the impact of stochastic order lead time on the bullwhip effect is investigated, but th…
This paper studies the structure of the Japanese production network, which includes one million firms and five million supplier-customer links. This study finds that this network forms a tightly-knit structure with a core giant strongly connected component (GSCC) surrounded by IN and OUT components constituting two hal…
Blockchain markets with paid-priority trading can lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
Predicting bankruptcy using financial data and news sentiment.
Study examines pricing strategies in competitive supply chains with discrete prices.
Investor optimizes utility in a market with endogenous pricing.
Paper uses clustering to identify food assistance deserts in Ohio.
New model forecasts power consumption with high accuracy over months to years.
Since governments give stimulus to firms and expect the spillover effect by fiscal policies, it is important to know the effectiveness that they can control the economy. To clarify the controllability of the economy, we investigate a firm production network observed exhaustively in Japan and what firms should be direct…
In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for customer and freight forwarders. In this paper, we investigate ways to assess and forecast transport risks using a half-yea…
Optimizes Airbnb pricing to increase revenue and reduce booking regret.
In e-commerce, content quality of the product catalog plays a key role in delivering a satisfactory experience to the customers. In particular, visual content such as product images influences customers' engagement and purchase decisions. With the rapid growth of e-commerce and the advent of artificial intelligence, tr…
LoCEC classifies user relationships in large social networks, addressing sparsity issues.