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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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2795588361,115 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Supervisory Data

A method for ranking items using distance-based learning from positive and unlabeled data.

problem Learning to rank items without an analytic description of what constitutes a good ranking.
method Combining representations using an integer linear program for ranking items based on nominations.
result The method is effective in simulation and real data examples, especially when supervision is light.

New deep learning method improves financial stress testing accuracy.

problem Traditional stress testing methods are criticized for unrealistic assumptions and estimation errors.
method Proposes a novel Deep Learning approach for Dynamic Balance Sheet Stress Testing.
result Empirical results show significant improvement in accuracy over traditional methods.

Artificial neural networks have exceeded human-level performance in accomplishing several individual tasks (e.g. voice recognition, object recognition, and video games). However, such success remains modest compared to human intelligence that can learn and perform an unlimited number of tasks. Humans' ability of learni…

2019-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper assesses VASPs' solvency using multiple data sources.

problem Insolvency risk in VASPs without systematic auditing.
method Cross-referencing cryptoasset wallets, balance sheets, and supervisory data.
result Inconsistent data between DLT transactions and balance sheets for some VASPs.

Supervised topic models are often sought to balance prediction quality and interpretability. However, when models are (inevitably) misspecified, standard approaches rarely deliver on both. We introduce a novel approach, the prediction-focused topic model, that uses the supervisory signal to retain only vocabulary terms…

2019-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Topic models are frequently used in machine learning owing to their high interpretability and modular structure. However, extending a topic model to include a supervisory signal, to incorporate pre-trained word embedding vectors and to include a nonlinear output function is not an easy task because one has to resort to…

2018-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Supervisory signals can help topic models discover low-dimensional data representations that are more interpretable for clinical tasks. We propose a framework for training supervised latent Dirichlet allocation that balances two goals: faithful generative explanations of high-dimensional data and accurate prediction of…

2017-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

GAICF proposes a framework for governing generative AI in banking.

problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI applications.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.

On June 26th, 2004, Central bank governors and the heads of bank supervisory authorities in the Group of Ten (G10) countries issued a press release and endorsed the publication of "International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: a Revised Framework", the new capital adequacy framework commonly k…

2005-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

GAICF proposes a framework for managing generative AI risks in banking.

problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.

In this paper we combine one method for hierarchical reinforcement learning - the options framework - with deep Q-networks (DQNs) through the use of different "option heads" on the policy network, and a supervisory network for choosing between the different options. We utilise our setup to investigate the effects of ar…

2016-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Electronic Health Record (EHR) data can be represented as discrete counts over a high dimensional set of possible procedures, diagnoses, and medications. Supervised topic models present an attractive option for incorporating EHR data as features into a prediction problem: given a patient's record, we estimate a set of …

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we study data from the yearly reports the four major Swedish non-life insurers have sent to the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (FSA). We aim at finding marginal distributions of, and dependence between, losses on the five largest lines of business (LoBs) in order to create models for Solvency Cap…

2015-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a framework on how to hedge the interest rate sensitivity of liabilities discounted by an extrapolated yield curve. The framework is based on functional analysis in that we consider the extrapolated yield curve as a functional of an observed yield curve and use its Gâteaux variation to understand the sensiti…

2014-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Processing temporal sequences is central to a variety of applications in health care, and in particular multi-channel Electrocardiogram (ECG) is a highly prevalent diagnostic modality that relies on robust sequence modeling. While Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have led to significant advances in automated diagnosis …

2018-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural Module Networks, originally proposed for the task of visual question answering, are a class of neural network architectures that involve human-specified neural modules, each designed for a specific form of reasoning. In current formulations of such networks only the parameters of the neural modules and/or the or…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepRSCN models nonlinear systems using stochastic configurations.

problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems efficiently.
method Incrementally constructed deep reservoir computing framework with random parameters and online weight updates.
result DeepRSCN outperforms single-layer networks in efficiency, learning, and generalization.

DeXposure-Claw supervises decentralized finance risks by grounding LLM decisions in evidence.

problem Weak evidence leads to over-interventions by general-purpose LLM agents in decentralized finance.
method DeXposure-Claw uses a graph time-series foundation model to forecast exposure networks, turning forecasts into alerts and constraining escalation with data-health gates.
result DeXposure-Claw reduces false alarms and improves regulator alignment in decentralized finance risk supervision.

Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.

problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.

Previous work shows that adversarially robust generalization requires larger sample complexity, and the same dataset, e.g., CIFAR-10, which enables good standard accuracy may not suffice to train robust models. Since collecting new training data could be costly, we focus on better utilizing the given data by inducing t…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The interbank market has a natural multiplex network representation. We employ a unique database of supervisory reports of Italian banks to the Banca d'Italia that includes all bilateral exposures broken down by maturity and by the secured and unsecured nature of the contract. We find that layers have different topolog…

2013-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a machine learning framework for portfolio optimization with limited data.

problem Low data environments and regime uncertainty in portfolio optimization.
method A teacher-student learning pipeline with CVaR optimizer generating supervisory labels and neural models trained on real and synthetic data.
result Student models can match or outperform the CVaR teacher and achieve improved robustness under regime shifts.

New method models covariates and responses without parametric assumptions using manifold learning.

problem Losing explanatory power for responses in standard factor models applied to covariates alone.
method Anisotropic diffusion maps for learning low-dimensional embeddings.
result Kalman filtering in diffusion-map coordinates improves joint covariate-response prediction.

The growing prospect of deep reinforcement learning (DRL) being used in cyber-physical systems has raised concerns around safety and robustness of autonomous agents. Recent work on generating adversarial attacks have shown that it is computationally feasible for a bad actor to fool a DRL policy into behaving sub optima…

2018-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper investigates whether learning contingency-awareness and controllable aspects of an environment can lead to better exploration in reinforcement learning. To investigate this question, we consider an instantiation of this hypothesis evaluated on the Arcade Learning Element (ALE). In this study, we develop an a…

2018-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

In the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, interdependencies among banks have come into focus in trying to assess systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tapping into financial discuss…

2013-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper learns graph node representations using global context prediction.

problem Efficiently learning useful node representations from unlabeled graph data.
method Randomly selects node pairs, trains a neural net to predict contextual positions.
result Our approach outperforms many unsupervised methods and sometimes supervised ones.

Quantum computers can optimize foreign exchange reserves management.

problem Optimizing foreign exchange reserves management using quantum computing.
method Demonstrated through quantum Monte Carlo risk measurement and quantum algorithms for portfolio optimization.
result Quantum computers can theoretically optimize FX reserves management in the future.

Paper presents a world model that learns invariant causal features using contrastive unsupervised learning.

problem Learning invariant causal features in unsupervised settings.
method Contrastive unsupervised learning with intervention invariant auxiliary task.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on out-of-distribution point navigation tasks.

Employs granular data to create a multilayer network for euro area banks, revealing distinct risk patterns.

problem Lack of comprehensive, granular data integration for systemic risk assessment in euro area banks.
method Constructs an empirically grounded multilayer network integrating various supervisory and statistical datasets, each layer representing a distinct transmission channel.
result Cross-layer heterogeneity in connectivity and centrality reveals economically relevant structure and misidentifies systemically important institutions.

Statistical test verifies long-term rating system calibration with overlapping time windows.

problem Verifying supervisory requirements for overlapping time windows in rating systems.
method Analyzes long-run default rate distribution and correlation effects; presents conservative calibration test methods.
result Developed a test for individual and portfolio levels that can handle unknown variance.

Model predicts insolvency risks in banks due to liquidity and credit risks.

problem Determining insolvency regions in banks due to non-linear interaction between liquidity and credit risks.
method Developed a continuous-time structural dynamic model integrating Basel III requirements into a stochastic optimal control framework. Used Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to solve for insolvency boundary. Derived surrogate analytical approximation for real-time monitoring.
result Calibrated model reveals significant non-linear threshold effects and accelerates insolvency transition.