Proposes supervised method for whole DAG causal structure learning.
problem Learning causal directions from data, especially for whole DAG structure.
method Supervised learning approach using permutation equivariant models.
result Promising results compared to previous approaches on synthetic and real data.
Weak supervision enables learning causal representations from unstructured data.
problem Learning high-level causal representations from unstructured data like images.
method Weakly supervised setting with paired samples before and after interventions. Implicit latent causal models using variational autoencoders.
result Models can reliably identify causal structure and disentangle causal variables.
New method learns causal relationships in latent variables.
problem Disentangling causally related latent variables under supervision.
method Structural causal model (SCM) as prior for bidirectional generative model.
result Proposes DEAR method enabling causal controllable generation and disentanglement.
Paper analyzes self-supervised learning using causal methods and proposes a new objective.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of self-supervised learning success.
method Uses a causal framework to enforce invariance constraints on proxy classifiers.
result ReLIC objective improves generalization guarantees and outperforms existing methods.
New technique learns causally disentangled representations for better generation.
problem Learning disentangled representations for accurate generation.
method Causally Disentangled Generation (CDG) approach with supervised regularization.
result CDG is necessary and sufficient for accurate disentangled generation.
SLdisco uses supervised learning to discover causal models from observational data.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with limited samples and sparse models.
method Supervised machine learning to map observational data to causal equivalence classes.
result SLdisco is more conservative, less sensitive to sample size, and provides better model inference.
New method identifies causal relationships without strong assumptions.
problem Causal Representation Learning (CRL) is ill-posed due to representation and causal discovery issues.
method Identifiability based on grouping of observational variables, self-supervised estimation framework.
result Practical identifiability conditions without temporal structure, interventions, or weak supervision.
ISL improves causal structure learning with invariant structures across different environments.
problem Improving causal structure discovery for better generalization and explainability.
method ISL splits data into environments, learns invariant structures, and selects optimal classifiers based on graph structures.
result ISL accurately discovers causal structures and outperforms alternative methods on synthetic and real-world datasets.
The paper proposes a SSL framework for complex causal models using unlabelled data.
problem Understanding how unlabelled data can improve SSL in complex causal models.
method The paper explores flexible causal graph structures and designs causal generative models to generate synthetic labelled data.
result The proposed method effectively improves predictive model accuracy using synthetic labelled data generated from unlabelled data.
We consider the problem of function estimation in the case where an underlying causal model can be inferred. This has implications for popular scenarios such as covariate shift, concept drift, transfer learning and semi-supervised learning. We argue that causal knowledge may facilitate some approaches for a given probl…
The relationship between statistical dependency and causality lies at the heart of all statistical approaches to causal inference. Recent results in the ChaLearn cause-effect pair challenge have shown that causal directionality can be inferred with good accuracy also in Markov indistinguishable configurations thanks to…
Transformer-based method improves causal discovery from observational data.
problem Causal discovery from observational data requires explicit assumptions.
method CSIvA transformer architecture trained on synthetic data.
result Transformer-based methods adhere to identifiability theory.
Neural network learns causal graph structure from data.
problem Inferring causal graph structure from observational and interventional data.
method Supervised training of a neural network on synthetic graphs.
result Learned model generalizes to new graphs, robust to distribution shifts, and outperforms existing methods.
The ability to learn and act in novel situations is still a prerogative of animate intelligence, as current machine learning methods mostly fail when moving beyond the standard i.i.d. setting. What is the reason for this discrepancy? Most machine learning tasks are anti-causal, i.e., we infer causes (labels) from effec…
ML4C uses binary classification to infer causal structures from latent vicinity.
problem Learning causal relations from observational data without ground truth.
method Two-phase paradigm with binary classifier and novel featurization.
result ML4C outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in causal learning.
Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.
problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.
New framework improves counterfactual predictions using causal inference.
problem Challenges in predicting counterfactual outcomes with limited covariates and high-dimensional outcomes.
method Variational Bayesian causal inference framework for counterfactual generative modeling.
result Framework encourages disentangled exogenous noise and correct identification of causal effects.
Bayesian Topic Regression models causal inference with text and numerical data.
problem Causal inference using observational text data with both text and numerical confounders.
method Combines supervised Bayesian topic model with Bayesian regression framework, respecting the Frisch-Waugh-Lovell theorem.
result Joint approach recovers ground truth with lower bias than benchmarks, superior prediction results compared to separate approaches.
Prediction-powered causal inference achieves smaller asymptotic variance than traditional methods.
problem Estimating causal and structural parameters in a semi-supervised setting.
method Combining efficient influence function with debiased machine learning and semi-supervised Riesz regression.
result Asymptotic variances of estimators match the derived efficiency bound.
CInA method uses attention to improve causal inference.
problem Challenges in causal inference, especially in complex tasks.
method CInA method utilizes self-supervised causal learning with multiple unlabeled datasets and transformer-type architecture.
result CInA effectively generalizes to out-of-distribution datasets and various real-world datasets.
SAGE-FIN detects financial fraud using GNNs and Granger causality.
problem Detecting fraud in financial networks with limited labeled data and lack of explainability.
method Semi-supervised GNN approach with Granger causal explanations.
result SAGE-FIN outperforms on real-world financial network dataset with explainable flagged items.
New method infers causal factors from large-scale data without full graph reconstruction.
problem Inferring causal variables from large-scale systems without full causal graph reconstruction.
method Supervised learning on simulated data using a neural network and subsampled-ensemble inference.
result Efficiently identifies causal relationships in large-scale gene regulatory networks.
New framework improves model robustness by focusing on stable relations across environments.
problem Standard supervised learning fails under data distribution shift.
method Gradient-based learning framework derived from the principle of independent causal mechanisms (ICM).
result Models generalize well to unseen scenarios, ignoring unstable relations.
New framework learns disentangled causal representations from observed labels.
problem Learning meaningful disentangled causal representations from observed data.
method ICM-VAE framework using flow-based diffeomorphic functions and causal disentanglement prior.
result Induces highly disentangled causal factors and improves robustness.
A model learns causal representations from high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in learning causal representations from high-dimensional data.
method Formulated a latent variable decoder model, Decoder BCD, for Bayesian causal discovery.
result Shows that using known intervention targets as labels helps in unsupervised Bayesian inference over structure and parameters.
New method discovers causal relationships in complex time series data.
problem Discovering causal relationships in multivariate time series is challenging.
method Temporal Dependency to Causality (TD2C) framework using mutual information.
result TD2C achieves state-of-the-art performance in causal discovery.
LANCA uses ANM to learn latent causal factors without supervision.
problem Learning latent causal factors without supervision.
method LANCA employs a deterministic Wasserstein Auto-Encoder coupled with a differentiable ANM Layer.
result LANCA outperforms baselines on physics and photorealistic environments.
While machine learning (ML) methods have received a lot of attention in recent years, these methods are primarily for prediction. Empirical researchers conducting policy evaluations are, on the other hand, pre-occupied with causal problems, trying to answer counterfactual questions: what would have happened in the abse…
Develops a new model for generating counterfactuals using incomplete data.
problem Lack of complete labels and data in medical image analysis.
method Semi-supervised deep causal generative model that infers missing values using causal inference.
result Generates realistic counterfactuals even with incomplete labels.
Bayesian Supervised Causal Clustering identifies patient subgroups for personalized decision-making.
problem Finding patient subgroups with similar characteristics for personalized decision-making.
method Bayesian Supervised Causal Clustering (BSCC) that identifies homogenous subgroups based on treatment effects.
result BSCC identifies subgroups with similar covariate profiles and treatment effects.
Causal invariance can improve finite-sample domain adaptation, but only when the target risk margins are large.
problem Finite-sample domain adaptation
method Linear regression with causal knowledge
result Adaptive aggregation can match best candidate predictor while avoiding negative transfer
ddml aids causal inference in econometrics with machine learning.
problem Estimation of causal effects with endogenous variables and unknown functional forms.
method Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DDML) in Stata.
result Monte Carlo evidence supports using DDML with stacking for causal inference.
Behavioral cloning reduces policy learning to supervised learning by training a discriminative model to predict expert actions given observations. Such discriminative models are non-causal: the training procedure is unaware of the causal structure of the interaction between the expert and the environment. We point out …
SCIENCE improves prediction intervals for individual causal effects.
problem Wide prediction intervals limit practical utility of causal inference.
method Surrogate-assisted conformal inference for efficient individual causal effects.
result SCIENCE produces more efficient prediction intervals for individual causal effects.
Deep learning method infers causal interactions from data.
problem Causal inference from observational data.
method Transform input vectors to NEPDFs, train CNN on NEPDFs.
result Improves upon prior methods for causal inference.
CASTLE learns causal DAG to improve model generalization.
problem Improving model generalization to out-of-sample data.
method CASTLE learns causal relationships via adjacency matrix embedded in neural network input layers, reconstructing only causal features.
result CASTLE leads to better out-of-sample predictions compared to other regularizers.
KEEL improves causal discovery with fuzzy knowledge and complex data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery due to prior knowledge, domain inconsistencies, and small sample sizes.
method Weakly-supervised fuzzy knowledge and data co-driven causal discovery method (KEEL).
result KEEL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy, robustness, and computational efficiency.
Proposes a new method to estimate individual treatment effects using unlabeled data.
problem Difficult estimation of individual treatment effects due to high costs of intervention studies.
method Combines causal inference matching and semi-supervised learning label propagation.
result Demonstrates successful mitigation of data scarcity in ITE estimation.
CRL learns causal representations from unstructured data without supervision.
problem Learning causal models from high-dimensional, unstructured data.
method Combines ML and causality by learning representations in latent variables.
result Identifiability conditions for CRL in different settings.
A model learns causal graphs from summary statistics of synthetic data.
problem Causal discovery algorithms are brittle with large sets of variables and limited data.
method A supervised model trained on synthetic data predicts causal graphs from summary statistics.
result The model generalizes well beyond its training set and runs on large graphs.
New method estimates treatment effects from treated and unlabeled units.
problem Estimating ATEs with missing data and weak supervision.
method Develops semiparametric efficient estimators for ATE in PU learning.
result Constructs estimators that achieve semiparametric efficiency bounds.
Meta-learning improves Bayesian causal discovery by sampling from the posterior.
problem Difficulty in estimating the full posterior over causal structures due to large number of possible graphs and functional relationships.
method Proposes a Bayesian meta-learning model that encodes key properties of the posterior and allows for sampling causal structures.
result Meta-Bayesian causal discovery allows for reliable sampling from the posterior over causal structures.
Framework for causal discovery using multi-modal data.
problem Failure of representation learning in causal tasks.
method Statistical and computational framework combining representation learning and causal inference.
result Effective use of observational and perturbational data for causal discovery.
Information Geometric Causal Inference (IGCI) is a new approach to distinguish between cause and effect for two variables. It is based on an independence assumption between input distribution and causal mechanism that can be phrased in terms of orthogonality in information space. We describe two intuitive reinterpretat…
The paper formalizes criteria for non-spurious and disentangled representations using causal methods.
problem Formalizing criteria for non-spurious and disentangled representations in representation learning.
method Causal perspective, counterfactual quantities, observable consequences of causal assertions.
result Computable metrics for assessing representation learning based on observed data.
The paper resolves the paradox of using unlabeled data for treatment effect estimation.
problem Using unlabeled data to estimate propensity scores for treatment effect estimation.
method Proposes a simple procedure to reconcile the use of estimated propensity scores with the advice to use true propensity scores.
result Direct regression may be preferable to inverse-propensity weighting in many circumstances.
PACC Discovery improves causal inference from limited data.
problem Inferring causal relationships from finite data.
method Extends PAC learning principles to causal inference.
result Theoretical guarantees for various causal methods.
The paper addresses causal estimation for text data with apparent overlap violations.
problem Estimating causal effects from text data with unknown confounders and apparent overlap.
method Uses supervised representation learning to create a representation that preserves confounding information while eliminating predictive information, satisfying overlap assumptions.
result Shows how to obtain robust causal estimation in the presence of apparent overlap violations.