Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

240481721961 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Superhuman performance

The paper proposes a method to evaluate superhuman models by checking for logical inconsistencies.

problem Evaluating superhuman models when ground truth is hard to obtain.
method A framework using consistency checks to identify logical inconsistencies in model decisions.
result Logical inconsistencies can be discovered in superhuman model decisions across various tasks.

The AlphaGo, AlphaGo Zero, and AlphaZero series of algorithms are remarkable demonstrations of deep reinforcement learning's capabilities, achieving superhuman performance in the complex game of Go with progressively increasing autonomy. However, many obstacles remain in the understanding of and usability of these prom…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Constructing agents with planning capabilities has long been one of the main challenges in the pursuit of artificial intelligence. Tree-based planning methods have enjoyed huge success in challenging domains, such as chess and Go, where a perfect simulator is available. However, in real-world problems the dynamics gove…

2019-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper examines Go AI robustness against adversarial attacks.

problem Superhuman Go AIs are vulnerable to simple adversarial strategies.
method Three defenses tested: adversarial training, iterated adversarial training, and changing network architecture.
result No defense is robust against newly trained adversaries, and attacks are similar to cyclic attacks.

The AlphaZero algorithm for the learning of strategy games via self-play, which has produced superhuman ability in the games of Go, chess, and shogi, uses a quantitative reward function for game outcomes, requiring the users of the algorithm to explicitly balance different components of the reward against each other, s…

2019-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Do you remember your first video game console? We remember ours. Decades ago, they provided hours of entertainment. Now, we have repurposed them to solve dynamic and stochastic optimization problems. With deep reinforcement learning methods posting superhuman performance on a wide range of Atari games, we consider the …

2019-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

On April 13th, 2019, OpenAI Five became the first AI system to defeat the world champions at an esports game. The game of Dota 2 presents novel challenges for AI systems such as long time horizons, imperfect information, and complex, continuous state-action spaces, all challenges which will become increasingly central …

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

To solve complex real-world problems with reinforcement learning, we cannot rely on manually specified reward functions. Instead, we can have humans communicate an objective to the agent directly. In this work, we combine two approaches to learning from human feedback: expert demonstrations and trajectory preferences. …

2018-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

When encountering novel objects, humans are able to infer a wide range of physical properties such as mass, friction and deformability by interacting with them in a goal driven way. This process of active interaction is in the same spirit as a scientist performing experiments to discover hidden facts. Recent advances i…

2016-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

State-of-the art vision models can achieve superhuman performance on image classification tasks when testing and training data come from the same distribution. However, when models are tested on corrupted images (e.g. due to scale changes, translations, or shifts in brightness or contrast), performance degrades signifi…

2019-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep reinforcement learning achieves superhuman performance in a range of video game environments, but requires that a designer manually specify a reward function. It is often easier to provide demonstrations of a target behavior than to design a reward function describing that behavior. Inverse reinforcement learning …

2018-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, advances in machine learning algorithms, cheap computational resources, and the availability of big data have spurred the deep learning revolution in various application domains. In particular, supervised learning techniques in image analysis have led to superhuman performance in various tasks, such as…

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates Q value evolution in Stable Baselines for DQL in simple vs complex environments.

problem DQL in Stable Baselines struggles with simple non-game environments.
method Comparison of TrafficLight and FrozenLake environments; Q value decomposition analysis.
result Q values meander far from optimal in complex relationships between states.

From the early days of computing, games have been important testbeds for studying how well machines can do sophisticated decision making. In recent years, machine learning has made dramatic advances with artificial agents reaching superhuman performance in challenge domains like Go, Atari, and some variants of poker. A…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

RAVEN improves weak-to-strong generalization under distribution shifts.

problem Weak models fail to supervise strong models effectively under distribution shifts.
method RAVEN dynamically learns optimal combinations of weak models and strong model parameters.
result RAVEN outperforms existing methods by over 30% on out-of-distribution tasks.

There have been increasing challenges to solve combinatorial optimization problems by machine learning. Khalil et al. proposed an end-to-end reinforcement learning framework, S2V-DQN, which automatically learns graph embeddings to construct solutions to a wide range of problems. To improve the generalization ability of…

2019-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years deep reinforcement learning (RL) systems have attained superhuman performance in a number of challenging task domains. However, a major limitation of such applications is their demand for massive amounts of training data. A critical present objective is thus to develop deep RL methods that can adapt rap…

2016-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Self-play, where the algorithm learns by playing against itself without requiring any direct supervision, has become the new weapon in modern Reinforcement Learning (RL) for achieving superhuman performance in practice. However, the majority of exisiting theory in reinforcement learning only applies to the setting wher…

2020-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A grand challenge in reinforcement learning is intelligent exploration, especially when rewards are sparse or deceptive. Two Atari games serve as benchmarks for such hard-exploration domains: Montezuma's Revenge and Pitfall. On both games, current RL algorithms perform poorly, even those with intrinsic motivation, whic…

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The study explores the strengths and weaknesses of models that generalize from weak to strong supervision.

problem Understanding the limitations and capabilities of models that generalize from weak to strong supervision.
method Theoretical analysis and experimental validation in both classification and regression settings.
result Theoretical bounds reveal the importance of strong generalization and calibration of the weak model and a careful balance in the training process.

Abstract MDPs enable strategic exploration and fast reward transfer in complex environments.

problem Challenging to learn accurate MDPs for high-dimensional states.
method Learn an abstract MDP over low-dimensional coarse states, using an abstraction function.
result Achieves superhuman performance on Pitfall! and higher reward with fewer samples.

Achieving superhuman playing level by AlphaGo corroborated the capabilities of convolutional neural architectures (CNNs) for capturing complex spatial patterns. This result was to a great extent due to several analogies between Go board states and 2D images CNNs have been designed for, in particular translational invar…

2017-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows how a strong model can learn a task's feature while retaining other capabilities.

problem How to align superhuman AI systems using weak-to-strong generalization.
method Two-layer neural networks, reward-model learning, multi-step SGD, feature learning.
result The strong model efficiently learns task features while retaining general capabilities.

This paper optimizes performative risk by focusing on convex properties and developing efficient algorithms.

problem Performative risk, the loss experienced by decision makers, is not optimized by stable models.
method Identifying convex properties of loss function and model-induced distribution shift, developing algorithms for optimization.
result Optimization of performative risk with better sample efficiency than generic methods.

We present a new methodology of computing incremental contribution for performance ratios for portfolio like Sharpe, Treynor, Calmar or Sterling ratios. Using Euler's homogeneous function theorem, we are able to decompose these performance ratios as a linear combination of individual modified performance ratios. This a…

2018-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The computation of convolution layers in deep neural networks typically rely on high performance routines that trade space for time by using additional memory (either for packing purposes or required as part of the algorithm) to improve performance. The problems with such an approach are two-fold. First, these routines…

2018-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New causal models perform poorly when evaluated on biased training sets.

problem Sample selection bias affects the evaluation of causal models' prediction performance.
method Re-evaluated prediction performance of causal models on a genetic perturbation data set, proposing a less-biased evaluation set.
result Causal models have similar or worse performance when evaluated on a less-biased set compared to standard association-based estimators.

A new framework for performative prediction robust to distributional misspecification.

problem Performative prediction models can be influenced by their own predictions, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Introduces distributionally robust performative prediction (DRPO) to approximate the true performative optimum (PO) robustly.
result DRPO provides provable guarantees as a robust approximation to the true PO when the nominal distribution map is misspecified.

Study compares Islamic banks' accounting and market performance.

problem Assessing the relationship between Islamic banks' accounting and market performance.
method Selected six Islamic banks, collected data from 2009-2013, used random-effect models.
result Superior accounting performance does not correlate with superior market performance.

The study evaluates AI model performance measures for medical use.

problem Selecting appropriate performance measures for AI models in medical practice.
method Assessed 32 performance measures across five domains for binary outcomes.
result 17 measures are both proper and reflect decision-analytic performance.

SHIFT framework identifies subgroups with large ML model performance decay.

problem Large model performance decay in subgroups when deployed.
method Subgroup-scanning Hierarchical Inference Framework (SHIFT) for performance drift.
result SHIFT identifies interpretable subgroups with large performance decay and suggests targeted actions to mitigate it.

When predictions support decisions they may influence the outcome they aim to predict. We call such predictions performative; the prediction influences the target. Performativity is a well-studied phenomenon in policy-making that has so far been neglected in supervised learning. When ignored, performativity surfaces as…

2020-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores how machine learning models can be learnable despite label shifts.

problem Learnability of binary classification models in the presence of label shifts.
method Developed a performative empirical risk function that is an unbiased estimate of the true risk on the shifted distribution.
result PAC-learnable hypothesis spaces remain PAC-learnable for performative scenarios.

New approach tackles decision-making under predictions that shape outcomes.

problem Challenges in learning optimal decision rules when predictions influence outcomes.
method Introduces performative omniprediction, a predictor that encodes optimal decision rules for multiple objectives.
result Efficient performative omnipredictors exist under a natural restriction of outcome performativity.

This paper extends performative prediction to nonlinear cases.

problem Performative prediction's effectiveness is limited by linear assumptions in real-world applications.
method Formulated a maximum margin approach loss function and extended it to nonlinear spaces using kernel methods.
result Derived conditions for performative stability in both linear and nonlinear cases.

Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate high-dimensional prediction performance.

problem Estimating test performance in high-dimensional data settings is challenging.
method Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate test performance at the total sample size.
result Learn2Evaluate provides a lower confidence bound for performance estimation.

New method improves consistency of reinforcement learning performance evaluations.

problem Inconsistent performance results in reinforcement learning due to flawed evaluation metrics.
method Proposes a new comprehensive evaluation methodology for reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Demonstrates improved reliability of performance measurements for reinforcement learning algorithms.

Survey of performative prediction, a machine learning setup causing distribution shifts.

problem Machine learning models causing shifts in the environment they predict.
method Classification of performative prediction settings based on distribution map information.
result Introduction of new solution concepts and theoretical analyses.

Proposes a Siamese NN for algorithm selection focusing on alike performing instances.

problem Lack of effective meta-features for algorithm selection via meta-learning.
method Siamese Neural Network architecture with 'Algorithm-Performance Personas' concept.
result Proposed metric outperforms standard performance metrics in training sample selection.