A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Introduces foundation priors for using model-generated data in empirical research.
Framework for games with uncertain parameters, ensuring no player can improve by changing strategy.
By expressing prior distributions as general stochastic processes, nonparametric Bayesian methods provide a flexible way to incorporate prior knowledge and constrain the latent structure in statistical inference. The Indian buffet process (IBP) is such an example that can be used to define a prior distribution on infin…
Non-invasive myoelectric prostheses require a long training time to obtain satisfactory control dexterity. These training times could possibly be reduced by leveraging over training efforts by previous subjects. So-called domain adaptation algorithms formalize this strategy and have indeed been shown to significantly r…
Machine learning models predict which ideas will be innovated based on subjective perspectives.
Subjective expected utility theory assumes that decision-makers possess unlimited computational resources to reason about their choices; however, virtually all decisions in everyday life are made under resource constraints - i.e. decision-makers are bounded in their rationality. Here we experimentally tested the predic…
We introduce a model-based reconstruction framework with deep learned (DL) and smoothness regularization on manifolds (STORM) priors to recover free breathing and ungated (FBU) cardiac MRI from highly undersampled measurements. The DL priors enable us to exploit the local correlations, while the STORM prior enables us …
Machine Learning (ML) is increasingly applied in real-life scenarios, raising concerns about bias in automatic decision making. We focus on bias as a notion of opinion exclusion, that stems from the direct application of traditional ML pipelines to infer subjective properties. We argue that such ML systems should be ev…
This paper relaxes the common prior assumption in the public and private information game of Morris and Shin (2000, 2004). For the generalized game, where the agent's prior expectations are heterogenous, it derives a sharp condition for the emergence of unique/multiple equilibria. This condition indicates that unique e…
Solves the equity premium puzzle without calibrated values.
This paper provides an introduction to the basics of Heegaard Floer homology with some emphasis on the hat theory and to the contact geometric invariants in the theory. The exposition is designed to be comprehensible to people without any prior knowledge of the subject.
K-priors enable quick adaptation with minimal retraining.
Study optimizes insurance liability cash flows with regulatory capital requirements.
This note is concerned with an accurate and computationally efficient variational bayesian treatment of mixed-effects modelling. We focus on group studies, i.e. empirical studies that report multiple measurements acquired in multiple subjects. When approached from a bayesian perspective, such mixed-effects models typic…
New method samples Jeffreys prior for objective Bayesian inference.
Semantic Image Interpretation is the task of extracting a structured semantic description from images. This requires the detection of visual relationships: triples (subject,relation,object) describing a semantic relation between a subject and an object. A pure supervised approach to visual relationship detection requir…
New model solves equity premium puzzle with risk aversion coefficient.
Study uses healthcare claims data to identify Covid-19 risk factors without prior selection.
Proposes a VAE variant for ordinal content factors.
We often desire our models to be interpretable as well as accurate. Prior work on optimizing models for interpretability has relied on easy-to-quantify proxies for interpretability, such as sparsity or the number of operations required. In this work, we optimize for interpretability by directly including humans in the …
We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty of a market participant, we follow a Bayesian approach to option pricing. Here …
Paper forecasts corporate default risk using Particle MCMC with expert opinions.
In this work, we address the problem of solving a series of underdetermined linear inverse problems subject to a sparsity constraint. We generalize the spike-and-slab prior distribution to encode a priori correlation of the support of the solution in both space and time by imposing a transformed Gaussian process on the…
In this work, we consider the problem of predicting the course of a progressive disease, such as cancer or Alzheimer's. Progressive diseases often start with mild symptoms that might precede a diagnosis, and each patient follows their own trajectory. Patient trajectories exhibit wild variability, which can be associate…
New study shows limits to classifying brain activity from randomized EEG trials.
Nonparametric Bayesian models are often based on the assumption that the objects being modeled are exchangeable. While appropriate in some applications (e.g., bag-of-words models for documents), exchangeability is sometimes assumed simply for computational reasons; non-exchangeable models might be a better choice for a…
We generalise the problem of inverse reinforcement learning to multiple tasks, from multiple demonstrations. Each one may represent one expert trying to solve a different task, or as different experts trying to solve the same task. Our main contribution is to formalise the problem as statistical preference elicitation,…
Proposes a method to integrate prior knowledge into trajectory prediction models.
Estimation of response functions is an important task in dynamic medical imaging. This task arises for example in dynamic renal scintigraphy, where impulse response or retention functions are estimated, or in functional magnetic resonance imaging where hemodynamic response functions are required. These functions can no…
In this paper we investigate the feasibility of using synthetic data to augment face datasets. In particular, we propose a novel generative adversarial network (GAN) that can disentangle identity-related attributes from non-identity-related attributes. This is done by training an embedding network that maps discrete id…
Enhances neural networks with prior knowledge through a composite kernel.
Develops a Bayesian framework for portfolio choice with a new posterior distribution.
New model detects hidden group structures in criminal networks.
Fast algorithm solves BVPs in linear time with probabilistic uncertainty.
Spontaneous brain activity, as observed in functional neuroimaging, has been shown to display reproducible structure that expresses brain architecture and carries markers of brain pathologies. An important view of modern neuroscience is that such large-scale structure of coherent activity reflects modularity properties…
Neural model predicts object states and physical parameters from visual observations.
FGPR uses averaging and SGD for federated regression, excelling in personalization and multi-fidelity modeling.
A new PLL method uses class activation values to improve robustness.
Optimal transport framework for density estimation with constraints.
We investigate the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on individual subjects from observational data, this is a central problem in various application domains, including healthcare, social sciences, and online advertising. Within the Neyman Rubin potential outcomes model, we use the Kullback Leibler…
We present a novel approach for constrained Bayesian inference. Unlike current methods, our approach does not require convexity of the constraint set. We reduce the constrained variational inference to a parametric optimization over the feasible set of densities and propose a general recipe for such problems. We apply …
A new method improves EEG classification across subjects efficiently.
Probabilistic atlases provide essential spatial contextual information for image interpretation, Bayesian modeling, and algorithmic processing. Such atlases are typically constructed by grouping subjects with similar demographic information. Importantly, use of the same scanner minimizes inter-group variability. Howeve…
Deriving insights from high-dimensional data is one of the core problems in data mining. The difficulty mainly stems from the fact that there are exponentially many variable combinations to potentially consider, and there are infinitely many if we consider weighted combinations, even for linear combinations. Hence, an …
Adaptive allocation with constraints using Thompson sampling.
Bayesian imaging methods deliver trustworthy probabilities in some cases but struggle with uncertainty quantification.
Self-supervised method improves biosignal models with limited labeled data and subjects.
Learning the parameters of Gaussian mixture models is a fundamental and widely studied problem with numerous applications. In this work, we give new algorithms for learning the parameters of a high-dimensional, well separated, Gaussian mixture model subject to the strong constraint of differential privacy. In particula…