A machine learning approach for dynamic stock recommendation outperforms traditional strategies.
problem Lack of time for analysts to check all S&P 500 stocks and the need for a reliable stock selection strategy.
method Selecting representative stock indicators, using five machine learning methods, and choosing the model with the lowest Mean Square Error to rank stocks.
result The proposed scheme outperforms the long-only strategy on the S&P 500 index in terms of Sharpe ratio and cumulative returns.
SVAT reduces investment risks by making stock models sensitive to adversarial perturbations.
problem Risk control in stock recommendation models is insufficient, leading to high investment losses.
method SVAT combines adversarial learning and variational perturbation generation to enhance risk awareness.
result SVAT reduces investment risks by more than 30% compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
New model recommends stocks considering individual preferences and diversification.
problem Inaccurate stock price predictions and ignoring investment theories.
method Portfolio Temporal Graph Network Recommender (PfoTGNRec) incorporating diversification-enhancing sampling.
result PfoTGNRec outperforms state-of-the-art models in real-world data.
MiM-StocR combines momentum indicators and adaptive ranking loss for better stock recommendation.
problem Lack of simultaneous short-term trend and ranking prediction in stock recommendation models.
method Integrates momentum indicators and proposes Adaptive-k ApproxNDCG for ranking optimization.
result MiM-StocR outperforms state-of-the-art MTL baselines in stock recommendation.
WSB community outperforms investment banks in stock picks.
problem Can WSB's community provide better investment advice than banks?
method Data-driven comparison of WSB and bank recommendations on S&P 500 stocks.
result WSB recommendations outperform banks in some cases and detect top stocks better.
Stock return forecasting is of utmost importance in the business world. This has been the favourite topic of research for many academicians since decades. Recently, regularization techniques have reported to tremendously increase the forecast accuracy of the simple regression model. Still, this model cannot incorporate…
LLMs struggle with financial reasoning but can outperform the market with human oversight.
problem Financial reasoning failures in LLM-generated stock market predictions.
method Evaluated four LLMs using three prompting strategies and compared to human oversight.
result LLMs require human oversight to fully realize their potential in financial markets.
MarketSenseAI system outperforms passive benchmarks by 25.2% on S&P 500, adding value over random selection.
problem Identifying alpha in stock recommendations from multi-agent LLM systems.
method Deployed multi-agent LLM equity system generating live signals, combining four specialist agents into a synthesis agent.
result Strong-buy equal-weight portfolio on S&P 500 earns +2.18%/month, significantly outperforming passive benchmarks.
Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.
problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.
This paper uses neural networks to predict stock prices more accurately.
problem Current stock analysis methods are inaccurate.
method Dynamic neural networks to identify stock price patterns.
result Neural networks outperform traditional stock analysis methods.
This paper proposes a novel trading system which plays the role of an artificial counselor for stock investment. In this paper, the stock future prices (technical features) are predicted using Support Vector Regression. Thereafter, the predicted prices are used to recommend which portions of the budget an investor shou…
LLMs show biases in investment analysis, leading to unreliable recommendations.
problem LLMs face conflicts between pre-trained knowledge and real-time market data, leading to biases in investment analysis.
method Experimental framework to investigate emergent behaviors in LLMs, analyzing sector, size, and momentum biases.
result Distinct, model-specific biases observed, including a tendency to prefer technology stocks, large-cap stocks, and contrarian strategies.
Study earnings calls to predict stock price movements, finding them more predictive than traditional data.
problem Improving investment decisions by analyzing earnings calls for stock price predictions.
method Graph Neural Network based approach to process and analyze earnings call transcripts.
result Earnings call transcripts are more predictive of stock price movements than traditional hard data.
In this paper we look at the efficacy of different risk measures on energy markets and across several different stock market indices. We use both the Value at Risk and the Tail Conditional Expectation on each of these data sets. We also consider several different durations and levels for historical risk measures. Throu…
Improves stock market predictions on Election Day.
problem Predicting stock market volatility on Election Day.
method Combining large language models with specialized agents.
result EDSMF model improves S&P 500 prediction accuracy.
The prediction of a stock market direction may serve as an early recommendation system for short-term investors and as an early financial distress warning system for long-term shareholders. Many stock prediction studies focus on using macroeconomic indicators, such as CPI and GDP, to train the prediction model. However…
ML models predict stock prices poorly during recessions.
problem Predicting stock prices during economic downturns.
method Examined S&P 500 index, analyzed performance during recessions and expansions.
result ML models perform better during expansions, not due to ML methods but effective monetary policies.
Data mining methods have been widely applied in financial markets, with the purpose of providing suitable tools for prices forecasting and automatic trading. Particularly, learning methods aim to identify patterns in time series and, based on such patterns, to recommend buy/sell operations. The objective of this work i…
Investment strategy for NYSE stocks minimizes market correlation.
problem Minimizing market correlation for steady returns.
method Combining momentum, fundamentals, and analyst recommendations; feature selection; backtesting various portfolio construction methods.
result Risk parity outperformed other methods, offering higher Sharpe ratio and lower beta.
StockAgent uses AI to simulate real-world stock trading, analyzing external factors and profitability.
problem Investors need to understand how external factors affect stock trading.
method Developed StockAgent, a multi-agent system driven by large language models.
result Identified how external factors impact trading behavior and profitability.
Study optimal portfolio strategy with sporadic bankruptcy for isoelastic utility.
problem Maximizing expected isoelastic utility in a stock with potential bankruptcy.
method Coupled Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations, stochastic integral approach.
result Non-myopic optimal weights for non-logarithmic utilities.
The paper is devoted to modeling optimal exercise strategies of the behavior of investors and issuers working with convertible bonds. This implies solution of the problems of stock price modeling, payoff computation and min-max optimization. Stock prices (underlying asset) were modeled under the assumption of the geome…
Study examines tech stocks' reactions to Facebook data leak scandal.
problem Impact of Facebook data leak scandal on U.S. tech stocks.
method Clustering method to identify related companies, CAR to measure impact.
result Overall tech sector showed no adverse impact, but Facebook's performance was negatively affected.
In this study, we perform a novel analysis of the 2015 financial bubble in the Chinese stock market by calibrating the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model to two important Chinese stock indices, SSEC and SZSC, from early 2014 to June 2015. The back tests of the 2015 Chinese stock market bubbles indicates t…
In order for an e-commerce platform to maximize its revenue, it must recommend customers items they are most likely to purchase. However, the company often has business constraints on these items, such as the number of each item in stock. In this work, our goal is to recommend items to users as they arrive on a webpage…
WSB's investment advice significantly outperformed the S&P500 over 3 years, but not consistently.
problem Reliability of investment advice from WSB community.
method Data analysis of WSB posts and stock performance from 2019-2021.
result A WSB portfolio grew 200% over 3 years and 480% over 1 year, outperforming S&P500.
Deviation-based learning improves recommender systems by abstaining from recommending choices users might follow.
problem Recommender systems learn from user choices but can stall if users blindly follow recommendations.
method The recommender learns user knowledge by observing choices, abstaining from recommending a choice when multiple alternatives produce similar payoffs.
result Learning rate and social welfare improve when the recommender abstains from recommending certain choices.
Dynamic model captures spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal volatility effects.
problem Analyzing volatility in spatial and temporal networks.
method Dynamic spatiotemporal and network ARCH model with common factors, Bayesian estimation.
result Model captures strong spatial/network interactions and spillover effects.
CAFL breaks feedback loops in recommender systems using causal inference.
problem Feedback loops in recommender systems compromise recommendation quality and homogenize user behavior.
method Causal Adjustment for Feedback Loops (CAFL) algorithm that breaks feedback loops using causal inference.
result CAFL improves recommendation quality compared to prior correction methods.
DeepFair improves fairness in recommender systems without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Lack of bias management in recommender systems leads to unfair recommendations for minority groups.
method Deep Learning based Collaborative Filtering algorithm that balances fairness and accuracy.
result It is possible to make fair recommendations without losing significant accuracy.
Machine learning models learn what we teach them to learn. Machine learning is at the heart of recommender systems. If a machine learning model is trained on biased data, the resulting recommender system may reflect the biases in its recommendations. Biases arise at different stages in a recommender system, from existi…
The paper aims to define a benchmark for deep learning recommendation models.
problem Insufficient benchmarking for deep learning recommendation models.
method Synthesizes modeling strategies, defines desirable characteristics, and summarizes advice from the MLPerf Recommendation Advisory Board.
result Defines an industry-relevant benchmark for deep learning recommendation models.
Interprets feature interactions in ad-click prediction models.
problem Improving interpretability of black-box recommender systems.
method Interprets feature interactions from a source model and encodes them in a target model.
result Interpretations significantly outperform existing recommender models.
Interactive recommender systems that enable the interactions between users and the recommender system have attracted increasing research attentions. Previous methods mainly focus on optimizing recommendation accuracy. However, they usually ignore the diversity of the recommendation results, thus usually results in unsa…
Job recommendation has traditionally been treated as a filter-based match or as a recommendation based on the features of jobs and candidates as discrete entities. In this paper, we introduce a methodology where we leverage the progression of job selection by candidates using machine learning. Additionally, our recomme…
Recommender system is an important component of many web services to help users locate items that match their interests. Several studies showed that recommender systems are vulnerable to poisoning attacks, in which an attacker injects fake data to a given system such that the system makes recommendations as the attacke…
Develops a real-time exercise recommendation system using deep learning.
problem Improving accuracy in exercise recommendation systems without user feedback.
method Deep recurrent neural network with attention mechanisms, real-time expert feedback.
result Improved accuracy in exercise recommendation system after real-time active learning.
Survey of IoT recommendation systems and their limitations.
problem Traditional recommender systems fail to handle IoT data.
method Comprehensive review of IoT recommender systems and techniques.
result Proposes a reference framework for future research.
Recommender systems are used in variety of domains affecting people's lives. This has raised concerns about possible biases and discrimination that such systems might exacerbate. There are two primary kinds of biases inherent in recommender systems: observation bias and bias stemming from imbalanced data. Observation b…
ComiRec framework predicts user interests for personalized recommendations.
problem Predicting user interests from sequential behavior data.
method ComiRec framework captures multiple user interests and balances recommendation accuracy and diversity.
result ComiRec achieves significant improvements over state-of-the-art models in sequential recommendation.
In this paper, we investigate the common scenario where every candidate item for recommendation is characterized by a maximum capacity, i.e., number of seats in a Point-of-Interest (POI) or size of an item's inventory. Despite the prevalence of the task of recommending items under capacity constraints in a variety of s…
Recommender systems play a crucial role in mitigating the problem of information overload by suggesting users' personalized items or services. The vast majority of traditional recommender systems consider the recommendation procedure as a static process and make recommendations following a fixed strategy. In this paper…
Unified deep framework for personalized recommendations with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in user preferences in recommendation systems.
method Gaussian embeddings, Monte-Carlo sampling, convolutional neural networks.
result Superior performance in recommendation accuracy compared to state-of-the-art models.
To solve the information explosion problem and enhance user experience in various online applications, recommender systems have been developed to model users preferences. Although numerous efforts have been made toward more personalized recommendations, recommender systems still suffer from several challenges, such as …
Recommender systems play a crucial role in mitigating the problem of information overload by suggesting users' personalized items or services. The vast majority of traditional recommender systems consider the recommendation procedure as a static process and make recommendations following a fixed strategy. In this paper…
Traditional collaborative filtering (CF) based recommender systems tend to perform poorly when the user-item interactions/ratings are highly scarce. To address this, we propose a learning framework that improves collaborative filtering with a synthetic feedback loop (CF-SFL) to simulate the user feedback. The proposed …
Proposes a deep hybrid model for better recommendation systems.
problem Limited studies on hybrid recommender systems and the need for more advanced approaches.
method Integrates deep learning with ID embeddings and auxiliary features for improved recommendation.
result Improves recommendation results over deep learning models using ID embeddings.
SharedMF uses secret sharing to protect privacy in distributed recommendation systems.
problem Privacy issues in multi-source data for recommendation systems.
method Federated learning and secret sharing technology.
result SharedMF achieves faster execution speed and better data adaptability compared to homomorphic encryption methods.