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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3977116154 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Stock Price Forecasting

The paper compares advanced deep learning models for Indian stock price forecasting.

problem Complexity of stock price forecasting due to numerous influencing factors.
method Utilizes historical data from national banks in India, combines deep learning models and sentiment analysis.
result Achieved higher accuracy in stock price forecasting compared to traditional methods.

Game-theoretic model captures investor interactions for stock price forecasting.

problem Complex market dynamics driving stock price movements.
method Game-theoretic modeling of heterogeneous investor interactions in a dynamic graph structure.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art stock price forecasting methods.

Model predicts stock price changes and forecasts using tokenized data.

problem Challenges in stock price forecasting and prediction due to dynamic data and statistical differences.
method Introduces PCIE model with tokenization to handle both forecasting and prediction.
result PCIE model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forecast and prediction tasks.

This paper uses Gaussian processes to forecast short-term stock price volatility.

problem Inaccurate short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades.
method Combines numerical and probabilistic models, specifically Gaussian Processes (GPs), to correct and forecast stock price data.
result Effective short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades using Gaussian Processes.

Study evaluates stock price forecasting models during the pandemic.

problem Forecasting stock prices during the Covid-19 pandemic.
method Four models (Long-Short Term Memory, XGBoost, Autoregression, Last Value) were tested on stock prices of Facebook, Amazon, Tesla, Google, and Apple.
result Autoregression and Last Value models outperform other models due to strong correlation between prices.

Paper uses evidence theory to improve stock price forecasting accuracy.

problem Inaccurate stock price predictions due to time series limitations.
method Applies evidence theory's confidence functions and Dempster combination rule to stock price forecasting.
result Improved accuracy in stock price predictions compared to classic methods.

This study improves stock price forecasting by analyzing daily news sentiment.

problem Improving stock price forecasting accuracy using news sentiment.
method Data collection, preprocessing, and sentiment analysis of NITY50 stocks' news.
result LSTM models with sentiment scores outperform without them in forecasting stock prices.

LSTM model predicts stock prices with high accuracy in stable sectors but struggles with volatile ones.

problem Predicting stock prices in emerging markets with limited data.
method Developed and evaluated an LSTM network on historical OHLCV data and technical indicators.
result Strong predictive performance (R2>0.87R^2 > 0.87) for stable sectors, but challenges for volatile ones.

Research uses SWT and BDLSTM to forecast stock and oil prices amid COVID-19.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on stock and oil prices forecasting.
method Integrates Stationary Wavelet Transform and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory networks.
result BDLSTM+WT-ADA achieved satisfactory results in Crude Oil price forecasting.

This study compares deep learning and statistical models for stock price forecasting.

problem Accurate stock price prediction is challenging due to market volatility.
method Used deep learning (LSTM, RNN, CNN, FULL CNN) and statistical models (ARIMA, Moving Averages) on S&P 500 data.
result LSTM model showed the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE), indicating highest accuracy.

A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.

problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.

Paper proposes a new stock price forecasting method using DRAGAN and feature matching.

problem Capturing correlations and training instability in GANs for stock price forecasting.
method Introduces DRAGAN and feature matching for improved training stability and correlation capture.
result Proposed method outperforms LSTM and basic GANs in stock price forecasting.

The study evaluates nine machine learning regressors for predicting NASDAQ stock opening prices.

problem Predicting stock market opening prices for profitable trading strategies.
method Nine different machine learning regressors were applied to NASDAQ stock market data.
result The study found that certain regressors outperform others in predicting stock opening prices.

This study compares machine learning models for short-term stock price forecasting.

problem Accurate short-term stock price prediction in the NYSE.
method Compared four machine learning models (XGBoost, Random Forest, Multi-layer Perceptron, Support Vector Regression) on NYSE stocks.
result XGBoost model outperformed others with highest accuracy.

A3T-GCN model forecasts FTSE100 stock prices using technical indicators and financial ratios.

problem Forecasting closing stock prices of FTSE100 constituents.
method Hybrid A3T-GCN architecture using technical indicators, financial ratios, and sector correlations.
result A3T-GCN model improves prediction accuracy with annualized log-returns and shorter sequence lengths.

VTA combines verbal and latent reasoning for accurate stock time-series forecasts.

problem Challenges in combining textual analysis with time-series data for financial forecasting.
method Converts stock price data into textual annotations, optimizes reasoning trace using inverse MSE, conditions time-series model outputs on reasoning attributes.
result VTA achieves state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy and interpretable reasoning traces.

We present a new microscopic stochastic model for an ensemble of interacting investors that buy and sell stocks in discrete time steps via limit orders based on individual forecasts about the price of the stock. These orders determine the supply and demand fixing after each round (time step) the new price of the stock …

1999-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study automates feature selection and clustering for HFT stock price forecasting.

problem Manual feature selection and clustering for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting.
method Dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network topology.
result Enhanced forecasting ability of the RBFNN regressor through automated feature selection and clustering.

Combines CNN and Transformer for financial time series forecasting.

problem Forecasting financial time series, especially stock prices, is challenging due to short-term and long-term dependencies.
method Uses CNN for short-term dependencies and Transformer for long-term dependencies.
result Demonstrated superior performance in forecasting stock price changes compared to traditional methods.

The study uses LSTM and random forests to forecast stock price movements for intraday trading.

problem Forecasting directional movements of stock prices for intraday trading.
method Employed random forests and LSTM networks to analyze S&P 500 constituent stocks.
result Multi-feature setting provided higher daily returns (0.64% using LSTM, 0.54% using random forests) compared to single-feature setting.

The paper uses news headlines to predict stock prices using embeddings.

problem Predicting stock prices using news headlines.
method Using OpenAI-based text embedding models and PCA to create vector encodings of news headlines, then training machine learning models on financial data.
result Headline data embeddings improve stock price prediction by at least 40%.

Market economy closely connects aspects to all walks of life. The stock forecast is one of task among studies on the market economy. However, information on markets economy contains a lot of noise and uncertainties, which lead economy forecasting to become a challenging task. Ensemble learning and deep learning are the…

2019-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Social media signals have been successfully used to develop large-scale predictive and anticipatory analytics. For example, forecasting stock market prices and influenza outbreaks. Recently, social data has been explored to forecast price fluctuations of cryptocurrencies, which are a novel disruptive technology with si…

2019-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price prediction. The majority of literature has been devoted to predicting either th…

2019-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves stock price prediction using advanced ML models.

problem Improving financial forecasting accuracy in stock markets.
method Evaluation of RNN architectures including LSTM, GRU, and attention-based models.
result Attention-based models outperform others in capturing complex dependencies.

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting is the most representative problem in financial forecasting. Due to the strong …

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New theoretical approaches about forecasting stock markets are proposed. A mathematization of the stock market in terms of arithmetical relations is given, where some simple (non-differential, non-fractal) expressions are also suggested as general stock price formuli in closed forms which are able to generate a variety…

2005-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗