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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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102204306408 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Stochastic interactions

New model estimates higher-order interactions in stochastic processes using lower-dimensional projections.

problem Estimating higher-order interaction effects in stochastic processes with limited data.
method Additive Poisson Process (APP) combines information geometry and generalized additive models to model intensity functions in lower dimensions.
result The model can estimate higher-order intensity functions with sparse data.

Estimates log-likelihood of interacting particle systems using virtual particles.

problem Inconsistent estimation of finite-particle log-likelihood in large particle systems.
method Stochastic gradient estimate using continuous trajectory and virtual particle systems.
result Convergence to stationary points of limiting mean-field system's log-likelihood.

Much of the data being created on the web contains interactions between users and items. Stochastic blockmodels, and other methods for community detection and clustering of bipartite graphs, can infer latent user communities and latent item clusters from this interaction data. These methods, however, typically ignore t…

2015-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how uncertainty in financial networks affects stability.

problem Understanding how uncertainty in financial networks impacts stability.
method Introduced a minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network with linear interactions. Derived the interaction correction to the stress expectation and studied it on the short-medium timescale.
result Interactions increase the stress expectation on average, highlighting the importance of disclosure.

Study infers interaction kernels from multiple particle trajectories.

problem Inferring interaction kernels from multiple particle trajectories in stochastic systems.
method Nonparametric inference approach based on regularized maximum likelihood estimator.
result Consistent estimator with near-optimal learning rate independent of state space dimension.

Modeling price formation with interacting Hawkes processes leading to stochastic volatility with leverage.

problem Capturing the complex dynamics of price formation in financial markets.
method Agent-based approach to aggregate self-exciting point processes with mean-field interaction.
result Aggregated model converges to a stochastic volatility model with leverage effect and faster-than-linear mean reversion.

Graphon game model simplifies stochastic interactions among agents.

problem Complex interactions among heterogeneous agents in stochastic games.
method Introduced a discrete-time graphon game formulation with a representative player.
result Existence and uniqueness of graphon equilibrium proven with mild assumptions.

Study optimal incentives for cleaner energy production.

problem Accelerate transition to cleaner technologies in energy market.
method Stochastic control models for three scenarios: single firm, two firms, and two firms without incentives.
result Optimal strategies for investment and production emerge, highlighting firm interactions and incentive effects.

New method for online learning in interacting particle systems.

problem Parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems.
method Stochastic approximation of gradient of asymptotic log likelihood using continuous observations.
result Convergence to stationary points of asymptotic log-likelihood under suitable assumptions.

The paper studies how noise synchronizes tokens in deep transformer models.

problem Understanding synchronization in deep learning models with noise.
method Proves convergence to a stochastic particle system and identifies the limiting SDE.
result The limiting model displays synchronization by noise and exponential dissipation of interaction energy.

Stochastic blockmodels allow us to represent networks in terms of a latent community structure, often yielding intuitions about the underlying social structure. Typically, this structure is inferred based only on a binary network representing the presence or absence of interactions between nodes, which limits the amoun…

2019-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes normal approximation for two-timescale stochastic algorithms, revealing interaction between fast and slow timescales.

problem Non-asymptotic bounds for accuracy of normal approximation in linear two-timescale stochastic approximation algorithms.
method Established bounds for normal approximation in terms of convex distance, focusing on last iterate and Polyak-Ruppert averaging.
result Normal approximation rate for the last iterate improves with increased timescale separation, while it decreases in the averaged setting.

Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.

problem Maximizing utility in a large, interacting agent system with relative performance concerns.
method Analyzes stochastic utility maximization game in finite and infinite agent settings, using graphon models and backward stochastic differential equations.
result Convergence of Nash equilibria and optimal utilities from finite to infinite agent models under specific conditions.

First-order method solves stochastic bilevel optimization with linear constraints.

problem Stochastic bilevel optimization with linear constraints and noise.
method Developed a novel framework using gradient-based techniques and smoothed penalty functions.
result Achieved finite-time convergence guarantees for (δ,ε)(δ, ε)-Goldstein stationary points.

In a recent formulation of a quantum field theory of forward rates, the volatility of the forward rates was taken to be deterministic. The field theory of the forward rates is generalized to the case of stochastic volatility. Two cases are analyzed, firstly when volatility is taken to be a function of the forward rates…

2001-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on information evolution in interactive decision making using multi-armed bandits.

problem Understanding information dynamics in interactive decision making.
method Stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, focusing on optimal arm with a fixed margin.
result Distinct growth phases in mutual information, showing decoupling between success probability and information gain.

Novel approach to Nash equilibrium in mean-field stochastic games with operator resolvents.

problem Finding Nash equilibrium in mean-field stochastic games with mean-field interaction.
method Proposed a novel approach to derive Nash equilibrium semi-explicitly using operator resolvents and stochastic Fredholm equations.
result Equilibrium of the NN-player game converges to mean-field equilibrium, and ε\varepsilon-Nash equilibrium derived as a by-product.

Linear stochastic models and discretized kinetic theory are two complementary analytical techniques used for the investigation of complex systems of economic interactions. The former employ Langevin equations, with an emphasis on stock trade; the latter is based on systems of ordinary differential equations and is bett…

2016-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Model analyzes trading frictions in cap-and-trade markets, showing how they interact to affect market effectiveness.

problem Analyzing how trading frictions impact cap-and-trade market effectiveness.
method Developed a dynamic stochastic model with multiple trading frictions, characterized access choices in closed form, and quantified using EU ETS data.
result Trading frictions interact to amplify or dampen market responses, and their combined effect is non-additive.

Observations consisting of measurements on relationships for pairs of objects arise in many settings, such as protein interaction and gene regulatory networks, collections of author-recipient email, and social networks. Analyzing such data with probabilisic models can be delicate because the simple exchangeability assu…

2007-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Reduces path integrals for interacting systems using dependent coordinates.

problem Reducing path integrals for systems with symmetry.
method Reduction procedure based on Wiener-type path integral, optimal nonlinear filtering, and projection of mean curvature vector field.
result Shows non-invariance of the measure in the path integral under reduction and generates the Jacobian.

INP accelerates stochastic simulations using deep Bayesian active learning.

problem Computational expense of stochastic simulations at fine-grained resolution.
method Interactive Neural Process (INP) framework combining spatiotemporal surrogate model and active learning acquisition function.
result STNP outperforms baselines in accelerating stochastic simulations and LIG achieves state-of-the-art for Bayesian active learning.

This essay discusses the advantages of a probabilistic agent-based approach to questions in theoretical economics, from the nature of economic agents, to the nature of the equilibria supported by their interactions. One idea we propose is that "agents" are meta-individual, hierarchically structured objects, that includ…

2013-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New robust algorithms improve learning with feature feedback.

problem Interactive learning with discriminative feature feedback.
method Developed new robust interactive learning algorithms with improved mistake bounds.
result Achieved significantly lower mistake bounds in adversarial and stochastic settings.

Economies and societal structures in general are complex stochastic systems which may not lend themselves well to algebraic analysis. An addition of subjective value criteria to the mechanics of interacting agents will further complicate analysis. The purpose of this short study is to demonstrate capabilities of agent-…

2018-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts BESS interactions and price impacts in energy markets.

problem Understanding BESS interactions and price formation in energy markets.
method Stochastic game-theoretic model with linear-quadratic differential game.
result Equilibrium controls and prices derived for BESSs in both heterogeneous and homogeneous settings.

Study proves optimal controls for stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels.

problem Existence of optimal controls for stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels.
method Sufficient conditions based on integrability and growth hypotheses.
result Existence of optimal relaxed and strict controls under classical convexity assumptions.