This paper contains a summary of mathematical researches of stochastic properties of the long time behavior of a continuously observed (and interactively controlled) quantum--field top. Applications to interactively controlled stochastic computer-graphic dynamical systems are also discussed.
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New model estimates higher-order interactions in stochastic processes using lower-dimensional projections.
Estimates log-likelihood of interacting particle systems using virtual particles.
New model quantifies interactions' role in real-world phenomena.
Signed pairwise interactions conflate uniqueness, redundancy, and synergy
Much of the data being created on the web contains interactions between users and items. Stochastic blockmodels, and other methods for community detection and clustering of bipartite graphs, can infer latent user communities and latent item clusters from this interaction data. These methods, however, typically ignore t…
Analyzes how uncertainty in financial networks affects stability.
ICSGLD improves efficiency in posterior sampling for big data.
New method improves convergence and reduces variance in noisy optimization problems.
Study infers interaction kernels from multiple particle trajectories.
We propose in this work RBM-SVGD, a stochastic version of Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) method for efficiently sampling from a given probability measure and thus useful for Bayesian inference. The method is to apply the Random Batch Method (RBM) for interacting particle systems proposed by Jin et al to the …
Modeling price formation with interacting Hawkes processes leading to stochastic volatility with leverage.
New algorithm tames non-linear growth in stochastic optimization.
Graphon game model simplifies stochastic interactions among agents.
Study optimal incentives for cleaner energy production.
Autonomous robots need to interact with unknown, unstructured and changing environments, constantly facing novel challenges. Therefore, continuous online adaptation for lifelong-learning and the need of sample-efficient mechanisms to adapt to changes in the environment, the constraints, the tasks, or the robot itself a…
New method for online learning in interacting particle systems.
Effects of randomness on non-integer power law tails in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes are investigated theoretically. Generally, randomness causes decrease of the exponent of tails and the growth rate of processes. Explicit calculations are performed for two examples: uniformly distributed and two p…
The paper studies how noise synchronizes tokens in deep transformer models.
Stochastic blockmodels allow us to represent networks in terms of a latent community structure, often yielding intuitions about the underlying social structure. Typically, this structure is inferred based only on a binary network representing the presence or absence of interactions between nodes, which limits the amoun…
Paper analyzes normal approximation for two-timescale stochastic algorithms, revealing interaction between fast and slow timescales.
Machine learning and geostatistics are powerful mathematical frameworks for modeling spatial data. Both approaches, however, suffer from poor scaling of the required computational resources for large data applications. We present the Stochastic Local Interaction (SLI) model, which employs a local representation to impr…
New graph kernels capture spatio-temporal interactions.
Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.
First-order method solves stochastic bilevel optimization with linear constraints.
Network clustering reveals the organization of a network or corresponding complex system with elements represented as vertices and interactions as edges in a (directed, weighted) graph. Although the notion of clustering can be somewhat loose, network clusters or groups are generally considered as nodes with enriched in…
In a recent formulation of a quantum field theory of forward rates, the volatility of the forward rates was taken to be deterministic. The field theory of the forward rates is generalized to the case of stochastic volatility. Two cases are analyzed, firstly when volatility is taken to be a function of the forward rates…
The stochastic block model (SBM) is a flexible probabilistic tool that can be used to model interactions between clusters of nodes in a network. However, it does not account for interactions of time varying intensity between clusters. The extension of the SBM developed in this paper addresses this shortcoming through a…
Study on information evolution in interactive decision making using multi-armed bandits.
Novel approach to Nash equilibrium in mean-field stochastic games with operator resolvents.
Linear stochastic models and discretized kinetic theory are two complementary analytical techniques used for the investigation of complex systems of economic interactions. The former employ Langevin equations, with an emphasis on stock trade; the latter is based on systems of ordinary differential equations and is bett…
Model analyzes trading frictions in cap-and-trade markets, showing how they interact to affect market effectiveness.
Observations consisting of measurements on relationships for pairs of objects arise in many settings, such as protein interaction and gene regulatory networks, collections of author-recipient email, and social networks. Analyzing such data with probabilisic models can be delicate because the simple exchangeability assu…
Reduces path integrals for interacting systems using dependent coordinates.
It is well-known from the work of Schönbucher (2005) that the marginal laws of a loss process can be matched by a unit increasing time inhomogeneous Markov process, whose deterministic jump intensity is called local intensity. The Stochastic Local Intensity (SLI) models such as the one proposed by Arnsdorf and Halperin…
INP accelerates stochastic simulations using deep Bayesian active learning.
New method learns latent energy models using particle algorithms.
This essay discusses the advantages of a probabilistic agent-based approach to questions in theoretical economics, from the nature of economic agents, to the nature of the equilibria supported by their interactions. One idea we propose is that "agents" are meta-individual, hierarchically structured objects, that includ…
We propose a class of Markovian agent based models for the time evolution of a share price in an interactive market. The models rely on a microscopic description of a market of buyers and sellers who change their opinion about the stock value in a stochastic way. The actual price is determined in realistic way by match…
Model strategic interactions between market makers and traders to optimize execution.
New robust algorithms improve learning with feature feedback.
In this paper, we focus on the stochastic block model (SBM),a probabilistic tool describing interactions between nodes of a network using latent clusters. The SBM assumes that the networkhas a stationary structure, in which connections of time varying intensity are not taken into account. In other words, interactions b…
Models can be simple for different reasons: because they yield a simple and computationally efficient interpretation of a generic dataset (e.g. in terms of pairwise dependences) - as in statistical learning - or because they capture the essential ingredients of a specific phenomenon - as e.g. in physics - leading to no…
Algorithm for decentralized competition among adaptive agents.
The book explores stochastic areas and heat kernels on manifolds.
Economies and societal structures in general are complex stochastic systems which may not lend themselves well to algebraic analysis. An addition of subjective value criteria to the mechanics of interacting agents will further complicate analysis. The purpose of this short study is to demonstrate capabilities of agent-…
Model predicts BESS interactions and price impacts in energy markets.
Study proves optimal controls for stochastic Volterra equations with singular kernels.