A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We propose a novel adaptive importance sampling algorithm which incorporates Stein variational gradient decent algorithm (SVGD) with importance sampling (IS). Our algorithm leverages the nonparametric transforms in SVGD to iteratively decrease the KL divergence between our importance proposal and the target distributio…
Computable Stein discrepancies have been deployed for a variety of applications, ranging from sampler selection in posterior inference to approximate Bayesian inference to goodness-of-fit testing. Existing convergence-determining Stein discrepancies admit strong theoretical guarantees but suffer from a computational co…
An important task in machine learning and statistics is the approximation of a probability measure by an empirical measure supported on a discrete point set. Stein Points are a class of algorithms for this task, which proceed by sequentially minimising a Stein discrepancy between the empirical measure and the target an…
The paper introduces a novel method for training neural network Stein critics with staged L2-regularization.
problem Learning to differentiate model distributions from observed data in high-dimensional settings.
method Developed a novel staging procedure for L2 regularization over training time, leveraging the advantages of highly-regularized training at early times.
result Theoretical guarantees and empirical validation show that the method improves the approximation of the training dynamic by the kernel optimization, leading to faster convergence and better performance.
Much of machine learning relies on comparing distributions with discrepancy measures. Stein's method creates discrepancy measures between two distributions that require only the unnormalized density of one and samples from the other. Stein discrepancies can be combined with kernels to define kernelized Stein discrepanc…
We prove semi-empirical concentration inequalities for random variables which are given as possibly nonlinear functions of independent random variables. These inequalities describe concentration of random variable in terms of the data/distribution-dependent Efron-Stein (ES) estimate of its variance and they do not requ…
A mean function in reproducing kernel Hilbert space, or a kernel mean, is an important part of many applications ranging from kernel principal component analysis to Hilbert-space embedding of distributions. Given finite samples, an empirical average is the standard estimate for the true kernel mean. We show that this e…
Approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) offers the promise of more rapid sampling at the cost of more biased inference. Since standard MCMC diagnostics fail to detect these biases, researchers have developed computable Stein discrepancy measures that provably determine the convergence of a sample to its target dist…
Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a deterministic sampling algorithm that iteratively transports a set of particles to approximate given distributions, based on an efficient gradient-based update that guarantees to optimally decrease the KL divergence within a function space. This paper develops the first th…
In this paper, we show that the Ozsváth-Szabó contact invariant c+(ξ)∈HF+(−Y) of a contact 3-manifold (Y,ξ) can be calculated combinatorially if Y is the boundary of a certain type of plumbing X, and ξ is induced by a Stein structure on X. Our technique uses an algorithm of Ozsváth and Szabó to determi…
An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution p(x) with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points {xi}i=1n. This paper focuses on methods where the selection of points is essentially deterministic, with an emphasis on achi…
Bayesian deep learning improves maintenance planning uncertainty quantification.
problem Estimating the remaining useful life of physical systems with uncertainty quantification.
method Stein variational gradient descent for training Bayesian neural networks.
result Bayesian deep learning models trained via Stein variational gradient descent outperform other methods in convergence speed and predictive performance.
Stein's method for measuring convergence to a continuous target distribution relies on an operator characterizing the target and Stein factor bounds on the solutions of an associated differential equation. While such operators and bounds are readily available for a diversity of univariate targets, few multivariate targ…
We propose two novel samplers to generate high-quality samples from a given (un-normalized) probability density. Motivated by the success of generative adversarial networks, we construct our samplers using deep neural networks that transform a reference distribution to the target distribution. Training schemes are deve…
Bayesian online changepoint detection (BOCPD) (Adams & MacKay, 2007) offers a rigorous and viable way to identify changepoints in complex systems. In this work, we introduce a Stein variational online changepoint detection (SVOCD) method to provide a computationally tractable generalization of BOCPD beyond the exponent…
In Bayesian inference, the posterior distributions are difficult to obtain analytically for complex models such as neural networks. Variational inference usually uses a parametric distribution for approximation, from which we can easily draw samples. Recently discrete approximation by particles has attracted attention …