There are multiple sides to every story, and while statistical topic models have been highly successful at topically summarizing the stories in corpora of text documents, they do not explicitly address the issue of learning the different sides, the viewpoints, expressed in the documents. In this paper, we show how thes…
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48 results for “Statistical Viewpoint”
The goal of this paper is to show that there exists a simple, yet universal statistical logic of spectral graph analysis by recasting it into a nonparametric function estimation problem. The prescribed viewpoint appears to be good enough to accommodate most of the existing spectral graph techniques as a consequence of …
Premium Calculation Based on Physical Principlescond-mat.stat-mech
We consider the concept of equilibrium in economic systems from statistical mechanics viewpoint. A new method is suggested for computing the premium on this basis. The Bühlmann economic premium principle is derived as a special case of our method.
Efficient algorithm for clustering and classification using MBO scheme.
problem Data clustering and classification tasks.
method Introduces constraints on cluster size leading to a linear integer problem, proving it's induced by a novel order statistic. Develops exact and efficient algorithms based on variational viewpoint connecting to volume-preserving mean curvature flow.
result Estimates computational complexity better than state-of-the-art, proving rigorous analysis.
New statistics are introduced that maintain the Fisher metric structure closely, akin to sufficient statistics.
problem Maintaining the Fisher metric structure in statistical models.
method Characterizing statistics that maintain the Fisher metric structure bi-Lipschitz equivalently.
result Characterized statistics that preserve the Fisher metric structure closely.
ViewFool identifies adversarial viewpoints to test image recognition robustness.
problem Lack of robustness to viewpoint changes in visual recognition models.
method Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) and entropic regularizer to find adversarial viewpoints.
result Common image classifiers are highly vulnerable to generated adversarial viewpoints.
We introduce a toy probabilistic model to analyze job-matching processes in recent Japanese labor markets for university graduates by means of statistical physics. We show that the aggregation probability of each company is rewritten by means of non-linear map under several conditions. Mathematical treatment of the map…
Study invariant connections on multivariate Gaussian distributions.
problem Understanding statistical connections on multivariate Gaussian distributions.
method Investigate invariant connections on with the Fisher metric.
result Explicitly determined invariant connections and their moduli spaces.
EASE estimator improves probabilistic value estimation efficiency.
problem Efficiently estimating probabilistic values like Shapley and semivalues.
method Developed an Efficiency-Aware Surrogate-adjusted Estimator (EASE) that minimizes first-order mean squared error.
result EASE consistently outperforms existing estimators for various probabilistic values.
Modern deep learning methods provide effective means to learn good representations. However, is a good representation itself sufficient for sample efficient reinforcement learning? This question has largely been studied only with respect to (worst-case) approximation error, in the more classical approximate dynamic pro…
Huber regression assessed for robustness in statistical learning.
problem Understanding Huber regression in nonparametric statistical learning.
method Assessment from statistical learning perspective, focusing on risk consistency, adaptive tuning, and convergence rates.
result Huber regression can be asymptotically mean regression calibrated under -moment conditions, justifying its robustness.
Deepfake detection is formulated as a hypothesis testing problem to classify an image as genuine or GAN-generated. A robust statistics view of GANs is considered to bound the error probability for various GAN implementations in terms of their performance. The bounds are further simplified using a Euclidean approximatio…
Analyzing and modelling 1+1d marketscond-mat.stat-mech
We report a statistical analysis of the Island ECN (NASDAQ) order book. We determine the static and dynamic properties of this system, and then analyze them from a physicist's viewpoint using an equivalent particle system obtained by treating orders as massive particles and price as position. We identify the fundamenta…
The AdaBoost algorithm has the superiority of resisting overfitting. Understanding the mysteries of this phenomena is a very fascinating fundamental theoretical problem. Many studies are devoted to explaining it from statistical view and margin theory. In this paper, we illustrate it from feature learning viewpoint, an…
Non-Life Insurance Pricing : Statistical Mechanics Viewpointcond-mat.stat-mech
We consider the insurance company as a physical system which is immersed in its environment (the financial market). The insurer company interacts with the market by exchanging the money through the payments for loss claims and receiving the premium. Here in the equilibrium state we obtain the premium by using the canon…
Modern statistical inference tasks often require iterative optimization methods to compute the solution. Convergence analysis from an optimization viewpoint only informs us how well the solution is approximated numerically but overlooks the sampling nature of the data. In contrast, recognizing the randomness in the dat…
A Frequentist Statistical Introduction to Variational Inference, Autoencoders, and Diffusion Modelsstat.ML
This paper bridges statistical and machine learning approaches to variational inference.
problem Statisticians struggle to understand variational inference from a Frequentist perspective.
method Explains VI, VAEs, and DDMs from a Frequentist viewpoint, starting with EM.
result VI emerges as a scalable solution for intractable E-steps in VAEs and DDMs.
In this paper we construct two groupoids from morphisms of groupoids, with one from a categorical viewpoint and the other from a geometric viewpoint. We show that for each pair of groupoids, the two kinds of groupoids of morphisms are equivalent. Then we study the automorphism groupoid of a groupoid.
The tt* structure of the quantum cohomology of CP^1 from the viewpoint of differential geometrymath.DG
The quantum cohomology of CP^1 provides a distinguished solution of the third Painleve equation. S. Cecotti and C. Vafa discovered this from a physical viewpoint. We derive it from a differential geometric viewpoint, using the theory of harmonic maps and in particular the generalized Weierstrass representation (DPW rep…
Generative models are reinterpreted in statistical terms, enabling better understanding and inference.
problem Insufficient interpretability of generative models in statistical terms.
method Flow matching and orthogonalization/cross-fitting in double/debiased machine learning.
result Generative models can be used to estimate nuisance components while maintaining inferential validity.
WAEs offer a statistical understanding of density estimation and error bounds.
problem Concurrent density estimation with neural network-induced transformations.
method Statistical analysis of WAEs focusing on upper bounds and error propagation.
result Established deterministic upper bounds on WAE errors and explored their resilience.
Modern Internet services, such as those at Google, Yahoo!, and Amazon, handle billions of requests per day on clusters of thousands of computers. Because these services operate under strict performance requirements, a statistical understanding of their performance is of great practical interest. Such services are model…
New fair PCA method using streaming algorithms with statistical guarantees.
problem Perform PCA while ensuring fair projected distributions.
method Formulated new notion PAFO learnability, proposed fair noisy power method (FNPM) for memory efficiency.
result First statistical guarantee for fair PCA in streaming setting.
Study loop corrections in random feature models affecting training and test errors.
problem Analyzing loop corrections in random feature models to understand training and test errors.
method Statistical physics and effective field theory approach to study loop corrections.
result Derived loop corrections to training error, test error, and generalization gap.
We present a probabilistic viewpoint to multiple kernel learning unifying well-known regularised risk approaches and recent advances in approximate Bayesian inference relaxations. The framework proposes a general objective function suitable for regression, robust regression and classification that is lower bound of the…
Regularized empirical risk minimization including support vector machines plays an important role in machine learning theory. In this paper regularized pairwise learning (RPL) methods based on kernels will be investigated. One example is regularized minimization of the error entropy loss which has recently attracted qu…
Recent progress in deep generative models has led to tremendous breakthroughs in image generation. However, while existing models can synthesize photorealistic images, they lack an understanding of our underlying 3D world. We present a new generative model, Visual Object Networks (VON), synthesizing natural images of o…
Develops methods for causal inference in compositional data using instrumental variables.
problem Interpreting summary statistics like diversity indices as causal effects in compositional data.
method Statistical data transformations and regression techniques tailored for compositional data.
result Advantages and limitations of the proposed methods demonstrated on synthetic and real microbiome data.
This paper tackles catastrophic forgetting in neural networks by providing a unified framework for regularization-based continual learning.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks trained sequentially on multiple tasks.
method Formulates regularization-based continual learning as a second-order Taylor approximation of the loss function, leading to a unified framework.
result Theoretical results indicate the importance of accurate approximation of the Hessian matrix for optimization and generalization.
Study finds phase transition in context-sensitive language model with short-range interactions.
problem Understanding phase transitions in language models with short-range interactions.
method Constructed a random language model with short-range interactions and investigated its statistical properties.
result Phase transition occurs in context-sensitive language models with constant context length.
Data balancing reduces variance in machine learning models.
problem Reduction of variance in machine learning models.
method Non-asymptotic statistical bound and eigenvalue decay of Markov operators.
result Data balancing across modalities and sources reduces variance.
Study problem-dependent rates in statistical learning theory, achieving optimal generalization error bounds.
problem Generalization error in statistical learning theory.
method Uniform localized convergence framework.
result Optimal generalization error bounds for various learning problems.
In statistical learning theory, convex surrogates of the 0-1 loss are highly preferred because of the computational and theoretical virtues that convexity brings in. This is of more importance if we consider smooth surrogates as witnessed by the fact that the smoothness is further beneficial both computationally- by at…
Differential privacy is a statistical concept that can be explained through hypothesis testing.
problem Formalizing differential privacy as a statistical concept.
method Using David Blackwell's informativeness theorem, the paper shows differential privacy can be understood through hypothesis testing.
result The definition of -differential privacy provides a unified framework for analyzing privacy bounds.
An interacting-agent model of financial markets from the viewpoint of nonextensive statistical mechanicsphysics.soc-ph
In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes [1], and formulate the traders' decision-making regarding investment as the maxim…
We consider a triality between the Zermelo navigation problem, the geodesic flow on a Finslerian geometry of Randers type, and spacetimes in one dimension higher admitting a timelike conformal Killing vector field. From the latter viewpoint, the data of the Zermelo problem are encoded in a (conformally) Painleve-Gullst…
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) were intuitively and attractively explained under the perspective of game theory, wherein two involving parties are a discriminator and a generator. In this game, the task of the discriminator is to discriminate the real and generated (i.e., fake) data, whilst the task of the gene…
This paper examines sources of uncertainty in machine learning from a statistical perspective.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in supervised machine learning models.
method A conceptual, basic science approach examining aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
result Sources of uncertainty are diverse and cannot always be decomposed into aleatoric and epistemic.
We describe a method to classify crystallographic tilings of the Euclidean and hyperbolic planes by tiles whose stabiliser group contains translation isometries or whose topology is not that of a closed disk. We tackle this problem from two different viewpoints, one with constructive techniques to enumerate such tiling…
Adaptive optimization methods bias neural network trajectories towards regions of lower local geometry.
problem The success of adaptive optimization methods in neural networks is not fully explained by traditional second-order methods.
method Local trajectory analysis and introduction of a new statistic .
result Adaptive methods like Adam bias trajectories towards regions of lower local geometry, leading to faster convergence.
On the Financial Crisis 2008 from a Physicist's viewpoint: A Spin-Glass Interpretationcond-mat.dis-nn
In an informal way, a number of thoughts on the financial crisis 2008 are presented from a physicist's viewpoint, considering the problem as a nonergodicity transition of a spin-glass type of system. Some tentative suggestions concerning the way out of the crisis are also discussed, concerning Keynesian "deficit spendi…
I use harmonic maps and minimal surfaces to study quadratic equations in groups.
In recent years, correntropy and its applications in machine learning have been drawing continuous attention owing to its merits in dealing with non-Gaussian noise and outliers. However, theoretical understanding of correntropy, especially in the statistical learning context, is still limited. In this study, within the…
Revises mean-field theory of Santa Fe model using kinetic theory.
problem Deriving a solid mathematical foundation for the Santa Fe model.
method Systematic derivation of BBGKY hierarchy from exact master equation.
result Explicit and closed-form solutions for mean-field equations.
Pronounced variability due to the growth of renewable energy sources, flexible loads, and distributed generation is challenging residential distribution systems. This context, motivates well fast, efficient, and robust reactive power control. Real-time optimal reactive power control is possible in theory by solving a n…
A new RL framework tackles asset allocation problems using Monte Carlo simulation.
problem Existing asset allocation methods fail to consider portfolio management and financial market characteristics.
method Proposes a new reinforcement learning framework that considers portfolio state and uses Monte Carlo simulation to prevent overfitting.
result The proposed method outperforms benchmarks in various test intervals.
Currently, machine learning plays an important role in the lives and individual activities of numerous people. Accordingly, it has become necessary to design machine learning algorithms to ensure that discrimination, biased views, or unfair treatment do not result from decision making or predictions made via machine le…
We explore the perspective of a bug living on the two-dimensional surface of a polyhedron. Images of various kinds of effects like lensing and cloaking are shown via color pictures of three viewpoints: the first person perspective of the bug, a map of the bug's viewpoint, and a look at the bug on the embedded polyhedro…