Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

73146219292 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Stationary Weighting

Neural networks' weights don't converge to stationary points but training loss stabilizes.

problem The disconnect between theoretical analyses and neural network training practice.
method An invariant measure perspective inspired by ergodic theory of dynamical systems.
result The distribution of weights converges to an approximate invariant measure, explaining loss stabilization.

New method stabilizes FQE by reweighting Bellman targets.

problem Stability guarantees for FQE often rely on Bellman completeness, which can fail with function approximation.
method Proposes stationary-weighted FQE, reweighting Bellman targets by stationary target-to-behavior density ratio.
result Proves finite-sample linear convergence to stationary projected Bellman fixed point without Bellman completeness.

This paper refines the weighted strategy for non-stationary parametric bandits and MDPs, improving regret bounds.

problem Non-stationary environments with gradual drifting patterns.
method Refined analysis framework for the weighted strategy, leading to simpler and more efficient algorithms.
result Improved regret bounds for linear bandits, generalized linear bandits, and self-concordant bandits.

This paper refines the weighted strategy for non-stationary parametric bandits, improving regret bounds.

problem Non-stationary environments with gradual drifting patterns.
method Refined analysis framework for the weighted strategy in linear and generalized linear bandits.
result A simpler weight-based algorithm with improved regret bounds compared to previous studies.

Optimistic algorithm reduces regret in non-stationary linear MDPs.

problem Efficient learning in non-stationary linear MDPs with evolving reward and transition.
method OPT-WLSVI, an optimistic model-free algorithm using exponential weights.
result Achieves a regret bound of O~(d5/4H2Δ1/4K3/4)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(d^{5/4}H^2 Δ^{1/4} K^{3/4}).

We consider a stochastic linear bandit model in which the available actions correspond to arbitrary context vectors whose associated rewards follow a non-stationary linear regression model. In this setting, the unknown regression parameter is allowed to vary in time. To address this problem, we propose D-LinUCB, a nove…

2019-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces dynamic regret in non-stationary dueling bandits using a weighted Borda score.

problem Designing algorithms with low dynamic regret in non-stationary dueling bandits.
method Introducing a novel weighted Borda score framework to analyze the Condorcet problem and establish improved bounds.
result First optimal and adaptive dynamic regret upper bound of ildeO(ildeL1/3K1/3T2/3) ilde{O}( ilde{L}^{1/3} K^{1/3} T^{2/3} ).

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data into locally stationary segments. It uses a prior, closely related to the Context T…

2012-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study tackles non-stationary bandit convex optimization with new algorithms.

problem Minimizing regret in non-stationary environments with various measures of non-stationarity.
method Proposed Tilted Exponentially Weighted Average with Sleeping Experts (TEWA-SE) for strongly convex losses and clipped Exploration by Optimization (cExO) for general convex losses.
result Proved minimax-optimality of TEWA-SE for strongly convex losses and introduced cExO for general convex losses.

New method detects intrinsic cross-correlations in non-stationary time series affected by common factors.

problem Bias in cross-correlation analysis due to common external factors.
method Multifractal temporally weighted detrended partial cross-correlation analysis (MF-TWDPCCA).
result MF-TWDPCCA accurately detects intrinsic cross-correlations between non-stationary time series.

Standard kernels such as Matérn or RBF kernels only encode simple monotonic dependencies within the input space. Spectral mixture kernels have been proposed as general-purpose, flexible kernels for learning and discovering more complicated patterns in the data. Spectral mixture kernels have recently been generalized in…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study neural architectures on learned latent graphs using Schrödinger dynamics.

problem Understanding neural architectures on learned latent graphs.
method Optimizes over stratified moduli space of weighted graphs with Kähler-Hessian metric.
result Multilayer stationary networks are equivalent to global stationary problems on supra-graphs.

We consider the problem of learning over non-stationary ranking streams. The rankings can be interpreted as the preferences of a population and the non-stationarity means that the distribution of preferences changes over time. Our goal is to learn, in an online manner, the current distribution of rankings. The bottlene…

2019-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Innovative game theory approach optimizes survival analysis metrics.

problem Survival analysis models trained with maximum likelihood do not directly optimize criteria like Brier score or Bernoulli log likelihood.
method Inverse-Weighted Survival Games: Construct objectives from re-weighted estimates featuring the other model, holding the latter fixed during training.
result Games optimize Brier score on simulations and real-world data.

Study on consistency of ML methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.

problem Consistency of machine learning methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.
method Least squares, ridge regression, and s\ell_s-penalized least squares methods under non-stationary spatial-temporal sampling.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimates under weak conditions.

The study connects minimal and maximal surfaces in 3D and 3-L space.

problem Describing correspondences between minimal and maximal surfaces in different spaces.
method Weierstrass representation and asymptotic analysis.
result Established criteria for singularity types and moduli spaces.

New Hermite series estimator for Spearman rank correlation in non-stationary data.

problem Estimating time-varying Spearman rank correlation efficiently.
method Hermite series based sequential estimator for both stationary and non-stationary settings.
result Competitive performance compared to existing algorithms in simulations and real data.

Paper develops sparse learning for heavy-tailed time series with locally stationary dynamics.

problem Sparse learning for high-dimensional heavy-tailed locally stationary time series.
method Additive modeling with kernel smoothing, sparsity-inducing penalized estimation.
result Prediction-error bounds and convergence rates for different sparsity structures.

The paper analyzes prediction error in nonstationary settings using weighted risk minimization.

problem Prediction under distribution drift and nonstationary conditions.
method General decomposition of excess risk into learning and drift terms, proving oracle inequalities under mixing conditions.
result Oracle inequalities for the learning error, providing bounds that hold uniformly over arbitrary weight classes.

A new metric, Weighted Regret, unifies FDR and power evaluation in online multiple testing.

problem The asymmetric costs of false positives and false negatives in automated pipelines.
method Introducing Weighted Regret and Decoupled-OMT (DOMT) to unify FDR and power evaluation.
result DOMT achieves an order-optimal sublinear mitigation of threshold depletion in bursty environments.

Gradient descent with random weights in linear regression analyzed for various noise types.

problem Analyzing the impact of random noise on gradient descent in linear regression.
method Gradient descent with randomly weighted data points, various weighting distributions, geometric moment contraction.
result Characterization of implicit regularization and non-asymptotic convergence bounds.

Adaptive beamforming collapses in highly non-stationary environments, but the Universal Switching Beamformer resolves this by dynamically adjusting memory length.

problem Adaptive beamforming performance degrades in highly non-stationary environments.
method Integrating sequential prediction into the beamforming architecture.
result The USB achieves agility and precision in tracking highly non-stationary scenes.

FredNormer improves time series forecasting by adapting to frequency domain patterns.

problem Current normalization methods struggle with non-stationary time series due to their time-domain approach.
method FredNormer analyzes frequency components, adapts weights, and improves robustness.
result FredNormer boosts forecasting accuracy by 33.3% on ETTm2 dataset.

Researchers have constantly asked whether stock returns can be predicted by some macroeconomic data. However, it is known that macroeconomic data may exhibit nonstationarity and/or heavy tails, which complicates existing testing procedures for predictability. In this paper we propose novel empirical likelihood methods …

2014-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies the landscape of empirical risk of deep neural networks by theoretically analyzing its convergence behavior to the population risk as well as its stationary points and properties. For an ll-layer linear neural network, we prove its empirical risk uniformly converges to its population risk at the rat…

2017-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces novel Bandit algorithms for non-stationary environments in finance.

problem Non-stationary reward distributions in financial markets.
method Introduces Adaptive Discounted Thompson Sampling (ADTS) and Combinatorial Adaptive Discounted Thompson Sampling (CADTS) for non-stationary environments in portfolio optimization.
result Bandit Networks improve portfolio optimization performance by 20% compared to classical models.

Estimates and infers multi-stage stationary treatment policies with variable selection.

problem Valid inference for multi-stage stationary treatment policies with high-dimensional feature variables.
method Estimate the value function using augmented inverse probability weighted estimator, apply penalty for variable selection, construct one-step improvements for valid inference.
result Improved estimators are asymptotically normal, valid inference for policy parameters demonstrated.

ABO extends RLS for online learning in non-stationary time-series, improving accuracy and speed.

problem Online learning in non-stationary time-series with overparameterized models.
method QR-based exponentially weighted RLS algorithm with orthogonal-triangular updates.
result ABO maintains bounded residuals and stable condition numbers while achieving speed improvements.

A new memory system handles non-stationary environments by self-sizing and retaining memories.

problem Non-stationary environments where memories arrive over time and must be distinguished from noise.
method A self-sizing continual associative memory that generalizes Hopfield's network, handling adaptation and novelty.
result The memory system grows to the intrinsic memory demand of the environment and retains memories without forgetting.

New algorithm provably converges to second-order stationary points in NMF.

problem Understanding convergence to local minima in NMF.
method Multiplicative weight update dynamics, concurrent updates, and simplex reduction.
result Provable convergence to second-order stationary points.

Graphs are a central tool in machine learning and information processing as they allow to conveniently capture the structure of complex datasets. In this context, it is of high importance to develop flexible models of signals defined over graphs or networks. In this paper, we generalize the traditional concept of wide …

2016-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

KQT-EWMA monitors multivariate data streams online with flexible and practical change detection.

problem Online monitoring of multivariate data streams for detecting changes.
method Combines Kernel-QuantTree histogram and EWMA statistic for non-parametric monitoring.
result Controls Average Run Length (ARL0) while achieving comparable detection delays.

Paper introduces a new method for improving reinforcement learning performance using transfer learning.

problem Improving reinforcement learning performance with limited sample sizes in dynamic decision-making scenarios.
method Developed a novel ``re-weighted targeting procedure'' and ``transfer deep QQ^*-learning'' approach.
result Demonstrated improved reinforcement learning performance through strategic sample construction.

New covariance estimator for financial portfolios.

problem Estimating large financial covariances in non-stationary environments.
method Exponentially weighted averages and cross-validation for nonlinearly shrinking sample eigenvalues.
result Our estimator performs well in large dimensions compared to existing estimators.

MELO predicts electricity loads by adapting to shifts without external indicators.

problem Adapting to non-stationary prediction challenges in online settings.
method MELO combines multiple forgetting factors and aggregation rules to adaptively predict.
result MELO reduces RMSE by 34.7% compared to base predictors and external covariates.