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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4591136181 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for State-level matching

DTM improves dLLM fine-tuning stability and performance.

problem Intractable sequence-level marginal likelihoods for masked diffusion models.
method Discrete Tilt Matching (DTM) recasts dLLM fine-tuning as state-level matching of local unmasking posteriors under reward tilting.
result DTM yields strong gains on Sudoku and Countdown while remaining competitive on MATH500 and GSM8K.

Machine learning predicts homicide clearance rates with SHAP explaining key features.

problem Predicting and explaining homicide clearance rates in the US.
method Nine algorithmic approaches compared; XGBoost selected. SHAP used for feature importance.
result XGBoost best predicts national homicide clearance rates; SHAP reveals key features.

Sharing knowledge between tasks is vital for efficient learning in a multi-task setting. However, most research so far has focused on the easier case where knowledge transfer is not harmful, i.e., where knowledge from one task cannot negatively impact the performance on another task. In contrast, we present an approach…

2019-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations at single sites.

problem Forecasting daily COVID-19 hospitalizations at a single hospital.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with generalized Poisson likelihood and autoregressive/Gaussian process latent processes.
result Demonstrated superior performance compared to baselines in public datasets.

Housing markets play a crucial role in economies and the collapse of a real-estate bubble usually destabilizes the financial system and causes economic recessions. We investigate the systemic risk and spatiotemporal dynamics of the US housing market (1975-2011) at the state level based on the Random Matrix Theory (RMT)…

2013-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Federated learning predicts financial distress across U.S. states without centralizing data.

problem Predicting financial distress across U.S. states using sensitive data without centralization.
method Cross-silo federated learning, interpretable AI techniques, machine learning model for categorical data.
result Identifies both global and state-specific predictors of financial hardship.

condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.

problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.

DACL tackles domain-specific contrastive learning by using Mixup noise.

problem Domain-specific contrastive learning methods rely on data augmentation techniques that require domain knowledge.
method DACL uses Mixup noise to create similar and dissimilar examples without domain-specific data augmentation.
result DACL outperforms other domain-agnostic noising methods and combines well with domain-specific methods.

Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, recorded in electronic medical records, are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-to-end deep dynamic neural network t…

2016-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Selective state-adaptive regularization improves offline RL performance.

problem Extrapolation errors and value overestimation in static dataset RL.
method State-adaptive regularization coefficients trust Bellman-driven results selectively.
result Significant improvement in performance on D4RL benchmark.

Proposes a transfer learning framework to improve U.S. election prediction models.

problem Limited spatial data and spatial dependence challenges in presidential election prediction.
method Proposes a novel transfer learning framework within the SAR model, using a two-stage algorithm with transferring and debiasing stages.
result Substantially improves prediction accuracy and outperforms traditional methods in U.S. presidential swing states.

Fictitious play with reinforcement learning is a general and effective framework for zero-sum games. However, using the current deep neural network models, the implementation of fictitious play faces crucial challenges. Neural network model training employs gradient descent approaches to update all connection weights, …

2019-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural score matching improves high-dimensional causal inference by using neural networks for balancing scores.

problem Impracticality of traditional matching methods in high-dimensional datasets due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Develops neural networks to create non-trivial, multivariate balancing scores for high-dimensional causal inference.
result Neural score matching outperforms other methods in treatment effect estimation and reducing imbalance on high-dimensional datasets.

Efficiently learns matching rewards in two-sided markets with matrix completion.

problem Learning high-dimensional matching rewards in matching markets with limited data.
method Utilizes matrix completion with a novel approach to handle matching interference.
result Near-optimal guarantees for reward learning under matching interference.

The paper addresses statistical inference in matching markets with dependent missingness.

problem Statistical inference for two-sided matching markets with matching-induced dependence.
method Non-convex algorithm based on Grassmannian gradient descent, debiasing and projection framework.
result Near-optimal entrywise convergence rates for various matching mechanisms.

We aim to create the highest possible quality of treatment-control matches for categorical data in the potential outcomes framework. Matching methods are heavily used in the social sciences due to their interpretability, but most matching methods do not pass basic sanity checks: they fail when irrelevant variables are …

2018-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles distribution matching by partially matching distributions, achieving robust results.

problem Robustly aligning two probability distributions.
method Developed a partial Wasserstein adversarial network (PWAN) to efficiently approximate the partial Wasserstein-1 (PW) discrepancy.
result The PWAN effectively produces highly robust matching results, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

Partial soft-matching distance improves neural representation comparison by allowing some neurons to remain unmatched.

problem Neural representations are noisy and contain outliers, making traditional matching methods unreliable.
method Extends soft-matching distance to a partial optimal transport setting, allowing some neurons to remain unmatched.
result Partial soft-matching provides robust correspondences that are more reliable under noise and outliers.

Score matching is a recently developed parameter learning method that is particularly effective to complicated high dimensional density models with intractable partition functions. In this paper, we study two issues that have not been completely resolved for score matching. First, we provide a formal link between maxim…

2012-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

NeuroMatch efficiently matches subgraphs in large graphs using neural networks.

problem Determining the presence and location of a query graph in a large target graph.
method NeuroMatch decomposes graphs into subgraphs, embeds them using graph neural networks, and matches them directly in the embedding space.
result NeuroMatch is 100x faster and 18% more accurate than existing methods.

Unified model forecasts epidemics with spatial and temporal dynamics.

problem Limited accuracy in traditional models and lack of interpretability in deep learning models.
method CSTGNN integrates Spatio-Contact SIR model with Graph Neural Networks.
result Effective spatiotemporal epidemic forecasting with interpretability.

Polynomial time algorithm matches correlated Gaussian matrices without vanishing correlation.

problem Matching vertices in two correlated Erdős-Rényi graphs.
method Iterative matching algorithm for correlated Gaussian Wigner matrices.
result First polynomial time algorithm for graph matching with arbitrarily small constant correlation.

The paper analyzes set-to-set matching with neural networks, focusing on theoretical generalization.

problem Theoretical analysis of set-to-set matching with neural networks.
method Generalization error analysis of set-to-set matching with neural networks.
result Theoretical insights into the behavior of set-to-set matching models.

Improved score matching methods for estimating score functions and Hessians without high dimensionality.

problem Estimating score functions and Hessians efficiently in high-dimensional data.
method Implicit score matching and denoising score matching, leveraging Gagliardo-Nirenberg inequalities.
result Achieves convergence rates similar to denoising score matching and estimates Hessians without dimensionality issues.

In this paper, we introduce a novel, non-recursive, maximal matching algorithm for double auctions, which aims to maximize the amount of commodities to be traded. It differs from the usual equilibrium matching, which clears a market at the equilibrium price. We compare the two algorithms through experimental analyses, …

2013-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves likelihood of score-based diffusion ODEs using high-order denoising score matching.

problem The gap between maximum likelihood and score matching objectives for score-based diffusion ODEs.
method High-order denoising score matching to maximize likelihood.
result Score-based diffusion ODEs achieve better likelihood on synthetic and CIFAR-10 data.

MREC efficiently matches and aligns point clouds, useful for single cell molecular data.

problem Comparing and aligning large datasets across various domains.
method Recursive decomposition algorithm for matching data sets, optimizing over partitioning and matching algorithms.
result Demonstrates flexibility and power in applying MREC to single cell molecular data alignment problems.

Given a matched pair of Lie groups, we show that the tangent bundle of the matched pair group is isomorphic to the matched pair of the tangent groups. We thus obtain the Euler-Lagrange equations on the trivialized matched pair of tangent groups, as well as the Euler-Poincaré equations on the matched pair of Lie algebra…

2015-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗