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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for State Sequences

We obtain an index of the complexity of a random sequence by allowing the role of the measure in classical probability theory to be played by a function we call the generating mechanism. Typically, this generating mechanism will be a finite automata. We generate a set of biased sequences by applying a finite state auto…

2008-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences to help detect the changes of dynamic systems, check the divergence of the syste…

2018-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

CF-VAE models capture multi-modal distributions for better structured sequence prediction.

problem Challenges in capturing multi-modality of future states in latent variable models.
method Conditional Flow Variational Autoencoders (CF-VAE) with conditional normalizing flows.
result CF-VAE achieves state-of-the-art results on multi-modal structured sequence prediction datasets.

DSSM separates domain-invariant dynamics from domain-specifics in sequential data.

problem Learning cross-domain sequence representations from diverse data domains.
method Introduce disentangled state space models (DSSM) using unsupervised VAE-based training.
result Improves knowledge transfer and robust prediction across domains.

Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer scientists [17]. This paper gives an idea about the trend analysis of stock mar…

2013-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural Physicist learns physical dynamics from images.

problem Learning meaningful physical state representations and accurate state transitions from image sequences.
method Neural Physicist uses VAE for state extraction, NP for parameters, and SSM for dynamics.
result Achieves long-term predictions and identifies system degrees of freedom.

This paper introduces a new neural ODE model for continuous-time sequence generation.

problem Representing and predicting continuous-time sequences with high accuracy.
method A neural emission model and neural ODE define the latent state evolution, with an Energy-based model for prior distribution.
result The model outperforms existing methods in various tasks, including long-horizon predictions.

Complex systems, such as airplanes, cars, or financial markets, produce multivariate time series data consisting of a large number of system measurements over a period of time. Such data can be interpreted as a sequence of states, where each state represents a prototype of system behavior. An important problem in this …

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles finding optimal treatment sequences in continuous state spaces.

problem Finding counterfactually optimal action sequences in continuous state spaces.
method Formalizes the problem using finite horizon Markov decision processes and structural causal models. Develops a search method based on the A* algorithm.
result The method can find optimal action sequences in polynomial time under certain conditions.

Herding defines a deterministic dynamical system at the edge of chaos. It generates a sequence of model states and parameters by alternating parameter perturbations with state maximizations, where the sequence of states can be interpreted as "samples" from an associated MRF model. Herding differs from maximum likelihoo…

2016-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In several natural language tasks, labeled sequences are available in separate domains (say, languages), but the goal is to label sequences with mixed domain (such as code-switched text). Or, we may have available models for labeling whole passages (say, with sentiments), which we would like to exploit toward better po…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New insights into how encoder-decoder networks generate attention matrices.

problem Understanding how encoder-decoder networks use attention matrices.
method Decomposing hidden states into temporal and input-driven components.
result Attention matrices are formed based on task requirements, not architecture type.

AutoGraph uses transformers to efficiently generate graphs as sequences.

problem Efficiently generating large, sparse graphs without expensive node features.
method Flattening graphs into sequences and using decoder-only transformers.
result AutoGraph achieves state-of-the-art performance on synthetic and molecular benchmarks.

Neural attention (NA) has become a key component of sequence-to-sequence models that yield state-of-the-art performance in as hard tasks as abstractive document summarization (ADS) and video captioning (VC). NA mechanisms perform inference of context vectors; these constitute weighted sums of deterministic input sequen…

2018-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework handles both exchangeable and non-exchangeable event sequences without tuning.

problem Handling both exchangeable and non-exchangeable event sequences efficiently.
method Parametric Hawkes-process-inspired conditional probability mass function with variational inference.
result Competitive computational and predictive performance against state-of-the-art methods.

ATS2S model predicts RUL of industrial equipment using attention mechanism.

problem Accurate estimation of RUL for industrial equipment to improve maintenance schedules and reduce costs.
method ATS2S model that optimizes reconstruction and RUL prediction losses, uses attention mechanism, and integrates encoder and decoder features.
result ATS2S model achieves superior performance over 13 state-of-the-art methods on four real datasets.

DeepNovoV2 improves de novo peptide sequencing from mass spectrometry data.

problem De novo peptide sequencing from mass spectrometry data for personalized cancer vaccines.
method DeepNovoV2 combines T-Net and recurrent neural networks for end-to-end training and prediction.
result DeepNovoV2 achieves 13.01-23.95\% higher accuracy than previous methods.

Paper clusters event sequences using a reinforcement learning approach with policy mixture model.

problem Clustering event sequences with varying temporal patterns.
method Reinforcement learning with a policy mixture model, decomposing sequences into states and actions.
result Effective clustering of event sequences into underlying policies, outperforming existing methods.

Deep learning models predict solar irradiance for short-term forecasts.

problem Accurate prediction of solar irradiance for renewable energy integration.
method Sequence-to-sequence LSTM models for GHI forecasting, incorporating spatial-temporal features.
result LSTM models outperform traditional techniques in short-term GHI forecasting.

The α\alpha-Alternator adapts to varying noise levels in sequences, improving robustness and performance.

problem Current models assume uniform noise levels, limiting performance on noisy temporal data.
method Introduces α\alpha-Alternator using Vendi Score to dynamically adjust noise sensitivity.
result Outperforms Alternators and state-of-the-art models in trajectory prediction, imputation, and forecasting.

D-LinOSS models learn to dissipate energy, improving performance on long-range tasks.

problem Representational limitations of LinOSS models in long-range reasoning.
method Introducing Damped Linear Oscillatory State-Space models (D-LinOSS) that learn to dissipate latent state energy on arbitrary time scales.
result D-LinOSS consistently outperforms previous LinOSS methods on long-range learning tasks, achieving faster convergence and reducing hyperparameter search space.

State-of-the-art sequence labeling systems traditionally require large amounts of task-specific knowledge in the form of hand-crafted features and data pre-processing. In this paper, we introduce a novel neutral network architecture that benefits from both word- and character-level representations automatically, by usi…

2016-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study designs neural networks for fault localization, state estimation, and optimal PMU placement in power systems.

problem Fault localization, state estimation, and optimal PMU placement in power systems.
method Designs and compares various neural networks for fault localization, builds machine learning schemes for state estimation and parameter estimation, and designs an algorithm for optimal PMU placement.
result Comprehensive comparison of neural networks for fault localization shows that Graphical Convolutional NN and Neural Graph-based ODE perform best.

LTM tackles long sequence language modeling by avoiding vanishing and exploding gradients.

problem Language models struggle with long sequences due to gradient issues.
method Introduces Long Term Memory network (LTM) that scales memory and weights input, avoiding overfitting.
result LTM achieves state-of-the-art perplexity results with fewer cells than previous models.