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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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9182635 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Spatio-Temporal Decoupling

We present two instances, L-GAE and L-VGAE, of the variational graph auto-encoding family (VGAE) based on separating feature propagation operations from graph convolution layers typically found in graph learning methods to a single linear matrix computation made prior to input in standard auto-encoder architectures. Th…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

SA-BCP combines long-term and local evidence for efficient, adaptive online prediction.

problem Balancing fast adaptation and stable coverage in online prediction.
method State-Adaptive Bayesian Conformal Prediction (SA-BCP) using gated convex combination of temporal inertia and spatial evidence.
result SA-BCP achieves at-or-above-nominal coverage with substantially sharper intervals compared to discounted Bayesian CP.

STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.

problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.

Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.

problem Accurate spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification in epidemiology and risk analysis.
method Integrates Graph Attention Network (GATv2) with model-based geostatistics (MBG) to capture relational and spatial dependencies.
result Hybrid model improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to standalone models.

FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.

A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.

problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.

Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.

problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.

New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.

problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.

New method predicts spatio-temporal data with short and long-range dependence.

problem Uncertainty in predicting the distribution of mixed moving average fields.
method Theory-guided machine learning approach using generalized Bayesian algorithm.
result Fixed-time and any-time PAC Bayesian bounds for ensemble forecasts.

New model infers causal relationships from spatio-temporal data, even with unobserved confounders.

problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from spatio-temporal data due to unobserved confounders.
method Spatio-Temporal Hierarchical Causal Models (ST-HCMs) that extend hierarchical causal modeling to the spatio-temporal domain, using the Spatio-Temporal Collapse Theorem.
result Validated the effectiveness of ST-HCMs on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating robust causal inference in complex dynamic systems.

FNOs improve spatio-temporal forecasting without needing PDE details.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics in physical and biological phenomena.
method Fourier Neural Operators (FNOs) for dynamic spatio-temporal modeling.
result FNO forecasts are accurate and capture complex real-world dependencies.

Inner product-based convolution has been a central component of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and the key to learning visual representations. Inspired by the observation that CNN-learned features are naturally decoupled with the norm of features corresponding to the intra-class variation and the angle correspond…

2018-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Model improves mortgage credit risk prediction with spatio-temporal machine learning.

problem Improving accuracy of default probabilities and loan portfolio loss distributions in mortgage credit risk.
method Combines tree-boosting with a latent spatio-temporal Gaussian process model.
result Predictive models outperform conventional methods due to non-linear and spatio-temporal effects.

A new kernel framework analyzes spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations.

problem Analyzing spatio-temporal data from dynamic equations with noisy measurements.
method Kernel-based framework with representer theorem for minimizing error with given samples.
result Minimizes error in solutions of dynamic equations with noisy spatio-temporal data.

This paper tackles spatio-temporal information preservation in machine learning.

problem Conventional machine learning assumes orthogonal data attributes, disrupting spatio-temporal information.
method Shift-invariant k-means, convolutional dictionary learning, and spatio-temporal hypercomplex encoding schemes are proposed.
result Gabor feature extraction outperforms convolutional dictionary learning in spatio-temporal information preservation.

Dynamic sample pruning speeds up spatio-temporal forecasting models.

problem Training deep learning models on large, redundant datasets is computationally expensive.
method Dynamic sample pruning based on real-time learning state.
result Significant acceleration of training speed with improved performance.

Estimates spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using tensor recovery.

problem Estimating influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes.
method Formulates influence function as a tensor kernel, assumes low-rank structure, solves as convex optimization problem.
result Provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates efficiency with simulations.

Efficient spatio-temporal Gaussian process inference method.

problem Scalable Gaussian process inference for multivariate, spatio-temporal data.
method Combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a scalable non-conjugate GP method.
result Linear scaling with respect to time and logarithmic scaling with respect to time steps.

New method clusters evolving networks using spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.

problem Clustering communities in time-varying graphs.
method Extends spectral clustering to dynamic graphs using CCA and spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
result The spatio-temporal graph Laplacian clearly interprets cluster evolution over time.

New algorithm predicts spatio-temporal events with improved accuracy.

problem Non-stationary spatio-temporal prediction on dense and sparse sequences.
method Probabilistic approach using point processes and self-organizing decision trees.
result Significant performance improvements over baseline and state-of-the-art methods.

We investigate finite-time decoupled convergence in nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation.

problem Achieving decoupled convergence in nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation.
method Nested local linearity assumption, suitable step size selection, convergence analysis of matrix cross term, fourth-order moment convergence rates.
result Finite-time decoupled convergence rates can be achieved in nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation with proper step size selection.

New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.

problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method Generalized Bayesian methodology, MMAF-guided learning, ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecast performance comparable to, and sometimes better than, deep learning architectures.

New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.

Spectral decoupling improves neural network generalization in medical imaging.

problem Poor generalization of neural networks trained on medical imaging data.
method Spectral decoupling, a regularization technique that encourages learning more features.
result Spectral decoupling increases network robustness and performance on external datasets.

Spatio-temporal graphs such as traffic networks or gene regulatory systems present challenges for the existing deep learning methods due to the complexity of structural changes over time. To address these issues, we introduce Spatio-Temporal Deep Graph Infomax (STDGI)---a fully unsupervised node representation learning…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a spatio-temporal Bayesian model for early detection of COVID-19 hotspots.

problem Understanding spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 hotspots to prevent outbreaks.
method Spatio-temporal Bayesian framework with a zero-mean Gaussian process and non-stationary kernel function enhanced by deep neural networks.
result Model demonstrates superior hotspot-detection performance compared to baseline methods.

Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.

problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.

Decoupled GCN is shown to be equivalent to label propagation.

problem Improving semi-supervised node classification in graph learning.
method The paper proves the equivalence of decoupled GCN and label propagation, and proposes a new method named PTA.
result Decoupled GCN is equivalent to two-step label propagation and can automatically assign weights to pseudo-labels.

Herein, we propose a spatio-temporal extension of RBFNN for nonlinear system identification problem. The proposed algorithm employs the concept of time-space orthogonality and separately models the dynamics and nonlinear complexities of the system. The proposed RBF architecture is explored for the estimation of a highl…

2019-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New model tackles complex spatio-temporal causal inference with dynamic confounders and functional data.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics and unmeasured confounders hinder causal inference.
method PFD-BDCM, a unified generative framework for spatio-temporal dependencies, functional data, and dynamic confounding.
result PFD-BDCM outperforms existing methods across observational, interventional, and counterfactual queries.