Gradient boosting for spatial regression models improves prediction accuracy.
problem Spatial data with autoregressive disturbances.
method Model-based gradient boosting algorithm for spatial regression models.
result Improves prediction accuracy on out-of-sample spatial data.
S-SIRUS explains RF for spatial data, improving accuracy and interpretability.
problem Non-interpretable nature of Random Forest in spatially dependent data.
method Proposes S-SIRUS, a spatial extension of SIRUS for extracting interpretable rules.
result S-SIRUS outperforms SIRUS in spatially dependent data, offering higher predictive accuracy and shorter rule lists.
A scalable Bayesian linear regression framework for spatial data.
problem Scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets.
method Conjugate Bayesian linear regression framework.
result Exact sampling from joint posterior distribution without iterative algorithms.
Deep learning method for semiparametric regression of spatial data.
problem Estimating relationships between response and covariates in spatially dependent data.
method A sparsely connected deep neural network with ReLU activation function.
result The method is consistent and can handle large datasets.
Method predicts spatial values with few data using GP framework.
problem Few data limit predictive performance in spatial regression.
method Trains neural network to infer task representation from small data, uses GP framework to predict spatial values.
result Proposed method achieves better predictive performance than meta-learning methods.
Combines BART and Gaussian process for spatial covariate prediction with uncertainty.
problem Improving spatial prediction models with nonlinear and interaction covariates.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) combined with Gaussian process for spatial dependence.
result Effective in reducing computational burden through INLA and MCMC.
Proposes a deep neural network for spatial data regression.
problem Regression of spatial data using deep neural networks.
method Localized two-layer deep neural network for spatial data, proving consistency and asymptotic convergence.
result Asymptotic convergence rate is faster than existing methods, demonstrating effectiveness on temperature estimation.
This work relates the framework of model-based clustering for spatial functional data where the data are surfaces. We first introduce a Bayesian spatial spline regression model with mixed-effects (BSSR) for modeling spatial function data. The BSSR model is based on Nodal basis functions for spatial regression and accom…
SX-GeoTree improves spatially coherent explanations in geospatial regression trees.
problem Capturing spatial dependence and producing robust explanations in tabular prediction models.
method Integrates three objectives: impurity reduction, spatial residual control, and explanation robustness via modularity maximization on a consensus similarity network.
result Improves residual spatial evenness and doubles attribution consensus (modularity: Fujian 0.19 vs 0.09; Seattle 0.10 vs 0.05).
Proposes LSCP for spatial data uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in spatial statistics, especially for complex and heterogeneous datasets.
method Localized quantile regression for spatial conformal prediction.
result LSCP provides more accurate and consistent prediction intervals.
A new machine learning method for spatial regression.
problem Spatial/temporal regression with scattered data and arbitrary dimensions.
method Modified Planar Rotator (MPRS) method, a non-parametric model with distance-dependent interactions.
result MPRS predictions are competitive with standard interpolation methods and superior in handling rough and non-Gaussian data.
FFRK automatically extracts features for spatial interpolation without external variables.
problem Spatial interpolation challenges, especially nonstationarity and lack of explanatory variables.
method Feature-Free Regression Kriging (FFRK) method that extracts geospatial features.
result FFRK outperforms classical methods in predicting heavy metal concentrations.
STARK improves denoising of low-depth spatial transcriptomics images.
problem Denoising spatial transcriptomics images at ultra-low sequencing depths.
method Adaptive regularization with kernel ridge regression and graph Laplacian.
result STARK optimizes denoising performance over competing methods.
GSNE improves house price predictions by embedding geo-spatial context.
problem Lack of contextual information in house price prediction models.
method Geo-Spatial Network Embedding (GSNE) using graph neural networks.
result GSNE embeddings consistently improve house price prediction performance.
GWRBoost improves GWR for better spatial relationship quantification.
problem Underfitting in GWR for complex data and lack of explainable quantification.
method Geographically weighted gradient boosting model using localized additive model and gradient boosting optimization.
result Significant improvement in RMSE and AICc compared to classic GWR.
The paper develops a new model for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing.
problem Estimating spatial interactions in high-dimensional asset pricing.
method Integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis using generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing models.
Study on consistency of ML methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.
problem Consistency of machine learning methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.
method Least squares, ridge regression, and ℓs-penalized least squares methods under non-stationary spatial-temporal sampling. result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimates under weak conditions.
This study tackles Gaussian process regression with summarized data.
problem Learning and inference with summarized data (summary statistics, counts) in spatial modeling.
method Sample quasi-likelihood approach to Gaussian process regression.
result Approximation performance of the method is influenced by data granularity and covariance function length scale.
Normative modeling has recently been proposed as an alternative for the case-control approach in modeling heterogeneity within clinical cohorts. Normative modeling is based on single-output Gaussian process regression that provides coherent estimates of uncertainty required by the method but does not consider spatial c…
Estimates spatio-temporal data with satellite NO2 concentrations using Yule-Walker equations.
problem Estimating large spatio-temporal autoregressions with unknown spatial interactions.
method Sparse generalized Yule-Walker estimation, penalized regression, spatial and temporal dependence.
result Strong forecast improvements and evidence of spatial interactions in NO2 satellite data.
Proposes a deep neural network approach for image response regression.
problem Associations between medical images and covariates.
method Spatially varying coefficient models with deep neural networks.
result Explicitly accounts for spatial smoothness and subject heterogeneity.
In this work we study the non-parametric reconstruction of spatio-temporal dynamical Gaussian processes (GPs) via GP regression from sparse and noisy data. GPs have been mainly applied to spatial regression where they represent one of the most powerful estimation approaches also thanks to their universal representing p…
This note introduces a regression technique for finding a class of nonlinear integro-differential operators from data. The method parametrizes the spatial operator with neural networks and Fourier transforms such that it can fit a class of nonlinear operators without needing a library of a priori selected operators. We…
GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.
problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.
Successfully predicting gentrification could have many social and commercial applications; however, real estate sales are difficult to predict because they belong to a chaotic system comprised of intrinsic and extrinsic characteristics, perceived value, and market speculation. Using New York City real estate as our sub…
This work classifies strategies to incorporate spatial dependence in Random Forest models.
problem Spatial and temporal dependence in environmental data not adequately modeled by standard Random Forest.
method Taxonomy and systematic review of strategies to adjust Random Forest for spatially dependent data.
result 32 scientific documents reviewed, providing a comprehensive classification of strategies.
flexBART improves BART for categorical predictors by creating flexible tree partitions.
problem Limitation of BART in handling categorical predictors with one-hot encoding.
method flexBART re-implements BART with regression trees that can assign multiple levels to both branches of a decision tree node, and proposes a new decision rule prior for spatial data.
result flexBART often yields improved predictive performance and scales better to larger datasets than existing BART implementations.
Integrates Fourier features for faster Gaussian process regression.
problem Efficiently scaling Gaussian process regression to large datasets.
method Integrated Fourier features for Gaussian processes.
result Improves Gaussian process regression speed to O(M3) for a broad class of kernels. We propose an efficient method for estimating covariate effects in doubly-stochastic spatial models.
problem Computational demands and restrictive assumptions in existing doubly-stochastic spatial models.
method Penalized regression method for estimating covariate effects in doubly-stochastic point processes.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the covariate effect estimates achieved despite model misspecification.
Study uses regression and ML for COVID-19 mortality forecasting.
problem Forecasting COVID-19 mortality during the first wave in Spain.
method Cyclical curve log-regression, multivariate time series spatial residual correlation analysis, Bayesian approach, machine learning.
result Empirical analysis shows ML regression models perform better than traditional methods.
New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.
problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.
Treeging combines regression trees and kriging for spatial and space-time prediction.
problem Improving spatial and space-time prediction accuracy.
method Combines regression trees with kriging's covariance structures.
result Treeging outperforms kriging and random forest in various scenarios.
Spatial information is not always necessary for spatio-temporal models.
problem The necessity of including spatial information in spatio-temporal models.
method Comparison of spatial agnostic neural networks with state-of-the-art models on ten datasets.
result Spatial information is not always needed in most spatio-temporal models.
New model predicts weekly earthquakes with better tail risk assessment.
problem Violation of Poisson assumption in seismic data.
method Neural network for per-cell overdispersion estimation.
result 8.6% reduction in mean pinball deviation, 12.5% lower CRPS in tail events.
Unified framework detects shifts in climate boundaries using GP regression and MAD test.
problem Challenges in quantifying and testing for temporal shifts in spatial boundaries from noisy data.
method Combines heteroskedastic GP regression with scaled MAD GET.
result No significant decade-scale changes in arid and semi-arid interfaces, but localized shifts during extreme droughts identified.
This paper develops a new neural network architecture for modeling spatial distributions (i.e., distributions on R^d) which is computationally efficient and specifically designed to take advantage of the spatial structure of limit order books. The new architecture yields a low-dimensional model of price movements deep …
Probabilistic Bisection Algorithm performs root finding based on knowledge acquired from noisy oracle responses. We consider the generalized PBA setting (G-PBA) where the statistical distribution of the oracle is unknown and location-dependent, so that model inference and Bayesian knowledge updating must be performed s…
New method preserves GCM spatial dependencies for better climate projections.
problem Systemic biases in GCM output and loss of spatial/temporal dependencies.
method SPECD approach using Vecchia approximation and semi-parametric quantile regression.
result SPECD preserves key marginal and joint distribution properties of precipitation and temperature.
Machine-learning algorithms have gained popularity in recent years in the field of ecological modeling due to their promising results in predictive performance of classification problems. While the application of such algorithms has been highly simplified in the last years due to their well-documented integration in co…
New algorithms improve uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation predictions.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data.
method Benchmarked six algorithms including LightGBM, compared using quantile scoring functions and rules.
result LightGBM outperformed other algorithms in quantile scoring rule by 11.10%.
Automated rock fragmentation assessment using deep learning and spatial statistics.
problem Assessing post-blast rock fragmentation in real-time.
method Fine-tuned YOLO12l-seg model for instance segmentation, followed by spatial statistics.
result Framework accurately assesses rock fragmentation patterns in real-time.
Recent theory work has found that a special type of spatial partition tree - called a random projection tree - is adaptive to the intrinsic dimension of the data from which it is built. Here we examine this same question, with a combination of theory and experiments, for a broader class of trees that includes k-d trees…
Combination of distributional regression algorithms improves uncertainty estimation of satellite precipitation products.
problem Uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation products.
method Ensemble learning methods combining conditional zero-adjusted probability distributions estimated with GAMLSS, spline-based GAMLSS, and distributional regression forests.
result Stacking of methods outperformed individual methods in most quantile levels using the quantile loss function.
BKTR models spatiotemporal data with scalable tensor regression.
problem High computational cost in applying STVC to large-scale spatiotemporal data.
method Summarize STVC coefficients in a tensor, reformulate as low-rank tensor regression, incorporate GP priors for local dependencies.
result BKTR efficiently models large spatiotemporal datasets with reduced parameters and local dependencies.
We introduce a multiscale supervised dimension reduction method for SPatial Interaction Network (SPIN) data, which consist of a collection of spatially coordinated interactions. This type of predictor arises when the sampling unit of data is composed of a collection of primitive variables, each of them being essentiall…
Study improves sugarcane plot prediction using data interpolation.
problem Predicting adventive plants in sugarcane plots with limited data.
method Interpolation techniques (Gaussian processes, kriging) for geo-referenced data augmentation.
result GP-COMB outperforms other methods with less additional data.
Using open source data, we observe the fascinating dynamics of nighttime light. Following a global economic regime shift, the planetary center of light can be seen moving eastwards at a pace of about 60 km per year. Introducing spatial light Gini coefficients, we find a universal pattern of human settlements across dif…
Neural networks improve geospatial data analysis by relaxing linearity assumptions.
problem Traditional geospatial analysis assumes linear models, limiting flexibility.
method Embedding neural networks within traditional geostatistical models for non-linear mean functions.
result NN-GLS algorithm provides consistent and scalable predictions for irregular spatial data.