A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boosting algorithms with smooth transition regression trees. The main advantage of the BooST model is the estimation of the derivatives (partial…
We introduce a useful tool for analyzing boosting algorithms called the ``smooth margin function,'' a differentiable approximation of the usual margin for boosting algorithms. We present two boosting algorithms based on this smooth margin, ``coordinate ascent boosting'' and ``approximate coordinate ascent boosting,'' w…
Boosting is a popular way to derive powerful learners from simpler hypothesis classes. Following previous work (Mason et al., 1999; Friedman, 2000) on general boosting frameworks, we analyze gradient-based descent algorithms for boosting with respect to any convex objective and introduce a new measure of weak learner p…
We introduce a novel boosting algorithm called `KTBoost' which combines kernel boosting and tree boosting. In each boosting iteration, the algorithm adds either a regression tree or reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression function to the ensemble of base learners. Intuitively, the idea is that discontinuous …
Recent works have shown the effectiveness of randomized smoothing as a scalable technique for building neural network-based classifiers that are provably robust to ℓ2-norm adversarial perturbations. In this paper, we employ adversarial training to improve the performance of randomized smoothing. We design an adap…
Study on L2-boosting behavior as learning rate approaches zero.
problem Understanding the asymptotic behavior of L2-boosting algorithms with vanishing learning rates.
method Analyzes L2-boosting for regression with linear base learners, proving a deterministic limit and characterizing it as a solution to a linear differential equation.
result Proves the existence of a unique solution to the limit problem and analyzes the training and test error.
New algorithm improves convergence of gradient boosting trees.
problem Global convergence of Newton boosting in tabular machine learning.
method Introduces Gradient Regularized Newton Descent for GBDTs, proving linear convergence for smooth, strongly convex losses and O(k21) rate for general convex losses.
result Achieves globally convergent second-order GBDT algorithm with rate matching first-order boosting.
The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is one of the most widely used econometric methods in applied macroeconomic research. Like all nonparametric methods, the HP filter depends critically on a tuning parameter that controls the degree of smoothing. Yet in contrast to modern nonparametric methods and applied work with these…
Approximating a probability density in a tractable manner is a central task in Bayesian statistics. Variational Inference (VI) is a popular technique that achieves tractability by choosing a relatively simple variational family. Borrowing ideas from the classic boosting framework, recent approaches attempt to \emph{boo…
Given functional data from a survival process with time-dependent covariates, we derive a smooth convex representation for its nonparametric log-likelihood functional and obtain its functional gradient. From this, we devise a generic gradient boosting procedure for estimating the hazard function nonparametrically. An i…
As machine learning transitions increasingly towards real world applications controlling the test-time cost of algorithms becomes more and more crucial. Recent work, such as the Greedy Miser and Speedboost, incorporate test-time budget constraints into the training procedure and learn classifiers that provably stay wit…
Boosting-inspired framework for federated learning with progressive model personalization.
problem Statistical heterogeneity across clients in federated learning.
method Construct an ensemble of personalized models, progressively increasing the depth of the personalized component while controlling its effective complexity.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art PFL methods under heterogeneous data distributions.
This study compares machine learning algorithms for predictive performance and interpretability.
problem Comparing supervised machine learning algorithms for predictive ability and model interpretation.
method Simulation studies of extreme gradient boosting machines, random forests, and feedforward neural networks on structured data.
result Feedforward neural networks generally outperform tree-based boosting algorithms in smooth models, while tree-based models perform better in non-smooth models.
Boosted decision trees typically yield good accuracy, precision, and ROC area. However, because the outputs from boosting are not well calibrated posterior probabilities, boosting yields poor squared error and cross-entropy. We empirically demonstrate why AdaBoost predicts distorted probabilities and examine three cali…
Boosting is one of the most significant developments in machine learning. This paper studies the rate of convergence of L2Boosting, which is tailored for regression, in a high-dimensional setting. Moreover, we introduce so-called \textquotedblleft post-Boosting\textquotedblright. This is a post-selection estimator w…
There is a large literature explaining why AdaBoost is a successful classifier. The literature on AdaBoost focuses on classifier margins and boosting's interpretation as the optimization of an exponential likelihood function. These existing explanations, however, have been pointed out to be incomplete. A random forest …
We present a new boosting algorithm, motivated by the large margins theory for boosting. We give experimental evidence that the new algorithm is significantly more robust against label noise than existing boosting algorithm.