Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

73146218291 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO) loss

This paper improves risk bounds and calibration for smart predict-then-optimize method.

problem Improving risk bounds and calibration for smart predict-then-optimize method.
method Develops risk bounds and uniform calibration results for the SPO+ loss relative to the SPO loss.
result Empirical minimizer of the SPO+ loss achieves low excess true risk with high probability.

Many real-world analytics problems involve two significant challenges: prediction and optimization. Due to the typically complex nature of each challenge, the standard paradigm is predict-then-optimize. By and large, machine learning tools are intended to minimize prediction error and do not account for how the predict…

2017-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new autoregressive SPO method improves decision-making for dependent data.

problem Improving decision-making for dependent data in stochastic optimization.
method An autoregressive Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO) method for time series data.
result Generalization bounds and uniform calibration results for the SPO loss in autoregressive models.

Paper proposes SPO paradigm for better portfolio optimization in real markets.

problem Real-world trading frictions and constraints affect portfolio optimization quality.
method SPO paradigm with decision-focused training using surrogate loss and linear predictors.
result Decision-focused training improves risk-adjusted performance and robustness.

Decision trees improve decision-making by optimizing predictions of unknown parameters.

problem Optimizing decisions based on predicted unknown parameters.
method SPO Trees (SPOTs) for training decision trees under the SPO loss function.
result SPOTs provide higher quality decisions and significantly lower model complexity compared to other machine learning approaches.

New loss function handles uncertain constraints in CSLO problems.

problem Handling uncertain inequality constraints in CSLO with machine learning predictions.
method Introduces SPO-RC loss and SPO-RC+ surrogate, trains on truncated datasets, corrects bias.
result SPO-RC+ effectively manages constraint uncertainty and improves performance.

Develops active learning method for linear optimization with margin-based criterion.

problem Optimizing decisions in linear optimization problems with limited labeled data.
method Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO) loss and margin-based active learning algorithm.
result Algorithm achieves significantly fewer labels than naive supervised learning, especially for minimizing SPO loss.

The predict-then-optimize framework is fundamental in many practical settings: predict the unknown parameters of an optimization problem, and then solve the problem using the predicted values of the parameters. A natural loss function in this environment is to consider the cost of the decisions induced by the predicted…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This study explains and mitigates inflated returns and turnover in SPO-based portfolio optimization.

problem Inflated returns and excessive turnover in SPO-based portfolio optimization.
method KKT-based interpretation of portfolio decisions as ranking over adjusted scores, empirical evaluation of stabilization mechanisms.
result Realistic output constraints and portfolio-level turnover control improve SPO-based strategies.

DFFL tackles federated learning with heterogeneous objectives and constraints.

problem Federated learning with clients having different objectives and feasible regions.
method Derived heterogeneity bounds for cost-vector distances and support-function/shape-distance terms. Lifted pointwise bounds to local-versus-federated excess-risk comparison.
result Federation is beneficial when the statistical advantage of pooling exceeds a client-specific heterogeneity penalty.

New approach optimizes decisions based on uncertainty in predictions.

problem Mismatch between prediction accuracy and decision loss in sequential design.
method Directional uncertainty-guided approach to sequential experimental design.
result Directional uncertainty-based design stops earlier and performs better.

SPO optimizes LLMs by eliminating group-based baselines and variance issues.

problem Frequent degenerate groups and synchronization barriers in group-based policy optimization methods.
method Single-stream Policy Optimization (SPO) replaces per-group baselines with a persistent, KL-adaptive value tracker and global advantage normalization.
result SPO converges more smoothly and attains higher accuracy than GRPO, improving maj@32 by +3.4 pp across five math benchmarks.

Stochastic particle-optimization sampling (SPOS) is a recently-developed scalable Bayesian sampling framework that unifies stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) and Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) algorithms based on Wasserstein gradient flows. With a rigorous non-asymptotic convergence theory developed recently…

2018-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the space of differential operators Dλμ\mathcal{D}_{λμ} acting between λλ- and μμ-densities defined on S12S^{1|2} endowed with its standard contact structure. This contact structure allows one to define a filtration on Dλμ\mathcal{D}_{λμ} which is finer than the classical one, obtained by writting a differen…

2013-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

DVA framework attributes value of predictive models to features, configurations, and interactions.

problem Lack of explanation for how predictive models influence operational decisions.
method Shapley-based cooperative game theory applied to predict-then-optimize systems.
result DVA can guide targeted interventions to align model beliefs with operational performance.

New PG losses improve decision optimization in misspecified models.

problem Improving decision optimization in models that are not perfectly specified.
method Introducing Perturbation Gradient (PG) losses to connect decision loss with directional derivatives and optimizing using gradient techniques.
result PG losses yield best-in-class policies asymptotically, even in misspecified settings.

The paper optimizes portfolios by selecting financial ratios via PCA for better value investment.

problem Embedding value investment in portfolio optimization models.
method Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to filter out dominant financial ratios, then applying portfolio optimization model with second-order stochastic dominance criteria.
result PCA-SPO(B) strategy outperforms other models in terms of downside deviation, CVaR, VaR, Sortino, Rachev, and STARR ratios.

In this paper, we show that the Lie superalgebra spo(2l+2n)\mathfrak{spo}(2l+2|n) is into the intersection of Lie superalgebra of contact vector fields K(2l+1n)\mathcal{K}(2l+1|n) and the Lie superalgebra of projective vector fields pgl(2l+2n)\mathfrak{pgl}(2l+2|n). We use mainly the embedding used by P. Mathonet and F. Radoux in "\textit{ …

2016-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to learn adaptive ambiguity sets for robust optimization.

problem Misspecification in distributionally robust optimization (DRO).
method Learned predictive ambiguity sets (LPAS) using deep contextual models.
result Significantly improves portfolio optimization performance compared to baselines.

We propose a new model of minority game with so-called smart agents such that the standard deviation and the total loss in this model reach the theoretical minimum values in the limit of long time. The smart agents use trail and error method to make a choice but bring global optimization to the system, which suggests t…

2004-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A recurring problem faced when training neural networks is that there is typically not enough data to maximize the generalization capability of deep neural networks(DNN). There are many techniques to address this, including data augmentation, dropout, and transfer learning. In this paper, we introduce an additional met…

2017-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In an economy with asymmetric information, the smart contract in the blockchain protocol mitigates uncertainty. Since, as a new trading platform, the blockchain triggers segmentation of market and differentiation of agents in both the sell and buy sides of the market, it recomposes the asymmetric information and genera…

2018-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Distribution grids are currently challenged by frequent voltage excursions induced by intermittent solar generation. Smart inverters have been advocated as a fast-responding means to regulate voltage and minimize ohmic losses. Since optimal inverter coordination may be computationally challenging and preset local contr…

2018-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes CPO framework for robust decision-making with explainable uncertainty regions.

problem Overly conservative uncertainty regions in data-driven optimization lead to suboptimal decisions.
method Conformal-Predict-Then-Optimize (CPO) framework using conditional generative models and visual summaries.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and explainability in decision-making.

Recently, a wide range of smart devices are deployed in a variety of environments to improve the quality of human life. One of the important IoT-based applications is smart homes for healthcare, especially for elders. IoT-based smart homes enable elders' health to be properly monitored and taken care of. However, elder…

2018-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper establishes axioms for AMMs to ensure fair pricing and fee structures.

problem Ensuring fair and efficient pricing in decentralized finance (DeFi) AMMs.
method Formulating axioms on utility functions to characterize swap sizes and pricing oracles.
result Most existing AMMs satisfy the proposed axioms, and a new AMM is proposed with desirable properties.

A new method for decision-focused learning reduces computational cost.

problem Efficiently solving combinatorial problems with uncertain parameters.
method Reframed as cost-sensitive multi-output regression, with novel loss components.
result Comparable downstream task quality with reduced computational cost.

Adversarial attacks can fool ML energy theft detection models.

problem Vulnerability of ML-based energy theft detection models to adversarial attacks.
method Design of an adversarial measurement generation algorithm.
result ML models can be significantly fooled by adversarial attacks, reducing their detection accuracy.

Unified approach for optimizing predictions in linear programming and inverse problems.

problem Optimizing predictions in linear programming and inverse problems.
method Maximum optimality margin approach.
result Unified approach that balances computational efficiency and theoretical properties.

Improved security of smart contracts by classifying them into four categories.

problem Detecting and classifying vulnerabilities in smart contracts efficiently.
method Used AWD-LSTM for multi-class classification, addressing class imbalance.
result Achieved a weighted average Fbeta score of 90.0%.