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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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140280419559 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Skill Distribution

We introduce a method for constructing skills capable of solving tasks drawn from a distribution of parameterized reinforcement learning problems. The method draws example tasks from a distribution of interest and uses the corresponding learned policies to estimate the topology of the lower-dimensional piecewise-smooth…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method predicts student skill success rates in real-time.

problem Accurate and explainable prediction of student skill success rates in real-time.
method Performance Distribution Tracing (PDT) using a Dynamic Bayesian Network with continuous random variables.
result PDT provides both explainability and accuracy in real-time predictions of student skill success rates.

Transformers learn to solve modular arithmetic tasks by in-context learning and skill composition.

problem Understanding how large language models generalize to unseen tasks in modular arithmetic.
method Pre-training on a set of modular arithmetic tasks and evaluating out-of-distribution performance.
result Transformers require two transformer blocks for out-of-distribution generalization, and deeper models exhibit transient out-of-distribution performance.

Acquiring new robot motor skills is cumbersome, as learning a skill from scratch and without prior knowledge requires the exploration of a large space of motor configurations. Accordingly, for learning a new task, time could be saved by restricting the parameter search space by initializing it with the solution of a si…

2019-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Conventionally, model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) aims to learn a global model for the dynamics of the environment. A good model can potentially enable planning algorithms to generate a large variety of behaviors and solve diverse tasks. However, learning an accurate model for complex dynamical systems is diffi…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Employers actively look for talents having not only specific hard skills but also various soft skills. To analyze the soft skill demands on the job market, it is important to be able to detect soft skill phrases from job advertisements automatically. However, a naive matching of soft skill phrases can lead to false pos…

2018-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Solves a model for sudden problem-solving ability in deep learning.

problem Emergence of new problem-solving abilities in deep learning models.
method Solves a simple multi-linear model in a skill-basis, finding analytic expressions for emergence and scaling laws.
result Simple model captures sigmoidal emergence of multiple new skills in neural networks.

We introduce the Adaptive Skills, Adaptive Partitions (ASAP) framework that (1) learns skills (i.e., temporally extended actions or options) as well as (2) where to apply them. We believe that both (1) and (2) are necessary for a truly general skill learning framework, which is a key building block needed to scale up t…

2016-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explains how language models acquire complex skills through scaling laws and statistical analysis.

problem Understanding how language models acquire new skills as their size and training data increase.
method Statistical framework and mathematical analysis of scaling laws.
result Language models can learn complex skills efficiently due to a strong inductive bias.

Investor skill levels affect optimal portfolio size, study shows.

problem Optimal portfolio size for different skill levels of investors.
method Mathematical methods to study annual and continuous portfolio diversification, regression analysis.
result Strong investors should hold concentrated portfolios, poor investors should hold diversified portfolios.

Researchers study how skills are learned in neural networks using physics principles.

problem Understanding how skills are sequentially learned in neural networks.
method Abstract and simplify the problem using physics principles, proposing three models: Geometry, Resource, and Domino.
result Models reveal insights into neural scaling laws, learning dynamics, and the benefits of modularity.

The paper examines skill estimation and variance under model misspecification in IRT.

problem Underestimation and overestimation of skills when non-compensatory model is misspecified as compensatory.
method Theoretical approach to analyze underestimation and overestimation of skills and variance.
result Overestimation of skills occurs around the origin and asymptotic variance differs under model misspecification.

A planning approach learns skills from interactions, balancing exploration and exploitation.

problem Learning robust high-level skills in noisy environments with unknown pre-conditions.
method Formulates skills as high-level policies, learns plans via bandit problems, balances exploration and exploitation.
result A planner capable of learning robust high-level skills in high-dimensional state spaces.

New algorithm trains neural nets on simple skills to learn complex tasks faster.

problem Learning complex tasks through simple imitation.
method Train neural networks on simple, easy-to-learn skills to accelerate learning of complex, hard-to-learn tasks.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baseline in training speed and performance.

Develops a neural framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems.

problem Uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems using trajectory-oriented approaches.
method D2D neural probabilistic forecasting framework using kernel mean embeddings and mixture density networks.
result The D2D model captures distributional evolution in chaotic systems and produces skillful probabilistic forecasts.

Sloth predicts LLM performance using latent skills across families.

problem Variations in benchmark performance due to differences in training configurations and data processing across model families.
method Sloth uses publicly available benchmark data and assumes LLM performance is driven by latent skills influenced by model size and training tokens. It exploits correlations across benchmarks to provide accurate predictions.
result Sloth predicts LLM performance accurately and offers insights into scaling behaviors for complex tasks.

The paper presents a method for personalized exercise recommendations that improves learner skill gain.

problem Adapting to individual needs in large, diverse groups of learners in digital environments.
method Contextual Thompson Sampling to select exercises that advance learner skill.
result The method recommends exercises associated with greater skill improvement and adapts to learner differences.

Hierarchical reinforcement learning is a promising approach to tackle long-horizon decision-making problems with sparse rewards. Unfortunately, most methods still decouple the lower-level skill acquisition process and the training of a higher level that controls the skills in a new task. Leaving the skills fixed can le…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper combines and improves probabilistic forecasts of wind speeds using advanced statistical methods.

problem Improving accuracy and reliability of probabilistic forecasts in wind speed prediction.
method Adapting prediction with expert advice theory to probabilistic forecasts, combining raw or post-processed ensembles, and using CRPS and Jolliffe-Primo tests.
result Combining probabilistic forecasts can lead to more reliable and skillful predictions, as shown by the Jolliffe-Primo test.

Autonomous agents that must exhibit flexible and broad capabilities will need to be equipped with large repertoires of skills. Defining each skill with a manually-designed reward function limits this repertoire and imposes a manual engineering burden. Self-supervised agents that set their own goals can automate this pr…

2019-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New method automates asymmetric choice for better skill transfer in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving sample efficiency and transferability of reinforcement learning agents.
method Attentive Priors for Expressive and Transferable Skills (APES) using hierarchical KL-regularization.
result APES automates asymmetric choice, leading to better skill transfer across sequential tasks.

The composition of elementary behaviors to solve challenging transfer learning problems is one of the key elements in building intelligent machines. To date, there has been plenty of work on learning task-specific policies or skills but almost no focus on composing necessary, task-agnostic skills to find a solution to …

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Robots can rapidly acquire new skills from demonstrations. However, during generalisation of skills or transitioning across fundamentally different skills, it is unclear whether the robot has the necessary knowledge to perform the task. Failing to detect missing information often leads to abrupt movements or to collisi…

2018-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

E-learning systems are capable of providing more adaptive and efficient learning experiences for students than the traditional classroom setting. A key component of such systems is the learning strategy, the algorithm that designs the learning paths for students based on information such as the students' current progre…

2018-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Training on mixed distributions improves test performance even when components are unrelated.

problem Improving test performance with mismatched training and test distributions.
method Analyzing mixture distributions with different training and test proportions.
result Distribution shift can be beneficial, improving test performance even when components are unrelated.

We propose a novel framework for multi-task reinforcement learning (MTRL). Using a variational inference formulation, we learn policies that generalize across both changing dynamics and goals. The resulting policies are parametrized by shared parameters that allow for transfer between different dynamics and goal condit…

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a hierarchical framework for Deep Reinforcement Learning that acquires motor skills for a variety of push recovery and balancing behaviors, i.e., ankle, hip, foot tilting, and stepping strategies. The policy is trained in a physics simulator with realistic setting of robot model and low-level impeda…

2020-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗