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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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142284425567 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Sentiment Link Prediction

SHINE predicts sentiment links in social networks using diverse information.

problem Predicting sentiment links in social networks using only textual information is insufficient.
method SHINE uses a labeled heterogeneous sentiment dataset and multiple deep autoencoders to predict unobserved sentiment links.
result SHINE outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on link prediction and node recommendation.

Proposes a semi-supervised approach to predict user-level sentiments in social media.

problem Detect and analyze sentiment in social media, especially user-level sentiments.
method Semi-supervised approach using a heterogeneous graph built from social networks, incorporating user influences and multiple types of links.
result Predicts user-level sentiments for specific topics more effectively than previous supervised learning approaches.

GPT-4 improves stock price prediction from microblogging sentiments.

problem Improving stock price prediction using sentiment analysis of microblogs.
method Developed a novel method for contextual sentiment analysis using GPT-4, fine-tuning prompts for better accuracy.
result GPT-4 outperformed BERT in predicting stock price movements, achieving a peak accuracy of 71.47%.

Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.

problem Improving portfolio selection through sentiment analysis and price prediction.
method Semantic Attention Model for sentiment prediction, LSTM for price prediction, mean-variance strategy for portfolio optimization.
result Sentiment-aware portfolio strategies outperform non-sentiment aware models on average.

MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.

problem Aggregated Sentiment Homogenization in financial news data.
method Dynamic market-news attention mechanism to aggregate sentiments.
result MANA-Net outperforms recent market prediction methods by 1.1% Profit & Loss and 0.252 daily Sharpe ratio.

A new framework predicts links in time-dependent networks using Bernoulli autoregression.

problem Predicting links in time-dependent networks with additional auxiliary information.
method A Bernoulli autoregressive model with regularization for link discovery.
result The model can discover new links not present in the data.

Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.

Investor sentiment improves model accuracy but complexity doesn't always boost predictive power.

problem Determining the optimal complexity of investor sentiment measures in asset pricing models.
method Comprehensive review of 71 papers from 2000-2021, analyzing various sentiment measures and models.
result Higher complexity of sentiment measures does not necessarily improve predictive power.

A new Twitter sentiment model predicts stock market trends with high accuracy.

problem Real-time prediction of future stock market prices.
method Baseline correlation approach using polynomial regression, classification, and lexicon-based sentiment analysis.
result Predicts stock market trends with 67.22% accuracy, up to 15 time samples in advance.

Study uses sentiment analysis to predict implied volatility surface, improving prediction accuracy.

problem Improving prediction accuracy of implied volatility surface.
method Constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data, used VAR method, deep learning (BERT, LSTM), FFT, EMD for sentiment decomposition.
result High-frequency sentiment correlates with ATM options' implied volatility, low-frequency with DOTM options.

This study evaluates LLMs for sentiment analysis in stock price prediction.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using LLMs for news sentiment analysis.
method Compared 3 LLMs (DeBERTa, RoBERTa, FinBERT) for sentiment-driven stock prediction.
result DeBERTa outperforms other models with 75% accuracy, and ensemble model increases accuracy to 80%.

BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.

The paper predicts TSE stocks using social media sentiment and volume.

problem Predicting Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) variables using social media data.
method Hybrid sentiment analysis combining lexicon-based and learning-based methods; built a sentiment lexicon for Persian language.
result Sentiment and volume of online comments are useful for predicting TSE stocks.

Modified model predicts stock price jumps using Twitter sentiment.

problem Predicting stock price jumps based on market sentiment.
method Modified Levy jump-diffusion model with memory from Twitter sentiment, optimized with UKF.
result Algorithm provides good performance in identifying asset return trends.

Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.

problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.

This study examines how investor sentiment's predictive power varies with stock characteristics over different time horizons.

problem Investor sentiment's predictive effect on stock returns varies with stock characteristics and time horizon.
method Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain.
result Investor sentiment has varying predictability lengths (short vs. long) for different stock characteristics.

Images have become one of the most popular types of media through which users convey their emotions within online social networks. Although vast amount of research is devoted to sentiment analysis of textual data, there has been very limited work that focuses on analyzing sentiment of image data. In this work, we propo…

2014-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.

problem Investor sentiment and stock returns relationship in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
method Used indirect measures of investor sentiment (SENT and ARMS) and Granger causality tests.
result Sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns, but not the other way around.

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

Transformer predicts Ethereum prices using cross-currency correlation and sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting Ethereum cryptocurrency prices with limited data.
method Transformer-based neural network with cross-currency correlation and sentiment analysis.
result Transformer model outperforms other models on some parameters.

Study uses sentiment analysis to predict cryptocurrency token returns in virtual reality.

problem Predicting cryptocurrency token returns in virtual reality economies.
method Used BERT for sentiment analysis and developed LSTM models integrating multi-modal features.
result Multi-modal model significantly outperforms price-only baseline in prediction accuracy.

Cryptocurrency markets show higher spreads during extreme fear and greed phases.

problem Understanding and predicting liquidity withdrawal in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analysis of Crypto Fear & Greed Index and Bitcoin daily data.
result Extreme fear and greed regimes exhibit significantly higher spreads than neutral periods.

This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.

problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.

Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.

problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.

This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.

Study compares LSTM models with sentiment analysis for stock price prediction.

problem Efficient stock price prediction models using LSTM with sentiment analysis.
method Various types of LSTM models combined with sentiment analysis.
result Identifies the most effective model for short and long-term stock price prediction.

FININ predicts financial markets by modeling news interactions and influence.

problem Complex diffusion of financial news into market prices.
method FININ is a novel model that captures news links and interactions, integrating market data and news articles.
result FININ outperforms advanced models with a 0.429 and 0.341 improvement in daily Sharpe ratio for S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 respectively.

Predicting alt-coin prices with Twitter sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting price fluctuations of alt-coins using social media sentiment.
method Extracted hourly tweets, classified sentiment, created sentiment indices, trained a Gradient Boosting Tree Model.
result Model predictions correlated 0.81 with historical data, statistically significant.

Bayesian classifier uses stock price as ground truth for profitable trading signals.

problem Using sentiment analysis to predict stock prices based on social media data.
method Bayesian classifier trained on stock-specific dictionaries generated from tweets labeled as Buy or Sell based on stock price movement.
result 5.18% return rate over 1 month, annualizing to 83% per annum.

This paper uses deep learning to analyze sentiment in financial forums and improve stock market prediction.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through sentiment analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training BERT model on financial corpus, and using maximum information coefficient.
result Sentiment features from financial text can reflect stock market fluctuations and improve prediction accuracy.

GIFsentiment predicts stock market returns and investor sentiment from social media GIFs.

problem Understanding investor sentiment in the stock market.
method Constructing a sentiment index from social media GIFs and analyzing its correlation with market returns and volume.
result GIFsentiment positively predicts stock market returns and negatively predicts returns for up to four weeks.

Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.

problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.

The paper predicts Bitcoin prices using machine learning and sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting the future price of Bitcoin in USD.
method Applied supervised machine learning and sentiment analysis to Twitter and Reddit data.
result LSTM models with multi-feature analysis outperformed ARIMA models in predicting Bitcoin prices.

Crowd opinions in microblogs can predict event outcomes, matching with expert opinions.

problem Utilizing crowd wisdom for event outcome prediction in microblogs.
method Multi-label sentiment classification of tweets to gauge crowd opinion and compare with expert predictions.
result Crowd opinions in microblogs often match with expert opinions, especially in non-debate events.

Study finds financial YouTube channel 3PROTV predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

problem Determining the informational value of financial YouTube channels.
method Analyzing 3PROTV's content and its impact on stock market performance and sentiment.
result 3PROTV's content, particularly negative sentiment, predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

Paper proposes a hybrid model for financial time series prediction using sentiment analysis.

problem Challenges in forecasting in non-stationary, complex environments with heterogeneous data.
method Hybrid model combining GANs with NLP-based sentiment analysis.
result Hybrid model enhances robustness in non-stationary environments.