SIS-RNN improves model flexibility for sequential data.
problem Limited expressive power of existing stochastic RNNs.
method Semi-implicit variational inference for implicit latent representations.
result SIS-RNN outperforms existing methods in various tasks.
SGRNN models evolving graph data for better property prediction.
problem Modeling evolving graph data for property prediction.
method SGRNN uses stochastic latent variables to capture both node attribute and topology evolution, with semi-implicit variational inference and KL-divergence simplification.
result SGRNN improves property prediction on real-world datasets.
Proposes a semi-implicit back propagation method for neural networks.
problem Challenges in training neural networks, especially gradient vanishing and small step sizes.
method Proposes a semi-implicit back propagation method using error back propagation and proximal methods.
result The proposed method leads to better performance in terms of loss decreasing and training/validation accuracy compared to SGD and ProxBP.
Improved phylogenetic tree reconstruction using flexible branch length distributions.
problem Inefficient Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for large sequence datasets.
method Variational Bayesian phylogenetic inference with semi-implicit branch length distributions.
result Proposed method improves marginal likelihood estimation and branch length posterior approximation.
Neural circuits integrate continuous dynamics efficiently.
problem Efficiently integrating continuous neural dynamics for simulation and learning.
method Compact neural circuits for Runge-Kutta and Adams-Bashforth-Moulton methods.
result Equivalence of neural and numerical integration for polynomial systems.
Representation learning over graph structured data has been mostly studied in static graph settings while efforts for modeling dynamic graphs are still scant. In this paper, we develop a novel hierarchical variational model that introduces additional latent random variables to jointly model the hidden states of a graph…
Kernel semi-implicit variational inference improves variational inference without additional optimization.
problem Intractability of hierarchical semi-implicit distributions in variational inference.
method Kernel semi-implicit variational inference (KSIVI) using kernel methods to eliminate lower-level optimization.
result KSIVI reduces variational inference to kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD) optimization, improving expressiveness and tractability.
Leveraging advances in variational inference, we propose to enhance recurrent neural networks with latent variables, resulting in Stochastic Recurrent Networks (STORNs). The model i) can be trained with stochastic gradient methods, ii) allows structured and multi-modal conditionals at each time step, iii) features a re…
How can we efficiently propagate uncertainty in a latent state representation with recurrent neural networks? This paper introduces stochastic recurrent neural networks which glue a deterministic recurrent neural network and a state space model together to form a stochastic and sequential neural generative model. The c…
Deep neural networks solve stochastic control problems with delay.
problem Challenges in stochastic control problems with delay due to path-dependence and high dimensions.
method Employing recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to parameterize policies and optimize objectives.
result RNNs, especially LSTMs, efficiently capture path-dependence and outperform feedforward networks in training and performance.
Continuous semi-implicit models enable faster training and better performance in generative modeling.
problem Slow convergence in hierarchical semi-implicit models during training.
method CoSIM, a continuous semi-implicit model that incorporates a continuous transition kernel for efficient training.
result CoSIM achieves superior performance on image generation tasks compared to existing methods.
DeepBayes uses neural networks to efficiently estimate parameters in complex dynamical models.
problem Estimating parameters in stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models is challenging.
method DeepBayes leverages deep recurrent neural networks to learn an estimator that minimizes mean-squared error.
result DeepBayes achieves asymptotically equivalent performance to Bayesian estimation methods.
This work combines recurrent models with diffusion for probabilistic time series forecasting.
problem Scalability and capturing high-dimensional distributions and cross-feature dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Combines recurrent neural networks' efficiency with diffusion models' probabilistic modeling, using stochastic interpolants and conditional generation.
result Offers scalable probabilistic time series forecasting methods.
In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time series analysis and prediction in finance. The model comprises a pair of complement…
This work introduces a new model for complex stochastic processes.
problem Difficulties in representing non-stationary distributions with conventional models.
method Recurrent Autoregressive Flows using normalizing flows with recurrent neural connections.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed model through experiments.
Kernel SIVI improves variational inference by avoiding lower-level optimization.
problem Intractable densities in semi-implicit variational distributions.
method Kernel SIVI-SM uses a minimax formulation and kernel tricks to avoid lower-level optimization.
result Kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD) objective is computable and leads to convergence guarantees.
Stochastic RNNs classify biological neural network paths with robust error bounds.
problem Classifying biological neural network paths.
method Modelled as a continuous-time stochastic recurrent neural network (RNN) with identity activation function, analysed in the robust regime.
result Generalisation error bound holds with high probability, showing the empirical risk minimiser is the best-in-class hypothesis.
Optimal stock price prediction model using recurrent neural networks with RMSprop optimizer.
problem Stock price prediction using neural networks.
method Comparison of fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures; inclusion of three optimization techniques.
result Single layer recurrent neural network with RMSprop optimizer produces optimal results with validation and test MAE of 0.0150 and 0.0148 respectively.
RANP improves neural processes for sequential data.
problem Capturing temporal order and recurrent structure from sequential data.
method Incorporated ANP into a recurrent neural network.
result RANP outperforms NPs and LSTMs in 1D regression and autonomous-driving tasks.
Noise in RNNs promotes flatter minima and more stable dynamics.
problem Understanding and optimizing the training of RNNs with noise.
method Formalizing RNNs as stochastic differential equations and analyzing the effect of noise in the hidden states.
result Noise injection in RNNs leads to flatter minima, more stable dynamics, and improved robustness.
Neural networks predict traffic flow in smart cities.
problem Forecasting stochastic and nonlinear traffic flow.
method Various recurrent neural networks trained on intersection data.
result Vector output model with gated recurrent units performed best.
CRUs model irregular time series with continuous hidden states.
problem Handling irregular time intervals in sequential data.
method Continuous Recurrent Units (CRUs) that integrate hidden states via a linear stochastic differential equation.
result CRUs outperform methods based on neural ordinary differential equations in irregular time series interpolation.
This paper studies the performance of a recently proposed preconditioned stochastic gradient descent (PSGD) algorithm on recurrent neural network (RNN) training. PSGD adaptively estimates a preconditioner to accelerate gradient descent, and is designed to be simple, general and easy to use, as stochastic gradient desce…
Neural GARCH models financial time series with time-varying coefficients.
problem Modeling conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series.
method Neural network adaptation of GARCH and BEKK models with time-varying coefficients parameterized by a recurrent neural network.
result Neural Students t model consistently outperforms other models on financial time series.
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for reinforcement learning (RL) have shown distinct advantages, e.g., solving memory-dependent tasks and meta-learning. However, little effort has been spent on improving RNN architectures and on understanding the underlying neural mechanisms for performance gain. In this paper, we prop…
Mack-Net model combines Mack's model with RNNs for better insurance liability estimation.
problem Accurate estimation of insurance liabilities for better financial decision-making.
method Integrates Mack's reserving model with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).
result Improves accuracy of general insurance liability assessment.
This paper compares HMC and RNN expressivity using SRT.
problem Comparing expressivity of HMC and RNN models.
method Embed HMC and RNN in a GUM, use SRT to compare structured covariance series.
result Conditions for realizing covariance series by GUM, HMC, or RNN.
We propose a method to infer stochastic low-rank RNNs from neural data.
problem Fitting low-rank RNNs to noisy, stochastic neural data.
method Variational sequential Monte Carlo methods for stochastic low-rank RNNs.
result Lower dimensional latent dynamics compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are among the most popular models in sequential data analysis. Yet, in the foundational PAC learning language, what concept class can it learn? Moreover, how can the same recurrent unit simultaneously learn functions from different input tokens to different output tokens, without affect…
In this work we compare different batch construction methods for mini-batch training of recurrent neural networks. While popular implementations like TensorFlow and MXNet suggest a bucketing approach to improve the parallelization capabilities of the recurrent training process, we propose a simple ordering strategy tha…
The paper introduces Causal Neural Operators to approximate operators in stochastic analysis.
problem Leveraging temporal structure in non-linear operators for deep learning models.
method Designing a deep learning model framework for infinite-dimensional linear metric spaces.
result Causal Neural Operators can uniformly approximate Hölder or smooth trace class operators.
To combine explicit and implicit generative models, we introduce semi-implicit generator (SIG) as a flexible hierarchical model that can be trained in the maximum likelihood framework. Both theoretically and experimentally, we demonstrate that SIG can generate high quality samples especially when dealing with multi-mod…
Autonomous robots need to interact with unknown, unstructured and changing environments, constantly facing novel challenges. Therefore, continuous online adaptation for lifelong-learning and the need of sample-efficient mechanisms to adapt to changes in the environment, the constraints, the tasks, or the robot itself a…
Semi-Implicit Variational Inference (SIVI) is improved with SIVI-SM using score matching.
problem Intractable densities in variational distributions hinder SIVI training.
method SIVI-SM uses score matching to handle intractable densities in a minimax formulation.
result SIVI-SM outperforms ELBO-based SIVI methods in Bayesian inference tasks.
Nonlinear RNNs' memory capacity varies widely, making it impractical.
problem The usefulness of memory capacity as a metric for linear RNNs is questioned.
method Analysis of random nonlinear RNNs with varying input scales.
result Memory capacity of nonlinear RNNs is arbitrary and impractical.
Many efforts have been devoted to training generative latent variable models with autoregressive decoders, such as recurrent neural networks (RNN). Stochastic recurrent models have been successful in capturing the variability observed in natural sequential data such as speech. We unify successful ideas from recently pr…
VSDN models sporadic time series with neural SDEs.
problem Modeling irregular and sparse time series data.
method Variational Bayesian method and neural SDEs.
result VSDNs outperform state-of-the-art models in prediction and interpolation.
Sleep-based regularization stabilizes STDP in recurrent neural networks.
problem Pathological weight dynamics in recurrent SNNs.
method Periodic offline phases with stochastic decay and spontaneous activity.
result Sleep-based renormalization prevents weight saturation and preserves learned structure.
We present a framework for compactly summarizing many recent results in efficient and/or biologically plausible online training of recurrent neural networks (RNN). The framework organizes algorithms according to several criteria: (a) past vs. future facing, (b) tensor structure, (c) stochastic vs. deterministic, and (d…
Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is introduced to expand the commonly used analytic variational distribution family, by mixing the variational parameter with a flexible distribution. This mixing distribution can assume any density function, explicit or not, as long as independent random samples can be generat…
POLA adapts learning rates for online time series prediction.
problem Adapting to changing data distributions in dynamic environments.
method Adaptive learning rate regulation for recurrent neural networks.
result POLA outperforms other online prediction methods in real-world datasets.
Proposes a new RNN for language generation capturing long-range dependencies.
problem Capturing long-range word dependencies and sentence order in text corpora.
method Recurrent Hierarchical Topic-Guided RNN with dynamic deep topic model.
result Outperforms larger-context RNN-based language models and learns interpretable topics.
How can local-search methods such as stochastic gradient descent (SGD) avoid bad local minima in training multi-layer neural networks? Why can they fit random labels even given non-convex and non-smooth architectures? Most existing theory only covers networks with one hidden layer, so can we go deeper? In this paper, w…
Enhances graph modeling with hyperbolic geometry and variational inference.
problem Challenges in modeling relational data with complex dependencies.
method Semi-implicit hierarchical variational Bayes with Poincaré embedding and mutual information regularization.
result Improves graph representation quality and flexibility in edge prediction and node classification.
QRPNNs use quaternion-valued recurrent correlation neural networks to solve cross-talk issues.
problem Cross-talk problem in QRCNNs.
method Combining non-local projection learning with QRCNNs.
result QRPNNs exhibit greater storage capacity and noise tolerance.
Interneurons improve learning in neural networks by accelerating convergence.
problem Rapid adaptation to changing input statistics in neural networks.
method Two mathematically tractable recurrent linear neural networks were compared: one with direct recurrent connections and the other with interneurons that mediate recurrent communication.
result The network with interneurons converges more quickly than the network with direct recurrent connections, scaling logarithmically with initialization spectrum.
Origin-destination (OD) matrices are often used in urban planning, where a city is partitioned into regions and an element (i, j) in an OD matrix records the cost (e.g., travel time, fuel consumption, or travel speed) from region i to region j. In this paper, we partition a day into multiple intervals, e.g., 96 15-min …
Introduces σ-Cell for improved financial volatility forecasting.
problem Improving volatility forecasting in financial markets.
method Combines GARCH and deep learning, incorporating stochastic layers and time-varying parameters.
result Demonstrates superior forecasting accuracy compared to traditional models.