AI uses KGs to assess economic impact of selective lockdowns on Italian companies.
problem Impact of selective lockdowns on Italian companies' economic stability.
method Automated Reasoning and Knowledge Graphs to analyze company networks.
result Identifies strategic companies at risk of takeover during lockdowns.
Study uses artificial counterfactuals to show lockdowns reduced US case and death counts.
problem Impact of lockdowns on US case and death counts during the pandemic.
method Artificial counterfactual approach comparing states with and without lockdowns.
result Average two times more cases would have occurred without lockdowns.
Optimizes lockdown strategies to balance economic activities and virus spread.
problem Balancing economic activities and virus spread during lockdowns.
method Modeling the pandemic as SEIR, applying Granovetter threshold model for social distancing, and using NSGA-II optimization.
result Optimal lockdown policies for ten weeks to minimize infections and economic impact.
Algorithm optimizes lockdown policies balancing health and economy.
problem Balancing health and economic impacts of lockdowns during pandemics.
method Reinforcement learning to automatically compute lockdown policies.
result Algorithm learns optimal lockdown policies from disease and population data.
Covid lockdown increased interest in Italian stock market, leading to new investors.
problem Impact of Covid lockdown on Italian stock market investors.
method Analysis of trading activity and investor demographics before and during lockdown.
result New investors during lockdown were more skilled traders than pre-lockdown investors.
Adaptive models improve electricity demand forecasting during lockdown.
problem Poor load forecasting due to sudden consumption changes during lockdown.
method Adaptive generalized additive models with Kalman filters and expert aggregation.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to traditional models.
Study examines how COVID-19 affected India's exchange rates and stock market.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on India's financial markets during and after lockdown.
method Secondary data analysis using VAR models across different phases of lockdown and unlock.
result Increase in confirmed cases does not significantly affect exchange rate and stock market.
Study shows house buyers in Christchurch value earthquake risk differently based on time since 2011 quake.
problem Understanding how house buyers' perception of earthquake risk changes over time.
method Used a hedonic price model to analyze house prices in Christchurch over three periods.
result Buyers value earthquake risk differently based on the time since the 2011 Christchurch earthquake.
Agent-based model compares different COVID-19 testing policies and their effectiveness.
problem Understanding how different testing policies reveal the true number of infected cases.
method Developed an agent-based simulation framework in Python to model various testing policies and interventions.
result Contact Tracing consistently captures more positive cases than Random Symptomatic Testing, and LBT performs similarly.
New method combines neural nets with epidemic models for better prediction.
problem Improving epidemic prediction and forecasting using deep neural networks.
method Integrates machine learning with compartmental disease models for data-driven analysis.
result Data augmentation strategy improves neural network reliability for epidemic forecasting.
This study analyzes the effects of lifting lockdowns on Brazil's COVID-19 spread.
problem Understanding the impact of lifting lockdowns on Brazil's COVID-19 spread.
method Extended SEIR model with on/off strategy and developed a neural regressor.
result Lifting lockdowns could lead to a more severe second wave of COVID-19.
MELO predicts electricity loads by adapting to shifts without external indicators.
problem Adapting to non-stationary prediction challenges in online settings.
method MELO combines multiple forgetting factors and aggregation rules to adaptively predict.
result MELO reduces RMSE by 34.7% compared to base predictors and external covariates.
Study shows reducing anthropogenic emissions significantly lowers PM2.5 levels but has little effect on O3 in Delhi.
problem Understanding and mitigating the effects of anthropogenic emissions on air pollution in Delhi.
method Predictive modeling, causal inference, Gaussian Process modeling, Granger causality analysis.
result Reductions in anthropogenic emissions lead to significant decreases in PM2.5 levels but have little effect on O3. GIFsentiment predicts stock market returns and investor sentiment from social media GIFs.
problem Understanding investor sentiment in the stock market.
method Constructing a sentiment index from social media GIFs and analyzing its correlation with market returns and volume.
result GIFsentiment positively predicts stock market returns and negatively predicts returns for up to four weeks.
The study analyzes sentiment of European tweets during the pandemic.
problem Understanding public sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Cross-language sentiment analysis of multilingual tweets using neural networks and sentence embeddings.
result Sentiment analysis reveals that lockdown announcements correlate with a deterioration of mood, which recovers quickly.
Paper introduces a new method to model epidemic dynamics with varying parameters.
problem Capturing discontinuous variations in epidemic model parameters.
method Total variation regularization with Iterated Nelder--Mead optimization.
result The method accurately models epidemic dynamics with instant changes.
India's 2020-21 GDP growth forecast is projected at 1.9% due to COVID-19.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on India's 2020-21 GDP growth forecast.
method Quarterly GVA estimates using capacity utilisation assumptions and 2019-20 data.
result India's GDP growth in 2020-21 is expected to be 1.9%.
AI monitors social distancing and masks at manufacturing plants.
problem Ensuring safety of workers during post-COVID production.
method Computer vision and AI techniques for social distancing and mask detection.
result Real-time alerts prevent violations of social distancing and mask-wearing.
Study examines how pandemic anxiety affects financial market trust.
problem Anxiety during pandemic and trust in financial markets.
method Used Google search volume and stock market data to create mood indicators.
result Different clusters of countries and markets in terms of pessimism and optimism emerged.
This study uses complex networks to analyze influential spreaders and their effects on different market sectors.
problem Existing methods failed to distinguish between positive and negative influences of market sectors.
method LIEST (Local Influential Effects for Specific Target) method using complex network analysis.
result LIEST effectively distinguishes positive and negative influences of market sectors during different periods.
Paper examines global Covid-19 data complexity and finds low intrinsic dimensions.
problem Understanding the complexity of Covid-19 data across countries.
method Used a Bayesian mixture model (Hidalgo) to estimate intrinsic dimensionality.
result Covid-19 data projects onto two low-dimensional manifolds without significant loss of information.
Method summarizes and predicts time series data for COVID-19 cases and deaths.
problem Summarizing and predicting time series data for multiple related time series.
method Hierarchical algorithm generating shapelets for centroids, nearest neighbor search for labeling, dynamic time warping for non-uniform lengths.
result Predictive model for individual time series based on aggregated statistics.
Study proposes managing COVID-19 without economy shutdowns.
problem Avoiding lockdowns while maintaining healthcare system capacity.
method Detailed heterogeneous epidemiological model, calibrated to data.
result Countries can avoid lockdowns if ICU beds per million > 100.
Study uses machine learning to analyze Twitter sentiments about COVID-19.
problem Examining public concerns and sentiments about COVID-19 from Twitter.
method Machine learning (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to identify topics and sentiments.
result Identified 13 topics and categorized into five themes, revealing dominant fears and mixed feelings.
Deep CNNs diagnose chest X-rays for COVID-19 and other pneumonia.
problem Diagnosing pneumonia from chest X-rays.
method Training and testing VGG16, VGG19, InceptionResNetV2, InceptionV3, and Xception networks on chest X-rays.
result VGG16 with dropout achieves high accuracy and sensitivity.
New method estimates selection event for black-box models.
problem Infeasibility of conditional selective inference due to unavailable selection event.
method Bootstrapping to estimate selection event and conditional distribution.
result Feasibility of conditional selective inference for models without exact selection event.
Cluster stability selection improves feature selection in correlated data.
problem Feature selection stability in correlated data.
method Cluster stability selection exploiting known cluster structure.
result Better predictive performance than lasso alone and stability selection.
New method corrects selection bias in post-selective inference for Group LASSO.
problem Inference after Group LASSO selection is unreliable.
method Develops a consistent, post-selective Bayesian method to adjust for selection bias.
result Corrects bias in recovering effects of selected variables.
Proposes PEMI for online selective conformal prediction with asymmetric rules.
problem Challenges of handling asymmetric selection mechanisms in online selective conformal prediction.
method PEMI: permutation-based framework for selective conformal prediction with arbitrary asymmetric selection rules.
result Achieves exact selection-conditional coverage for any asymmetric selection mechanism and any prediction model.
The paper addresses errors in online selective conformal prediction and proposes new strategies to ensure valid inference.
problem Online selective conformal prediction's exchangeability issues and false coverage rate control problems.
method Evaluation and correction of existing calibration selection strategies, proposing new ones that preserve exchangeability.
result Novel calibration selection strategies ensure both selection-conditional coverage and FCR control.
This work develops scalable model selection methods with fast update and selection.
problem Efficient model selection for large pools of candidate models.
method Isolated model embedding, which supports asymptotically fast update and selection.
result Standardized Embedder achieves competitive model selection performances.
Online method selects candidates from data streams, ensuring irreversible decisions.
problem Conformal selection's incompatibility with irreversible decisions in online scenarios.
method Online Conformal Selection with Accept-to-Reject Changes (OCS-ARC) incorporating online Benjamini-Hochberg procedure.
result OCS-ARC controls FDR at or below nominal level, improving selection power.
Paper improves k-NN predictive performance with efficient variable selection.
problem Improving predictive performance of k-NN models. method Efficient forward selection of predictor variables.
result Novel approach approaches outperformance of stepwise selection models.
Value selection reduces model size while maintaining accuracy.
problem Space efficiency in model size reduction.
method Two probabilistic methods based on information theory's metric: PVS and P + VS.
result Value selection achieves balance between accuracy and model size reduction.
Proposes HSIC-Lasso for selective inference in non-linear data.
problem Detecting influential features in non-linear and high-dimensional data.
method Model-free HSIC-Lasso based on truncated Gaussians and polyhedral lemma.
result Tight control of type-I error even for small sample sizes.
Paper proposes a statistical test for feature selection pipelines using selective inference.
problem Assessing the significance of feature selection pipelines in data analysis.
method Selective inference technique applied to feature selection pipelines composed of various algorithms.
result The proposed statistical test controls false positive feature selection probabilities.
New method improves feature selection by integrating stability paths.
problem Improving feature selection with tighter false positive control.
method Integrating stability paths to strengthen theoretical bounds on E(FP).
result Significantly more true positives with same E(FP) control.
UniFeat is an open-source Java tool for feature selection.
problem Efficient feature selection in various research areas.
method Provides a set of advanced feature selection methods.
result Facilitates rapid development of new feature selection algorithms.
We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the approach to model selection by the lasso to form valid confidence intervals for the sel…
Flexible selective inference using flow-based transport maps.
problem Selective inference with complex selection events.
method Flow-based generative modeling for conditional distribution approximation.
result Valid p-values and confidence sets for adaptively selected hypotheses and parameters.
Recently, many regularized procedures have been proposed for variable selection in linear regression, but their performance depends on the tuning parameter selection. Here a criterion for the tuning parameter selection is proposed, which combines the strength of both stability selection and cross-validation and therefo…
Develops a more powerful selective inference method for stepwise feature selection.
problem Loss of power in existing conditional SI methods due to over-conditioning.
method Uses homotopy continuation approach to overcome over-conditioning.
result Shows improved power and efficiency in selective inference for feature selection.
Paper tackles selective regression using uncertainty estimation.
problem Selective regression for machine learning models to avoid predictions when uncertain.
method Model-agnostic non-parametric uncertainty estimation.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art selective regressors.
Online selection of dynamic features has attracted intensive interest in recent years. However, existing online feature selection methods evaluate features individually and ignore the underlying structure of feature stream. For instance, in image analysis, features are generated in groups which represent color, texture…
A new method selects clean samples to train DNNs with noisy labels.
problem Training deep neural networks with noisy labeled data.
method Adaptive k-set selection to choose clean samples at each epoch.
result The method guarantees performance with a theoretical bound on regret.
IWeS selects examples by entropy-based importance sampling for subset selection.
problem Efficiently selecting examples for model training in batch settings.
method IWeS uses importance sampling based on model entropy to select examples.
result IWeS outperforms other subset selection algorithms on seven datasets.
ACS is an interactive framework for model-free selection with guaranteed error control.
problem Model-free selection with rigorous error control.
method Adaptive conformal selection with human-in-the-loop data exploration and new information incorporation.
result ACS provides concrete selection algorithms for various goals, including model update/selection, diversified selection, and incorporating new data.
NGP selects N features from P using neural networks in a greedy, iterative process.
problem Feature selection for non-linear prediction problems.
method Neural Greedy Pursuit (NGP) algorithm, selecting features sequentially in an iterative loss minimization procedure.
result NGP provides better performance than DeepLIFT and Drop-one-out loss methods.