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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Selective Ensemble Learning

A new method selects models for ensemble learning to maximize mutual information, outperforming existing approaches.

problem Selecting models for ensemble learning to improve performance and reduce correlation issues.
method Formulate budgeted ensemble selection as maximizing mutual information, use Gaussian-copula to model correlated errors, propose a greedy mutual-information selection algorithm.
result Our method consistently outperforms strong baselines across multiple datasets.

Ensemble learning is a very prevalent method employed in machine learning. The relative success of ensemble methods is attributed to their ability to tackle a wide range of instances and complex problems that require different low-level approaches. However, ensemble methods are relatively less popular in reinforcement …

2020-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In the context of variable selection, ensemble learning has gained increasing interest due to its great potential to improve selection accuracy and to reduce false discovery rate. A novel ordering-based selective ensemble learning strategy is designed in this paper to obtain smaller but more accurate ensembles. In part…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

An ensemble method enhances cryptocurrency trading strategies using deep reinforcement learning.

problem Improving generalization performance in stochastic cryptocurrency trading environments.
method Model selection and mixture distribution policy to ensemble deep reinforcement learning models.
result Improved out-of-sample performance compared to benchmarks.

One of the most tedious tasks in the application of machine learning is model selection, i.e. hyperparameter selection. Fortunately, recent progress has been made in the automation of this process, through the use of sequential model-based optimization (SMBO) methods. This can be used to optimize a cross-validation per…

2014-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression problems. We propose two extensions to the standard stacking approach. In the fir…

2014-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study compares single vs ensemble feature selection for cancer diagnosis.

problem Identifying relevant variables for cancer diagnosis and prognosis.
method Comparison of single feature selection algorithms and ensemble of diverse algorithms.
result Ensemble approach did not improve predictive performance over individual algorithms.

Three adaptive methods improve financial forecasting and portfolio management.

problem Improving financial forecasting and portfolio management in volatile markets.
method Dynamic Model Selection (DMS), Adaptive Ensemble (AE), Dynamic Asset Allocation (DAA).
result Adaptive methods outperform long-only benchmarks in US market returns.

Variable selection for high-dimensional linear models has received a lot of attention lately, mostly in the context of l1-regularization. Part of the attraction is the variable selection effect: parsimonious models are obtained, which are very suitable for interpretation. In terms of predictive power, however, these re…

2009-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Suppose some classifiers are selected from a set of hypothesis classifiers to form an equally-weighted ensemble that selects a member classifier at random for each input example. Then the ensemble has an error bound consisting of the average error bound for the member classifiers, a term for selectivity that varies fro…

2016-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble learning that can be used to combine the predictions from multiple learners has been widely applied in pattern recognition, and has been reported to be more robust and accurate than the individual learners. This ensemble logic has recently also been more applied in feature selection. There are basically two st…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

An ensemble technique is characterized by the mechanism that generates the components and by the mechanism that combines them. A common way to achieve the consensus is to enable each component to equally participate in the aggregation process. A problem with this approach is that poor components are likely to negativel…

2018-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article, we advocate the ensemble approach for variable selection. We point out that the stochastic mechanism used to generate the variable-selection ensemble (VSE) must be picked with care. We construct a VSE using a stochastic stepwise algorithm, and compare its performance with numerous state-of-the-art algo…

2010-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose an online method for concept driftdetection based on dynamic classifier ensemble selection. Theproposed method generates a pool of ensembles by promotingdiversity among classifier members and chooses expert ensemblesaccording to global prequential accuracy values. Unlike currentdynamic ensemble selection app…

2019-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic ensemble selection systems work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. This is achieved by defining a criterion to measure the level of competence of a base classifier, such as, its accuracy …

2018-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for selecting variables with uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in nonlinear variable selection for various models.
method Develops a unified framework using integrated partial derivatives for quantifying variable importance and uncertainty.
result The approach provides a principled method for quantifying variable selection uncertainty and is generalizable to non-differentiable models.

Paper analyzes uncertainty metrics in ensemble learning for healthcare AI.

problem Selecting appropriate uncertainty metrics for ensemble learners in healthcare AI.
method Rigorous analysis of two uncertainty metrics: ensemble mean and variance.
result Ensemble mean is preferable to ensemble variance for decision making in healthcare AI.

Proposes a new method to enhance neural learning by maximizing information gain.

problem Improving neural learning by selecting key variables to maximize information gain.
method Adaptive Ensemble Kalman Filter to quantify uncertainty and maximize information gain.
result The proposed method enables the neural network to learn more effectively from stochastic systems.

Ensembles of classifier models typically deliver superior performance and can outperform single classifier models given a dataset and classification task at hand. However, the gain in performance comes together with the lack in comprehensibility, posing a challenge to understand how each model affects the classificatio…

2017-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In unsupervised outlier ensembles, the absence of ground truth makes the combination of base outlier detectors a challenging task. Specifically, existing parallel outlier ensembles lack a reliable way of selecting competent base detectors, affecting accuracy and stability, during model combination. In this paper, we pr…

2018-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble can be estimated from the distribution of classifier errors.

problem Finding the optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble to minimize error rate.
method Estimate the distribution of classifier errors and infer error rates for different numbers of voters.
result Lower-variance estimates of error rates can be obtained by inferring them for different numbers of voters.

Unified framework for portfolio optimization using multiple hypotheses.

problem Risk diversification in portfolio allocation.
method Structured ensemble learning approach with diversity control.
result Structured ensembles link predictor diversity to risk diversification.

Feature selection places an important role in improving the performance of outlier detection, especially for noisy data. Existing methods usually perform feature selection and outlier scoring separately, which would select feature subsets that may not optimally serve for outlier detection, leading to unsatisfying perfo…

2020-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

StackGenVis simplifies ensemble learning by visualizing model selection and performance.

problem Complexity in choosing and combining models for stacking ensemble learning.
method Visual analytics system that dynamically adapts performance metrics, manages data instances, selects algorithms, and measures predictive performance.
result Reduces complexity of stacking by removing overpromising and underperforming models.

Paper introduces WWAggr for ensemble CPD, improving accuracy and decision threshold selection.

problem Challenges in detecting abrupt distribution shifts in high-dimensional data streams.
method Introduces WWAggr, a novel task-specific ensemble aggregation method based on Wasserstein distance.
result Demonstrates WWAggr outperforms standard aggregation techniques and decision threshold selection.

Deep learning framework predicts streamflow and flood probabilities in Australian catchments.

problem Large-scale flooding prediction challenges due to model calibration and missing data.
method Ensemble quantile-based deep learning framework using quantile regression and CAMELS dataset.
result Notable efficacy and uncertainties in streamflow forecasts with varied catchment properties.

A RL framework selects features to balance bias and accuracy dynamically.

problem Bias in automated feature selection when predictors are correlated.
method Multi-component reward function with policy gradient for dynamic regularization and bias mitigation.
result Model balances fairness and accuracy during training.

Improved stock trading model using feature selection and ensemble learning.

problem Challenges in making profit in the US stock market.
method Feature selection from 148 to 30, dynamic selection of top 25 features, ensemble learning with four classifiers.
result Best model generated 54.35% profit over 18 months.

DoubleEnsemble improves financial predictions by selecting key features and reweighting samples.

problem Overfitting and instability in financial data analysis.
method Sample reweighting and feature selection using learning trajectory and shuffling.
result DoubleEnsemble outperforms baseline methods in financial prediction tasks.

In this paper, we propose a hierarchical feature-aware tracking framework for efficient visual tracking. Recent years, ensembled trackers which combine multiple component trackers have achieved impressive performance. In ensembled trackers, the decision of results is usually a post-event process, i.e., tracking result …

2019-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.

problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.

Real world systems typically feature a variety of different dependency types and topologies that complicate model selection for probabilistic graphical models. We introduce the ensemble-of-forests model, a generalization of the ensemble-of-trees model. Our model enables structure learning of Markov random fields (MRF) …

2013-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗