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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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176353529705 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Sampling error

LoCoV reduces portfolio optimization errors from sample covariance matrices.

problem Large errors in sample covariance matrix for optimal portfolio weights.
method LoCoV (low dimension covariance voting) algorithm to reduce these errors.
result LoCoV outperforms classical methods in portfolio optimization experiments.

New error bounds for flow matching methods using deterministic sampling.

problem Improving the accuracy of flow matching methods for generating probability distributions.
method Derived error bounds for flow matching methods under deterministic sampling conditions.
result Presented error bounds for flow matching methods using L2L^2 loss and regularity conditions.

This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error rates of sample-consistent classifiers with monotonic error regions, in the real…

2015-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new method for error estimation in classification tasks with limited data.

problem Challenges in designing accurate classifiers and evaluating their performance with limited training data.
method Introduces a novel Bayesian MMSE estimator for optimal Bayesian transfer learning (OBTL) using Monte Carlo importance sampling.
result Proposed OBTL error estimation scheme outperforms standard methods, especially in small-sample settings.

We characterize the asymptotic performance of nonparametric one- and two-sample testing. The exponential decay rate or error exponent of the type-II error probability is used as the asymptotic performance metric, and an optimal test achieves the maximum rate subject to a constant level constraint on the type-I error pr…

2019-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sample complexity for training diffusion models.

problem How many samples are needed to train an accurate diffusion model?
method Analyzing the sample complexity of training diffusion models using neural networks.
result Exponential improvement in the dependence on Wasserstein error and depth, along with improved dependencies on other parameters.

Predictive models ground many state-of-the-art developments in statistical brain image analysis: decoding, MVPA, searchlight, or extraction of biomarkers. The principled approach to establish their validity and usefulness is cross-validation, testing prediction on unseen data. Here, I would like to raise awareness on e…

2017-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes error bounds for biased SMC samplers in conditional sampling.

problem Analyzing error bounds for biased SMC samplers in conditional sampling.
method Develops a non-asymptotic error analysis for SMC samplers with biased mutation kernels.
result Derives the first non-asymptotic error bound for conditional sampling with score-based diffusion models.

Randomly sampled interpolators achieve zero generalization error with enough data.

problem Understanding the high generalization ability of machine learning models.
method Algebraic geometry tools to prove zero generalization error for random interpolators.
result Generalization error of randomly sampled interpolators becomes zero once the number of training samples exceeds a geometric threshold.

iTimER learns from reconstruction errors to represent irregularly sampled time series.

problem Learning from irregularly sampled time series with missing data.
method iTimER models reconstruction errors as a proxy for unobserved values, using a mixup strategy and a Wasserstein metric.
result iTimER outperforms state-of-the-art methods in classification, interpolation, and forecasting tasks.

The paper analyzes the probabilistic structure of DDPMs and bounds their sampling error.

problem Understanding and controlling errors in discrete-time DDPMs.
method Structural analysis of score functions, Schrödinger's problem, and FBSDEs.
result Explicit upper bound for total variation distance between sampling and target distributions.

Neural network accuracy improves with denser training samples.

problem Improving neural network accuracy on unseen test samples.
method Bounding empirical training error smoothed across activation regions and using it to discard high-risk test samples.
result Discarding high-risk test samples based on error bounds improves prediction accuracy by up to 20%.

The study analyzes and mitigates errors in PC-based causal discovery methods.

problem Errors in PC-based causal discovery methods can lead to incorrect graphs.
method The study introduces coherency scores to detect assumption violations and small sample errors in PC-based methods.
result The coherency scores can detect errors that other methods cannot, bridging between global and local error detection.

New estimators for intrinsic dimension and Wasserstein distance improve OT accuracy.

problem Intrinsic dimension estimation and Wasserstein distance estimation in large-scale OT.
method Introduces novel estimators for intrinsic dimension and Wasserstein distance.
result Simple, tuning-free estimator of OT and fast intrinsic dimension estimator.

LMC improves sampling from complex distributions using quasi-random sequences.

problem Sampling from complex high-dimensional distributions with high accuracy.
method Using completely uniformly distributed (CUD) sequences in Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) to generate Gaussian perturbations.
result LMC with low-discrepancy CUD sequences achieves smaller estimation error than standard LMC.

The study provides a comprehensive error analysis for diffusion models.

problem Understanding the accuracy and design of diffusion-based generative models.
method Conducts a non-asymptotic convergence analysis and sampling error analysis for diffusion models.
result Theoretical insights into designing effective training and sampling processes for diffusion models.

Estimates error for robust M-estimators with convex penalties.

problem Estimating out-of-sample error for robust M-estimators in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Proposes a generic out-of-sample error estimate for robust MM-estimators with convex penalties, using observed data and derivatives.
result The out-of-sample error estimate has a relative error of order n1/2n^{-1/2} under certain conditions.

Estimates support in distributions with sampling artifacts and errors.

problem Support estimation in the presence of sampling artifacts and errors.
method Regularized weighted Chebyshev approximations with Touchard polynomials, discretized semi-infinte programming.
result Significant improvements over noiseless support estimation methods.

With a growing interest in using non-representative samples to train prediction models for numerous outcomes it is necessary to account for the sampling design that gives rise to the data in order to assess the generalized predictive utility of a proposed prediction rule. After learning a prediction rule based on a non…

2017-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble can be estimated from the distribution of classifier errors.

problem Finding the optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble to minimize error rate.
method Estimate the distribution of classifier errors and infer error rates for different numbers of voters.
result Lower-variance estimates of error rates can be obtained by inferring them for different numbers of voters.

Analysis of non-asymptotic estimation error and structured statistical recovery based on norm regularized regression, such as Lasso, needs to consider four aspects: the norm, the loss function, the design matrix, and the noise model. This paper presents generalizations of such estimation error analysis on all four aspe…

2015-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Robust estimators for Gaussian sparse tasks with optimal error under contamination.

problem Robust mean estimation, PCA, and linear regression in the presence of Huber contamination.
method Novel multidimensional filtering method for sparse regime.
result Optimal error guarantees within constant factors for Gaussian robust kk-sparse mean estimation.

GANs learn distributions well from samples, with rates depending on intrinsic dimension.

problem Learning distributions from samples using GANs.
method Oracle inequality, Hölder functions approximation, neural network approximation, integral probability metrics.
result Convergence rates of GANs depend on intrinsic dimension, not ambient dimension.

Study precise sample covariance error for Gaussian centered data.

problem Precise characterization of sample covariance error for Gaussian data.
method Developed a Random Duality Theory (RDT) framework to determine upper and lower bounds.
result Upper and lower bounds match in large-dimensional contexts, matching the spectral norm's limiting value.

Paper extends nonparametric regression bounds for dependent β\beta-mixing samples.

problem Analyzing error in nonparametric regression with dependent data.
method Extends uniform deviation inequalities from independent to dependent β\beta-mixing samples.
result Derives generalization bounds for nonparametric regression with dependent data.

Improved efficient robust regression with near-linear time and subquadratic samples.

problem Robust linear regression with unknown covariance matrix under Gaussian covariates.
method Near-linear time algorithm using subquadratic samples, complemented by SQ and polynomial lower bounds.
result Achieves prediction error O(εκ)O(\sqrt{εκ}) for εκ1εκ\lesssim 1, improving over prior works.

This work uses sampling theory to analyze smoothness and error bounds of finite neural networks.

problem Analyzing the function space of finite neural networks and providing error bounds.
method Applying sampling theory to finite neural networks with non-expansive activation functions, considering both deterministic and random sampling.
result Novel error bounds for univariate neural networks under band-limited input assumption, highlighting the advantage of deterministic uniform sampling.

The paper provides guarantees for feedback control with sensor errors.

problem Certifying performance and safety in feedback control systems with sensor errors.
method Solving a supervised learning problem to characterize sensor errors and providing uniform error bounds.
result Finite-time convergence rate on sub-optimality of using a regressor in closed-loop for waypoint tracking.

New algorithm learns changing discrete distributions with minimal drift error.

problem Learning discrete distributions that change over time with limited past samples.
method Adaptive algorithm using data-dependent bounds to balance statistical and drift errors.
result Tighter statistical error bounds for drifting distributions with or without finite support.

Active-LATHE boosts error exponent for learning homogeneous trees.

problem Learning homogeneous trees from i.i.d. data with active sampling.
method Design and analysis of Active Learning Algorithm for Trees with Homogeneous Edge (Active-LATHE).
result Active-LATHE boosts the error exponent by at least 40% for ρ0.8ρ \geq 0.8.

Near-optimal algorithms for mean estimation and linear regression with Gaussian covariates and Huber contamination.

problem Gaussian mean estimation and linear regression with Gaussian covariates in the presence of Huber contamination.
method Near-optimal algorithms with optimal error guarantees, achieving sample complexity n=ildeO(d/ε2)n = ilde{O}(d/ε^2) and almost linear runtime.
result First sample near-optimal and almost linear-time algorithms with optimal error guarantees for both problems.