SmallML predicts customer churn for SMEs with small data, improving accuracy by 24.2 points.
problem AI exclusion of SMEs due to data scale mismatch.
method Bayesian transfer learning with hierarchical pooling and conformal prediction.
result 96.7% AUC on 100 obs SMEs, 24.2 point improvement over logistic regression.
Paper uses ML to predict SME defaults with interpretability.
problem Lack of interpretability in ML models for SME default prediction.
method Model-agnostic approach using Accumulated Local Effects and Shapley values.
result eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithm provides highest classification power with interpretability.
Unified analysis of stochastic ADMM variants via SME.
problem Analyzing and optimizing stochastic ADMM variants for machine learning.
method Unified mathematical framework of SME for continuous-time analysis.
result Dynamics of stochastic ADMM approximated by SDEs with small noise.
AI random forest model improves credit risk scoring for Azerbaijani SMEs.
problem Improving accuracy in identifying defaulters for SME loans.
method Used Python to compare a Delphi model with a random forest model, measuring accuracy, precision, recall, and F-1 scores.
result Significant improvements in model performance (e.g., from 0.69 to 0.83 in accuracy).
A scalable model estimates revenue uncertainty for SMEs.
problem Estimating revenue uncertainty for SMEs to manage credit limits.
method Scalable Natural Gradient Boosting Machines.
result The method distinguishes accurate from inaccurate revenue forecasts.
SMEs provide a transparent testbed for RL evaluation.
problem Lack of precise, white-box diagnostics in RL environments.
method Synthetic Monitoring Environments (SMEs) with fully configurable task characteristics and known optimal policies.
result SMEs allow for precise evaluation of RL algorithms, revealing the impact of specific environmental properties.
We propose a stochastic modified equations (SME) for modeling the asynchronous stochastic gradient descent (ASGD) algorithms. The resulting SME of Langevin type extracts more information about the ASGD dynamics and elucidates the relationship between different types of stochastic gradient algorithms. We show the conver…
Pipeline learns topological features for protein stability prediction.
problem Predicting protein stability using topological features.
method Data-driven method to learn topological features, comparing with expert features.
result Topological features achieve 92%-99% of SME-based models' performance.
This paper uses graph neural networks to predict SME default risk using transaction and ownership networks.
problem Predicting credit risk for SMEs facing limited financial histories and collateral constraints.
method Graph Neural Networks applied to multilayer network data of SME transactions and ownership.
result Combining network data with traditional data improves credit scoring and models contagion risk.
Small Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) face many obstacles when they try to access credit market. These obstacles are increased if the SMEs are innovative. In this case, financial data are insufficient or even not reliable. Thus, when building a judgemental rating model, mainly based on qualitative criteria (soft inform…
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
problem Lack of creditworthiness makes SMEs difficult to finance by banks.
method Descriptive research design, census of 43 banks, secondary data analysis.
result Bank size and liquidity significantly influence lending to SMEs, while credit risk and interest rates do not.
Paper proposes a method to evaluate SME credit risk using meta paths.
problem Evaluate credit risk of small and medium-sized enterprises with limited data.
method Exploits the representative power of information networks and meta paths to infer SME financial status.
result Meta path feature effectively identifies SMEs with credit risks.
HA-SME models SGD dynamics with Hessian info for better escaping behaviors.
problem Capturing the escaping behaviors of SGD from stationary points.
method HA-SME, a novel SDE with Hessian info in drift and diffusion.
result HA-SME achieves best approximation error and recovers SGD dynamics for quadratics.
Changes in the capital structure before and after the global financial crisis for SMEs are studied, emphasizing their financing problems, distinguishing between internal financing and external financing determinants. The empirical research bears upon 158 small and medium-sized firms listed on Shenzhen and Shanghai Stoc…
Study combines intra-risk and contagion risk for SME bankruptcy prediction.
problem Predicting bankruptcy risk of SMEs considering both intra-risk and contagion risk.
method Proposes a novel model using Graph Neural Networks to combine intra-risk and contagion risk.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in bankruptcy prediction.
Meta-learning framework for credit risk assessment of SMEs, aligning financial statement dates with evaluation dates.
problem Temporal misalignment of credit scoring models leading to bias and inconsistent predictions.
method Two-step temporal decomposition: static model for annual PDs, dynamic model for monthly PDs; stacking architecture to aggregate multiple models.
result Framework effectively captures credit risk evolution over time, improving temporal consistency and predictive stability.
Any research on strategies for reaching business excellence aims at revealing the appropriate course of actions any executive should consider. Thus, discussions take place on how effective a performance measurement system can be estimated, or/and validated. Can one find an adequate measure (i) on the performance result…
The abstract covers various aspects of eBusiness and eGovernment, including digital currencies, m-government services, gender inclusivity, eLearning, export performance, SME digitalization, and banking customer behavior.
problem Various challenges and opportunities in eBusiness and eGovernment.
method Critical review, UTAUT model with perceived risk theory, GAD approach, inductive research paradigm, one-on-one interviews, survey questionnaires, convenience sampling.
result Impediments to eLearning uptake, gender inclusivity in e-procurement, export performance of manufacturing firms, SME digitalization impact, measuring and modeling framework for Internet banking customers.
DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.
problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.
Study SGD dynamics in high-dimensional models, revealing consistent behavior across different batch sizes and learning rates.
problem Understanding SGD dynamics in high-dimensional multi-index models.
method Asymptotic analysis of SGD, developing mean-field equations and Gaussian diffusion approximations.
result Consistent SGD dynamics across different batch sizes and learning rates, distinct from gradient flow and online SGD.
Study introduces new financial ratios for better predicting company performance.
problem Lack of progress in predicting company performance and assessing financial risks.
method Developed new financial and macroeconomic ratios, supervised learning models, and Bayesian models.
result New proposed variables improve model accuracy and FNN performs best across multiple tasks.
In the current paper the Lagrangian of a classical, relativistic point particle is obtained whose conjugate momentum satisfies the dispersion relation of a quantum wave packet that is subject to Lorentz violation based on a particular coefficient of the nonminimal Standard-Model Extension (SME). The properties of this …
Paper improves SLCB regret bound for bounded noise.
problem Stochastic linear contextual bandits with bounded noise.
method Set-membership estimation (SME) and optimism in the face of uncertainty (OFU).
result Improved regret bound of O(logT). Study uses CNN to analyze images of SMEs for bankruptcy risk.
problem Lack of data for risk analysis of SMEs.
method Created images for each SME, trained CNN on these images.
result CNN achieved 97.8% accuracy in predicting bankruptcy.
Improved spatial prediction for massive datasets using SME model.
problem Efficiently estimating parameters in massive spatial datasets.
method Spatial Mixed Effects (SME) model with AECM algorithm for flexibility.
result Improved estimation without sacrificing prediction accuracy.
This study proposes a new model for predicting financial distress in SMEs using machine learning.
problem Challenges in predicting financial distress for SMEs due to ambiguity and limited data.
method Feature selection algorithm based on element credits and data source collection. Incorporates financial statements, governance qualities, and market data with a Relevant Vector Machine.
result The proposed model improves financial distress prediction efficiency with fewer characteristic factors.
Model predicts time evolution of supply chain networks under varying costs.
problem Regulating downstream relationships for sustainable SMEs.
method Time varying SCN model based on Lagrangian mechanics, incorporating EDES cost kernels.
result Model predicts bankruptcy and break-even states under different cost scenarios.
Emerging economies frequently show a large component of their Gross Domestic Product to be dependant on the economic activity of small and medium enterprises. Nevertheless, e-business solutions are more likely designed for large companies. SMEs seem to follow a classical family-based management, used to traditional act…
Proposes a novel model for healthcare and SME credit risk prediction.
problem Lack of guidance from global view in sequence representation learning for time series modeling.
method Hierarchical Global View-guided (HGV) sequence representation learning framework with GGE and β-Attn modules. result Competitive prediction performance compared with other known baselines.
Certain momentum-dependent terms in the fermion sector of the Lorentz-violating Standard Model Extension (SME) yield solvable classical lagrangians of a type not mentioned in the literature. These cases yield new relatively simple examples of Finsler and pseudo-Finsler structures. One of the cases involves antisymmetri…
Paper extends Bayes Theorem for interval probability estimates.
problem Real-world input probabilities are often interval estimates, not precise.
method Developed IT2 version of Bayes Theorem and a novel algorithm for encoding intervals.
result Conservative method avoids invalid output results from inconsistent input.
Graph neural networks improve SME credit risk assessment.
problem Improving credit risk assessment for small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
method Graph neural networks were used to model the relationships between financial indicators of enterprises, creating a graph structure and embedding representations for credit risk prediction.
result The proposed model accurately predicts enterprise credit levels, demonstrating robustness and effectiveness.
We develop the method of stochastic modified equations (SME), in which stochastic gradient algorithms are approximated in the weak sense by continuous-time stochastic differential equations. We exploit the continuous formulation together with optimal control theory to derive novel adaptive hyper-parameter adjustment po…
Here we present an application of two maxentropic procedures to determine the probability density distribution of compound sums of random variables, using only a finite number of empirically determined fractional moments. The two methods are the Standard method of Maximum Entropy (SME), and the method of Maximum Entrop…
Research proposes a decentralized invoice discounting system using Kelly criterion.
problem Persistent funding gap for SMEs and inefficiencies in traditional factoring.
method Automated Market Maker (AMM) with Kelly criterion for premium calculation.
result Resilient decentralized system with optimal profit distribution policies.
Current study aims to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of debt on corporate profitability. This impact can be explained by three essential theories: signaling theory, tax theory and the agency cost theory. Using panel data sample of 2240 French non listed companies of service sector during 1999-2006. By uti…
We develop the mathematical foundations of the stochastic modified equations (SME) framework for analyzing the dynamics of stochastic gradient algorithms, where the latter is approximated by a class of stochastic differential equations with small noise parameters. We prove that this approximation can be understood math…
Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and economic operation of power systems. Though many STLF methods were proposed over the past decades, most of them focused on loads at high aggregation levels only. Thus, low-aggregation load forecast still requires further research and development. Comp…
Extends stochastic modified equations for optimization algorithms.
problem Improving stochastic gradient optimization algorithms.
method Develops new stochastic modified equations (SMEs) for optimization.
result Computes linear error terms and proves convergence rates.
AI agent predicts industry and product/service codes for companies.
problem Manual curation of company data is expensive and prone to errors.
method Hierarchical multi-class industry code classifier with multi-label product/service code classifier.
result High accuracy (92-96%) achieved with limited labeled data.
New financial dataset and model detect claims affecting market returns.
problem Detecting analyst claims' impact on financial markets.
method Constructed new dataset, used weak-supervision model with SME knowledge.
result Outperformed existing models in claim detection and market analysis.
Study finds managers' tenure and education influence their choice between in-court and out-of-court restructuring.
problem Exploring managers' characteristics and their impact on restructuring decisions.
method Empirical investigation using upper echelons theory and data from 342 managers of French firms.
result Managers with longer tenure and higher education levels prefer private restructuring over court involvement.
Paper proposes GAS-ALD model for financial risk prediction.
problem Skewed distribution of financial return data.
method Generalized autoregressive score (GAS) framework with asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD).
result GAS-ALD model predicts VaR and ES more accurately than traditional models.
Paper revisits set membership estimation for linear systems with relaxed disturbance bounds.
problem Set membership estimation for linear systems with disturbances bounded by convex sets.
method Adopted block-martingale small-ball condition and random perturbed control policies to establish convergence rates.
result Established convergence rates for disturbances bounded by general convex sets.
CAI automates extraction and validation of corporate GHG emission metrics.
problem Manual extraction of corporate GHG emission metrics is labor-intensive and error-prone.
method CAI uses LLMs to automate extraction and validation of metrics from corporate disclosures.
result CAI improves data collection efficiency and accuracy by automating the process.
The importance of supply chain management in analyzing and later catalyzing economic expectations while simultaneously prioritizing cleaner production aspects is a vital component of modern finance. Such predictions, though, are often known to be less than accurate due to the ubiquitous uncertainty plaguing most busine…
This paper presents a cross-country comparison of significant predictors of small business failure between Italy and the UK. Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are explored, some commonalities and differences are highlighted. Several models are consid…
This paper discusses the potential impacts of the so-called `initial coin offerings', and of several developments based on distributed ledger technology (`DLT'), on corporate governance. While many academic papers focus mainly on the legal qualification of DLT and crypto-assets, and most notably in relation to the pote…