This paper uses graph neural networks to predict SME default risk using transaction and ownership networks.
problem Predicting credit risk for SMEs facing limited financial histories and collateral constraints.
method Graph Neural Networks applied to multilayer network data of SME transactions and ownership.
result Combining network data with traditional data improves credit scoring and models contagion risk.
AI random forest model improves credit risk scoring for Azerbaijani SMEs.
problem Improving accuracy in identifying defaulters for SME loans.
method Used Python to compare a Delphi model with a random forest model, measuring accuracy, precision, recall, and F-1 scores.
result Significant improvements in model performance (e.g., from 0.69 to 0.83 in accuracy).
Meta-learning framework for credit risk assessment of SMEs, aligning financial statement dates with evaluation dates.
problem Temporal misalignment of credit scoring models leading to bias and inconsistent predictions.
method Two-step temporal decomposition: static model for annual PDs, dynamic model for monthly PDs; stacking architecture to aggregate multiple models.
result Framework effectively captures credit risk evolution over time, improving temporal consistency and predictive stability.
Small Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) face many obstacles when they try to access credit market. These obstacles are increased if the SMEs are innovative. In this case, financial data are insufficient or even not reliable. Thus, when building a judgemental rating model, mainly based on qualitative criteria (soft inform…
Paper proposes a method to evaluate SME credit risk using meta paths.
problem Evaluate credit risk of small and medium-sized enterprises with limited data.
method Exploits the representative power of information networks and meta paths to infer SME financial status.
result Meta path feature effectively identifies SMEs with credit risks.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
problem Lack of creditworthiness makes SMEs difficult to finance by banks.
method Descriptive research design, census of 43 banks, secondary data analysis.
result Bank size and liquidity significantly influence lending to SMEs, while credit risk and interest rates do not.
A scalable model estimates revenue uncertainty for SMEs.
problem Estimating revenue uncertainty for SMEs to manage credit limits.
method Scalable Natural Gradient Boosting Machines.
result The method distinguishes accurate from inaccurate revenue forecasts.
DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.
problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.
Paper uses ML to predict SME defaults with interpretability.
problem Lack of interpretability in ML models for SME default prediction.
method Model-agnostic approach using Accumulated Local Effects and Shapley values.
result eXtreme Gradient Boosting algorithm provides highest classification power with interpretability.
Graph neural networks improve SME credit risk assessment.
problem Improving credit risk assessment for small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
method Graph neural networks were used to model the relationships between financial indicators of enterprises, creating a graph structure and embedding representations for credit risk prediction.
result The proposed model accurately predicts enterprise credit levels, demonstrating robustness and effectiveness.
Pipeline learns topological features for protein stability prediction.
problem Predicting protein stability using topological features.
method Data-driven method to learn topological features, comparing with expert features.
result Topological features achieve 92%-99% of SME-based models' performance.
Credit scores misclassify borrowers, especially minorities, leading to inequitable access.
problem Misclassification of borrowers by credit scores, particularly minorities.
method Benchmarked a widely used credit score against a machine learning model.
result Machine learning model improves predictive accuracy for low-quality data, leading to more equitable access.
BSAC improves credit scoring models by leveraging autoencoders and addressing imbalanced datasets.
problem Imbalanced and heterogeneous credit scoring datasets.
method Bagging Supervised Autoencoder Classifier (BSAC) that uses autoencoders and undersampling.
result BSAC improves classification of loan applicants, demonstrating robustness and effectiveness.
Paper tackles transparency and auditability of machine learning in credit scoring.
problem Missed potential in using modern machine learning for credit scoring due to lack of transparency.
method Develops a framework for making black box machine learning models transparent, auditable, and explainable.
result Comparable interpretability can be achieved with machine learning while maintaining predictive power.
Study examines fairness in machine learning for credit scoring.
problem Bias in machine learning models for credit scoring.
method Comprehensive experimental study of fairness-aware machine learning models.
result Fairness-aware models improve fairness while maintaining accuracy.
We propose a stochastic modified equations (SME) for modeling the asynchronous stochastic gradient descent (ASGD) algorithms. The resulting SME of Langevin type extracts more information about the ASGD dynamics and elucidates the relationship between different types of stochastic gradient algorithms. We show the conver…
The paper explores fairness in credit scoring using machine learning.
problem The lack of research on fair machine learning in credit scoring.
method Revisits statistical fairness criteria, catalogs algorithmic options, and empirically compares fairness processors.
result Multiple fairness criteria can be approximately satisfied at once, and fair processors deliver a good balance between profit and fairness.
New machine learning models improve credit scoring in banks.
problem Improving credit scoring models in heavily regulated financial institutions.
method Gradient Boosting Machines (XGBoost) and Shapley Values.
result Improved performance and default capture rate compared to current models.
Paper introduces OCRR Score for quantifying DeFi wallet credit risk.
problem Inability to assess credit risk in decentralized finance.
method Probabilistic measure based on historical and predictive on-chain activity.
result Dynamic adjustment of LTV and LT based on wallet risk profile.
Paper uses RL for better credit scoring and underwriting.
problem Traditional underwriting methods are ungeneralizable in complex scenarios.
method Adapts RL principles for credit scoring, incorporating action space renewal and multi-choice actions.
result RL-based algorithms outperform traditional methods in aligned data scenarios.
A new credit scoring method using Gaussian Mixture Models.
problem Differentiating good from bad borrowers in credit scoring.
method Gaussian Mixture Models for consumer classification.
result The model performs comparably to others and avoids overfitting.
A new algorithm improves credit scoring accuracy for imbalanced data.
problem Poor classification of minority class in credit scoring data sets.
method Weighted-Hybrid-Sampling-Boost (WHSBoost) algorithm with balanced data sampling.
result WHSBoost outperforms other methods in credit scoring accuracy.
Proposes a credit scoring system for Aave accounts.
problem Scoring the creditworthiness of DeFi accounts.
method Tree-based binary classifier for predicting delinquency.
result Validated the credit scoring system for Aave accounts.
Improved credit scoring model with explainability.
problem Making financial decisions based on loan applications.
method Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model with 360-degree explanation framework.
result Model achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides understandable explanations.
Big data from phone calls improves credit scoring models and profits.
problem Improving credit scoring models to enhance financial inclusion.
method Combining call-detail records and traditional data to build scorecards using social network analytics.
result Combining call-detail records with traditional data significantly increases model performance and profit.
Credit scoring models support loan approval decisions in the financial services industry. Lenders train these models on data from previously granted credit applications, where the borrowers' repayment behavior has been observed. This approach creates sample bias. The scoring model (i.e., classifier) is trained on accep…
AI improves MSME credit scoring using bank statement data.
problem Lack of access to financing for MSMEs due to traditional credit scoring methods.
method Developed a cash flow-based pipeline using bank statement data for machine learning credit scoring.
result Bank statement features significantly improve credit scoring models, achieving AUROC of 0.806.
The paper introduces ESE scores for farmers to assess climate change risks.
problem Assessing climate change risks in individual farmers' credit evaluations.
method Integrating ESG variables into joint liability models and using a mean-variance utility function.
result Optimal group sizes and individual-ESE score relationships under various climatic conditions.
This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as credit scoring, or profitability prediction, known as profit scoring, to identify…
Credit scoring models based on accepted applications may be biased and their consequences can have a statistical and economic impact. Reject inference is the process of attempting to infer the creditworthiness status of the rejected applications. In this research, we use deep generative models to develop two new semi-s…
Proposes a novel model for healthcare and SME credit risk prediction.
problem Lack of guidance from global view in sequence representation learning for time series modeling.
method Hierarchical Global View-guided (HGV) sequence representation learning framework with GGE and β-Attn modules. result Competitive prediction performance compared with other known baselines.
A new activation function improves credit scoring accuracy for imbalanced datasets.
problem Imbalanced datasets in credit scoring lead to underestimation of misclassification costs.
method Introduces ASIG, an asymmetric adjusted Sigmoid function.
result ASIG-embedded classifier outperforms traditional classifiers across various imbalance ratios.
Credit Scores are ubiquitous and instrumental for loan providers and regulators. In this paper we showcase how micro-loan credit system can be developed in real setting. We show what challenges arise and discuss solutions. Particularly, we are concerned about model interpretability and data quality. In the final sectio…
Synthetic data improves credit scoring models' performance without compromising borrower privacy.
problem Scarcity of real data for credit scoring models due to privacy concerns.
method Privacy-preserving training with synthetic data.
result Credit scoring models trained with synthetic data show a reduction of 3% in AUC and 6% in KS compared to real data models.
A new framework integrates credit scoring into profit scoring for better P2P lending investments.
problem Maximizing profit while minimizing risk in P2P lending investments.
method Two-stage framework using Light Gradient Boosting Machine (lightGBM) to integrate credit scoring into profit scoring.
result The proposed framework identifies more profitable loans and provides better investment guidance.
GBM outperforms DL in credit scoring tasks, but performance depends on dataset.
problem Benchmarking deep learning vs. gradient boosting for credit scoring.
method Used three datasets with different features to compare DL and GBM.
result GBM is more powerful and faster than DL for credit scoring.
EWS-GCN improves credit scoring by analyzing money transfer connections.
problem Improving credit scoring in transactional banking data.
method Edge Weight-Shared Graph Convolutional Network (EWS-GCN) combining graph and recurrent neural networks.
result EWS-GCN outperforms state-of-the-art models in credit scoring.
The study tests and optimizes fairness in credit scoring models.
problem Discrimination in credit scoring models based on protected attributes.
method Formal testing and variable identification to optimize fairness and performance.
result Guidance on monitoring and improving algorithmic fairness in credit scoring.
This paper improves credit scoring models using a novel dataset distillation technique.
problem Limited scalability of pretrained models for tabular credit scoring datasets.
method Integrates class imbalance-aware dataset distillation with pretrained models.
result Improved AUC by 2.5% in financial datasets.
Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…
A new method combines federated learning and logistic regression for better credit scoring.
problem Improving credit scoring models while protecting data privacy.
method Projected gradient-based vertical federated learning (FL-LRBC) for logistic regression.
result Significant improvement in AUC and KS statistics due to data enrichment.
Paper compares ML methods for credit scoring, highlighting feature selection and scaling impacts.
problem Determining default risk in credit scoring models.
method Eight ML methods (SVM, Naive Bayes, DT, RF, XGBoost, KNN, MLP, LR) with feature selection and scaling.
result Feature selection and scaling improve model performance in credit scoring.
CCI combines Bayesian and gradient boosting to create fair, reliable credit risk scores.
problem Tackles high-stakes lending decisions with changing data distributions and fairness constraints.
method Combines Bayesian neural risk scorer and fairness-constrained gradient boosting with shift-aware fusion.
result CCI achieves best trade-off between discrimination, calibration, stability, and fairness.
The paper compares ML models for credit scoring and investment decisions using explainable AI.
problem The opacity of machine learning models in financial services.
method Comparison of various machine learning models (single classifiers, ensembles, neural networks) and explainability techniques (LIME, SHAP).
result Ensemble classifiers and neural networks outperform in credit scoring models.
The study develops a machine learning system for credit scoring and default prediction.
problem Developing a robust credit rating and default prediction system.
method Combines NLP, AE, GBM, DE, and SHAP/LIME for model interpretability.
result Obtained excellent out-of-sample performance in credit rating and default prediction.
SMEs provide a transparent testbed for RL evaluation.
problem Lack of precise, white-box diagnostics in RL environments.
method Synthetic Monitoring Environments (SMEs) with fully configurable task characteristics and known optimal policies.
result SMEs allow for precise evaluation of RL algorithms, revealing the impact of specific environmental properties.
Credit estimation and bankruptcy prediction methods have been utilizing Altman's z score method for the last several years. It is reported in many studies that z score is sensitive to changes in accounting figures. Researches have proposed different variations to conventional z score that can improve the predicti…
HA-SME models SGD dynamics with Hessian info for better escaping behaviors.
problem Capturing the escaping behaviors of SGD from stationary points.
method HA-SME, a novel SDE with Hessian info in drift and diffusion.
result HA-SME achieves best approximation error and recovers SGD dynamics for quadratics.