Deep learning estimates time-varying Markov model parameters.
problem Estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov models.
method Reframes parameter estimation as an optimization problem using maximum likelihood.
result Real solution close to SDE with neural network-derived parameters under specific conditions.
Proposes methods to include distributional information in MV-SDEs for better modeling of interacting particle systems.
problem Modeling the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles with distributional information.
method Semi-parametric methods and estimators for MV-SDEs.
result Explicitly including distributional dependence improves performance in modeling temporal data with interaction.
Study improves parameter estimation for SDEs driven by Levy noise.
problem Challenges in estimating parameters of SDEs with non-Gaussian noises.
method Introduces PEnet, a CNN-LSTM model for efficient parameter estimation.
result PEnet offers superior accuracy and adaptability for various SDE scenarios.
Proposes a method to estimate SDE noise from a single trajectory.
problem Estimating SDE noise from a single data trajectory without ergodicity or stationarity.
method Combining Taylor expansions, Girsanov transformations, and drift function's initial value for drift and noise estimation.
result First SSISDE algorithm capable of identifying SDE dynamics from a single trajectory.
We consider assets for which price Xt and squared volatility Yt are jointly driven by Heston joint stochastic differential equations (SDEs). When the parameters of these SDEs are estimated from N sub-sampled data (XnT,YnT), estimation errors do impact the classical option pricing PDEs. We estimate thes…
New method learns SDEs without integrators, speeding up computation.
problem Computational expense in learning SDEs using neural networks.
method Importance-sampling estimator for SDEs, leveraging parallelism.
result Lower-variance gradient estimates and massive computation time reductions.
SING improves state inference in latent SDE models for better drift function estimation.
problem Intractable posterior inference in latent SDE models.
method Natural gradient variational inference.
result SING provides faster and more reliable inference in latent SDE models.
We present a detailed analysis of \emph{observable} moments based parameter estimators for the Heston SDEs jointly driving the rate of returns Rt and the squared volatilities Vt. Since volatilities are not directly observable, our parameter estimators are constructed from empirical moments of realized volatilitie…
New algorithm optimizes nonlinear SDEs online with convergence guarantees.
problem Optimizing nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is computationally challenging.
method Forward propagation algorithm that solves an SDE derived using forward differentiation.
result Convergence theorem for nonlinear dissipative SDEs with bounds on stochastic fluctuations.
New estimator for SDEs is shown to be an adjoint state method.
problem Estimating gradients for overparameterized SDEs efficiently.
method Demonstrates generator gradient estimator as an adjoint state method.
result Generator gradient estimator is an adjoint state method for SDEs.
Improved noise estimation in latent neural SDEs enhances model accuracy.
problem Latent neural SDEs underestimate noise, limiting their stochastic dynamics modeling.
method Explicit additional noise regularization in the loss function.
result Model accurately captures diffusion component of stochastic time series data.
New method identifies SDE drift and diffusion from temporal data.
problem Learning SDE parameters from temporal data, especially in noisy or incomplete data.
method Entropy-regularized optimal transport, APPEX algorithm.
result Can almost always recover drift and diffusion from temporal marginals.
Stochastic normalizing flows use SDEs for efficient training and sampling.
problem Efficient maximum likelihood estimation and variational inference.
method Continuous normalizing flows extended with stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and rough path theory.
result Stochastic normalizing flows enable efficient training and sampling from complex distributions.
New method identifies drift and diffusivity from SDE marginals.
problem Challenging task to identify drift and diffusion from SDE population dynamics.
method Proposes nn-APPEX, a Schrodinger Bridge-based inference method.
result Gradient-flow drift and Brownian diffusivity jointly identifiable from marginals.
Novel method for SDE calibration from sparse data using neural flows.
problem Calibrating SDEs from sparse, noisy observations.
method Characterization of posterior SDE using neural networks trained to solve a PDE with multiplicative updates.
result Significant improvement in scalability and accuracy compared to classical methods.
SDE-Net quantifies uncertainty in deep nets using stochastic dynamics.
problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Viewing DNN transformations as state evolution of a stochastic dynamical system, introducing a Brownian motion term for epistemic uncertainty.
result SDE-Net outperforms existing methods in uncertainty estimation across various tasks.
Delay-SDE-net models time series with memory and uncertainty, outperforming other models.
problem Accurately modeling time series with memory and uncertainty.
method Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) neural network model with aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
result The Delay-SDE-net consistently outperforms other models in predicting time series values and uncertainties.
Neural-SDE model accurately simulates option risks.
problem Estimating accurate risk scenarios for option portfolios.
method Arbitrage-free neural-SDE market model for joint option dynamics.
result Models produce more efficient and accurate VaR evaluations.
In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to multi-level Monte Carlo and provides a simple mechanism for constructing a finite variance…
New method optimizes SDE models using continuous-time gradient descent.
problem Optimizing over the stationary distribution of SDE models.
method Continuous-time stochastic gradient descent for SDE models.
result Asymptotic convergence to the direction of steepest descent.
Model change points in time-series data with neural SDEs and variational autoencoders.
problem Modeling change points in time-series data with neural stochastic differential equations.
method Proposes a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder framework, alternating between updating neural SDE parameters and change points.
result Demonstrates the expressive power of the proposed model in modeling both classical parametric SDEs and real datasets with distribution shifts.
Corrects local error estimates for UBU integrator in SDEs, improving complexity guarantees.
problem Improper local error estimates in UBU integrator for SDEs.
method Reconciles theory with practice by correcting local error estimates.
result Stronger assumptions needed for O(d1/4ε−1/2) steps in Wasserstein-2 distance. SigMA uses signatures and attention to estimate parameters in fBm-driven SDEs.
problem Estimating parameters in SDEs driven by fBm is challenging due to non-Markovian and semimartingale issues.
method SigMA integrates path signatures with multi-head self-attention, using convolutional and MLP layers.
result SigMA outperforms other methods in accuracy, robustness, and model compactness.
New method uses SDEs for accurate non-uniformly sampled time series analysis.
problem Characterizing non-uniformly sampled time series with high accuracy.
method Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) for modeling, incremental estimation, and model truncation.
result Increased accuracy in characterizing non-uniformly sampled time series.
TCNF models SDEs using time deformation of Brownian motion.
problem Modeling SDEs with existing methods.
method Time-changed normalizing flows (TCNF) based on time deformation of Brownian motion.
result Improved modeling of SDEs, including Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
We solve continuous-time latent SDE identifiability using diffusion shifts.
problem Identifiability of latent SDEs in continuous-time time series.
method Environment-induced shifts in diffusion covariance for additive-noise latent SDEs.
result Two diagonal diffusion regimes with distinct variance ratios identify latent coordinates up to permutation and scaling.
Bayesian neural SDEs calibrate financial models robustly.
problem Calibrating financial models using neural SDEs for robustness.
method Bayesian framework with prior and likelihood, global approximation theorem, Langevin algorithm.
result Robust bounds on implied volatility surface learned from historical and option data.
Training-free model learns SDE dynamics without training, accelerating parameter studies.
problem High computational cost of simulating parameter-dependent SDEs.
method Training-free conditional diffusion model with joint kernel-weighted Monte Carlo estimator.
result Accurate approximation of conditional distributions across varying parameter values.
In this paper we introduce a new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator for multi-dimensional SDEs driven by Brownian motions. Giles has previously shown that if we combine a numerical approximation with strong order of convergence O(Δt) with MLMC we can reduce the computational complexity to estimate expected value…
The paper analyzes convergence of neural SDEs as sample size increases.
problem Understanding the limiting behavior of neural SDEs as sample size grows.
method Analyzes Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and uses stochastic maximum principle.
result Convergence of minima and optimal parameters of neural SDEs as sample size increases.
Itô maps provide a method for any-step SDE integration.
problem Stochastic dynamics
method Itô map formulation
result Empirical results on synthetic and image-generation benchmarks
A new method estimates SDEs using occupation kernels.
problem Learning multivariate stochastic differential equations (SDEs).
method Two-step procedure: estimate drift, then diffusion. Occupation kernels used in RKHS.
result Validated on simulated and real-world data.
SDE Matching eliminates simulation for training Latent SDEs, achieving similar performance.
problem Training Latent SDEs with adjoint sensitivity methods is computationally expensive and limited.
method SDE Matching, inspired by Score- and Flow Matching, eliminates simulation for training Latent SDEs.
result SDE Matching achieves performance comparable to adjoint sensitivity methods while reducing computational complexity.
ISALT uses inference to simulate SDEs with large time-steps, improving efficiency.
problem Efficiently simulating ergodic SDEs with large time-steps.
method Inference-based schemes adaptive to large time-steps (ISALT) from data.
result ISALT achieves significant time reduction and optimal accuracy.
This work provides a semi-analytic approximation method for decoupled forwardbackward SDEs (FBSDEs) with jumps. In particular, we construct an asymptotic expansion method for FBSDEs driven by the random Poisson measures with σ-finite compensators as well as the standard Brownian motions around the small-variance limit …
Neural networks estimate SDEs with jump noise using a Tamed-Milstein scheme.
problem Estimating drift and diffusion functions in SDEs with jump noise.
method Tamed-Milstein scheme with neural networks as non-parametric approximators.
result Flexible estimation of complex nonlinear dynamics in systems with state-dependent noise.
New estimator for digital options using path splitting and MLMC.
problem Estimating digital options with stochastic differential equations.
method Repeated path splitting, Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC).
result Estimator complexity similar to MLMC for Lipschitz payoffs.
New SDEs use G-Brownian motion, extending mean-field models.
problem Extending mean-field models to new types of stochastic processes.
method Introduced G-SDEs with coefficients dependent on current state and solution as random variable. result Validated new SDE framework for complex stochastic systems.
New method estimates SDE parameters efficiently using WCE and SGD.
problem Parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations.
method Wiener Chaos Expansion and Stochastic Gradient Descent.
result Accurate parameter recovery from noisy observations.
New bounds for heavy-tailed SDEs without info-theory terms.
problem Understanding generalization of heavy-tailed stochastic optimization.
method Fractional Fokker-Planck equation to estimate entropy flows.
result High-probability bounds with better dimension dependence.
Study on the smoothness of solutions to a specific type of stochastic differential equation.
problem Regularity of solutions to mean-field G-SDEs. method Analysis of first and second order Fréchet differentiability in the random initial condition.
result Established the Fréchet differentiability of the solution and specified the corresponding equations.
Generative model uses SDEs to transform data distributions.
problem Creating data from complex distributions.
method Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) for data transformation.
result Achieved record-breaking performance in image generation.
New SDE model for continuous-time reinforcement learning.
problem Modeling exploration in continuous-time reinforcement learning.
method Introduced grid-sampling SDE as a proxy model.
result Wellposedness of the SDE in the presence of jumps.
Develops state-space deep Gaussian processes for irregular signals.
problem Solving deep Gaussian process regression problems for irregular signals/functions.
method Represent DGPs as SDEs, solve using state-space filtering and smoothing methods.
result Rich class of priors compatible with irregular signals/functions.
Paper introduces non-adversarial training for Neural SDEs using signature kernel scores.
problem Stability and mode collapse issues in adversarial training of Neural SDEs.
method Uses signature kernel scores as objective function for non-adversarial training.
result Non-adversarial training leads to better performance and more stable models.
This paper uses SDEs to analyze GANs training and long-run behavior.
problem Understanding the training process and long-run behavior of GANs.
method Established SDE approximations for GANs training and analyzed long-run behavior via invariant measures.
result The long-run behavior of GANs training can be studied via the invariant measures of its SDE approximations.
New method for Bayesian inference of Lévy-driven SDEs with jumps.
problem Bayesian inference for Lévy-driven SDEs is challenging due to discontinuities and heavy tails.
method Neural exponential tilting framework for variational inference.
result Accurately captures jump dynamics and reliable posterior inference in heavy-tailed regimes.
The paper identifies generators of linear SDEs with noise types.
problem Identifying the generator of linear SDEs from their solution distribution.
method Deriving sufficient and necessary conditions for additive noise, and sufficient conditions for multiplicative noise.
result Generic conditions for identifying the generator of linear SDEs with both types of noise.