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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · Mar 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Rubin LSST

Fink AGN classifier achieves high accuracy in classifying active galactic nuclei.

problem Classifying active galactic nuclei from astronomical data.
method Built features from photometric points and color estimation. Used active learning for optimized training sample. Applied traditional machine learning algorithms.
result Achieved 98.0% accuracy in classifying real alerts from ZTF.

This paper addresses clustering with missing data using Rubin's rules.

problem How to pool partitions and assess instability when data are incomplete after multiple imputation.
method Consensus clustering and bootstrap theory are used to address the problem.
result New rules for pooling partitions and assessing instability are proposed and validated.

The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope will complete its survey in 2022 and produce terabytes of imaging data each night. To work with this massive onset of data, automated algorithms to classify astronomical light curves are crucial. Here, we present a method for automated classification of photometric light curves for a…

2019-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a method to align unpaired samples across different modalities.

problem Challenges in collecting paired samples for multimodal representation learning.
method Uses propensity score alignment based on Rubin's framework to estimate a common space for unpaired samples.
result Optimal transport matching significantly improves alignment in real-world data.

Estimates counterfactual outcomes linking observed and unobserved data.

problem Estimating expected counterfactual outcomes for individuals.
method Introduces retrospective counterfactual estimators and prediction intervals linking observed and unobserved outcomes.
result Retrospective counterfactual estimators and prediction intervals asymptotically satisfy valid coverage under standard causal assumptions.

Bayes-UCBVI tackles reinforcement learning with a new upper confidence bound method.

problem Optimizing exploration in reinforcement learning without bonuses.
method Bayes-UCBVI uses a quantile of a Q-value function posterior as an upper confidence bound.
result Proves a regret bound of order O~(H3SAT)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{H^3SAT}) for tabular reinforcement learning.

New method refines prediction intervals for individual treatment effects using cross-world correlation.

problem Uncertainty in individual treatment effects for high-stakes decisions.
method Introduces cross-world correlation parameter ρ to refine prediction intervals for individual treatment effects.
result Achieves more stable and accurate coverage of prediction intervals for individual treatment effects.

It is common practice in using regression type models for inferring causal effects, that inferring the correct causal relationship requires extra covariates are included or ``adjusted for''. Without performing this adjustment erroneous causal effects can be inferred. Given this phenomenon it is common practice to inclu…

2019-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends boundary estimates for Monge-Ampère equations in polygonal domains.

problem Boundary regularity for Monge-Ampère equations on convex polytopes with specific boundary conditions.
method Schauder-type techniques, inspired by Donaldson's work on the Abreu equation.
result Establishes boundary regularity result for Hölder continuous right-hand sides.

Model criticism is usually carried out by assessing if replicated data generated under the fitted model looks similar to the observed data, see e.g. Gelman, Carlin, Stern, and Rubin [2004, p. 165]. This paper presents a method for latent variable models by pulling back the data into the space of latent variables, and c…

2017-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We classify Freund-Rubin backgrounds of eleven-dimensional supergravity of the form AdS_4 x X^7 which are at least half BPS; equivalently, smooth quotients of the round 7-sphere by finite subgroups of SO(8) which admit an (N>3)-dimensional subspace of Killing spinors. The classification is given in terms of pairs consi…

2009-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We give general classification and structure theorems for actions of groups of homeomorphisms and diffeomorphisms on manifolds, reminiscent of classical results for actions of (locally) compact groups. This gives a negative answer to Ghys' "extension problem" for diffeomorphisms of manifolds with boundary, as well as a…

2019-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The volumes, spectra and geodesics of a recently constructed infinite family of five-dimensional inhomogeneous Einstein metrics on the two S3S^3 bundles over S2S^2 are examined. The metrics are in general of cohomogeneity one but they contain the infinite family of homogeneous metrics Tp,1T^{p,1}. The geodesic flow is sh…

2004-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the eleven dimensional supergravity equations which describe a low energy approximation to string theories and are related to M-theory under the AdS/CFT correspondence. These equations take the form of a non-linear differential system, on B7×S4\mathbb{B}^7\times\mathbb{S}^4 with the characteristic degeneracy at t…

2015-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

ProPublica's analysis of recidivism predictions produced by Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions (COMPAS) software tool for the task, has shown that the predictions were racially biased against African American defendants. We analyze the COMPAS data using a causal reformulation of the un…

2019-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New geometric flow equations describe how space-time dimensions change.

problem Understanding how the number of space-time dimensions affects geometry.
method Developed D-flow equations to model the variation of space-time geometries.
result Solutions for D-flow equations on D-dimensional spheres and Freund-Rubin Compactification.

We present RAPID (Real-time Automated Photometric IDentification), a novel time-series classification tool capable of automatically identifying transients from within a day of the initial alert, to the full lifetime of a light curve. Using a deep recurrent neural network with Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs), we present th…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves rigidity results for certain supergravity backgrounds in 11 dimensions.

problem Supersymmetry gap problem for supergravity backgrounds in 11 dimensions.
method Study of curvature restrictions and use of bijective correspondence between filtered deformations of Lie superalgebras and highly supersymmetric backgrounds.
result Rigidity results for specific supergravity backgrounds with low rank 4-form and high Killing spinor dimension.

Motivated by the search for new gravity duals to M2 branes with N>4N>4 supersymmetry --- equivalently, M-theory backgrounds with Killing superalgebra osp(N4)\mathfrak{osp}(N|4) for N>4N>4 --- we classify homogeneous M-theory backgrounds with symmetry Lie algebra so(n)so(3,2)\mathfrak{so}(n) \oplus \mathfrak{so}(3,2) for n=5,6,7n=5,6,7. We f…

2015-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Smooth Freund-Rubin backgrounds of eleven-dimensional supergravity of the form AdS_4 x X^7 and preserving at least half of the supersymmetry have been recently classified. Requiring that amount of supersymmetry forces X to be a spherical space form, whence isometric to the quotient of the round 7-sphere by a freely-act…

2010-07-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework infers causal shifts in event sequences under out-of-domain interventions.

problem Inferring causal relationships in event sequences without considering out-of-domain interventions.
method Proposes a new causal framework to define ATE, designs an unbiased ATE estimator, and uses a Transformer-based neural network model.
result Demonstrates superior performance in ATE estimation and goodness-of-fit under out-of-domain-augmented point processes.

This paper improves credit line impact analysis by considering spending as a distribution.

problem Previous studies on credit lines' impact on spending have overlooked the distributional nature of spending.
method Developed a distribution-valued estimator framework to extend existing real-valued estimators.
result Credit lines positively influence spending across all quantiles, but more towards luxuries as they increase.

Dark matter in the universe evolves through gravity to form a complex network of halos, filaments, sheets and voids, that is known as the cosmic web. Computational models of the underlying physical processes, such as classical N-body simulations, are extremely resource intensive, as they track the action of gravity in …

2018-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New method speeds up galaxy analysis from hours to seconds.

problem Infeasibility of state-of-the-art SED analyses for large surveys.
method Amortized Neural Posterior Estimation (ANPE) for scalable Bayesian inference.
result Posterior distributions of 12 model parameters estimated in seconds per galaxy.

We prove the following Theorem: Let X be a nonempty compact metrizable space, let l1l2...l_1 \leq l_2 \leq... be a sequence of natural numbers, and let X1X2...X_1 \subset X_2 \subset... be a sequence of nonempty closed subspaces of X such that for each k in N, dimZ/pXklk<dim_{Z/p} X_k \leq l_k < \infty. Then there exists a compact metriz…

2011-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

PICZL improves photometric redshifts for AGN in all-sky surveys.

problem Challenges in accurately computing photo-z for AGN due to interplay of SMBH and host galaxy emissions.
method PICZL uses an ensemble of CNNs with cross-channel integration of image and catalog data, leveraging Gaussian mixture models.
result PICZL achieves a photo-z variance of 4.5% and outlier fraction of 5.6% on a validation sample of 8098 AGN, outperforming previous methods.

Randomization is minimax-optimal for variance in experimental design, even with structure.

problem Designing optimal randomized experiments for variance minimization.
method Analyzing permutation symmetric and non-symmetric sets of outcomes, proposing inference-constrained MSOD.
result Randomization is minimax-optimal for variance, even with structure, and requires uniformity constraints for Fisher's exact test.

New complete panel dataset for LMICs helps analyze innovation and development.

problem Lack of complete data for empirical analyses in LMICs.
method Predictive Mean Matching multiple imputation technique.
result Created a large dataset of 47 variables for 82 LMICs from 2005-2019.

New method improves causal inference by estimating complex treatment effects with active learning.

problem Traditional causal inference frameworks ignore interference and assume independent treatment effects.
method Active Learning in Causal Inference with Interference (ACI) using Gaussian process and genetic algorithms.
result ACI achieves accurate effects estimation with reduced data requirements in complex interference scenarios.

Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference improves semisupervised mean estimation by calibrating prediction scores.

problem Semisupervised mean estimation with a small labeled sample and a large unlabeled sample, and miscalibrated prediction models.
method Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference (Calibeating) post-hoc calibrates the prediction score on the labeled sample before using it for semisupervised estimation.
result Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference can improve the original score both as a predictor of the outcome and as a regression adjustment for semisupervised inference.

Estimates classification rules from partially classified data.

problem Estimating Bayes' rule for unclassified observations in partially classified data.
method Fitting a g-component mixture model by maximum likelihood (ML) via the EM algorithm.
result Asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of Bayes' rule estimated from partially classified samples.

Locally approximating groups of homeomorphisms reveal manifold properties.

problem Understanding the structure and properties of homeomorphism groups on manifolds.
method Analyzing dense subgroups in Euclidean charts and interpreting first-order arithmetic.
result Locally approximating groups of homeomorphisms uniquely determine manifold properties.

This paper uses machine learning to estimate how different types of crashes affect highway traffic.

problem Estimating the heterogeneous causal effects of crashes on highway traffic.
method Neyman-Rubin Causal Model, Conditional Shapley Value Index, Structural Causal Model, Doubly Robust Learning.
result Different types of crashes have varying impacts on traffic, with rear-end crashes causing the most severe congestion.

We interpret black box predictive models using causal attribution.

problem Interpreting models trained using machine learning in high-stakes applications.
method Estimate causal effects of model inputs on output using observational data.
result Effective interpretation of black box predictive models via causal attribution.