The paper develops a deep signature approach for option pricing under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
problem Pricing options under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models is challenging due to the dependence on historical paths.
method Reformulate the asset dynamics as a rough stochastic differential equation and represent rough paths via signatures. Apply standard analytical tools to solve the transformed equation.
result The deep signature approach provides a theoretically grounded and computationally efficient framework for option pricing.
Model rough volatility using RDEs with correlated Brownian motion and fractional Brownian motion.
problem Modeling rough volatility with correlated stochastic processes.
method Developed a method to lift Brownian motion and rough paths, applying it to fractional Brownian motion to model rough volatility.
result Calibrated a new rough volatility model to market data.
Study approximates rough stochastic volatility models using diffusion processes.
problem High computational cost in simulating rough stochastic volatility models.
method Approximates stochastic Volterra equations with an N-dimensional diffusion process.
result Approximations converge strongly with superpolynomial rate in N.
Deep learning solves complex volatility equations.
problem Solving path-dependent PDEs in rough volatility.
method Interpreting PDE as BSDE, using neural network reservoir approach.
result Proved theoretical convergence for least-square regression.
We introduce a notion of p-rough integrator on any Banach manifolds, for any p≥1, which plays the role of weak geometric Holder p-rough paths in the usual Banach space setting. The awaited results on rough differential equations driven by such objects are proved, and a canonical representation is given if the man…
Universal approximation for stochastic processes using Brownian motion.
problem Approximating stochastic processes with linear functionals.
method Establishing Lp-type universal approximation theorems for rough path spaces. result Linear functionals on the signature of time-extended Brownian motion can approximate any p-integrable stochastic process. The paper develops methods to price options under rough volatility models using BSPDEs.
problem Pricing options in models with non-Markovian dynamics.
method Backward stochastic partial differential equations (BSPDEs) and deep learning for numerical approximations.
result Existence and uniqueness of weak solutions for general nonlinear BSPDEs.
A new model adapts Hurst parameter in real-time for volatility forecasting.
problem Capturing volatility dynamics and clustering in financial markets.
method Rough Bergomi model with EWMA-driven time-dependent Hurst parameter.
result Empirical validation shows superior performance in diverse asset classes.
Neural RDEs extend CDEs to irregular time series.
problem Modeling long irregular time series efficiently.
method Representing time series through log-signature and solving RDEs.
result Significant training speed-ups and improved model performance.
New method for pricing European options in rough LSV models.
problem Pricing European options in non-Markovian local stochastic volatility models.
method Conditional LSV dynamics, rough path theory, rough partial differential equations (RPDEs).
result Established a PDE pricing method for non-Markovian models.
Study non-Gaussian measures' concentration properties in metric spaces.
problem Concentration properties for non-linear Gaussian functionals with non-Gaussian tails.
method Prove generalised Transportation-Cost Inequalities (TCIs) for specific functionals.
result Extended TCIs for rough volatility and Parabolic Anderson Model.
This paper optimizes portfolio selection for multivariate affine and quadratic Volterra models with rough volatilities.
problem Optimizing portfolio selection for multivariate models with rough volatilities and stochastic correlations.
method Investigates continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance problem for multivariate affine and quadratic Volterra models using Riccati backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs).
result Derives explicit solutions for BSDEs in affine Volterra models and new analytic formulae for quadratic models.
Framework combines random features with CDEs for efficient time-series learning.
problem Efficient training of time-series models with strong inductive bias.
method Random Fourier CDEs and Random Rough DEs using continuous-time reservoirs and log-ODE discretization.
result Unified perspective on random-feature reservoirs and path-signature theory.
In this paper we consider rough differential equations on a smooth manifold (M). The main result of this paper gives sufficient conditions on the driving vector-fields so that the rough ODE's have global (in time) solutions. The sufficient conditions involve the existence of a complete Riemannian metric …
A new paradigm recently emerged in financial modelling: rough (stochastic) volatility, first observed by Gatheral et al. in high-frequency data, subsequently derived within market microstructure models, also turned out to capture parsimoniously key stylized facts of the entire implied volatility surface, including extr…
Stochastic normalizing flows use SDEs for efficient training and sampling.
problem Efficient maximum likelihood estimation and variational inference.
method Continuous normalizing flows extended with stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and rough path theory.
result Stochastic normalizing flows enable efficient training and sampling from complex distributions.
Develops multifactor approximations for SVEs with completely monotone kernels.
problem Approximating SVEs with kernels of completely monotone type.
method Multifactor approximation, Euler discretization, L2-estimation, convergence analysis. result New multifactor Euler scheme reduces computational cost and outperforms SVEs for option pricing.
A new deep learning method for option pricing in rough volatility models.
problem Efficient pricing of European options in high-dimensional rough volatility models.
method Time-stepping deep gradient flow method reformulating the option pricing PDE as an energy minimization problem.
result The method respects asymptotic behavior and known bounds for option prices.
We survey recent work on local well-posedness results for parabolic equations and systems with rough initial data.
Model for high-frequency trading with rough volatility.
problem High-frequency trading dynamics and rough volatility modeling.
method Stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with rough volatility driven by a Hawkes process.
result The volatility path of the SPDE is rougher than that driven by a standard Brownian motion.
Framework for training stochastic spiking neural networks with rough signals.
problem Training stochastic spiking neural networks with noisy spike timing and dynamics.
method Rough path theory and signature kernels for gradient computation.
result Pathwise gradients of SSNNs' trajectories and event times exist and satisfy a recursive relation.
Study rough volatility models using path-dependent PDEs and fractional Brownian motions.
problem Modeling and analyzing rough volatility in financial markets.
method Showed conditional expectations are unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs derived from functional Itô formula. Leverage these to study weak rates of convergence for discretized stochastic integrals.
result Obtained optimal weak error rates for approximating log-stock prices in rough volatility models.
Estimates neural drift for stochastic equations, improving inference on noisy data.
problem Estimating drift in stochastic differential equations with neural networks.
method Non-parametric estimation using ReLU neural networks, enforcing theoretical bounds.
result Practical method for inference on noisy and rough functional data.
We construct low regularity solutions of the vacuum Einstein constraint equations. In particular, on 3-manifolds we obtain solutions with metrics in $H^s\loc$ with s>23. The theory of maximal asymptotically Euclidean solutions of the constraint equations descends completely the low regularity setting. Moreove…
A new unsupervised learning method calibrates rough volatility models efficiently.
problem Efficient calibration of rough volatility models with minimal data.
method Unsupervised learning using BSDE representation and neural networks.
result The proposed scheme minimizes loss and approximates BSDE solution.
In this paper, we consider very rough solutions to Cauchy problem for the Einstein vacuum equations in CMC spacial harmonic gauge, and obtain the local well-posedness result in Hs,s>2. The novelty of our approach lies in that, without resorting to the standard paradifferential regularization over the rough, Einstei…
We solve a family of fractional Riccati differential equations with constant (possibly complex) coefficients. These equations arise, e.g., in fractional Heston stochastic volatility models, that have received great attention in the recent financial literature thanks to their ability to reproduce a rough volatility beha…
Neural SVEs model complex systems with memory, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Modeling systems with memory effects and irregular behavior.
method Introducing neural stochastic Volterra equations as a physics-inspired architecture.
result Neural SVEs outperform neural SDEs and DeepONets in various applications.
We consider stochastic partial differential equations appearing as Markovian lifts of matrix valued (affine) Volterra type processes from the point of view of the generalized Feller property (see e.g., \cite{doetei:10}). We introduce in particular Volterra Wishart processes with fractional kernels and values in the con…
Smooth bundles with rough data maintain Hodge kernel isomorphism.
problem Maintaining Hodge kernel isomorphism for smooth bundles with non-smooth geometric data.
method Analyzing nilpotent differential operators and Hodge-Dirac-type operators under perturbations of geometric data.
result Kernels of Hodge-Dirac operators remain isomorphic under uniform perturbations of geometric data.
It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and implied volatilities. However, due to the non-Markovian nature of the fractional Br…
Volatility roughness studied using fractional noise-driven models.
problem Volatility roughness interpretation.
method Data-reconstructed fractional volatility model with fractional noise.
result Option pricing equation and solution derived using Malliavin calculus.
Our topological setting is a smooth compact manifold of dimension two or higher with smooth boundary. Although this underlying topological structure is smooth, the Riemannian metric tensor is only assumed to be bounded and measurable. This is known as a rough Riemannian manifold. For a large class of boundary condition…
Paper introduces branched signature model for efficient computation and data-driven applications.
problem Efficient computation and data-driven modeling of branched rough paths.
method Develops a universal approximation theorem and constructs an extension map to realize branched signatures.
result Explicit construction of branched signatures via an extension map for efficient computation.
TURB-Rot provides a large database of turbulent rotating flow snapshots for research.
problem Lack of large-scale, high-resolution datasets for turbulent rotating flows.
method Direct Numerical Simulations of Navier-Stokes equations with rotation.
result Provides a diverse set of 300K complex images and fields for testing.
Unified approach to stochastic control, filtering, and stopping using rough paths.
problem Addressing gaps in classical problems of stochastic control, filtering, and stopping.
method Combining rough path theory with controlled rough paths to provide a pathwise deterministic framework.
result Established rigorous connection between candidate solutions and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.
We provide a draft of a theory of geometric integration of rough differential forms which are generalizations of classical (smooth) differential forms to similar objects with very low regularity, for instance, involving Hölder continuous functions that may be nowhere differentiable. Borrowing ideas from the theory of r…
This is the second in a series of three papers in which we initiate the study of very rough solutions to the initial value problem for the Einstein vacuum equations expressed relative to wave coordinates. By very rough we mean solutions which cannot be constructed by the classical techniques of energy estimates and Sob…
We present a number of related comparison results, which allow to compare moment explosion times, moment generating functions and critical moments between rough and non-rough Heston models of stochastic volatility. All results are based on a comparison principle for certain non-linear Volterra integral equations. Our u…
Deep learning solves non-Markovian FBSDEs for utility maximization.
problem Solving utility maximization problems under rough volatility.
method Deep learning-based numerical methods for non-Markovian fully coupled FBSDEs.
result Error estimates and convergence provided for the deep learning approach.
This is the first in a series Of papers in which we initiate the study Of very rough solutions to the initial value problem for the Einstein Vacuum equations expressed relative to wave coordinates. By very rough we mean solutions which cannot be constructed by the classical techniques Of energy estimates and Sobolev in…
Investigates mean-variance portfolio selection in non-Markovian markets.
problem Continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection in fake stationary affine Volterra models.
method Stochastic factor solution to a Riccati BSDE, deriving explicit solutions as multi-dimensional Riccati-Volterra equations.
result Analytical closed-form expressions for optimal portfolio policies and mean-variance efficient frontier.
Expanding the rough Heston model in H
problem Analyzing the dependence of the fractional Riccati equation on the Hurst parameter H method Deriving a Taylor expansion of the Riccati solution in H result Local uniform convergence and analyticity of the fractional Riccati solution
Paper solves Merton's portfolio problem in a non-Markovian, non-semimartingale model.
problem Merton's portfolio optimization in a fake stationary Volterra-Heston model.
method Stochastic factor solution to a Riccati BSDE, combined with martingale optimality principle.
result Derives semi-closed form optimal strategies and value function.
Study of coupled Hawkes processes with rough-volatility limits.
problem Understanding coupled Hawkes processes with rough-volatility limits.
method Proving weak convergence of rescaled intensity vector to stochastic Volterra equations.
result Limiting components exhibit different degrees of roughness and cross-decorrelation law.
New method uses LSTM and signature theory to solve complex financial PDEs.
problem Solving path-dependent PDEs for financial derivatives pricing.
method Combining LSTM networks and rough paths theory.
result Efficient algorithms for pricing and hedging path-dependent derivatives.
Rough and Hodge Laplacians eigenvalues approach zero with fixed volume.
problem Eigenvalues of rough and Hodge Laplacians under fixed volume.
method Construct families of Riemannian metrics with fixed volume.
result Positive eigenvalues of rough and Hodge Laplacians converge to zero.
We use GANs and signatures to approximate conditional laws in filtering and prediction of diffusion processes.
problem Approximating conditional laws for diffusion processes with noisy observations.
method Conditional GANs combined with signatures for approximation.
result Efficient approximation of conditional laws for diffusion processes.