We formulate simple assumptions, implying the Robbins-Monro conditions for the Q-learning algorithm with the local learning rate, depending on the number of visits of a particular state-action pair (local clock) and the number of iteration (global clock). It is assumed that the Markov decision process is communicatin…
New method improves Robbins-Monro algorithm convergence with prior information.
problem Improving convergence speed of Robbins-Monro algorithm.
method Integrates prior information into Robbins-Monro iteration without regression model.
result Prior-information Robbins-Monro sequence converges faster than standard.
The need for parameter estimation with massive datasets has reinvigorated interest in stochastic optimization and iterative estimation procedures. Stochastic approximations are at the forefront of this recent development as they yield procedures that are simple, general, and fast. However, standard stochastic approxima…
Improved analysis for fair federated learning reduces dependence on noise floor.
problem Asymptotic stationarity in group fair federated learning with reduced noise floor dependence.
method DS FedProxGrad framework with inexact local proximal solutions and fairness regularization.
result Algorithm converges asymptotically to stationarity without dependence on a noise floor.
The paper analyzes two ISGD modes for statistical inference, deriving error bounds and confidence intervals.
problem Statistical inference with implicit SGD for smooth convex functions.
method Proximal Robbins-Monro (proxRM) and proximal Polyak-Ruppert (proxPR) procedures for ISGD.
result Derives non-asymptotic error bounds and confidence interval estimators for model parameters.
Paper develops efficient methods for estimating Hessian inverses in stochastic optimization.
problem Estimating the inverse Hessian for convex function minimization.
method Robbins-Monro procedure for recursive estimation of the inverse Hessian.
result Develops universal stochastic Newton methods with improved efficiency.
Paper proves SHB convergence with biased gradients and approximate step sizes.
problem Establishing convergence of SHB with biased gradients and approximate step sizes.
method Generalizes SHB convergence conditions for biased gradients, approximate step sizes, and block updating.
result Proves convergence of SHB with new conditions for biased gradients and approximate step sizes.
TCP provides well-calibrated prediction intervals for nonstationary time series.
problem Nonstationary time series forecasting with well-calibrated prediction intervals.
method Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP) couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling split-conformal calibration layer.
result TCP achieves near-nominal coverage, providing slightly wider intervals than Historical Simulation.
Unified algorithm for stochastic optimization with time-varying momentum converges under general conditions.
problem Optimizing functions with time-varying gradients and biases.
method Unified algorithm using a time-varying momentum term.
result Convergence of the unified algorithm under general conditions.
Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are two risk measures which are widely used in the practice of risk management. This paper deals with the problem of computing both VaR and CVaR using stochastic approximation (with decreasing steps): we propose a first Robbins-Monro procedure based on Rockaffela…
Though with progress, model learning and performing posterior inference still remains a common challenge for using deep generative models, especially for handling discrete hidden variables. This paper is mainly concerned with algorithms for learning Helmholz machines, which is characterized by pairing the generative mo…
Improved sampling efficiency with Random Reshuffling for Langevin dynamics.
problem Sampling efficiency in stochastic gradient algorithms.
method Random Reshuffling for Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD).
result Random Reshuffling leads to improved performance in sampling.
Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that combines two key ideas. The first one, which is deeply rooted in the Expectation-Maxim…
Gonogo offers tools for sensitivity experiments in R.
problem Conducting, analyzing, and simulating sensitivity experiments.
method Suite of R functions for various adaptive procedures.
result Achieving overlapping data and refining testing in distribution tails.
Paper proposes a new algorithm to reduce derivative pricing computation time.
problem Derivative pricing computational inefficiency.
method Combines multilevel Richardson-Romberg and importance sampling.
result Reduces computational time while maintaining accuracy.
New streaming methods improve convergence rates for optimization problems.
problem Optimizing large-scale, sequential data problems.
method Time-varying mini-batches and Polyak-Ruppert averaging for gradient-based algorithms.
result Time-varying mini-batches and averaging achieve optimal convergence and variance reduction.
New method uses joint stochastic approximation to improve learning of discrete latent models.
problem Challenges in learning discrete latent variable models, especially with inference model gradients and log-likelihood optimization.
method Proposes a new method based on stochastic approximation theory that directly maximizes the target log-likelihood and minimizes the posterior-inference model divergence.
result Consistently outperforms recent competitive algorithms in generative modeling and structured prediction tasks.
Information geometry applies concepts in differential geometry to probability and statistics and is especially useful for parameter estimation in exponential families where parameters are known to lie on a Riemannian manifold. Connections between the geometric properties of the induced manifold and statistical properti…
Deep learning speeds up IFA estimation for large datasets.
problem Slow MML estimation for large-scale IFA models.
method Importance-weighted autoencoder (IWAE) for fast VI.
result IWAE yields accurate estimates faster than MH-RM.
Generates samples conditioned on labels using optimal transport.
problem Estimating conditional distributions for specific labels.
method Wasserstein geodesic generator based on optimal transport theory.
result Learned conditional distributions and optimal transport maps.
The paper classifies Finsler surfaces satisfying the T-condition or σT-condition.
problem Characterizing Finsler surfaces based on specific tensor conditions.
method Analyzing Finsler surfaces in dimensions n≥3, proving conditions equivalence, and solving PDEs.
result All Finsler surfaces satisfying the T-condition or σT-condition are classified.
The paper develops a new approach to conditional risk measures using modular convex analysis.
problem Developing a new method for conditional risk measures.
method Random modular approach to conditional certainty equivalents and niveloids in the conditional L∞-space. result Retrieves a conditional variational formula for optimized certainty equivalents and applies it to the conditional entropic risk measure.
Paper constructs solutions to Bogomolny equations with specific boundary and asymptotic conditions.
problem Constructing solutions to Bogomolny equations with given boundary and asymptotic conditions.
method Using generalized Nahm pole boundary condition and real symmetry breaking condition.
result Solutions analogous to instanton solutions, satisfying different asymptotic conditions.
We extend probabilistic programming to handle conditioning on marginal distributions.
problem Conditioning probabilistic programs on marginal distributions of observable variables.
method We define and implement stochastic conditioning, allowing inference in probabilistic programs conditioned on marginal distributions.
result We demonstrate the effectiveness of stochastic conditioning in various real-life scenarios.
New tests for conditional copulas based on decision trees.
problem Testing constancy of conditional dependence structure given conditioning events.
method Data-driven decision trees to maximize differences in conditional Kendall's tau.
result Asymptotic distributions of test statistics under the null hypothesis.
Paper finds necessary condition for logarithmic Minkowski problem in higher dimensions.
problem Logarithmic Minkowski problem in higher dimensions.
method Established a necessary condition through generalization and refinement of previous work.
result Generalizes and refines necessary condition for logarithmic Minkowski problem.
This paper introduces a neural operator for probabilistic conditioning.
problem Probabilistic conditioning of random variables X given Y. method Develops a single operator that maps any joint density to its conditional, approximated by neural operators.
result Neural operators can approximate the conditioning operator to arbitrary accuracy.
CSI method learns conditional distributions by estimating flow equations.
problem Learning conditional distributions in generative models.
method Estimates probability flow equations to transport reference to target distribution.
result Derives explicit expressions for conditional drift and score functions.
New conditional risk measures called conditional generalized quantiles defined and characterized.
problem Developing new risk measures for dynamic risk assessment.
method Propose and characterize conditional generalized quantiles using expected utility model and equivalent conditions.
result Characterized conditional generalized quantiles as well-defined and equivalent to a conditional first order condition.
A new method for learning conditional distributions using ODEs and neural networks.
problem Learning conditional distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Conditional Föllmer Flow, discretized with Euler's method, using nonparametric velocity estimation.
result Effective approximation of target conditional distributions, with convergence results for Wasserstein-2 distance.
Sharp statistical theory for conditional diffusion models.
problem Lack of theoretical foundation for conditional diffusion models.
method Sharp statistical theory with approximation of conditional score function.
result Sample complexity bound that adapts to data distribution smoothness.
An analysis is made of reality conditions within the context of noncommutative geometry. We show that if a covariant derivative satisfies a given left Leibniz rule then a right Leibniz rule is equivalent to the reality condition. We show also that the matrix which determines the reality condition must satisfy the Yang-…
New conditions prevent gaps in optimal control problems.
problem Preventing gaps in optimal control problems with state constraints.
method Developed new sufficient conditions not relying on convexity.
result Derived bounds for the size of the relaxation gap.
We identify conditional parity as a general notion of non-discrimination in machine learning. In fact, several recently proposed notions of non-discrimination, including a few counterfactual notions, are instances of conditional parity. We show that conditional parity is amenable to statistical analysis by studying ran…
We consider families of strongly consistent multivariate conditional risk measures. We show that under strong consistency these families admit a decomposition into a conditional aggregation function and a univariate conditional risk measure as introduced Hoffmann et al. (2016). Further, in analogy to the univariate cas…
Develops a rigorous theory for conditional mean embeddings.
problem Efficient conditioning of probability distributions in RKHSs.
method Mathematical theory for both centred and uncentred covariance operators.
result Significantly weakens conditions for applicability of CMEs.
Proposes a new method for interpreting feature importance and effects in dependent feature models.
problem Challenges in interpreting feature importance when features are dependent and interactions are present.
method Conditional Subgroup Approach
result Conditional PFI and PDP estimates based on this approach often outperform existing methods.
New boundary conditions solve Cauchy problem for Dirac operators on spacetimes.
problem Understanding non-local boundary conditions for Dirac operators on spacetimes.
method Define and analyze a class of Lorentzian boundary conditions that are local in time and non-local in spatial directions.
result Well-posed Cauchy problem for the Dirac operator is established under these conditions.
We extend CS divergence to conditional distributions and show its advantages in time series data and sequential decision making.
problem Quantifying the closeness between conditional distributions.
method Developed and estimated a conditional Cauchy-Schwarz divergence using kernel density estimation.
result Conditional CS divergence outperforms previous methods in time series clustering and sequential decision making.
The Samuelson condition is not satisfied by tangent lines of quadratic curves.
problem Area condition for Lagrangian 2-web
method Show that the Samuelson condition is not satisfied
result The Samuelson condition is not satisfied by tangent lines of quadratic curves.
We describe a Groebner basis of relations among conditional probabilities in a discrete probability space, with any set of conditioned-upon events. They may be specialized to the partially-observed random variable case, the purely conditional case, and other special cases. We also investigate the connection to generali…
A new method tests conditional independence by transforming it into an unconditional problem using transport maps.
problem Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third.
method Constructing transport maps to transform conditional independence into unconditional independence, estimating these maps from data using conditional continuous normalizing flow models.
result The proposed method is validated through simulations and real-data analysis, demonstrating practical effectiveness.
Generalizes moment-matching for exponential families with conditioning or hidden data.
problem Generalizing moment-matching conditions for exponential families with conditioning or hidden data.
method First-principles explanation and self-contained derivation of generalized moment-matching conditions.
result Derives generalized moment-matching conditions for conditional exponential families and hidden data.
DG algorithms often fail to generalize well in limited domains, highlighting necessary vs. sufficient conditions.
problem DG algorithms fail to consistently outperform ERM in limited domains.
method Examined necessary and sufficient conditions for DG, proposing a subspace alignment method.
result DG methods focus on sufficient conditions, often neglecting necessary conditions, leading to generalization failures.
In this paper, we examine higher order difference problems. Using the "squeezing" argument, we derive both Euler's condition and the transversality condition. In order to derive the two conditions, two needed assumptions are identified. A counterexample, in which the transversality condition is not satisfied without th…
Study on estimating conditional risk in machine learning.
problem Estimating expected loss of prediction models given input features.
method Analyzed in classification and regression settings, showing equivalence to standard regression. Developed theoretical insights and empirical validation.
result Conditional risk calibration is distinct from existing uncertainty quantification problems.
The paper extends static Systemic Risk Measures to a conditional setting.
problem Investigating how static Systemic Risk Measures can be adapted to a conditional framework.
method Providing a general dual representation result, analyzing Conditional Shortfall Systemic Risk Measures, and providing explicit formulas for exponential preferences.
result Explicit formulas for Conditional Shortfall Systemic Risk Measures and a time consistency property.
This paper simplifies conditional Sobol' indices calculation using PCE bases.
problem Computational inefficiency and lack of consistency in evaluating conditional Sobol' indices.
method Analytical extraction of conditional Sobol' indices via basis decomposition of PCE expansions.
result Derives closed-form expressions for conditional Sobol' indices.