Unified framework for CVA sensitivities, hedging, and risk assessment.
problem Computing and managing Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) sensitivities and risks.
method Probabilistic machine learning and refined regression on simulated data, validated by Monte Carlo methods.
result Identification of optimal sensitivities for practical tasks like hedging and risk assessment.
Paper introduces RCaI, a risk-sensitive control method using Rényi divergence.
problem Risk-sensitive control in reinforcement learning.
method RCaI extends CaI using Rényi divergence variational inference.
result Risk-sensitive optimal policy can be obtained by solving a soft Bellman equation.
Study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with Lipschitz dynamic risk measures, establishing regret bounds.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes.
method Two model-based algorithms for Lipschitz dynamic risk measures, focusing on regret bounds.
result Upper bounds demonstrate optimal dependencies on actions and episodes, reflecting risk sensitivity vs. sample complexity trade-off.
Study risk-sensitive RL in offline settings, improving efficiency and accuracy.
problem Efficiently derive near-optimal policies for risk-sensitive RL using offline data.
method Introduced two provably sample-efficient algorithms for risk-sensitive offline RL in linear MDPs.
result First provably efficient risk-sensitive offline RL algorithms.
Paper introduces a new method for risk-sensitive investment management using RL.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio management with unknown model parameters.
method Combines RL and risk-sensitive stochastic control with Gaussian perturbations for exploration.
result Endogenous relative-entropy regularization and optimal investment strategy derived.
This paper introduces a method to incorporate risk sensitivity in RL using quadratic variation penalties.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning under entropy regularization.
method Equivalent martingale property and quadratic variation penalty for value process.
result The proposed method improves finite-sample performance in linear-quadratic control problems.
Paper introduces risk-sensitive bandits with optimal arm mixtures.
problem Designing algorithms for risk-sensitive multi-armed bandits.
method Formalizes risk-sensitive bandits framework, identifies optimal arm mixtures, designs regret-efficient algorithms.
result Regret-efficient algorithms track optimal arm mixtures or solitary arms.
Overview of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes with Optimized Certainty Equivalent.
problem Optimizing decision-making under risk in Markov processes.
method Analyzes risk-sensitive criteria using Optimized Certainty Equivalent, including entropic risk and Conditional Value-at-Risk.
result Conditions for the existence of optimal policies and solution procedures are provided.
Investigates conditions for risk or utility functionals to be sensitive to large losses.
problem Conditions for risk or utility functionals to be sensitive to large losses.
method Analyzes sensitivity to large losses for various risk and utility functionals.
result Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall generally fail to be sensitive to large losses, but expected utility functionals and certain adjusted versions are sensitive.
Improved risk-sensitive RL with exponential Bellman equation and better regret bounds.
problem Exponential gap between upper and lower bounds in risk-sensitive RL.
method Identified and addressed deficiencies in existing algorithms and analysis; developed novel analysis and exploration mechanism.
result Improved regret upper bounds over existing ones.
We study risk-sensitive imitation learning where the agent's goal is to perform at least as well as the expert in terms of a risk profile. We first formulate our risk-sensitive imitation learning setting. We consider the generative adversarial approach to imitation learning (GAIL) and derive an optimization problem for…
New algorithms optimize risk in reinforcement learning with exponential utility.
problem Optimizing rewards under risk in reinforcement learning with unknown transition kernels.
method Two model-free algorithms: Risk-Sensitive Value Iteration (RSVI) and Risk-Sensitive Q-learning (RSQ).
result Proved near-optimal regret bounds for RSVI and RSQ.
This paper analyzes risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) for robust Markov Decision Processes.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning for robust Markov Decision Processes (RMDPs) with state-action-dependent ambiguity sets.
method The paper establishes a connection between robustness and risk sensitivity, defining a new risk measure NCVaR and proposing value iteration algorithms.
result The proposed approach using NCVaR optimization and value iteration algorithms can solve problems with state-action-dependent ambiguity sets.
Novel framework for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning using martingale decomposition.
problem Risk sensitivity in sequential decision-making with uncertain rewards.
method Martingale decomposition and chaotic variation for reward uncertainty, integrated into model-free reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Demonstrated relevance of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in grid world and portfolio optimization problems.
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
The paper studies risk-sensitive learning schemes and provides learning bounds for empirical OCE minimizers.
problem Risk-sensitive learning aims to minimize risk-averse measures of loss.
method Proposes learning bounds for empirical OCE minimizers based on Rademacher average and variance.
result Provides two learning bounds on the performance of empirical OCE minimizers.
A new method for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning using Spectral Risk Measures.
problem Incorporating risk sensitivity into reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Proposes a novel framework for optimizing Spectral Risk Measures in both online and offline RL algorithms.
result Demonstrates consistent outperformance over existing risk-sensitive methods in various domains.
Novel framework for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with robustness against uncertainty.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with uncertainty in transition dynamics.
method Developed a risk-sensitive robust Markov decision process (RSRMDP), derived its Bellman equation, and proposed a Bayesian Dynamic Programming (Bayesian DP) algorithm.
result Demonstrated convergence to near-optimal policies and analyzed sample and computational complexities.
Develops an actor-critic algorithm for risk-sensitive Markov decision processes.
problem Risk-sensitive cost criterion in Markov decision processes.
method Actor-critic algorithm with function approximation.
result Asymptotic convergence of the actor-critic algorithm.
Sensitivity analysis for individualized effects in OTRs with binary risk factors.
problem Addressing omitted confounding in individualized effects of OTRs.
method Simulation-based sensitivity analysis to simulate unmeasured confounders.
result Benchmarking the strength of omitted confounding for binary risk factors.
Study parameter sensitivities in bond pricing models with jumps.
problem Analyzing the impact of parameters on bond pricing models with jumps.
method Theoretical analysis and MATLAB simulations of a Brownian motion and compound Poisson process.
result Explicit call price formula and verification of sensitivities.
Study gap-dependent regret bounds for risk-sensitive RL.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with entropic risk measure.
method Propose cascaded gaps to adapt to problem structures, derive regret bounds.
result Exponential improvement over existing bounds in appropriate settings.
A new procedure for learning cost-sensitive SVM(CS-SVM) classifiers is proposed. The SVM hinge loss is extended to the cost sensitive setting, and the CS-SVM is derived as the minimizer of the associated risk. The extension of the hinge loss draws on recent connections between risk minimization and probability elicitat…
The paper addresses human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems using bounded risk-sensitive Markov Games.
problem Modeling human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems with risk-seeking and loss-aversion behaviors.
method Forward policy design and inverse reward learning with iterative reasoning and cumulative prospect theory.
result The proposed algorithms demonstrate both risk-averse and risk-seeking behaviors in multi-agent systems.
New algorithm for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with natural policy gradients.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with downside risk constraints.
method Introduce a new Bellman equation to estimate the lower partial moment of returns, use natural policy gradients, and extend Reward Constrained Policy Optimization.
result Sample-efficient estimation of partial moments and effective risk-sensitive control.
Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk models under various stresses.
problem Understanding model changes under output stress.
method Deriving the closest stressed distribution and model parameters.
result Numerically efficient method for calculating stressed model.
We establish a stochastic maximum principle (SMP) for control problems of partially observed diffusions of mean-field type with risk-sensitive performance functionals.
Separates estimation and control in risk-sensitive investment problems with partial observation.
problem Risk-sensitive investment problems with incomplete observation.
method Investigates separability of a general class of risk-sensitive investment management problems using a finite-dimensional filter.
result The separated problem is strictly equivalent to the original control problem.
The paper proposes a new method to measure risk with fine-grained tail sensitivity.
problem Risk measures that do not account for tail sensitivity are insufficient for machine learning systems.
method The approach involves specifying a reference distribution with desired tail behavior and constructing risk measures compatible with this upper probability.
result Risk measures with fine-grained tail sensitivity can replace the expectation operator in machine learning systems.
Paper tackles risk-sensitive decision-making under uncertainty.
problem Risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, delineated necessary optimality conditions.
result Illustrative examples from optimal betting and inventory management support the theory.
We develop a method for quantile-based sensitivity analysis in models with discontinuities.
problem Uncertainty in interpreting discontinuous models using traditional derivatives.
method Quantile-based derivatives for discontinuous models with discrete inputs.
result Derivatives of quantile-based outputs are well-defined and provide meaningful insights.
Autonomous systems can substantially enhance a human's efficiency and effectiveness in complex environments. Machines, however, are often unable to observe the preferences of the humans that they serve. Despite the fact that the human's and machine's objectives are aligned, asymmetric information, along with heterogene…
This paper introduces a novel approach to measuring privacy risks in deep computer vision models based on intermediate outputs.
problem The exposure of intermediate results in hidden layers of deep computer vision models poses significant privacy concerns.
method The approach leverages Degrees of Freedom (DoF) to evaluate the amount of information retained in each layer and combines this with the rank of the Jacobian matrix to assess sensitivity to input variations.
result The proposed framework provides deeper insights into privacy risks associated with intermediate representations without requiring adversarial attack simulations.
The objective in a traditional reinforcement learning (RL) problem is to find a policy that optimizes the expected value of a performance metric such as the infinite-horizon cumulative discounted or long-run average cost/reward. In practice, optimizing the expected value alone may not be satisfactory, in that it may be…
Solves risk-sensitive investment via duality, entropic regularization, and RL.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio management in a factor-based setting.
method Free energy-entropy duality, Kuroda-Nagai change-of-measure, RL algorithm.
result Direct analytical solution, explicit controls, two interpretations of optimal allocation.
New risk class penalizes loss deviations from mean on both sides.
problem Current risks are sensitive to loss tails on the upside and ignore the downside.
method Introduces a bi-directional risk class with flexible tail sensitivity.
result Derives high-probability learning guarantees without gradient clipping.
Improved portfolio optimization reduces sensitivity to neural network initialization.
problem High sensitivity to neural network initialization in portfolio optimization.
method Robust end-to-end framework for risk budgeting portfolios.
result Enhanced stability in portfolio optimization without compromising performance.
Optimizes portfolios with costs, showing existence of optimal strategies.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio optimization with transaction costs.
method Log-return i.i.d. framework, Bellman equation analysis.
result Existence of optimal strategies for risk-averse and risk-seeking cases.
Efficient RL in partially observable risk-sensitive environments with hindsight observations.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in partially observable environments.
method Integrates hindsight observations into POMDP framework, develops novel RL algorithm.
result Achieves polynomial regret with provable efficiency, outperforming existing methods.
Develops variational framework for LQG risk-sensitive MFGs with major-minor interactions.
problem Risk-sensitive optimal control in LQG systems with major-minor interactions.
method Variational approach, nonlinear necessary and sufficient condition of optimality, equivalent risk-neutral measure, Markovian closed-loop best-response strategies.
result Derives optimal control strategies for LQG risk-sensitive MFGs with major-minor interactions, establishing Nash and ε-Nash equilibria. Ensuring that classifiers are non-discriminatory or fair with respect to a sensitive feature (e.g., race or gender) is a topical problem. Progress in this task requires fixing a definition of fairness, and there have been several proposals in this regard over the past few years. Several of these, however, assume either…
Efficiently computes optimal policies for Entropic Risk Measures.
problem Optimizing risk-sensitive metrics in MDPs is computationally expensive.
method Uses Entropic Risk Measures and novel structural analysis for efficient computation.
result Achieves strong performance in various decision-making scenarios.
We formulate a probabilistic Markov property in discrete time under a dynamic risk framework with minimal assumptions. This is useful for recursive solutions to risk-sensitive versions of dynamic optimisation problems such as optimal prediction, where at each stage the recursion depends on the whole future. The propert…
The paper links labor income risk to stock returns using industry portfolio returns.
problem Understanding the impact of sectoral shifts on stock returns.
method Using cross-industry dispersion (CID) as a proxy for unemployment risk, the paper examines the relationship between stock returns and the sensitivity of returns to CID innovations.
result Stocks with high sensitivity to CID have lower expected returns, suggesting they are more exposed to sectoral shifts and unemployment risk.
Study optimizes interbank lending and borrowing to reduce systemic risk.
problem Optimizing lending and borrowing in interbank markets to mitigate systemic risk.
method Risk-sensitive mean field games with common noise, convex analysis, Fokker-Planck equations, first hitting time method.
result Risk-averse behavior reduces individual and systemic bank risks.
Framework improves ETF volatility forecasting by adapting to market conditions.
problem Challenges in volatility forecasting due to shifting market conditions and varying model performance.
method Risk-sensitive specialist routing using online risk-sensitive evaluation and state-dependent gating.
result Reduces forecast loss by 24% and underprediction loss by 22% compared to rolling-best baseline.
Risk management in financial derivative markets requires inevitably the calculation of the different price sensitivities. The literature contains an abundant amount of research works that have studied the computation of these important values. Most of these works consider the well-known Black and Scholes model where th…
Proposes a new framework for risk-sensitive RL using deep nets.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning problems.
method Conditional elicitability, scoring functions, deep neural networks.
result Dynamic spectral risk measures can be approximated by deep nets.