Study models growth of unorganized retail in Indian pharma sector amid organized and e-retail competition.
problem Survival strategies of unorganized retailers challenged by organized and e-retailers.
method Field investigation, conjoint analysis, design of experiments, agent-based simulation.
result Unorganized retailers' performance influenced by their own attribute levels and price discounts.
This study benchmarks AI agents for personalized retail promotions using simulations.
problem Optimizing coupon targeting for sparse customer purchase events.
method Comprehensive simulations of customer shopping behaviors; training RL agents on batch data.
result Contextual bandit and deep RL methods outperform static policies in sparse reward environments.
Research identifies four motivational groups for crypto-metaverse landowners.
problem Understanding motivations of retail investors in the crypto-metaverse.
method Detailed financial behavior survey and principal components analysis.
result Four distinct motivational groups identified: Aesthetics, Social, Speculation, Innovation.
Paper uses GANs to simulate consumer transactions with SKU constraints.
problem Simulating realistic consumer transactions in retail systems.
method Integrates GANs with consumer behavior and SKU availability constraints.
result Demonstrates enhanced realism in simulated transactions.
Study improves retail demand forecasting by integrating macroeconomic data.
problem Lack of accurate demand forecasting due to incomplete data.
method Enriched time series data with macroeconomic variables; compared regression and machine learning models.
result Improved accuracy in predicting retail demand through comprehensive data integration.
This study examines non-retail trading on Polymarket, revealing unique behavior patterns and structural limitations.
problem Lack of address-level quote-lifecycle data in Polymarket prediction markets.
method Empirical analysis of 13 million order-filled events using DBSCAN clustering on a six-feature fill-side vector.
result Non-retail behavior is uni-modal, contradicting previous archetypal hypotheses.
Study reveals investor behavior in NFT bubbles.
problem Understanding retail investor behavior in asset bubbles.
method Systematic study of NFTs using public blockchain data.
result Sophisticated investors outperform others in NFT bubbles.
The purpose of this paper is to identify the immediate and future retailer response to wholesale stockouts. We perform a statistical analysis of historical customer order and delivery data of a local tool wholesaler and distributor, whose customers are retailers, over a period of four years. We investigate the effect o…
Investor-driven information diffusion affects excess comovement in China and the U.S. markets.
problem Investor-driven information diffusion and its impact on excess comovement.
method Cross-sectional analysis of 4,533 Chinese and 4,517 U.S. stocks from 2010 to 2022.
result Retail-driven information diffusion significantly drives excess comovement in China, while institution-driven diffusion is the primary driver in the U.S.
Supply uncertainty leads to inefficient supply chain network formation.
problem How supply uncertainty affects supply chain network structure.
method Modeling a supply chain network with uncertain yield, where retailers and suppliers must form relationships and compete.
result Retailers tend to link to too few suppliers, leading to insufficient diversification of the supply base.
Study optimizes product assortment for retailers with repeated exposures and patience costs.
problem Optimizing product assortment for online retailers with repeated exposures and varying consumer patience.
method Developed a cascade multinomial logit model to capture repeated exposures and patience costs.
result Proposed an approximation solution to the assortment optimization problem.
Analyzes retail trends from sales, search, and reviews.
problem Optimizing inventory and marketing for better customer satisfaction.
method Historical sales data, search trends, and customer reviews.
result Identifies patterns and trending products for retailers.
This paper analyzes tokenized U.S. Treasuries, revealing patterns and roles in blockchain transactions.
problem Limited empirical analysis of transaction-level behaviors in tokenized U.S. Treasuries.
method Quantitative dissection of U.S. Treasury-backed RWA tokens across multiple chains, introducing a curvature-aware representation learning model for address-level economic role inference.
result Decoded transaction-level patterns reveal the degree of retail participation and distinguish roles in Web3 finance.
Tricks improve retail product image classification accuracy.
problem Retail Product Image Classification
method Various tricks including a new LCA layer, Instagram-pretrained Convnet, and Maximum Entropy loss.
result Increased accuracy of fine-tuned convnets by a large margin.
This paper monetizes customer load data to boost energy retailer profits.
problem Improving load forecasts to reduce energy imbalance costs.
method Cooperative game theory approach to quantify and distribute profits.
result Retailer gains significant profit from customer load data.
Newly available data on the spatial distribution of retail activities in cities makes it possible to build models formalized at the level of the single retailer. Current models tackle consumer location choices at an aggregate level and the opportunity new data offers for modeling at the retail unit level lacks a theore…
Paper evaluates synthetic retail data for fidelity, utility, and privacy.
problem Ensuring accurate synthetic data in retail.
method Differentiates between continuous and discrete data, measures fidelity and utility, and uses Differential Privacy for privacy.
result Validated framework for reliable and scalable synthetic data evaluation.
Supplier learns to price contracts against a learning retailer.
problem Designing data-driven pricing policies for a supplier facing a learning retailer.
method Connecting to non-stationary online learning, proposing dynamic pricing policies for discrete and continuous demand.
result Supplier's pricing policies lead to sublinear regret bounds under various retailer learning policies.
Improved neural network convergence with causal Bayesian modeling in retail performance.
problem Improving neural network convergence in retail performance models.
method Causal Bayesian neural network implementation, removal of weakest SEM path, Flipout layers, Vadam optimizer.
result Neural network convergence improved with removal of the weakest SEM path.
India is ranked as the third most attractive nation for retail investment among emerging markets and many MNCs have been looking for the potential benefits to be taken from it. The development of organized retail has the potential of generating employment, improvement in technology, development of real estate etc. On t…
In this article, we analyze the application of options contract in special commodity supply chain such as fresh agricultural products. This problem is discussed in the point of the retailer. When spot market and future market are both available, we discuss how the retailer chooses the optimal production. Furthermore, o…
Model predicts internal fraud in retail banking is cyclical and influenced by corruption.
problem Predicting and mitigating internal fraud losses in retail banking.
method Developed a dynamic model considering internal factors and macroeconomic indicators.
result Internal fraud losses are pro-cyclical and positively affected by corruption perceptions.
Retail company uses Prophet algorithm for accurate sales forecasting.
problem Accurate sales forecasting in the retail industry.
method Facebook's Prophet algorithm and backtesting strategy.
result Framework demonstrates real-world use case capabilities.
The study reveals distinct patterns in retail investors' holding periods affecting stock returns.
problem Understanding the impact of retail investors' investment horizons on stock returns.
method Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits, the study categorizes retail investors into long-horizon and short-horizon groups and analyzes their return patterns.
result Long-horizon retail investors exhibit underreaction to earnings announcements, while short-horizon investors show overreaction.
Deep learning predicts customer churn in retail.
problem Accurately predicting which customers are likely to stop purchasing.
method Survival model parameters learned by recurrent neural networks.
result Individual level survival models for purchasing behavior.
Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as China, where retail investors dominate the market. In this regard, as retail inv…
This paper uses bandit algorithms to reduce the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
problem Reducing the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
method Modeling user interface experimentation as an opportunistic bandit problem, reducing the cost of exploration.
result Significant regret reduction and improved contextual information for testing.
A new model predicts fashion demand 6-12 months ahead, boosting retailer profits.
problem Accurate demand forecasting for fashion retailers with short product life cycles.
method Product age-based forecast model, incorporating unique feature engineering.
result Significant revenue uplift of 41% compared to retailer's plan.
Binary choice forests model customer choices in retailing.
problem Estimating DCMs using transaction data is challenging and prone to misspecification.
method Random forest of binary decision trees to represent DCMs, interpretable and consistent predictions.
result Random forest can predict choice probabilities and assortments unseen in training data.
In this paper we study the setting where features are added or change interpretation over time, which has applications in multiple domains such as retail, manufacturing, finance. In particular, we propose an approach to provably determine the time instant from which the new/changed features start becoming relevant with…
A model simulates how different types of traders react to macroeconomic news.
problem Understanding how various market participants respond to macroeconomic surprises.
method Developed a calibrated data generation process (DGP) with four trader archetypes and a Monte Carlo simulation.
result Higher information and lower risk-averse traders take larger positions and achieve higher average wealth.
Simple model finds high correlation in retail crypto returns.
problem Discerning correlation in retail cryptocurrency markets without factors.
method Used N*(N) statistic to compare models of daily returns.
result High average pairwise correlation (60%) found, supports isotropic model.
Study on stock portfolio concentration among Finnish households and investors.
problem Understanding the concentration of stock portfolios owned by Finnish households and investors.
method Analysis of stock portfolios using Herfindahl-Hirschman index over 20 years.
result High portfolio concentration observed in Finnish retail investors, similar to institutional investors.
An evolutionary game model analyzes e-commerce and traditional retail trends during the pandemic.
problem Understanding the dynamics between e-commerce and traditional retail during the pandemic.
method Developed an evolutionary game model to study consumer-producer interactions on e-commerce platforms.
result Investment in logistics and warehouses in e-commerce led to faster delivery and consumer trends.
This paper presents a financial analysis over Twitter sentiment analytics extracted from listed retail brands. We investigate whether there is statistically-significant information between the Twitter sentiment and volume, and stock returns and volatility. Traditional newswires are also considered as a proxy for the ma…
This paper improves sales forecasting on Tmall using Fourier decomposition and Tweedie distribution optimization.
problem Sales forecasting for retailers on Tmall.
method Fourier decomposition for seasonality extraction and Tweedie distribution optimization.
result Improved sales forecasting results using optimized models.
Proof-of-Stake networks with EIP-1559 exhibit stable token prices and secure network security.
problem Token valuation and institutional capital in Proof-of-Stake networks under EIP-1559
method Open-economy macroeconomic equilibrium model
result Stable steady-state equilibrium price for ETH
The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies typical modeling challenges faced in risk and behavior forecasting. Conventional ma…
This paper presents two cases of random banking data generators based on migration matrices and scoring rules. The banking data generator is a new hope in researches of finding the proving method of comparisons of various credit scoring techniques. There is analyzed the influence of one cyclic macro--economic variable …
The study improves CLV predictions in retail banking with machine learning.
problem Estimating customer lifetime value in retail banking is challenging.
method Developed a novel framework for CLV predictions over arbitrary time horizons.
result 43% improvement in out-of-time CLV prediction error.
Retail investors set interest rates for P2P loans based on borrower characteristics.
problem Understanding how individual investors price credit risk in online consumer loan auctions.
method Reverse auction framework, analyzing interest rate variance and borrower characteristics.
result Retail investors exhibit strong predictability in pricing, with gender and marital status influencing interest rates.
Knowledge distillation boosts simple models in banking without complexity.
problem Complexity and performance constraints in banking models.
method Soft Targets, Sample Selection, Data Augmentation.
result Improved model performance without altering model simplicity.
Stablecoins offer efficient settlement but externalize costs and risks.
problem Comparing stablecoins to card networks in retail payments.
method Unified analytical framework (CLEAR) across five dimensions.
result Stablecoins are advantageous in closed-loop and high-friction contexts but structurally disadvantaged as open-loop instruments.
Proposes balancing revenue and environmental impact in assortment planning.
problem Maximizing revenue while considering environmental impact in retail assortment planning.
method Multi-objective optimization using Higg Material Sustainability Index.
result Shows it's possible to have lower environmental impact without significant revenue loss.
Study shows marketable order routing to wholesalers benefits all traders, leading to lower market depth and price volatility.
problem Determining the preference of retail traders for marketable order routing.
method Two models: one for market makers competing for retail order flow (Bertrand model) and another for price-taking competitive liquidity providers (open exchange model).
result Routing marketable orders to wholesalers is preferred by all traders, leading to mean reverting inventories and lower market depth.
The Internet is known to have had a powerful impact on on-line retailer strategies in markets characterised by long-tail distribution of sales. Such retailers can exploit the long tail of the market, since they are effectively without physical limit on the number of choices on offer. Here we examine two extensions of t…
Study benchmarks mutual funds in India using DEA, finding efficiency metrics.
problem Benchmark mutual funds in India based on efficiency metrics.
method Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model incorporating risk, cost, return, and information ratio.
result DEA model identifies efficiency frontier and compares results with traditional metrics.
Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.
problem Manipulation of online trading platforms leading to financial losses for retail traders.
method Independent recording of trade details using REST API responses, comparison with broker reviews.
result 82% of retail traders lose money due to platform technical issues.