New algorithm for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces with improved sample and computational complexity.
problem Learning halfspaces under Gaussian marginals with reliable agnostic model.
method Developed a new algorithm for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces with specific sample and computational complexity.
result Achieved a new algorithm with improved sample and computational complexity for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces.
WISCA generates consensus explanations from conflicting model-agnostic interpretability methods.
problem Conflicting explanations from diverse interpretability algorithms.
method WISCA integrates class probability and normalized attributions to generate consistent explanations.
result WISCA consistently aligns with the most reliable individual method, improving explanation reliability.
MAntRA combines machine learning and Bayesian methods for time-dependent reliability analysis of unknown systems.
problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with unknown governing physics.
method Combines machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and stochastic integration to discover and analyze SDEs from data.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of MAntRA on three numerical examples, indicating its potential for in-situ and heritage structure analysis.
MAPS algorithm creates reliable prediction intervals for high-dimensional data.
problem Computing reliable conditional prediction intervals in high-dimensional settings.
method Lifted predictive model (LPM) and MAPS algorithm for distribution-free intervals.
result MAPS algorithm produces valid prediction intervals for any trained model.
Post-hoc model-agnostic interpretation methods such as partial dependence plots can be employed to interpret complex machine learning models. While these interpretation methods can be applied regardless of model complexity, they can produce misleading and verbose results if the model is too complex, especially w.r.t. f…
A new sampling strategy improves reliability and robustness optimization for complex designs.
problem High sample requirements for optimizing reliability and robustness in complex designs.
method Local Latin Hypercube Refinement (LoLHR) for multi-objective design uncertainty optimization.
result LoLHR achieves better results compared to other surrogate-based strategies.
Methods for interpreting machine learning black-box models increase the outcomes' transparency and in turn generates insight into the reliability and fairness of the algorithms. However, the interpretations themselves could contain significant uncertainty that undermines the trust in the outcomes and raises concern abo…
PredDiff measures prediction changes while marginalizing features, offering new insights into interaction effects.
problem Understanding interaction effects in black-box models.
method Model-agnostic, local attribution method based on probability theory.
result Introduced a new measure for interaction effects between arbitrary feature subsets.
Cluster LOCO: A model-agnostic feature importance score for interpreting cluster outputs
problem Interpreting and auditing cluster outputs
method Cluster LOCO (Leave-One-Covariate-Out)
result More reliably recovers informative features than existing methods
Proposes integrating global and local entropy for more reliable LLMs.
problem Uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) leads to unreliable predictions.
method Measures global uncertainty from hidden-state matrices and local uncertainty from tokens, combining them via a multiplicative gate.
result Global-Local Uncertainty (GLU) outperforms unsupervised baselines across multiple models and benchmarks.
CDLEEDS detects local changes in evolving data streams for accurate feature attributions.
problem Local feature attributions become obsolete in evolving data streams.
method CDLEEDS, a flexible framework for detecting local change and concept drift.
result CDLEEDS reliably detects both local and global concept drift.
Algorithm learns binary function efficiently under arbitrary covariate shift.
problem Learning binary function under arbitrary distributions P and Q.
method PQ-learning algorithm using reliable learner with selective classification.
result Polynomial-time algorithm for covariate shift learning.
GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.
problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.
Combines machine learning and data assimilation for improved forecasting.
problem Improving forecast accuracy with noisy observations.
method Sequentially learns a machine-learning model using an ensemble Kalman filter.
result The combined model achieves good forecast skill and computational efficiency.
Model based predictions of future trajectories of a dynamical system often suffer from inaccuracies, forcing model based control algorithms to re-plan often, thus being computationally expensive, suboptimal and not reliable. In this work, we propose a model agnostic method for estimating the uncertainty of a model?s pr…
Risk Advisor predicts and mitigates ML deployment failures.
problem Predicting and mitigating test-time failure risks of ML systems.
method Post-hoc meta-learner for estimating failure risks and uncertainties.
result Reliably predicts deployment-time failure risks across various ML models.
Develops a statistical test for IV, improving feature selection reliability.
problem Lack of statistical justification in conventional IV-based feature selection.
method Establishes connection with Jeffreys divergence and proposes a nonparametric hypothesis test.
result The J-Divergence test provides rigorous guarantees and is more reliable than traditional IV thresholds.
TRIP detects unreliable feature importance scores in random forests.
problem Unreliable feature importance scores in random forests due to model extrapolation.
method Develops TRIP (Test for Reliable Interpretation via Permutation) to detect unreliable permutation feature importance scores.
result TRIP reliably detects unreliable permutation feature importance scores in high-dimensional settings.
Proposes a method to improve CATE estimation by imputing missing potential outcomes.
problem Statistical discrepancy between distinct treatment groups in CATE estimation.
method Contrastive learning approach to reliably impute missing potential outcomes for a subset of individuals.
result Improves the accuracy and robustness of CATE estimation models.
A new method calibrates value predictions in offline RL to improve reliability.
problem Difficulty in long-horizon value prediction in offline reinforcement learning.
method Bellman calibration, a weak reliability criterion, and Iterated Bellman Calibration.
result Finite-sample guarantees show that Bellman calibration error is controlled at nonparametric rates.
New method learns robot actions from videos without explicit labels.
problem Training robots to perform tasks from few demonstrations.
method Uses images and text for task-agnostic and general representation, synthesizes hallucinated actions, and applies dense correspondences.
result Trains robot policies solely from RGB videos, achieving diverse tasks across different robots and environments.
Classical clients can verify quantum learning tasks efficiently.
problem Making quantum learning accessible to classical clients.
method Developed a framework for classical verification of quantum learning.
result Quantum learning tasks can be efficiently verified by classical verifiers.
STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.
problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.
Kernel methods accurately predict Hamiltonian systems from data.
problem Data-driven simulation of Hamiltonian systems.
method Two-step and one-step kernel-based methods for identifying and forecasting Hamiltonian systems.
result Framework achieves accurate, data-efficient predictions across various benchmark systems.
Robustness to out-of-distribution (OOD) data is an important goal in building reliable machine learning systems. Especially in autonomous systems, wrong predictions for OOD inputs can cause safety critical situations. As a first step towards a solution, we consider the problem of detecting such data in a value-based de…
This paper tackles online reinforcement learning for unseen tasks with unknown boundaries.
problem Real-world tasks violate assumptions of task distributions, independence, and clear task delineations.
method A mixture of Gaussian Processes models different dynamics, and a transition prior handles temporal dependencies.
result The approach reliably handles task distribution shifts and outperforms alternatives in non-stationary tasks.
LUNO linearizes neural operators to quantify their predictive uncertainty.
problem Quantifying the predictive error of neural operators for high-stakes simulations.
method Model linearization to push weight-space uncertainty forward to predictions.
result LUNO provides a practical and theoretically sound way to apply Bayesian methods to neural operators.
A new method for feature importance inference without data splitting.
problem Feature importance inference for machine learning models.
method Minipatch ensembles for model-agnostic, distribution-free inference.
result Asymptotic validity of confidence intervals without data splitting.
SMART is an open source web application designed to help data scientists and research teams efficiently build labeled training data sets for supervised machine learning tasks. SMART provides users with an intuitive interface for creating labeled data sets, supports active learning to help reduce the required amount of …
New algorithm learns disjunctions faster than previous methods.
problem Learning Boolean disjunctions in the agnostic PAC model.
method Developed an agnostic learner with complexity 2ildeO(n1/3). result First separation between SQ and CSQ models in distribution-free agnostic learning.
First proper learning algorithm for Gaussian halfspaces with matching sample and computational complexity.
problem Agnostically learning halfspaces under Gaussian distribution.
method First proper learning algorithm with matching sample and computational complexity.
result First proper learning algorithm for agnostically learning halfspaces under Gaussian distribution with matching sample and computational complexity.
OTAD uses optimal transport to create robust models against adversarial attacks.
problem Vulnerability of deep neural networks to adversarial perturbations.
method OTAD combines optimal transport and Lipschitz networks to create a robust model.
result OTAD outperforms other robust models on diverse datasets.
Query access significantly speeds up learning Multi-Index Models under Gaussian distribution.
problem Agnostically learning Multi-Index Models (MIMs) under Gaussian distribution.
method Query access for MIMs with complexity O(k)poly(1/ε)poly(d) under standard regularity assumptions. result Query access gives significant runtime improvements over random examples for agnostically learning MIMs.
E-valuator converts verifier scores into reliable decision rules.
problem Ensuring the correctness of agent trajectories based on heuristic scores.
method Sequential hypothesis testing framework for online monitoring of agent trajectories.
result E-valuator provides better false alarm rate control and statistical power than other strategies.
EAGLE improves reproducibility and stability of model explanations.
problem Creating reliable explanations for opaque machine learning models.
method Formulates perturbation selection as an information-theoretic active learning problem.
result EAGLE learns a linear surrogate model with feature importance scores and uncertainty estimates.
We give the first dimension-efficient algorithms for learning Rectified Linear Units (ReLUs), which are functions of the form x↦max(0,w⋅x) with w∈Sn−1. Our algorithm works in the challenging Reliable Agnostic learning model of Kalai, Kanade, and Ma…
This paper enhances credit risk management using explainable AI techniques.
problem Lack of transparency and explainability in AI models for credit risk management.
method Implement LIME and SHAP for explaining ML-based credit scoring models.
result Demonstrates practical challenges and solutions for XAI methods in finance.
Model agnostic feature importance for DNNs in NLP.
problem Characterizing DNNs as black boxes and explaining their decision-making process.
method Phrase-wise feature importance calculation for model agnostic DNNs.
result Robust and generalizable approach to feature importance calculation.
AI methods broaden signal discovery in scientific data.
problem Limited coverage of possible signals in model-dependent searches.
method Model-agnostic AI strategies for broad exploration.
result Enhanced discovery potential in experimental science.
Study shows transductive learning is equivalent to PAC learning for most natural loss functions.
problem Understanding the relationship between transductive and PAC learning models.
method Extending existing results and developing new techniques to analyze the equivalence of the two models.
result Transductive learning is essentially equivalent to PAC learning for realizable learning with most natural loss functions.
Proposes class-agnostic object detection to handle all objects without class labels.
problem Difficulty and cost in creating annotated datasets limit conventional object detection models to specific object types.
method Proposes class-agnostic object detection as a new problem and proposes training and evaluation protocols. Uses adversarial learning to exclude class-specific information.
result Adversarial learning improves class-agnostic detection efficacy.
Model-agnostic interpretation techniques allow us to explain the behavior of any predictive model. Due to different notations and terminology, it is difficult to see how they are related. A unified view on these methods has been missing. We present the generalized SIPA (sampling, intervention, prediction, aggregation) …
CREDO assesses decision optimality under uncertainty without assuming a model.
problem Uncertainty in decision-making without reliable quantification of optimality.
method CREDO uses the inverse feasible region and conformal prediction balls to estimate decision optimality probability.
result CREDO provides accurate, efficient, and reliable evaluations of decision optimality.
Task-agnostic data augmentation shows little benefit for pretrained transformers.
problem Evaluating the effectiveness of task-agnostic data augmentation on pretrained transformers.
method Conducted a systematic examination of two data augmentation techniques (Easy Data Augmentation and Back-Translation) across 5 tasks, 6 datasets, and 3 pretrained transformer models.
result Data augmentation techniques previously effective for non-pretrained models fail to consistently improve performance for pretrained transformers, even with limited training data.
New algorithms save computation in agnostic learning with membership queries.
problem Efficiently learning touchstone classes with membership queries.
method Designing agnostic learning algorithms for circuits with sublinear gates.
result Agnostic learning algorithms for circuits with sublinear gates achieve significant computational savings.
Improved agnostic learning time via Gaussian surface area analysis.
problem Learning polynomial threshold functions under Gaussian marginals.
method Improvement of polynomial degree required for approximation.
result Near optimal bounds on agnostic learning complexity.
New method learns SIMs with arbitrary monotone activations without strong distributional assumptions.
problem Learning Single-Index Models with arbitrary monotone activations.
method Based on omniprediction with calibrated multiaccuracy and Bregman divergences.
result First agnostic learning result for SIMs with arbitrary monotone activations.
New method tackles label noise on imbalanced datasets by considering class-specific uncertainty.
problem Label noise and class imbalance in imbalanced datasets.
method Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty-aware class-specific noise modeling.
result Proposed ULC framework improves performance on imbalanced datasets.