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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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3937851,1781,570 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Reliable Agnostic Learning

New algorithm for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces with improved sample and computational complexity.

problem Learning halfspaces under Gaussian marginals with reliable agnostic model.
method Developed a new algorithm for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces with specific sample and computational complexity.
result Achieved a new algorithm with improved sample and computational complexity for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces.

WISCA generates consensus explanations from conflicting model-agnostic interpretability methods.

problem Conflicting explanations from diverse interpretability algorithms.
method WISCA integrates class probability and normalized attributions to generate consistent explanations.
result WISCA consistently aligns with the most reliable individual method, improving explanation reliability.

MAntRA combines machine learning and Bayesian methods for time-dependent reliability analysis of unknown systems.

problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with unknown governing physics.
method Combines machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and stochastic integration to discover and analyze SDEs from data.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of MAntRA on three numerical examples, indicating its potential for in-situ and heritage structure analysis.

MAPS algorithm creates reliable prediction intervals for high-dimensional data.

problem Computing reliable conditional prediction intervals in high-dimensional settings.
method Lifted predictive model (LPM) and MAPS algorithm for distribution-free intervals.
result MAPS algorithm produces valid prediction intervals for any trained model.

A new sampling strategy improves reliability and robustness optimization for complex designs.

problem High sample requirements for optimizing reliability and robustness in complex designs.
method Local Latin Hypercube Refinement (LoLHR) for multi-objective design uncertainty optimization.
result LoLHR achieves better results compared to other surrogate-based strategies.

A new method calibrates value predictions in offline RL to improve reliability.

problem Difficulty in long-horizon value prediction in offline reinforcement learning.
method Bellman calibration, a weak reliability criterion, and Iterated Bellman Calibration.
result Finite-sample guarantees show that Bellman calibration error is controlled at nonparametric rates.

LIME explanations can be uncertain, even for accurate models.

problem Uncertainty in LIME explanations undermines trust in machine learning models.
method Demonstrated two sources of uncertainty in LIME: sampling randomness and varying interpretation quality.
result Uncertainty in LIME explanations is present even in high-performing models.

Combines machine learning and data assimilation for improved forecasting.

problem Improving forecast accuracy with noisy observations.
method Sequentially learns a machine-learning model using an ensemble Kalman filter.
result The combined model achieves good forecast skill and computational efficiency.

New method learns robot actions from videos without explicit labels.

problem Training robots to perform tasks from few demonstrations.
method Uses images and text for task-agnostic and general representation, synthesizes hallucinated actions, and applies dense correspondences.
result Trains robot policies solely from RGB videos, achieving diverse tasks across different robots and environments.

This paper tackles online reinforcement learning for unseen tasks with unknown boundaries.

problem Real-world tasks violate assumptions of task distributions, independence, and clear task delineations.
method A mixture of Gaussian Processes models different dynamics, and a transition prior handles temporal dependencies.
result The approach reliably handles task distribution shifts and outperforms alternatives in non-stationary tasks.

Proposes a method to improve CATE estimation by imputing missing potential outcomes.

problem Statistical discrepancy between distinct treatment groups in CATE estimation.
method Contrastive learning approach to reliably impute missing potential outcomes for a subset of individuals.
result Improves the accuracy and robustness of CATE estimation models.

First proper learning algorithm for Gaussian halfspaces with matching sample and computational complexity.

problem Agnostically learning halfspaces under Gaussian distribution.
method First proper learning algorithm with matching sample and computational complexity.
result First proper learning algorithm for agnostically learning halfspaces under Gaussian distribution with matching sample and computational complexity.

New bounds found for agnostic learning with sample compression schemes.

problem Finding optimal rates of convergence for agnostic learning.
method Established tight characterization of worst-case rates for agnostic learning with sample compression schemes.
result Optimal rates of convergence for size-kk agnostic sample compression schemes are klog(n/k)n\sqrt{\frac{k \log(n/k)}{n}}.

A framework for detecting out-of-distribution data in RL using uncertainty-based classification.

problem Detecting out-of-distribution data in deep reinforcement learning systems.
method A one-class classification problem approach based on epistemic uncertainty reduction.
result The proposed UBOOD framework reliably detects out-of-distribution situations when combined with ensemble-based uncertainty estimators.

LUNO linearizes neural operators to quantify their predictive uncertainty.

problem Quantifying the predictive error of neural operators for high-stakes simulations.
method Model linearization to push weight-space uncertainty forward to predictions.
result LUNO provides a practical and theoretically sound way to apply Bayesian methods to neural operators.

PredDiff measures prediction changes while marginalizing features, offering new insights into interaction effects.

problem Understanding interaction effects in black-box models.
method Model-agnostic, local attribution method based on probability theory.
result Introduced a new measure for interaction effects between arbitrary feature subsets.

New framework controls FDR for grouped features in sequential models.

problem FDR control for grouped features in sequential models.
method Grouped-feature FDR control framework for sequential and grouped models using mirror statistics and Permutation SHAP.
result FDR control for low- and high-dimensional grouped linear models and improved power under correlated signals.

STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.

The study optimizes polynomial regression for learning under Gaussian distributions.

problem Agnostic learning of Boolean and real-valued functions under Gaussian distributions.
method LP duality and polynomial degree analysis for L1L^1-regression.
result Optimal SQ lower bounds for various function classes.

New algorithm learns disjunctions faster than previous methods.

problem Learning Boolean disjunctions in the agnostic PAC model.
method Developed an agnostic learner with complexity 2ildeO(n1/3)2^{ ilde{O}(n^{1/3})}.
result First separation between SQ and CSQ models in distribution-free agnostic learning.

TRIP detects unreliable feature importance scores in random forests.

problem Unreliable feature importance scores in random forests due to model extrapolation.
method Develops TRIP (Test for Reliable Interpretation via Permutation) to detect unreliable permutation feature importance scores.
result TRIP reliably detects unreliable permutation feature importance scores in high-dimensional settings.

New algorithms save computation in agnostic learning with membership queries.

problem Efficiently learning touchstone classes with membership queries.
method Designing agnostic learning algorithms for circuits with sublinear gates.
result Agnostic learning algorithms for circuits with sublinear gates achieve significant computational savings.

Proposes integrating global and local entropy for more reliable LLMs.

problem Uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) leads to unreliable predictions.
method Measures global uncertainty from hidden-state matrices and local uncertainty from tokens, combining them via a multiplicative gate.
result Global-Local Uncertainty (GLU) outperforms unsupervised baselines across multiple models and benchmarks.

Improves model-based control and exploration by estimating model uncertainty.

problem Inaccuracies in model predictions lead to frequent re-planning, inefficiency, and unreliability.
method Estimates model uncertainty using reconstruction error and uses it for better control and active exploration.
result Improves control performance and exploration efficiency by choosing confident model predictions and planning for high uncertainty.

Study shows transductive learning is equivalent to PAC learning for most natural loss functions.

problem Understanding the relationship between transductive and PAC learning models.
method Extending existing results and developing new techniques to analyze the equivalence of the two models.
result Transductive learning is essentially equivalent to PAC learning for realizable learning with most natural loss functions.

Query access significantly speeds up learning Multi-Index Models under Gaussian distribution.

problem Agnostically learning Multi-Index Models (MIMs) under Gaussian distribution.
method Query access for MIMs with complexity O(k)poly(1/ε)  poly(d)O(k)^{\mathrm{poly}(1/ε)} \; \mathrm{poly}(d) under standard regularity assumptions.
result Query access gives significant runtime improvements over random examples for agnostically learning MIMs.

Boosting with unlabeled data achieves optimal sample complexity in agnostic settings.

problem Boosting's sample inefficiency in agnostic learning.
method Designing an agnostic boosting algorithm with unlabeled data to match ERM's sample complexity.
result The total sample complexity is optimal, with a vanishing fraction needing to be labeled.

EAGLE improves reproducibility and stability of model explanations.

problem Creating reliable explanations for opaque machine learning models.
method Formulates perturbation selection as an information-theoretic active learning problem.
result EAGLE learns a linear surrogate model with feature importance scores and uncertainty estimates.

Study agnostic RL in large state spaces with weak function approximation.

problem Statistical intractability of agnostic policy learning in various environments.
method Investigates agnostic policy learning with different forms of environment access.
result Agnostic policy learning remains statistically intractable with certain forms of environment access.

This paper studies universal rates of ERM for binary classification under agnostic learning.

problem The challenge of achieving universal rates of ERM for binary classification under agnostic learning.
method The paper explores the agnostic universal rates of ERM for binary classification, revealing three possible rates: ene^{-n}, o(n1/2)o(n^{-1/2}), or arbitrarily slow.
result The paper provides a complete characterization of which concept classes fall into each of the three categories of agnostic universal rates.