Study examines how industrial emissions evolve over time in response to various factors.
problem Understanding how firm-level emissions change over time in response to environmental regulation, economic conditions, and organizational constraints.
method Used a time-varying mean-group estimator to link emissions data with firm characteristics and macroeconomic indicators over 1992-2023.
result Firm-level characteristics and aggregate conditions have different impacts on emissions growth at different times.
Predictive models that are developed in a regulated industry or a regulated application, like determination of credit worthiness, must be interpretable and rational (e.g., meaningful improvements in basic credit behavior must result in improved credit worthiness scores). Machine Learning technologies provide very good …
New fairness criterion for risk-sensitive decisions in regulated industries.
problem Ensuring equitable outcomes in risk-sensitive decision-making.
method Marginal fairness for generalized distortion risk measures, two-step decision-making process.
result Ensures fairness in decision-making under risk measures, regardless of protected attributes.
DRL improves ESG financial portfolio management by regulating returns based on ESG scores.
problem Improving ESG financial portfolio management through market regulation.
method Used Advantage Actor-Critic (A2C) agent and adapted OpenAI Gym environments for comparative analysis.
result DRL agent outperforms standard market conditions in ESG-regulated market.
Recently, along with the emergence of food scandals, food supply chains have to face with ever-increasing pressure from compliance with food quality and safety regulations and standards. This paper aims to explore critical factors of compliance risk in food supply chain with an illustrated case in Vietnamese seafood in…
Survey on biases in image analysis for industrial safety.
problem Bias in machine learning algorithms affects industrial safety-critical applications.
method Survey and analysis of recent advances in bias detection and mitigation.
result Need for new methods to detect and mitigate biases in image analysis for safety-critical applications.
Unified framework for intersectionally fair AI models using MIO.
problem Bias in AI models for high-risk domains.
method Mixed-Integer Optimization (MIO) for fairness and interpretability.
result Improved performance in detecting and mitigating bias at intersections.
Study improves pension scheme efficiency in Kenya through governance and risk management.
problem Limited research on efficiency of Kenyan pension schemes under governance structures.
method Quantitative panel regression analysis on 128 Kenyan pension schemes over 7 years.
result Employee board members have a significant positive effect on pension scheme efficiency.
We summarize the potential impact that the European Union's new General Data Protection Regulation will have on the routine use of machine learning algorithms. Slated to take effect as law across the EU in 2018, it will restrict automated individual decision-making (that is, algorithms that make decisions based on user…
Paper predicts bearing degradation stages for pharmaceutical industry maintenance.
problem Predicting when to maintain specific parts of production machines.
method AutoEncoder-based k-means segmentation of high-frequency vibration data.
result Framework generates reliable predictions for bearing degradation stages.
Synthetic data improves financial models without real data.
problem Lack of real financial data due to privacy and regulation.
method Application of synthetic data across various financial data types.
result Synthetic data enhances financial model accuracy and fairness.
We investigate the structure of global inter-firm linkages using a dataset that contains information on business partners for about 400,000 firms worldwide, including all the firms listed on the major stock exchanges. Among the firms, we examine three networks, which are based on customer-supplier, licensee-licensor, a…
The study designs inherently interpretable machine learning models for high-risk sectors.
problem The need for transparent and explainable machine learning models in regulated industries.
method Qualitative template based on feature effects and model architecture constraints for assessing inherent interpretability.
result Demonstrates the design and evaluation of an interpretable ReLU DNN model for predicting credit default.
This paper was presented and written for two seminars: a national UK University Risk Conference and a Risk Management industry workshop. The target audience is therefore a cross section of Academics and industry professionals. The current ongoing global credit crunch has highlighted the importance of risk measurement i…
Examines AI regulation in finance, highlighting risks and gaps in current laws.
problem Rapid AI adoption in finance introduces risks and compliance challenges.
method Reviews current legislation, industry guidelines, and real-world use cases.
result Need for adaptive, technology-neutral policies to balance innovation and consumer protection.
We develop an agent-based simulation of the catastrophe insurance and reinsurance industry and use it to study the problem of risk model homogeneity. The model simulates the balance sheets of insurance firms, who collect premiums from clients in return for ensuring them against intermittent, heavy-tailed risks. Firms m…
We study issues of robustness in the context of Quantitative Risk Management and Optimization. We develop a general methodology for determining whether a given risk measurement related optimization problem is robust, which we call "robustness against optimization". The new notion is studied for various classes of risk …
DAISYnt evaluates synthetic data quality and privacy in regulated domains.
problem Balancing data quality and privacy in regulated domains.
method Developed a suite of advanced tests (DAISYnt) to evaluate synthetic data quality and privacy.
result DAISYnt sets a de facto standard for synthetic data evaluation in regulated domains.
This paper detects fraudulent trading in the NFT market.
problem Fraudulent activities like wash trading in the NFT market.
method Unsupervised learning using K-means clustering on market data.
result Identified groups of traders with suspicious behavior.
Study compares Indian derivatives markets and finds NSE outperforming BSE.
problem Lack of strong regulations and robust framework in Indian derivatives market.
method Comparison of performance of derivatives in BSE and NSE, analysis of derivatives with cash market and market volatility.
result NSE derivatives outperform BSE, need stronger regulations.
We educe a perspective on how best to regulate the bank of tomorrow in frames of debate launched by the International Centre for Financial Regulation and Financial Times. Our goal is to create a conceptual framework for policymakers and regulators to shape the international financial system in century of globalization …
Pakistan examines digital mergers using traditional competition tools.
problem Regulating digital mergers in a developing country.
method Empirical comparative analysis of CCP's M&A decisions.
result CCP uses same decision factors for digital and traditional M&As.
Unlike other industries in which intellectual property is patentable, the financial industry relies on trade secrecy to protect its business processes and methods, which can obscure critical financial risk exposures from regulators and the public. We develop methods for sharing and aggregating such risk exposures that …
ClauseLens uses reinforcement learning to price reinsurance treaties transparently and auditably.
problem Opaque and difficult-to-audit reinsurance treaty pricing practices.
method ClauseLens models treaty pricing as a Risk-Aware Constrained Markov Decision Process (RA-CMDP), incorporating legal clauses and generating interpretable explanations.
result ClauseLens reduces solvency violations and improves tail-risk performance, achieving 88.2% accuracy in clause-grounded explanations.
A MARL system improves productivity on a metallurgical pickling line.
problem Improving productivity on a metallurgical pickling line.
method Combines mathematical modeling and Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL).
result Significant improvement in automation systems.
Quantum computing offers energy savings over classical computing.
problem Energy efficiency in computing services.
method Cournot competition model constrained by energy usage.
result Quantum computing firms can outperform classical counterparts in energy efficiency.
This thesis tackles bias in AI decision-making in banking.
problem Bias in AI-driven banking decisions.
method Understanding, mitigating, and accounting for bias in AI systems.
result Establishment of Responsible AI practices for fair decision-making.
Multinational corporations use highly complex structures of parents and subsidiaries to organize their operations and ownership. Offshore Financial Centers (OFCs) facilitate these structures through low taxation and lenient regulation, but are increasingly under scrutiny, for instance for enabling tax avoidance. Theref…
This paper tackles AI model governance challenges in financial services.
problem Challenges in current AI model governance practices in financial services.
method Proposes a system-level framework for increased self-regulation.
result Enhanced model governance and risk management capabilities.
AI enhances financial forecasting with challenges in regulation and privacy.
problem Challenges in integrating AI with financial services and regulations.
method Integration of AI technologies like deep learning and reinforcement learning.
result AI improves financial forecasting but faces regulatory and privacy issues.
Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.
problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.
Paper proposes a COP model for Algo trading using LQR.
problem Complexities in child order placement in Algo trading.
method Stochastic LQR model for passive limit orders and aggressive takeout orders.
result Closed-form solutions for optimal child order placement.
Model proposes how regulators should oversee complex algorithms in high-stakes applications.
problem Regulating complex algorithms used in high-stakes applications like lending, testing, and hiring.
method Proposes a model where regulators are limited in learning about complex algorithms with misaligned preferences, and explores different regulatory approaches.
result Complex algorithms can improve welfare, but regulation should focus on the source of incentive misalignment for optimal results.
Regulated curves on Banach manifolds with continuous projections and regulated derivatives are studied.
problem Regulated curves on Banach manifolds with continuous projections and regulated derivatives.
method Building a Banach manifold structure on the set of such curves.
result Existence of a 'local addition' on such a manifold for any Banach manifold.
We provide direct evidence of market manipulation at the beginning of the financial crisis in November 2007. The type of manipulation, a "bear raid," would have been prevented by a regulation that was repealed by the Securities and Exchange Commission in July 2007. The regulation, the uptick rule, was designed to preve…
Proposes a method to choose thresholds for LLM evaluation metrics.
problem Ensuring reliable large language models (LLMs) with correct threshold selection.
method Identify risks, stakeholders' risk tolerance, and use ground-truth data to determine thresholds.
result Demonstrates a concrete example with the Faithfulness metric and HaluBench dataset.
Appropriate traffic regulations, e.g. planned road closure, are important in congested events. Crowd simulators have been used to find appropriate regulations by simulating multiple scenarios with different regulations. However, this approach requires multiple simulation runs, which are time-consuming. In this paper, w…
We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…
New mechanism designs regulate herding in financial markets.
problem Herding causes irrational market decisions and volatility.
method A trilateral game framework based on optimal control theory.
result Effective mechanisms improve social welfare.
In a market system, regulations are designed to prevent or rectify market failures that inhibit fair exchange, such as monopoly or transactions with hidden costs. Because regulations reduce profits to those possessing unfair advantage, these advantaged corporations (whether individuals, companies, or other collective o…
Strong regulations in the financial industry mean that any decisions based on machine learning need to be explained. This precludes the use of powerful supervised techniques such as neural networks. In this study we propose a new unsupervised and semi-supervised technique known as the topological hierarchical decomposi…
MiCA regulation led to a shift in stablecoin dominance.
problem Impact of MiCA regulation on stablecoin trading.
method Comparative analysis of regulated and non-regulated exchanges.
result USDC gained market share and trading volume post-MiCA regulation.
Risk statistic is a critical factor not only for risk analysis but also for financial application. However, the traditional risk statistics may fail to describe the characteristics of regulator-based risk. In this paper, we consider the regulator-based risk statistics for portfolios. By further developing the propertie…
2024 saw Bitcoin ETF approval, offering regulated exposure.
problem Understanding unique liquidity risks in Bitcoin ETFs.
method Analyzed premium/discount patterns in first four months.
result Premium/discount behavior differs from traditional ETFs.
FL improves insurance claims loss prediction without sharing data.
problem Limited data volume and variety due to privacy concerns.
method Federated Learning (FL) to update a global model using local data insights.
result Improved claims loss forecasting compared to individual models.
Proposes a game-theoretic framework for ML trust regulation.
problem Lack of coordination between ML model builders and regulators.
method Formulates trustworthy ML as a multi-objective multi-agent optimization problem and introduces regulation games and ParetoPlay.
result Enables efficient enforcement of ML model specifications without discouraging participation.
Unified framework connects credit risk metrics with information theory.
problem Disconnection between industry-standard metrics and statistical theory.
method Unified information-theoretic framework, proving IV equals PSI, deriving standard errors, formalizing trade-off, automated binning with XGBoost.
result Unified framework connects IV and PSI, providing statistical foundation for metrics.
This paper studies a Value-at-Risk (VaR)-regulated optimal portfolio problem of the equity holders of a participating life insurance contract. In a setting with unhedgeable mortality risk and complete financial market, the optimal solution is given explicitly for contracts with mortality risk using a martingale approac…