Decision trees and logistic regression are one of the most popular and well-known machine learning algorithms, frequently used to solve a variety of real-world problems. Stability of learning algorithms is a powerful tool to analyze their performance and sensitivity and subsequently allow researchers to draw reliable c…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “Regression Stability”
Study on reducing dimensionality in high-dimensional regression with kernel methods and stability analysis.
problem Analyzing errors in high-dimensional regression with dimensionality reduction and kernel regression.
method Derive a stability result for kernel regression with Wasserstein distance and apply it to PCA to deduce convergence rates.
result Two-step procedure yields useful convergence rates in semi-supervised settings.
For interpolating kernel machines, minimizing the norm of the ERM solution minimizes stabilitystat.ML
Study shows minimizing the norm of the ERM solution stabilizes kernel ridge-less regression.
problem Stability of kernel ridge-less regression.
method Minimizing the norm of the ERM solution to minimize CV stability.
result Interpolating solution with minimum norm minimizes CV stability.
Adversarial attacks against neural networks in a regression setting are a critical yet understudied problem. In this work, we advance the state of the art by investigating adversarial attacks against regression networks and by formulating a more effective defense against these attacks. In particular, we take the perspe…
We develop efficient algorithms to estimate the stability of Ordinary Least Squares regression results.
problem Measuring the stability of regression conclusions in low dimensions.
method Efficient algorithms for estimating the minimum number of samples that need to be removed to change a regression conclusion.
result We can estimate stability up to a factor of 3 better than the greedy heuristic and certify stability even for dropping a majority of samples.
The paper proves LOO CV is reliable under estimator stability.
problem Ensuring the reliability of leave-one-out cross validation.
method Using concentration inequalities based on logarithmic Sobolev inequality.
result LOO CV is a valid procedure under estimator stability.
We study the stability properties of nonlinear multi-task regression in reproducing Hilbert spaces with operator-valued kernels. Such kernels, a.k.a. multi-task kernels, are appropriate for learning prob- lems with nonscalar outputs like multi-task learning and structured out- put prediction. We show that multi-task ke…
A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study stability properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimator, two types of asym…
This work analyzes Fréchet regression using comparison geometry, providing theoretical and practical insights.
problem Analyzing data on complex structures like manifolds and graphs.
method Theoretical analysis through comparison geometry, focusing on existence, uniqueness, and stability of the Fréchet mean.
result Key results on the existence, uniqueness, and stability of the Fréchet mean, along with statistical guarantees for nonparametric regression.
Study accelerates gradient methods in machine learning, revealing risk and stability connections.
problem Understanding the statistical risk of accelerated gradient methods in machine learning.
method Continuous-time analysis of Nesterov's accelerated gradient method and Polyak's heavy ball method for least squares regression.
result Connections between early stopping, stability, and curvature of loss function are revealed.
This work explores the trade-offs between stability and accuracy in statistical estimation.
problem Understanding the statistical cost of algorithmic stability.
method Statistical decision-theoretic perspective, focusing on worst-case and average-case stability.
result Optimal stable estimators for mean estimation and regression settings are developed, revealing trade-offs between stability and accuracy.
New method stabilizes FQE by reweighting Bellman targets.
problem Stability guarantees for FQE often rely on Bellman completeness, which can fail with function approximation.
method Proposes stationary-weighted FQE, reweighting Bellman targets by stationary target-to-behavior density ratio.
result Proves finite-sample linear convergence to stationary projected Bellman fixed point without Bellman completeness.
Proposes stabilized weights for causal inference using isotonic calibration.
problem Stability and bias issues in inverse propensity weighting.
method Post-hoc isotonic calibration of inverse propensity weights.
result Improves performance of doubly robust estimators of average treatment effect.
First, we consider the problem of hedging in complete binomial models. Using the discrete-time Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition, we demonstrate the equivalence of the backward induction and sequential regression approaches. Second, in incomplete trinomial models, we examine the extension of the sequential regression app…
Batches Stabilize the Minimum Norm Risk in High Dimensional Overparameterized Linear Regressioncs.LG
Batching stabilizes risk in high-dimensional linear regression models.
problem Stability and risk behavior in high-dimensional overparameterized linear regression.
method Minimum-norm overparameterized linear regression model with batch-partitioning.
result Optimal batch size is inversely proportional to noise level and overparametrization ratio, leading to stable risk behavior.
The paper derives uniform stability-based coverage bounds for conformal prediction methods.
problem Establishing theoretical guarantees for conformal prediction methods.
method Uniform stability perspective applied to full-conformal, jackknife+, and CV+ prediction regions.
result Coverage bounds for finite-dimensional models derived using a concentration argument.
Proof of Gaussian ML estimator consistency in linear auto-regressive models.
problem Consistency of Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models.
method Information-theoretic proof without stability assumptions.
result Nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery.
Recently, many regularized procedures have been proposed for variable selection in linear regression, but their performance depends on the tuning parameter selection. Here a criterion for the tuning parameter selection is proposed, which combines the strength of both stability selection and cross-validation and therefo…
New stability bounds for GD in overparameterised shallow nets without NTK assumptions.
problem Generalisation and excess risk bounds for shallow neural networks.
method Oracle inequalities and stability analysis of GD without kernelisation.
result Oracle type bounds reveal GD's generalisation is controlled by an interpolating network with shortest GD path.
New method stabilizes machine learning predictions across random seeds.
problem Machine learning predictions vary across random seeds, causing instability.
method Introduces adaptive cross-bagging to eliminate seed dependence.
result Adaptive cross-bagging achieves targeted stability in debiased machine learning.
Improves test set performance and reduces out-of-sample disappointment for unstable models.
problem Ensuring strong test set performance via cross-validation for unstable models.
method Nested k-fold cross-validation with hyperparameter selection based on a weighted sum of cross-validation metric and model stability measure.
result Improves out-of-sample MSE for sparse ridge regression and CART by 4% and 2% respectively, compared to k-fold cross-validation.
The present paper provides a new generic strategy leading to non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees on the Leave-one-Out procedure applied to a broad class of learning algorithms. This strategy relies on two main ingredients: the new notion of stability, and the strong use of moment inequalities. stability e…
A model-free approach to fingertip slip and disturbance detection for grasp stability inferencecs.RO
Robotic grasp stability improved with fingertip slippage detection.
problem Improving grasp stability in robotic manipulation.
method Task-relevant feature extraction and efficient classifier design for fingertip slippage detection.
result The proposed method effectively detects object slippage with fingertips in an online fashion.
GD at EoS edge minimizes logistic loss without monotonic convergence.
problem Understanding GD's implicit bias at the edge of stability.
method Theoretical analysis of logistic regression with constant stepsize GD.
result GD with any constant stepsize minimizes logistic loss over long time scales.
(S)GD over Diagonal Linear Networks: Implicit Regularisation, Large Stepsizes and Edge of Stabilitycs.LG
Study on GD and SGD over diagonal networks, focusing on stepsizes and regularisation.
problem Understanding the impact of stochasticity and large stepsizes on gradient descent and SGD solutions.
method Investigation of GD and SGD over diagonal linear networks with macroscopic stepsizes, proving convergence and characterizing solutions.
result Large stepsizes consistently benefit SGD for sparse regression problems, but can hinder GD recovery of sparse solutions, especially in the edge of stability regime.
New stability framework relaxes boundedness assumptions for generalization bounds.
problem Overly restrictive assumptions for modern learning settings with heavy-tailed or unbounded losses.
method Develops a stability-based framework requiring only finite moment conditions.
result Sharp generalization bounds derived for various learning paradigms.
Very few K-nearest-neighbor (KNN) ensembles exist, despite the efficacy of this approach in regression, classification, and outlier detection. Those that do exist focus on bagging features, rather than varying k or bagging observations; it is unknown whether varying k or bagging observations can improve prediction. Giv…
Paper proposes a new framework to improve stability-based bounds in deep learning.
problem Explaining generalization in overparameterized neural networks.
method Decomposes excess risk dynamics into signal and noise components, applying stability-based bounds only to the noise.
result The decomposition framework improves stability-based bounds and explains generalization in neural networks.
Gradient descent dynamics in quadratic regression models are analyzed, revealing five phases: monotonic, catapult, periodic, chaotic, and divergent.
problem Analyzing the dynamics of gradient descent in quadratic regression models.
method Fine-grained bifurcation analysis of gradient descent dynamics using a cubic map parameterized by the step-size.
result Gradient descent dynamics in quadratic regression models exhibit five distinct phases: monotonic, catapult, periodic, chaotic, and divergent.
Inferring the structure of gene regulatory networks (GRN) from gene expression data has many applications, from the elucidation of complex biological processes to the identification of potential drug targets. It is however a notoriously difficult problem, for which the many existing methods reach limited accuracy. In t…
Proposes -table for statistical SHAP explanations in regression models.
problem Lack of clear directional summaries, uncertainty, and fidelity in SHAP feature importance.
method SHAP importance selection, fitting a standardized linear surrogate, reporting coefficients, uncertainty, fidelity, and stability.
result Extends SHAP into a statistical global explanation with direction, uncertainty, fidelity, and stability.
Paper proposes algorithms to accurately identify breakpoints in piecewise regression.
problem Identifying accurate breakpoints in piecewise regression for better data fitting.
method Proposes novel greedy algorithms to minimize error and determine optimal breakpoints.
result The proposed algorithms outperform existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.
The paper provides guarantees for a tangent transform algorithm in logistic regression models.
problem Finding theoretical guarantees for statistical optimality and algorithmic convergence in non-conjugate models.
method Exploiting convex duality and minorizing the marginal likelihood, the paper derives non-asymptotic upper bounds and convergence guarantees for a tangent transform algorithm in logistic regression models.
result The tangent transform algorithm is shown to be locally asymptotically stable without assumptions on the data-generating process.
The paper improves reinforcement learning stability and efficiency with a new theoretical framework.
problem Stability and efficiency in reinforcement learning, especially in data-scarce scenarios.
method Theoretical framework using resampled - and -statistics to model experience replay, applied to policy evaluation and kernel ridge regression.
result Significant improvements in stability and efficiency, particularly in data-scarce scenarios.
Algorithm identifies bilinear dynamical systems from noisy data.
problem Learning a realization of a partially observed bilinear dynamical system.
method Regression of outputs to highly correlated covariates for Markov-like parameters.
result High probability error bounds on identification algorithm under uniform stability assumption.
Benign overfitting in Fixed Dimension via Physics-Informed Learning with Smooth Inductive Biasstat.ML
New method stabilizes machine learning for physics-informed inverse problems.
problem Reconstructing physical quantities from PDE-compliant measurements.
method Physics-informed learning with smooth inductive bias.
result PDE operators stabilize variance and prevent overfitting in fixed dimensions.
Solar improves variable selection in high-dimensional data with complicated dependence structures.
problem Variable selection in ultrahigh dimensional data with severe multicollinearity and grouping effect issues.
method Subsample-ordered least angle regression (Solar) for ultrahigh dimensional data.
result Solar yields substantial improvements in sparsity, stability, and accuracy of variable selection compared to traditional methods.
New framework certifies robustness for regression models.
problem Certifying robustness for regression models is challenging.
method Derives a prediction-centered certificate that exploits local geometry.
result Gradient information yields tighter robustness certificates.
AOPU stabilizes NN training by approximating natural gradient, improving stability and convergence.
problem Stability and interpretability in online NN training for industrial soft sensors.
method AOPU truncates gradient backpropagation, optimizing trackable parameters, and approximating natural gradient.
result AOPU achieves stable convergence and superior performance on chemical process datasets.
Consider Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm, which is proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) for pricing American style securities. This algorithm is based on the projection of the value of continuation onto a certain set of basis functions via the least squares problem. We analyze the stability of the algori…
Paper proposes efficient training for normalizing flows in Boltzmann generators.
problem Training normalizing flows for Boltzmann generators is computationally challenging and unstable.
method Regression Training of Normalizing Flows (RegFlow) using -regression.
result RegFlow enables efficient and stable training of normalizing flows for Boltzmann generators.
For many machine learning algorithms, two main assumptions are required to guarantee performance. One is that the test data are drawn from the same distribution as the training data, and the other is that the model is correctly specified. In real applications, however, we often have little prior knowledge on the test d…
Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on the tuning parameters that balance the trade-off between model fitting and model s…
Study reveals how manifold geometry impacts linear regression solutions.
problem Impact of manifold geometry on linear regression solutions.
method Linear regression applied to manifold-structured data, focusing on extrinsic geometry.
result Linear regression does not have a unique solution on flat manifolds.
New findings show GD converges to a linear interpolator even with quadratic loss function under certain conditions.
problem Understanding convergence of Gradient Descent with quadratic loss functions.
method Parameterized linear regression with quadratic loss function, empirical and theoretical analysis.
result Gradient Descent converges to a linear interpolator even with quadratic loss function under the Edge of Stability regime.
Paper analyzes IHT's performance in sparse recovery problems.
problem Generalization performance of Iterative Hard Thresholding (IHT).
method Sparse generalization theory under algorithmic stability.
result IHT achieves convergence rates in sparse excess risk.
The choice of the kernel is critical to the success of many learning algorithms but it is typically left to the user. Instead, the training data can be used to learn the kernel by selecting it out of a given family, such as that of non-negative linear combinations of p base kernels, constrained by a trace or L1 regular…
There is accumulating evidence in the literature that stability of learning algorithms is a key characteristic that permits a learning algorithm to generalize. Despite various insightful results in this direction, there seems to be an overlooked dichotomy in the type of stability-based generalization bounds we have in …