One major challenge in training Deep Neural Networks is preventing overfitting. Many techniques such as data augmentation and novel regularizers such as Dropout have been proposed to prevent overfitting without requiring a massive amount of training data. In this work, we propose a new regularizer called DeCov which le…
Covariance-Driven Regression Trees reduce overfitting in CART.
problem Overfitting in CART decision trees, especially with small sample sizes.
method Covariance-driven splitting criterion for regression trees (CovRT).
result CovRT achieves superior prediction accuracy compared to CART in simulations and real-world tasks.
Adaptive Bernstein copulas improve risk management by preventing overfitting and reducing simulation effort.
problem Overfitting and high simulation effort in estimating dependence models.
method Constructive approach to Bernstein copulas with an admissible discrete skeleton.
result Comparison of different copula approaches in risk management shows improved accuracy and efficiency.
A new hyperparameter optimization method reduces overfitting.
problem Overfitting in hyperparameter optimization.
method PAC-Bayes bound minimization using gradient-based algorithm.
result Significant reduction in out-of-sample error.
COLoKe adapts Koopman embeddings online, reducing overfitting and improving long-term predictions.
problem Online adaptation of Koopman embeddings to avoid overfitting and maintain long-term predictive accuracy.
method Combines deep feature learning with multistep prediction consistency in a lifted space, using a conformal-style mechanism for selective updates.
result Empirically effective in reducing overfitting and maintaining long-term predictive accuracy.
A new boosting method reduces overfitting and negative transfer in transfer learning.
problem Overfitting and negative transfer in transfer learning.
method Importance sampling in boosting and random-forest based ensemble methodology.
result Performs better than competitive transfer learning methodologies 63% of the time.
Causal forests use honesty to reduce overfitting, but it can also reduce accuracy, especially with large datasets.
problem Causal forests' honesty can reduce accuracy of individual treatment effects.
method Using honest estimation to divide data into two samples, one for subgroup definition and another for effect estimation.
result Honest estimation can reduce accuracy by requiring 27% more data to match performance of non-honest models.
A new method reduces adversarial training time without overfitting.
problem Catastrophic overfitting in single-step adversarial training.
method FGSMPR: FGSM with PGD Regularization.
result Reduces the gap to multi-step adversarial training.
Meta-learning with network pruning reduces overfitting and improves few-shot learning.
problem Overfitting in meta-learning models with over-parameterized neural networks.
method Network pruning to control capacity and explicitly reduce generalization gap.
result Uniform concentration analysis shows the benefit of network capacity constraint.
The risks and perils of overfitting in machine learning are well known. However most of the treatment of this, including diagnostic tools and remedies, was developed for the supervised learning case. In this work, we aim to offer new perspectives on the characterization and prevention of overfitting in deep Reinforceme…
Neuron-specific dropout reduces overfitting and data needs for neural networks.
problem Overfitting and insufficient training data for deep neural networks.
method Compares training and validation passes of a layer, drops targeted neurons based on feature analysis.
result Achieves similar or better testing accuracy with less data, reducing overfitting.
DRO-NPE improves neural posterior estimation by reducing overconfidence and overfitting.
problem Overconfident and unreliable posteriors in simulation-based inference with limited simulation budgets.
method Distributionally robust approach using Wasserstein ambiguity set and KL-based metrics.
result Consistently improves coverage and calibration across benchmark tasks.
New algorithm reduces overfitting in neural networks.
problem Overfitting in neural networks.
method Integrates SMC with SGHMC for mini-batch sampling.
result SMCSGHMC outperforms SGD and deep ensembles.
New method reduces overfitting in deep neural networks by measuring and regulating hidden unit diversity.
problem Overfitting in deep neural networks.
method Introduces a new redundancy measure based on mutual information to improve generalization.
result Reduction of redundancy improves generalization capacity, reducing overfitting.
Decision trees are an extremely popular machine learning technique. Unfortunately, overfitting in decision trees still remains an open issue that sometimes prevents achieving good performance. In this work, we present a novel approach for the construction of decision trees that avoids the overfitting by design, without…
GT-Score reduces overfitting in trading strategies by integrating multiple criteria.
problem Overfitting in data-driven financial models leads to unreliable out-of-sample performance.
method Integrates performance, statistical significance, consistency, and downside risk into a composite objective function.
result Improves generalization ratio by 98% compared to baseline objective functions in walk-forward validation.
New method prevents adversarial training failure in deep networks.
problem Adversarial training failure in deep networks.
method GradAlign method to prevent catastrophic overfitting.
result GradAlign prevents adversarial training failure in deep networks.
New method improves generalization of VAEs by reducing overfitting.
problem Generalization issues in VAEs overfitting to training data.
method Proposed a new training objective to improve amortized inference.
result Improved performance in image modeling and lossless compression.
A co-evolutionary approach for Heston model calibration reduces overfitting with diverse datasets.
problem Overfitting and lack of generalization in Heston model calibration.
method Coupling a genetic algorithm with an evolving neural inverse map, using both GA-history sampling and Latin hypercube sampling.
result Diverse datasets improve out-of-sample stability and calibration accuracy.
New insights into when benign overfitting occurs in linear and classification tasks.
problem Understanding when benign overfitting happens in linear and classification models.
method Analysis of a generic data model and comparison of predictors (minimum-norm interpolating and max-margin).
result The minimum-norm interpolating predictor is biased towards an inconsistent solution, preventing benign overfitting in linear regression.
Bayesian model selection can be misled by ELBO under certain conditions.
problem Misleading model selection when using ELBO for Bayesian inference.
method Analysis of ELBO-based hyperparameter learning in a simple regression model.
result Bayesian model selection can prefer overfit models when ELBO is used, contrary to evidence.
UREs lead to overfitting in complex models, especially in complementary label learning.
problem Overfitting in weakly supervised learning with complementary labels.
method Proposed a surrogate complementary loss (SCL) framework to reduce gradient variance.
result SCL mitigates overfitting and improves URE-based methods.
MMbeddings reduces categorical embeddings by treating them as latent effects, significantly decreasing parameters and mitigating overfitting.
problem Large cardinalities in categorical embeddings lead to high parameter counts and overfitting.
method MMbeddings treats embeddings as latent random effects in a variational autoencoder framework, reducing parameter count and mitigating overfitting.
result MMbeddings consistently outperforms traditional embeddings across various tasks, demonstrating its potential in machine learning applications.
Neural network reduces overfitting by learning model classes for diverse data.
problem Overfitting in financial models.
method Parameterized Neural Networks for diverse data samples.
result Reduces the need for adjusting many parameters for new problems.
Double descent in portfolio optimization shows improved performance with complexity, then declines, due to overfitting.
problem Improving portfolio optimization performance with model complexity.
method Investigates the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in mean-variance portfolio optimization.
result Performance of low-dimensional models initially improves with complexity but declines due to overfitting. High-dimensional models show double ascent Sharpe ratio curve.
Overfitting in deep learning has been the focus of a number of recent works, yet its exact impact on the behavior of neural networks is not well understood. This study analyzes overfitting by examining how the distribution of logits alters in relation to how much the model overfits. Specifically, we find that when trai…
Over-parameterized models reduce Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization loss.
problem Understanding how over-parameterized models handle non-trivial distributional shifts.
method Investigating random feature models and examining non-trivial natural distributional shifts.
result Increasing model parameterization reduces OOD loss.
Reduces high granularity and dimensionality in hierarchical categorical variables.
problem Overfitting and estimation issues in predictive models due to high granularity and dimensionality.
method Entity embedding and top-down clustering algorithm to reduce granularity and dimensionality.
result The reduced hierarchy improves model fit and complexity balance.
Paper proposes a new activation function to reduce overfitting and large weight update issues.
problem Overfitting and large weight update problems in neural networks.
method Introduces a new activation function called Thresholded Exponential Rectified Linear Units (TERELU).
result TERELU shows better performance in reducing overfitting and large weight update issues compared to other activation functions.
Deep heteroskedastic models overfit, showing a phase transition with regularization strength.
problem Overfitting in deep heteroskedastic regression models.
method Theoretical framework based on statistical field theory, empirical verification, and hyperparameter simplification.
result A phase transition in model behavior with varying regularization strength.
Framework mitigates overfitting in quantitative trading strategies.
problem Overfitting during strategy transition from backtest to live trading.
method Three-stage protocol: IS, WFA, OOS; majority pass, purge gaps, cliff veto, etc.
result Demonstrates how to detect overfitting through performance decay and drawdown behavior.
End-to-end meta-learned system for image compression.
problem Reducing the gap between training and inference conditions in image compression.
method Model-Agnostic Meta-learning approach for latent tensor overfitting and updating encoder and decoder networks.
result Meta-learned system achieves better compression performance compared to traditional methods.
This paper tackles overfitting in CTR models by introducing Multi-Epoch learning with Data Augmentation.
problem Overfitting of the embedding layer in CTR models during multi-epoch training.
method Introduces Multi-Epoch learning with Data Augmentation (MEDA) framework to reduce overfitting and enhance performance.
result MEDA minimizes overfitting and achieves data augmentation through varied embedding spaces, improving performance without overfitting.
Evolutionary methods improve neural network loss functions, reducing overfitting.
problem Improving neural network performance and preventing overfitting.
method Evolutionary computation to optimize loss functions, balancing error pull and overfitting push.
result Evolved loss functions effectively reduce overfitting, leading to better performance and robustness.
New method dynamically adjusts UTD ratio to balance under- and overfitting in RL.
problem Balancing under- and overfitting in world model learning for RL.
method Dynamic adjustment of UTD ratio based on validation performance on a small subset of experience data.
result Our method improves balance between under- and overfitting compared to default settings and competitive with extensive hyperparameter search.
Bayesian Pseudo Label Selection reduces overfitting in semi-supervised learning.
problem Overfitting in pseudo-label selection for semi-supervised learning.
method BPLS, a Bayesian framework that approximates the posterior predictive of pseudo-samples.
result BPLS outperforms traditional PLS methods, especially in high-dimensional data.
Study the impact of overfitting on linear predictive models' performance.
problem Overfitting reduces the out-of-sample performance of linear predictive trading strategies.
method Computed in- and out-of-sample means and variances of PnLs to derive replication ratios.
result Replication ratio diminishes for complex strategies with many assets.
Optimized GPRNN reduces model complexity and overfitting, improving performance.
problem Overfitting in neural networks and high model complexity.
method Gaussian Process Regression - Neural Network hybrid with optimized redundant coordinates.
result Optimized GPRNN achieves lower test set error with fewer terms/neurons.
New mathematical framework proves the effectiveness of reducing neural network sizes.
problem Selecting optimal neural network sizes to avoid overfitting.
method Adaptive group Lasso applied to one-hidden-layer feedforward networks.
result Adaptive group Lasso is consistent and can accurately reconstruct network sizes.
Proposes BGCN-NRWS for semi-supervised node classification with reduced overfitting.
problem Uncertainty in graph structure for semi-supervised node classification.
method Bayesian Graph Convolutional Network using Neighborhood Random Walk Sampling (BGCN-NRWS) with MCMC graph sampling and variational inference.
result Consistently competitive classification results compared to state-of-the-art.
A common problem machine learning developers are faced with is overfitting, that is, fitting a pipeline too closely to the training data that the performance degrades for unseen data. Automated machine learning aims to free (or at least ease) the developer from the burden of pipeline creation, but this overfitting prob…
Certified training improves robustness against adversarial attacks.
problem Certified training's gap with empirical robustness limits its practical utility.
method Combining adversarial attacks with network over-approximations.
result Certified training can prevent catastrophic overfitting and bridge the gap to multi-step baselines.
A fast geometric regularizer improves event camera performance.
problem Event collapse in contrast maximization framework.
method Geometric regularizer to mitigate overfitting.
result State-of-the-art accuracy with reduced computational complexity.
Improved machine learning with reduced tensor rank constraints and dropout.
problem Efficiently approximating large tensors in machine learning.
method Tree tensor networks with CP rank constraints and tensor dropout.
result Low-rank TTN classifier achieves 90.3% accuracy in Fashion-MNIST.
Paper explores fast adversarial training to improve robustness with less computation.
problem Efficiently defending against adversarial examples.
method Integrates simple self-attacks for faster training, focusing on overfitting recovery.
result Shows superior robust accuracy with reduced training time compared to strong adversarial training.
Improves neural networks by adjusting labels to reduce overfitting to noisy data.
problem Reduces overfitting to mislabeled or non-representative samples in neural networks.
method Combines self-adaptive training with mixup to improve accuracy and robustness.
result Achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on image recognition datasets with label noise.
Designs a robust data-driven decision-making model to handle multiple overfitting sources.
problem Overfitting in data-driven models due to statistical error, data noise, and data misspecification.
method Holistic distributionally robust optimization formulation combining Kullback-Leibler and Lévy-Prokhorov approaches.
result Guaranteed holistic protection against statistical error, data noise, and data misspecification.
DIP-FAT improves adversarial training by diversifying perturbations.
problem Adversarial examples fool deep neural networks, leading to overfitting and poor performance.
method DIP-FAT uses random directions to diversify perturbations in adversarial training.
result DIP-FAT reduces overfitting and improves clean data accuracy.