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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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23466891 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Recursive ensemble

This paper studies recursive ensembles driven by Fibonacci updates, improving learning dynamics.

problem Improving learning dynamics in recursive ensemble learning.
method Develops second-order recursive architectures with Fibonacci-type update flows.
result Establishes global convergence conditions and generalization bounds for recursive ensembles.

Fibonacci Ensembles use Fibonacci weights to improve ensemble learning, inspired by natural growth patterns.

problem Improving ensemble learning methods to enhance model performance and interpretability.
method Introduces Fibonacci weights and a recursive ensemble dynamic to reduce variance and enrich representational depth.
result Fibonacci weighting can match or improve upon uniform averaging in ensemble learning experiments.

RocketStack integrates predictions from multiple base learners using a recursive stacking architecture up to ten levels.

problem Feature redundancy, complexity, and computational burden in deep stacking.
method Level-aware recursive stacking with pruning and compression techniques.
result Increasing accuracy with depth and outperforming standalone ensembles at later levels.

We formalize the notion of a pseudo-ensemble, a (possibly infinite) collection of child models spawned from a parent model by perturbing it according to some noise process. E.g., dropout (Hinton et. al, 2012) in a deep neural network trains a pseudo-ensemble of child subnetworks generated by randomly masking nodes in t…

2014-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Ens-CGP synthesizes ensemble-based inference with Gaussian processes.

problem Ensemble-based inference and Gaussian process modeling.
method Formulates Ens-CGP as a conditional Gaussian process for ensemble moments.
result Ens-CGP provides a unified probabilistic foundation for Kalman-type methods.

A new method creates simpler, more interpretable decision trees from complex ensembles.

problem Complex tree ensembles reduce interpretability and control over machine learning models.
method Dynamic-programming based algorithm for finding a minimum-size decision tree.
result Optimal born-again trees are simpler and more interpretable than original ensembles.

Most decision tree induction algorithms are based on a greedy top-down recursive partitioning strategy for tree growth. In this paper, we propose several methods for induction of decision trees and their ensembles based on evolutionary algorithms. The main difference of our approach is using real-valued vector represen…

2020-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Greedy training of recursive partitioning estimators faces a computational barrier when the true function doesn't satisfy a specific property.

problem Computational inefficiency of greedy training for recursive partitioning estimators.
method Analysis of greedy training for sparse regression functions over binary features.
result Greedy training requires exponential samples when the true function doesn't satisfy a specific property (MSP), but only logarithmic samples when it does.

Unified framework for ensemble transport-based smoothing of non-Gaussian time series.

problem Bayesian time series re-analysis with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Measure transport approach to derive consistent prior-to-posterior transformations.
result General ensemble framework for transport-based smoothing of state-space models.

Improved multi-class AdaBoost algorithm with stronger weak learnability condition.

problem Multi-class classification problem with at least two labels.
method Recursive ensemble algorithm inspired by SAMME, strengthening weak learnability condition.
result Final hypothesis converges to correct label with probability 1 and generalization error bounds exponentially.

K-nearest neighbor (kNN) search has wide applications in many areas, including data mining, machine learning, statistics and many applied domains. Inspired by the success of ensemble methods and the flexibility of tree-based methodology, we propose random projection forests (rpForests), for kNN search. rpForests finds …

2018-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal trees struggle with accuracy in estimating treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous causal treatment effects using recursive decision trees.
method Adaptive recursive partitioning with and without sample splitting.
result Causal tree estimators can have uniform-norm errors decreasing more slowly than any power of the sample size.

HD algorithm simulates dynamics on random matrix ensembles without generating full matrices.

problem Simulating dynamics on dense random matrix ensembles with high space and time complexity.
method Householder reflectors for adaptive and recursive construction, deferring decisions.
result Significant reductions in runtime and memory footprint for practical TnT \ll n.

We generalize the recently discovered relationship between JT gravity and double-scaled random matrix theory to the case that the boundary theory may have time-reversal symmetry and may have fermions with or without supersymmetry. The matching between variants of JT gravity and matrix ensembles depends on the assumed s…

2019-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops a novel stochastic tree ensemble method for nonlinear regression, which we refer to as XBART, short for Accelerated Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. By combining regularization and stochastic search strategies from Bayesian modeling with computationally efficient techniques from recursive partiti…

2020-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A system of nested dichotomies is a method of decomposing a multi-class problem into a collection of binary problems. Such a system recursively applies binary splits to divide the set of classes into two subsets, and trains a binary classifier for each split. Many methods have been proposed to perform this split, each …

2018-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

EnSF improves accuracy in tracking high-dimensional nonlinear systems.

problem Low accuracy in high-dimensional, nonlinear filtering problems.
method Score-based diffusion model, mini-batch Monte Carlo estimator.
result EnSF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in tracking high-dimensional systems.

This paper uses Bayesian optimization to efficiently identify stochastic dynamical systems.

problem Efficiently identifying linear stochastic dynamical systems with unknown coefficients and noise variances.
method Adaptive Bayesian optimization with ensemble Gaussian processes (EGP) and Kalman filter recursion.
result BO-based estimator achieves RMSE below the Cramer-Rao bound, improving robustness and consistency.

We present a method of discovering governing differential equations from data without the need to specify a priori the terms to appear in the equation. The input to our method is a dataset (or ensemble of datasets) corresponding to a particular solution (or ensemble of particular solutions) of a differential equation. …

2019-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive learning of SPDE solutions using score-based diffusion models.

problem Model errors and reduced accuracy in SPDE solutions due to incomplete physical knowledge and environmental variability.
method Score-based diffusion models with recursive Bayesian inference, incorporating simulation data and observational information.
result Accuracy and robustness of the proposed method demonstrated on benchmark SPDEs.

Develops a neural framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems.

problem Uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems using trajectory-oriented approaches.
method D2D neural probabilistic forecasting framework using kernel mean embeddings and mixture density networks.
result The D2D model captures distributional evolution in chaotic systems and produces skillful probabilistic forecasts.

The paper explores generalizations of Mirzakhani's recursion and computes volumes for physical gravity models.

problem Computing volumes for physical gravity models.
method Topological recursion and physical two-dimensional gravity models.
result Derivation of Virasoro constraints and cut-and-join equations for generalized Mirzakhani's recursions.

A scalable GP model for online uncertainty quantification over graphs.

problem Scalable uncertainty quantification over graphs with dynamic data.
method Graph-aware parametric Gaussian process model using random features and online conformal prediction.
result Improved coverage and efficient prediction sets over existing methods.

Harer and Zagier proved a recursion to enumerate gluings of a 2d2d-gon that result in an orientable genus gg surface, in their work on Euler characteristics of moduli spaces of curves. Analogous results have been discovered for other enumerative problems, so it is natural to pose the following question: how large is t…

2018-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

BREMEN optimizes policies offline with fewer data, achieving efficient deployment.

problem High cost of updating policies in real-world applications.
method Behavior-Regularized Model-ENsemble (BREMEN) algorithm for offline optimization.
result BREMEN achieves impressive deployment efficiency with 5-10 deployments, outperforming standard RL methods.

This work generalizes a formula linking Seiberg-Witten prepotential and topological recursion.

problem Analyzing the relationship between Seiberg-Witten curves and topological recursion.
method Analytical approach using Seiberg-Witten family of curves.
result A generalized formula relating Seiberg-Witten prepotential to the genus zero part of topological recursion on a Seiberg-Witten curve.

LASER compresses recursive model activations by exploiting their low-dimensional structure.

problem Understanding and optimizing the geometric structure of recursive reasoning trajectories.
method Dynamic low-rank basis tracking via matrix-free subspace tracking with a fidelity-triggered reset mechanism.
result Recursive activations occupy a linear, low-dimensional subspace that can be compressed efficiently.

We describe a method for recursively calculating Gromov-Witten invariants of all blowups of the projective plane. This recursive formula is different from the recursive formulas due to Göttsche and Pandharipande in the zero genus case, and Caporaso and Harris in the case of no blowups. We use tropical curves and a recu…

2014-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Topological recursion recovers a specific partition function for colored knots.

problem Recovering the extended Ooguri-Vafa partition function for colored HOMFLY-PT polynomials of torus knots.
method Applying topological recursion to the spectral curve of colored HOMFLY-PT polynomials of torus knots.
result Topological recursion reproduces the n-point functions of the extended Ooguri-Vafa partition function.

We derive the Do and Norbury recursion formula for the one-loop mean of an irregular spectral curve from a variant of replica method by Brezín and Hikami. We express this recursion in special times in which all terms W1(g)W_1^{(g)} of the genus expansion of the one-loop mean are polynomials. We find a generalization of th…

2015-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper concerns the recursive utility maximization problem under partial information. We first transform our problem under partial information into the one under full information. When the generator of the recursive utility is concave, we adopt the variational formulation of the recursive utility which leads to a s…

2016-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We derive a recursion relation for hyperbolic string vertices and apply it to string field theory.

problem Deriving a recursion relation for hyperbolic string vertices and its implications for string field theory.
method Using systolic volumes and a modified Mirzakhani's recursion, we construct a higher-order vertex determination for hyperbolic string field theory.
result The higher order vertices in hyperbolic string field theory are determined by the cubic vertex iteratively for any background.

Benchmarking recursive collapse claims with a new framework under false-positive control.

problem Evaluating recursive systems for failure patterns and warning claims.
method Developed Loopzero framework for testing recursive failures, specified claim boundaries in Lean, evaluated under FP constraint, and compared with standard detectors.
result No standard detectors or Loopzero's pre-registered quantile detector achieved the required operating point under the false-positive contract.

SRRM improves recursive transport surrogates in the small-discrepancy regime.

problem Insufficient understanding of recursive partitioning methods' statistical behavior and resolution in the small-discrepancy regime.
method Introduced Selective Recursive Rank Matching (SRRM) to improve the resolution of Recursive Rank Matching (RRM).
result SRRM yields a higher-fidelity practical surrogate for the Wasserstein distance at moderate additional computational cost.

This paper fortifies the recently introduced hierarchical-optimization recursive least squares (HO-RLS) against outliers which contaminate infrequently linear-regression models. Outliers are modeled as nuisance variables and are estimated together with the linear filter/system variables via a sparsity-inducing (non-)co…

2019-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article, we aim at improving the prediction of expert aggregation by using the underlying properties of the models that provide expert predictions. We restrict ourselves to the case where expert predictions come from Kalman recursions, fitting state-space models. By using exponential weights, we construct diffe…

2020-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗