A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as a natural nonlinear extension to optimal Wiener filtering. After establishing th…
Paper develops efficient recursive learning for multi-channel systems with heterogeneous dynamics.
problem Accurately learning system dynamics in complex, multi-channel systems with nonlinear and noisy data.
method Formulates system as Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs), introduces heterogeneous multi-output kernel, and develops recursive inference framework.
result Matches SOTA offline GPSSMs in accuracy with 1/100 runtime, and outperforms SOTA online GPSSMs by 70% in accuracy under noise with 1/20 runtime.
Model collapse occurs quickly for synthetic data generated by previous models.
problem Model quality degrades over recursive training on synthetic data.
method Theoretical and experimental evaluations of discrete and Gaussian distributions under near ML estimation.
result Model collapse for discrete distributions is approximately linearly dependent on the number of times a word occurs in the original corpus, and for Gaussian models, the standard deviation reduces to zero roughly at n iterations.
Recursive KalmanNet combines neural networks with Kalman filters for precise state estimation.
problem State estimation in systems with noisy measurements and non-Gaussian noise.
method Recursive KalmanNet uses a recurrent neural network to estimate states with consistent error covariance, optimizing for Gaussian negative log-likelihood.
result Recursive KalmanNet outperforms conventional Kalman filters and deep learning-based estimators in non-Gaussian noise conditions.
We use the explicit relation between genus filtrated s-loop means of the Gaussian matrix model and terms of the genus expansion of the Kontsevich--Penner matrix model (KPMM), which is the generating function for volumes of discretized (open) moduli spaces Mg,sdisc (discrete volumes), to express Gaussian means…
To scale Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets we introduce the robust Bayesian Committee Machine (rBCM), a practical and scalable product-of-experts model for large-scale distributed GP regression. Unlike state-of-the-art sparse GP approximations, the rBCM is conceptually simple and does not rely on inducing or …
We develop a sequential low-complexity inference procedure for Dirichlet process mixtures of Gaussians for online clustering and parameter estimation when the number of clusters are unknown a-priori. We present an easily computable, closed form parametric expression for the conditional likelihood, in which hyperparamet…
We revisit the development of grid based recursive approximate filtering of general Markov processes in discrete time, partially observed in conditionally Gaussian noise. The grid based filters considered rely on two types of state quantization: The \textit{Markovian} type and the \textit{marginal} type. We propose a s…
Study adds investment gains and losses to recursive utility model, proving existence and uniqueness of utility process.
problem Existence and uniqueness of utility process in a recursive utility model with investment gains and losses.
method Generalized recursive utility model with constant elasticity of intertemporal substitution and relative risk aversion degree. Proved existence and uniqueness in a specific, finite-state Markovian setting.
result Utility process exists and is unique when agent derives nonnegative gain-loss utility, and non-existent or non-unique otherwise.
In this paper we demonstrate that tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers for Bayesian models by recursively subsampling observations without replacement can improve the performance of baseline samplers in terms of effective sample size per computation. We present two tempering by subsampling algorithms, subsampled…
This paper refines the Gaussian Sinkhorn algorithm for general multivariate models.
problem Finite-dimensional solutions for general Gaussian multivariate models.
method Recursive formulation of the Sinkhorn algorithm for Gaussian models, including closed form expressions of entropic transport maps and Schrödinger bridges.
result Refined convergence analysis of Gaussian Sinkhorn algorithms.
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) process input text sequentially and model the conditional transition between word tokens. In contrast, the advantages of recursive networks include that they explicitly model the compositionality and the recursive structure of natural language. However, the current recursive architectur…
This paper removes the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
problem Removing the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
method Assuming iid parameters distributed according to a stable distribution, the paper shows that the infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
result The infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network, under suitable scaling, is a multivariate stable stochastic process.