A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Develops a method for causal inference in recurrent event data with terminal failure.
Neural network model predicts alternating event-free periods.
We propose a multi-label multi-task framework based on a convolutional recurrent neural network to unify detection of isolated and overlapping audio events. The framework leverages the power of convolutional recurrent neural network architectures; convolutional layers learn effective features over which higher recurren…
TransformerLSR models longitudinal, recurrent, and survival data jointly.
Bayesian method corrects timing misalignment in recurrent event studies.
Click through rate (CTR) prediction is very important for Native advertisement but also hard as there is no direct query intent. In this paper we propose a large-scale event embedding scheme to encode the each user browsing event by training a Siamese network with weak supervision on the users' consecutive events. The …
Proposes OC4Seq for detecting anomalies in discrete event sequences.
Boost-R uses gradient boosted trees for analyzing recurrence data.
Model compresses event-like contexts using gated surprise signals.
Proposes a new model for time-to-event prediction with uncertainty quantification.
RED detects sleep EEG events using deep neural networks, outperforming previous methods.
The study examines Cox models for lifetime loan default risk, addressing biased estimates by incorporating recurrent events.
SELD-TCN improves sound event localization and detection efficiency.
Adaptive prediction timing improves healthcare outcomes by predicting patient events at the right frequency.
Neural network predicts cardiovascular events from EHRs with high accuracy.
Event-driven features improve forex price prediction accuracy.
Paper establishes bounds for RNN-TPPs, showing four-layer networks can achieve vanishing errors.
New model predicts financial tail events using RIA-EVT-Copula.
Knowledge graph reasoning is a critical task in natural language processing. The task becomes more challenging on temporal knowledge graphs, where each fact is associated with a timestamp. Most existing methods focus on reasoning at past timestamps and they are not able to predict facts happening in the future. This pa…
Study compares LSTM, Transformer, and Mamba for bladder cancer recurrence analysis.
THP model captures complex dependencies in event sequences efficiently.
SurvLatent ODE predicts VTE risk for cancer patients, outperforming current methods.
Used to investigate the presence of distinctive recurrent behaviours in natural processes, the recurrence plots can be applied to the analysis of economic data, and, in particular, to the characterization of exchange rates of currencies too. In this paper, we will show that these plots are able to characterize the peri…
Energy markets and the associated energy futures markets play a crucial role in global economies. We investigate the statistical properties of the recurrence intervals of daily volatility time series of four NYMEX energy futures, which are defined as the waiting times between consecutive volatilities exceeding a gi…
Due to globalization, geographic boundaries no longer serve as effective shields for the spread of infectious diseases. In order to aid bio-surveillance analysts in disease tracking, recent research has been devoted to developing information retrieval and analysis methods utilizing the vast corpora of publicly availabl…
Study uses LCRN to detect driver distraction from EEG signals.
TriTPP models enable faster and more flexible event data modeling.
Sound event detection systems typically consist of two stages: extracting hand-crafted features from the raw audio waveform, and learning a mapping between these features and the target sound events using a classifier. Recently, the focus of sound event detection research has been mostly shifted to the latter stage usi…
Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with survivorship bias. Many works have been proposed for survival analysis ranging …
Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help us predict which type of event will happen next and when. We model streams of d…
Meta-learning improves event prediction from short sequences.
Mining frequent sequential patterns consists in extracting recurrent behaviors, modeled as patterns, in a big sequence dataset. Such patterns inform about which events are frequently observed in sequences, i.e. what does really happen. Sometimes, knowing that some specific event does not happen is more informative than…
Asynchronous events on the continuous time domain, e.g., social media actions and stock transactions, occur frequently in the world. The ability to recognize occurrence patterns of event sequences is crucial to predict which typeof events will happen next and when. A de facto standard mathematical framework to do this …
Identifying patient characteristics that influence the rate of colorectal polyp recurrence can provide important insights into which patients are at higher risk for recurrence. We used natural language processing to extract polyp morphological characteristics from 953 polyp-presenting patients' electronic medical recor…
Event sequence, asynchronously generated with random timestamp, is ubiquitous among applications. The precise and arbitrary timestamp can carry important clues about the underlying dynamics, and has lent the event data fundamentally different from the time-series whereby series is indexed with fixed and equal time inte…
Study compares and accelerates deep learning for extreme events modeling.
UNIPoint universally approximates point process intensities.
Gait event detection of the initial contact and toe off is essential for running gait analysis, allowing the derivation of parameters such as stance time. Heuristic-based methods exist to estimate these key gait events from tibial accelerometry. However, these methods are tailored to very specific acceleration profiles…
In predictive process analytics, current and historical process data in event logs is used to predict the future, e.g., to predict the next activity or how long a process will still require to complete. Recurrent neural networks (RNN) and its subclasses have been demonstrated to be well suited for creating prediction m…
There is growing interest in being able to run neural networks on sensors, wearables and internet-of-things (IoT) devices. However, the computational demands of neural networks make them difficult to deploy on resource-constrained edge devices. To meet this need, our work introduces a new recurrent unit architecture th…
We are now witnessing the increasing availability of event stream data, i.e., a sequence of events with each event typically being denoted by the time it occurs and its mark information (e.g., event type). A fundamental problem is to model and predict such kind of marked temporal dynamics, i.e., when the next event wil…
We present a neural network for predicting purchasing intent in an Ecommerce setting. Our main contribution is to address the significant investment in feature engineering that is usually associated with state-of-the-art methods such as Gradient Boosted Machines. We use trainable vector spaces to model varied, semi-str…
VOWEL trains WTA-SNNs for multi-valued events, overcoming resource limitations.
SparseProp speeds up SNN simulations and training by four orders of magnitude.
TRAKNN detects rare atmospheric trajectories efficiently.
In complex processes, various events can happen in different sequences. The prediction of the next event given an a-priori process state is of importance in such processes. Recent methods have proposed deep learning techniques such as recurrent neural networks, developed on raw event logs, to predict the next event fro…
Recurrent Networks are one of the most powerful and promising artificial neural network algorithms to processing the sequential data such as natural languages, sound, time series data. Unlike traditional feed-forward network, Recurrent Network has a inherent feed back loop that allows to store the temporal context info…
Service system dynamics occur at the interplay between customer behaviour and a service provider's response. This kind of dynamics can effectively be modeled within the framework of queuing theory where customers' arrivals are described by point process models. However, these approaches are limited by parametric assump…