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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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64127191254 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Realizability Assumption

New bandit algorithm works without realizability assumption.

problem Contextual bandit problems without realizability assumption.
method Computes a constrained regression problem in every epoch, ensuring similar regret guarantees as realizability-based algorithms.
result Ensures similar regret guarantees as realizability-based algorithms, up to a misspecification term.

New active learning framework for multiclass classification beyond realizability assumption.

problem Active learning in non-realizable settings with convex model classes.
method Surrogate risk minimization, epoch-based fitting, aggregation of models.
result Achieves label and sample complexity comparable to prior work in non-realizable settings.

New offline RL method works with limited data and function approximators.

problem Sample efficiency with limited data and weak function approximators.
method Pessimistic algorithm based on version space formed by marginalized importance sampling (MIS), with gap assumption.
result Guarantees sample efficiency for simple algorithm under specific assumptions.

Paper tackles offline RL with weak assumptions on both function classes and data coverage.

problem Achieve sample-efficient offline RL with weak assumptions on both factors.
method Simple algorithm based on primal-dual formulation of MDPs, with density-ratio function modeling dual variables.
result Polynomial sample complexity achieved under realizability and single-policy concentrability.

New method efficiently evaluates policies using trajectory data.

problem Statistically efficient policy evaluation with limited data.
method Trajectory-based approach for policy evaluation.
result Improved sample complexity for policy evaluation.

This work provides guarantees for off-policy function estimation under realizability assumptions.

problem Estimating the value function of a policy under user-specified error-measuring distributions.
method The approach involves imposing a flexible regularization on the MIS objectives to account for an arbitrary user-specified distribution.
result Exact characterization of the optimal dual solution that determines the data-coverage assumption in the case of value-function learning.

A group is properly 3-realizable if it is the fundamental group of a compact polyhedron whose universal covering is proper homotopically equivalent to some 3-manifold. We prove that when such a group is also quasi-simply filtered then it has {\em pro-(finitely generated free) fundamental group at infinity} and {\em sem…

2007-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

TensorPlan algorithm finds δ-optimal policies with poly(H,d)(H,d) queries under linearly realizable state-value function.

problem Efficient planning in MDPs with linearly realizable state-value function.
method TensorPlan algorithm using poly((dH/δ)A)((dH/δ)^A) simulator queries.
result First algorithm with polynomial query complexity using only linear-realizability of a single competing value function.

Faster algorithm reduces contextual bandit regret with fewer offline regression calls.

problem Optimizing reward in contextual bandits with unknown functions.
method Designing a simple algorithm with O(logT){O}(\log T) offline regression calls.
result Achieves statistically optimal regret with minimal offline calls.

Solves a problem related to Nielsen realization for certain groups.

problem Whether a cocompact proper topological manifold is equivariantly homotopy equivalent to a classifying space.
method Assumes a zero-dimensional singular set and uses properties of hyperbolic groups and aspherical manifolds.
result Solves the problem for specific groups containing a normal torsion-free subgroup.

We show that a continuous local semiflow of CkC^k-maps on a finite-dimensional CkC^k-manifold M can be embedded into a local CkC^k-flow on M under some weak (necessary) assumptions. This result is applied to an open problem in [fil/tei:01]. We prove that finite-dimensional realizations for interest rate models are high…

2001-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for distributional off-policy evaluation using Bellman residual minimization.

problem Learning return distribution from offline data generated by a different policy.
method Energy Bellman Residual Minimizer (EBRM) method.
result Established finite-sample error bound for EBRM estimator.

This paper tackles deferral learning with multiple experts, providing strong theoretical guarantees.

problem Optimizing input assignment to experts balancing accuracy and computational cost.
method Introducing new surrogate loss functions and efficient algorithms with strong theoretical learning guarantees.
result Realizable HH-consistency, HH-consistency bounds, and Bayes-consistency for deferral learning.

Value-function approximation methods that operate in batch mode have foundational importance to reinforcement learning (RL). Finite sample guarantees for these methods often crucially rely on two types of assumptions: (1) mild distribution shift, and (2) representation conditions that are stronger than realizability. H…

2019-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms estimate Q-functions under partial coverage and realizability, improving offline RL guarantees.

problem Offline RL with limited exploration and assumptions about data coverage and Q-function realizability.
method Proposes minimax learning algorithms to estimate soft or vanilla Q-functions with L2L^2-convergence guarantees.
result PAC guarantees for offline RL under partial coverage and realizability conditions.

The paper optimizes RV estimation by efficient sampling in time-changed diffusion models.

problem Improving realized variance (RV) estimation in time-changed diffusion models.
method Theoretical analysis and simulations of hitting time and realized business time sampling schemes.
result Realized business time sampling is empirically most efficient for high noise levels.

GEEN uses deep learning to estimate unobserved variables from observed data.

problem Estimating unobserved variables in latent variable models.
method GEEN uses deep learning with Kullback-Leibler distance to map observed measurements to latent variable realizations.
result GEEN provides a method to identify and estimate latent variables in a class of models.

No-regret learning fails to converge to Nash equilibria in mixed strategies.

problem Limiting behavior of mixed strategies in repeated games.
method Study of optimal no-regret learning algorithms for 2x2 competitive games.
result Limiting mixed strategies cannot converge to Nash equilibria under mean-based and monotonic updates.

Cooperation information sharing is important to theories of human learning and has potential implications for machine learning. Prior work derived conditions for achieving optimal Cooperative Inference given strong, relatively restrictive assumptions. We relax these assumptions by demonstrating convergence for any disc…

2018-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A major challenge in contextual bandits is to design general-purpose algorithms that are both practically useful and theoretically well-founded. We present a new technique that has the empirical and computational advantages of realizability-based approaches combined with the flexibility of agnostic methods. Our algorit…

2018-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores learning good policies from past data in large state spaces.

problem Learning good policies from historical data in large state spaces.
method Introduces expressivity assumptions and data coverage for function approximation and algorithmic design.
result A variety of algorithms and their guarantees are presented based on assumptions and desired complexity.

Study bounds noise level in linear regression with dependent data.

problem Analyzing noise level in linear regression with dependent data.
method Derive upper bounds for random design linear regression with ββ-mixing data, without realizability assumptions.
result Correctly recovers the noise level of the problem, exhibiting graceful degradation with misspecification.

This paper proposes a new RV prediction model using neural distributional transformation and co-training.

problem Predicting skewed and fat-tailed realized volatility (RV) is challenging.
method The paper uses a neural distributional transformation and co-training to predict RV. It jointly trains the transformation and prediction model using a maximum-likelihood objective function.
result The proposed method significantly outperforms other methods on a dataset of 100 stocks.

New RL method learns to skip states in linearly qπq^π-realizable MDPs, simplifying to linear MDPs.

problem Online RL in episodic MDPs with linearly qπq^π-realizable action-values.
method Derives a novel algorithm that learns to skip states and applies a linear MDP algorithm.
result First polynomial-sample-complexity online RL algorithm for linearly qπq^π-realizable MDPs.

Kernel Bayes' rule has been proposed as a nonparametric kernel-based method to realize Bayesian inference in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. However, we demonstrate both theoretically and experimentally that the prediction result by kernel Bayes' rule is in some cases unnatural. We consider that this phenomenon is i…

2015-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows offline RL with partial coverage and weak function classes is possible.

problem Learning optimal policies from logged data with function approximation.
method Marginalized Importance Sampling (MIS) with additional covering distribution.
result Finite-sample guarantees for sample-efficient offline RL for general MDPs.

Improved private agnostic learning with near-optimal sample complexity.

problem Private agnostic learning with arbitrary privacy parameters.
method Near-optimal sample complexity construction.
result Near-optimal extra sample complexity of \(\widetilde{O}(\mathrm{VC}(\mathcal{C})/α^2)\) for any \(\varepsilon \leq 1\).

A viable and still unproved conjecture states that, if XX is a smooth algebraic surface and CC is a smooth algebraic curve in XX, then CC realizes the smallest possible genus amongst all smoothly embedded 22-manifolds in its homology class. A proof is announced here for this conjecture, for a large class of surfac…

1993-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the performance of empirical risk minimization for pp-norm linear regression.

problem Empirical risk minimization on pp-norm linear regression.
method Analyzes performance under various conditions and moment assumptions.
result High probability excess risk bounds for empirical risk minimizer, matching asymptotic rates.

New method estimates VaR and ES using high-frequency data, outperforming existing approaches.

problem Limitations of existing VaR and ES estimation methods in high-frequency data.
method Transforms intra-day returns using subordinator process, filters autocorrelation, fits fat-tailed distribution.
result Outperforms existing methods in VaR and ES estimation and forecasting.

New approach uses 'forward-looking' counterfactuals for treatment choice.

problem Using traditional 'retrospective' counterfactuals in treatment choice leads to counterintuitive results.
method Introduces 'counterfactual treatment choice' for forward-looking counterfactuals.
result Mismatches between interventional and forward-looking counterfactuals can lead to counterintuitive results.

New algorithm tackles non-linear utility in MNL bandits with ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret.

problem Sequential assortment selection with intricate user-item interactions.
method Upper Confidence Bound principle for non-linear parametric utility functions, including neural networks.
result Achieves ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret bound for neural network-based utilities.

The basic financial purpose of a firm is to maximize its value. An inventory management system should also contribute to realization of this basic aim. Many current asset management models currently found in financial management literature were constructed with the assumption of book profit maximization as basic aim. H…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies universal rates of ERM for binary classification under agnostic learning.

problem The challenge of achieving universal rates of ERM for binary classification under agnostic learning.
method The paper explores the agnostic universal rates of ERM for binary classification, revealing three possible rates: ene^{-n}, o(n1/2)o(n^{-1/2}), or arbitrarily slow.
result The paper provides a complete characterization of which concept classes fall into each of the three categories of agnostic universal rates.

Efficient RL algorithm for MDPs with linear QπQ^π realizability, achieving optimal regret bound.

problem Efficient reinforcement learning under linear QπQ^π realizability assumption for MDPs with stochastic dynamics.
method Frozen Policy Iteration algorithm that uses high-confidence data and freezes policy for well-explored states.
result Achieves optimal regret bound of O~(d2H6T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{d^2H^6T}) for linear (contextual) bandits.

Study on learning to predict dynamical systems without assuming their structure.

problem Learning to predict the next state of a dynamical system with unknown evolution function.
method Defined new combinatorial measures to quantify mistake and regret bounds in realizable and agnostic settings.
result In the realizable setting, the number of mistakes can grow arbitrarily with time.