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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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10202939 · Mar 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Real-time Bidding

Optimizes RTB bidding without exploration, improving performance under various budgets.

problem Lack of clear evaluation and generalization issues in RTB systems.
method Maximum entropy principle and conditional independence structures to train a model that generalizes to unseen budget conditions.
result Significantly improved performance under various budget settings compared to baselines.

Real-time bidding (RTB) systems, which utilize auctions to allocate user impressions to competing advertisers, continue to enjoy success in digital advertising. Assessing the effectiveness of such advertising remains a challenge in research and practice. This paper proposes a new approach to perform causal inference on…

2019-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a virtual bidding strategy for electricity markets using stochastic control.

problem Optimizing electricity prices in day-ahead and real-time markets.
method Modeling price differences as Brownian motion with meteorological variables, transforming into portfolio management problem.
result Developed a strategy to manage electricity prices efficiently.

We consider a class of auctions (Lowest Unique Bid Auctions) that have achieved a considerable success on the Internet. Bids are made in cents (of euro) and every bidder can bid as many numbers as she wants. The lowest unique bid wins the auction. Every bid has a fixed cost, and once a participant makes a bid, she gets…

2010-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In programmatic advertising, ad slots are usually sold using second-price (SP) auctions in real-time. The highest bidding advertiser wins but pays only the second-highest bid (known as the winning price). In SP, for a single item, the dominant strategy of each bidder is to bid the true value from the bidder's perspecti…

2020-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The ad-trading desks of media-buying agencies are increasingly relying on complex algorithms for purchasing advertising inventory. In particular, Real-Time Bidding (RTB) algorithms respond to many auctions -- usually Vickrey auctions -- throughout the day for buying ad-inventory with the aim of maximizing one or severa…

2015-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

BiCB combines traffic prediction and bidding optimization for live advertising.

problem Real-time bidding in live advertising with unknown future traffic.
method Binary Constrained Bidding (BiCB) that merges mathematical analysis and statistical traffic estimation.
result BiCB achieves good approximation to optimal bidding results with low complexity.

Proposes a framework for modeling RTB auctions using point processes.

problem Modeling and optimizing repeated auctions in the RTB ecosystem.
method Develops a stochastic framework using point processes to model and optimize RTB auctions.
result The proposed framework can be approximated to a Poisson point process, enabling the use of established properties.

In recent years, RTB(Real Time Bidding) becomes a popular online advertisement trading method. During the auction, each DSP(Demand Side Platform) is supposed to evaluate current opportunity and respond with an ad and corresponding bid price. It's essential for DSP to find an optimal ad selection and bid price determina…

2017-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Approach to optimize bidding policies offline using reinforcement learning.

problem Optimizing spending in online advertising under budget constraints.
method Offline reinforcement learning for optimizing differentiable base policies.
result Statistically significant performance gains in production bidding environments.

The paper analyzes real-time methods to detect rapidly varying liquidity in markets.

problem Increased trade execution price uncertainty due to rapid price variations by high-frequency traders.
method A four-state Markov switching model to identify volatile liquidity states.
result The model can generate a signal to delay orders, reducing price volatility for market participants.

This paper uses Hawkes processes to forecast high-frequency order flow imbalance.

problem Forecasting the asymmetry in high-frequency order flow events.
method Hawkes processes accounting for lagged dependence between bid and offer events.
result Hawkes process with a Sum of Exponential's kernel gives the best forecast of order flow imbalance.

ARTEO algorithm optimizes safety-critical systems with uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with safety constraints in real-time optimization.
method ARTEO algorithm uses multi-armed bandits as a mathematical programming problem subject to safety constraints, learning unknown characteristics through exploration and incorporating uncertainty quantification.
result ARTEO achieves less cumulative regret with accurate and safe decisions.

Real time bidding (RTB) enables demand side platforms (bidders) to scale ad campaigns across multiple publishers affiliated to an RTB ad exchange. While driving multiple campaigns for mobile app install ads via RTB, the bidder typically has to: (i) maintain each campaign's efficiency (i.e., meet advertiser's target cos…

2018-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes internal balancing of wind and hydropower to reduce intraday market volatility.

problem Reduction of intraday market volatility for power producers with wind and hydropower assets.
method Internal balancing within the same river system and sales/purchase in a pay-as-bid intraday market.
result Reduction in short-term marginal cost and risk through internal balancing.

A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.

problem Challenges in simultaneously improving multiple KPIs in RTB campaigns.
method Sequential Control using PID-based feedback and importance metrics.
result Effective in simultaneously controlling multiple KPIs in both simulations and live traffic.

In digital advertising, Click-Through Rate (CTR) and Conversion Rate (CVR) are very important metrics for evaluating ad performance. As a result, ad event prediction systems are vital and widely used for sponsored search and display advertising as well as Real-Time Bidding (RTB). In this work, we introduce an enhanced …

2019-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a mathematical model of momentum risk-taking, which is essentially real-time risk management focused on short-term volatility of stock markets. Its implementation, our fully automated momentum equity trading system presented systematically, proved to be successful in extensive historical and real-time experi…

2019-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new relaxed framework for pricing illiquid derivatives using bid-ask spreads.

problem Pricing illiquid derivatives with realistic bounds and hedging prices.
method Introducing Bid--Ask Martingale Optimal Transport (BAMOT) that relaxes the exact calibration of model marginals to mid-prices of vanilla options.
result BAMOT yields realistic price bounds and superhedging prices for illiquid derivatives.

Algorithm learns to bid in auctions with shilling, masking real bids.

problem Learning to bid in auctions manipulated by shilling.
method Combines interval-elimination and optimistic branches, debiases losing-side reports.
result Achieves dynamic-pricing rate ildeO(T2/3) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(T^{2/3}) and first-price auctions rate ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}).

This paper tackles optimal bidding strategies in adversarial first-price auctions.

problem How to bid optimally and efficiently in adversarial first-price auctions.
method Developed a minimax optimal online bidding algorithm leveraging expert-chaining structure and exploiting product structure.
result Achieved an O~(T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret, superior to existing algorithms.

Models of auctions or tendering processes are introduced. In every round of bidding the players select their bid from a probability distribution and whenever a bid is unsuccessful, it is discarded and replaced. For simple models, the probability distributions evolve to a stationary power law with the exponent dependent…

2001-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper a finite discrete time market with an arbitrary state space and bid-ask spreads is considered. The notion of an equivalent bid-ask martingale measure (EBAMM) is introduced and the fundamental theorem of asset pricing is proved using (EBAMM) as an equivalent condition for no-arbitrage. The Cox-Ross-Rubinst…

2014-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning detects bid-rigging cartels with high accuracy.

problem Detecting bid-rigging cartels using pairwise bidding interactions.
method Convolutional neural networks applied to graphs of normalized bid values.
result Convolutional neural networks achieve around 90% accuracy in classifying collusive and competitive bidding interactions.

Taobao, as the largest online retail platform in the world, provides billions of online display advertising impressions for millions of advertisers every day. For commercial purposes, the advertisers bid for specific spots and target crowds to compete for business traffic. The platform chooses the most suitable ads to …

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts bid and ask price dynamics with spread-dependent intensities.

problem Predicting bid and ask price dynamics in high-frequency stock markets.
method Extended Hawkes process with zero intensities, spread-dependent intensities, and negative excitement.
result Spread-narrowing tendency, excitations caused by previous events, impact of flash crashes, and different market participant features.

Quantum theory explains price dynamics in financial markets, capturing bid-ask spread and ergodicity.

problem Nature of price formation in financial markets and bid-ask spread dynamics.
method Developed a quantum coupled-wave theory using a 2x2 price operator with eigenvalues representing bid and ask prices.
result The theory adequately models bid-ask spread and directional price movement due to quantum-chaotic interaction.

Paper uses reinforcement learning to optimize bid-ask spreads in OTC markets.

problem Optimizing bid-ask spreads in over-the-counter markets with dynamic order sizes.
method Reinforcement learning to solve high-dimensional stochastic control problem.
result Optimal bid-ask spreads follow a Gaussian distribution under certain conditions.

Study addresses RTB model performance drops due to distribution shifts.

problem Distribution shifts between training and target environments in RTB markets.
method Applies Exponential Tilt Reweighting Alignment (ExTRA) algorithm to estimate and correct model weights.
result Demonstrates improved RTB model performance using ExTRA algorithm.

This paper improves bidding price prediction for ancillary services markets, boosting revenues.

problem Volatility in renewable energy sources affects grid stability and revenue optimization.
method Machine learning models (SVR, DT, k-NN) and offset adjustment for pay-as-bid markets.
result The proposed approach increases potential revenues by 27.43% to 37.31% compared to baseline models.

This work optimizes bid strategies for online auctions using measure-valued optimization.

problem Optimizing bid strategies in first-price auctions to maximize expected surplus.
method Formulates the problem as convex optimization over the joint distribution of shading parameters, adapts the distribution after each auction using a Wasserstein-proximal update.
result The proposed algorithm encourages bids on values with high expected surplus.