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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3446881,0311,375 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Real Data Statistics

New method ensures generated data statistics match real data distributions.

problem Ensuring generated data statistics match real data distributions in GANs.
method Added a new loss term to the generator loss function using f-divergences and kernel density estimation.
result Improved performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

InfoAtlas speeds up MI estimation for real-time data analysis.

problem Efficiently measuring statistical dependency between high-dimensional datasets.
method Directly infers mutual information in a single forward pass using a pretrained model.
result Matches state-of-the-art accuracy with 100x speedup.

We uncover scaling laws and statistical structure in complex datasets.

problem Understanding universal traits in complex datasets.
method Analogizing data to physical systems, using statistical physics and RMT.
result Real-world datasets and Gaussian data with long-range correlations share the same RMT universality class.

This paper quantifies uncertainty in Data Shapley using statistical inference.

problem Uncertainty in data valuation due to dynamic data distribution.
method Established relationship with U-statistics and quantified uncertainty using statistical inference.
result Confidence intervals for Data Shapley estimations are provided.

Triangular flows ensure statistical consistency and fast rates in generative modeling.

problem Ensuring statistical consistency and fast rates in generative models.
method Statistical guarantees and sample complexity bounds for triangular flow models using empirical process theory.
result Established statistical consistency and finite sample convergence rates for Kullback-Leibler estimator of Knöthe-Rosenblatt measure coupling.

Hypothesis tests are a crucial statistical tool for data mining and are the workhorse of scientific research in many fields. Here we present a differentially private analogue of the classic Wilcoxon signed-rank hypothesis test, which is used when comparing sets of paired (e.g., before-and-after) data values. We present…

2018-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Investment tool predicts higher returns for Madrid real estate units.

problem Determining which real estate units have higher returns to investment in Madrid.
method Data collection from Idealista.com, descriptive statistics, return index, machine learning algorithms.
result Introduction of machine learning algorithms for rental real estate price prediction.

The paper provides guidelines for choosing between SBI methods in complex biological models.

problem Choosing appropriate SBI methods for real-world biological data.
method Comprehensive guidelines and application to agent-based models.
result Statistical SBI methods outperform neural SBI methods with sufficient computational resources.

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times with that obtained from real market data. Afterwards we analyze in detail the ef…

2008-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Establishes statistical and computational bounds for influence diagnostics.

problem Identifying influential datapoints or subsets in machine learning models.
method Finite-sample statistical bounds and computational complexity for influence functions and approximate maximum influence perturbations.
result Established statistical and computational guarantees for influence diagnostics.

A new algorithm detects changes in high-dimensional data efficiently under sampling constraints.

problem Real-time monitoring of high-dimensional streaming data with limited sampling.
method Incorporates multi-armed bandit approaches into sequential change-point detection.
result Proposes TSSRP algorithm for efficient detection of changes.

New statistical methods for analyzing distributions using Wasserstein metric.

problem Statistical analysis of probability distributions on the real line.
method Projected methods exploiting Wasserstein metric and Riemannian structure.
result Projected PCA and regression methods are faster and more flexible.

Paper proposes a statistical test for feature selection pipelines using selective inference.

problem Assessing the significance of feature selection pipelines in data analysis.
method Selective inference technique applied to feature selection pipelines composed of various algorithms.
result The proposed statistical test controls false positive feature selection probabilities.

Study proposes a statistical testing framework for evaluating clustering pipelines.

problem Quantifying the statistical reliability of clustering results from data analysis pipelines.
method Selective inference-based statistical testing framework for clustering pipelines.
result The proposed test controls the type I error rate and is effective in validating clustering results.

ABC method uses machine learning for likelihood-free inference.

problem Statistical inference in simulator-based models with intractable likelihoods.
method Direct comparison of empirical distributions via KL divergence estimator and contrastive learning.
result Asymptotic normality of ABC posterior distributions with properly scaled exponential kernel.

Paper develops approximation and statistical theory for signature-based path regression.

problem Understanding how fast signatures approximate continuous path functionals.
method Develops \(L^2\) approximation rate for smooth functionals of Itô diffusions and establishes consistency of statistical learning procedures.
result Signature-based methods improve prediction over handcrafted features in various real-data applications.

We study a recently proposed large-scale distributed learning paradigm, namely Federated Learning, where the worker machines are end users' own devices. Statistical and computational challenges arise in Federated Learning particularly in the presence of heterogeneous data distribution (i.e., data points on different de…

2019-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a novel online inference method for high-dimensional GLMs.

problem Real-time analysis of sequentially collected data in high-dimensional settings.
method Adaptive stochastic gradient descent with online debiasing for dynamic objective functions.
result Established the asymptotic normality of the Adaptive Debiased Lasso (ADL) estimator.

This research investigates the Statistical Machine Translation approaches to translate speech in real time automatically. Such systems can be used in a pipeline with speech recognition and synthesis software in order to produce a real-time voice communication system between foreigners. We obtained three main data sets …

2015-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

DeRisk improves credit risk prediction using deep learning.

problem Challenges in training deep neural networks with real-world financial data.
method DeRisk, an effective deep learning framework for credit risk prediction.
result DeRisk outperforms statistical learning methods in credit risk prediction.

The paper reports the construction of artificial stock market that emerges the similar statistical facts with real data in Indonesian stock market. We use the individual but dominant data, i.e.: PT TELKOM in hourly interval. The artificial stock market shows standard statistical facts, e.g.: volatility clustering, the …

2004-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New estimator improves statistical validity of synthetic data integration.

problem Combining synthetic data generated by large language models with real data for valid inference.
method Generalized method of moments estimator with theoretical guarantees.
result Improves estimates of target parameter through interactions between synthetic and real data.

The study provides statistical theory for WGANs in time series forecasting.

problem Statistical analysis of WGANs for time series forecasting.
method Statistical theory and upper bounds for excess Bayes risk, weak convergence, and confidence intervals.
result Developed confidence intervals for time series forecasting using WGANs.

This paper provides a new unimodality test with application in hierarchical clustering methods. The proposed method denoted by signature test (Sigtest), transforms the data based on its statistics. The transformed data has much smaller variation compared to the original data and can be evaluated in a simple proposed un…

2014-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Suitability filter detects model performance degradation in real-world deployment.

problem Ensuring model reliability in safety-critical domains without access to ground truth labels.
method Uses suitability signals to evaluate classifier performance on unlabeled user data.
result The suitability filter reliably detects performance deviations due to covariate shift.

The paper tackles model failure detection and refitting in real-world systems.

problem Real-world data often fails statistical models due to heterogeneity.
method Develops tools for detecting and identifying model failures and refitting to improve accuracy.
result Empirical and theoretical results show the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

The modern data analyst must cope with data encoded in various forms, vectors, matrices, strings, graphs, or more. Consequently, statistical and machine learning models tailored to different data encodings are important. We focus on data encoded as normalized vectors, so that their "direction" is more important than th…

2016-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Matching the performance of conditional Generative Adversarial Networks with little supervision is an important task, especially in venturing into new domains. We design a new training algorithm, which is robust to missing or ambiguous labels. The main idea is to intentionally corrupt the labels of generated examples t…

2019-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

RealStats detects fake images rigorously, combining multiple detectors for robustness.

problem Detecting AI-generated images remains challenging due to evolving generative models.
method Combines training-free statistics to compute p-values and aggregate them for a unified real-image distribution.
result Framework produces interpretable probability scores for robust fake image detection.