This research examines rare spurious correlations in neural networks and their impact on accuracy and privacy.
problem Rare spurious correlations in neural networks and their privacy risks.
method Introducing spurious patterns correlated with a fixed class to a few training examples, analyzing ℓ2 regularization and Gaussian noise. result Rare spurious correlations can significantly impact neural network accuracy and privacy, and specific mitigation methods can be effective.
A new method estimates rare failure events in complex systems.
problem Estimating the probability of rare failure events in non-linear systems.
method Stochastic Spectral Embedding (SSE) combined with modifications for efficient rare event estimation.
result Rare failure probability decomposed into conditional probabilities for easier computation.
Detects and mitigates rare subclasses in deep neural networks.
problem Underrepresented classes in training datasets reduce classifier performance.
method Commonality metric for detection, methods for reducing impact during training and exploitation.
result Models compensate for rare subclasses, improving performance and runtime identification.
Study improves estimation of rare language model outputs.
problem Estimating probabilities of rare outputs in language models.
method Importance sampling vs. activation extrapolation for low probability estimation.
result Importance sampling outperforms activation extrapolation.
Optimizes sampling for faster convergence in Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification.
problem Efficiently selecting samples for faster convergence in Bayesian experimental design and uncertainty quantification.
method Output-weighted acquisition functions leveraging likelihood ratio to guide sampling towards relevant regions.
result Superiority of the proposed method in uncertainty quantification and rare event identification.
Proposes a method to refine PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation.
problem Challenges in constructing accurate surrogates for rare-event simulation.
method Adaptive importance sampling framework that refines a locally constructed surrogate.
result Achieves accuracy comparable to true-model adaptive importance sampling with fewer high-fidelity evaluations.
We propose rectified factor networks (RFNs) to efficiently construct very sparse, non-linear, high-dimensional representations of the input. RFN models identify rare and small events in the input, have a low interference between code units, have a small reconstruction error, and explain the data covariance structure. R…
The paper introduces diagnostic transport maps to improve the reliability of rare event predictions.
problem Improper calibration of predictive distributions, especially for rare events.
method Diagnostic transport maps to adjust base model's probabilities for better calibration.
result Diagnostic transport maps improve predictive performance for rare events, including 24-hour rapid intensity change.
Industry datasets used for text classification are rarely created for that purpose. In most cases, the data and target predictions are a by-product of accumulated historical data, typically fraught with noise, present in both the text-based document, as well as in the targeted labels. In this work, we address the quest…
Inspired by the tremendous success of deep generative models on generating continuous data like image and audio, in the most recent year, few deep graph generative models have been proposed to generate discrete data such as graphs. They are typically unconditioned generative models which has no control on modes of the …
This research analyzes how input and output layers affect deep neural networks' resistance to adversarial attacks.
problem The vulnerability of deep neural networks to adversarial inputs, especially non-gradient based attacks.
method Analysis of three different fully connected dense network classes with manipulated input and output layers.
result Manipulating input and output layers can significantly enhance a deep neural network's robustness against adversarial attacks.
New backdoor attacks in FL can fool models on rare inputs.
problem Federated Learning's vulnerability to adversarial backdoors.
method Introducing edge-case backdoor attacks and proving their effectiveness.
result Edge-case backdoors can fool FL models on rare inputs, posing a significant threat.
Fine-grained pretraining improves neural network's ability to learn rare features.
problem Improving generalization in deep learning models.
method Introducing a hierarchical multi-view structure to confine input data distribution.
result Fine-grained pretraining leads to better accuracy on hard downstream test samples.
When simulating a complex stochastic system, the behavior of output response depends on input parameters estimated from finite real-world data, and the finiteness of data brings input uncertainty into the system. The quantification of the impact of input uncertainty on output response has been extensively studied. Most…
It is well-known that the robustness of artificial neural networks (ANNs) is important for their wide ranges of applications. In this paper, we focus on the robustness of the classification ability of a spiking neural network which receives perturbed inputs. Actually, the perturbation is allowed to be arbitrary styles.…
It is common in modern prediction problems for many predictor variables to be counts of rarely occurring events. This leads to design matrices in which many columns are highly sparse. The challenge posed by such "rare features" has received little attention despite its prevalence in diverse areas, ranging from natural …
Generative model simulates rare events for better decision making.
problem Rare events impact decision making but are hard to sample.
method Normalizing Flow coupled with Importance Sampling.
result Accurate estimation of rare events improves decision outcomes.
The development of machine learning systems for the diagnosis of rare diseases is challenging mainly due the lack of data to study them. Despite this challenge, this paper proposes a system for the Computer Aided Diagnosis (CAD) of low-prevalence, congenital muscular dystrophies from confocal microscopy images. The pro…
AI boosts study of rare weather extremes with lower costs.
problem Difficulty in studying rare weather events due to limited data and models.
method Coupling AI forecasts with physics models using rare-event algorithms.
result Efficiently characterizes very rare events like once-per-millennium heatwaves.
Rare diseases affecting 350 million individuals are commonly associated with delay in diagnosis or misdiagnosis. To improve those patients' outcome, rare disease detection is an important task for identifying patients with rare conditions based on longitudinal medical claims. In this paper, we present a deep learning m…
Develops a method to estimate rare-event probabilities under distributional uncertainty.
problem Distributional uncertainty limits the effectiveness of rare-event simulation techniques.
method Wasserstein distributionally robust rare-event simulation (DRIS) framework.
result DRIS achieves vanishing relative error in estimating rare-event probabilities.
Reduces false positives in classifying rare online platforms.
problem Challenges in accurately identifying rare online platforms with ML.
method Calibrated probabilities and ensembles to reduce bias.
result Significantly reduces false positives in rare event detection.
This paper evaluates data enrichment techniques for rare event detection in manufacturing.
problem Rare events in manufacturing lead to unplanned downtime and high energy consumption.
method Time series data augmentation, sampling, and imputation techniques combined with supervised machine learning.
result Data enrichment enhances rare failure event detection and prediction by up to 48%.
An important but rarely-addressed option pricing question is how to choose appropriate strikes for implied volatility inputs when pricing more exotic multi-asset derivatives. By means of Malliavin Calculus we construct an optimal log-linear strikevconvention for exchange options under stochastic volatility models. This…
Enhanced diffusion sampling improves rare event sampling in biomolecular simulations.
problem Efficiently sampling rare transition events in biomolecular systems.
method Quantitative steering protocols to generate biased ensembles and exact reweighting.
result Fast, accurate, and scalable estimation of equilibrium properties.
Enhanced diffusion sampling tackles rare event sampling in biomolecular simulations.
problem Efficiently sampling rare transition events in biomolecular simulations.
method Quantitative steering protocols to generate biased ensembles, followed by exact reweighting.
result Fast, accurate, and scalable estimation of equilibrium properties for folding free energies.
Proposes a method to ensure accurate estimation of rare events in AI systems.
problem Lack of efficiency guarantees in black-box systems for rare-event simulation.
method Integrates deep learning with importance sampling to create a statistically guaranteed estimator.
result Demonstrates effective estimation of rare-event probabilities in AI systems.
Machine learning models are notoriously difficult to interpret and debug. This is particularly true of neural networks. In this work, we introduce automated software testing techniques for neural networks that are well-suited to discovering errors which occur only for rare inputs. Specifically, we develop coverage-guid…
In many situations, classes of data points of primary interest also happen to be those that are least numerous. A well-known example is detection of fraudulent transactions among the collection of all financial transactions, the vast majority of which are legitimate. These types of problems fall under the label of `rar…
WEST uses EHRs and expert cases to improve rare disease phenotyping.
problem Limited labeled data for rare diseases.
method Weakly supervised transformer model trained on probabilistic silver-standard labels.
result WEST outperforms existing methods in phenotype classification and subphenotyping.
Rare diseases affect a relatively small number of people, which limits investment in research for treatments and cures. Developing an efficient method for rare disease detection is a crucial first step towards subsequent clinical research. In this paper, we present a semi-supervised learning framework for rare disease …
Given a labeled dataset that contains a rare (or minority) class of of-interest instances, as well as a large class of instances that are not of interest, how can we learn to recognize future of-interest instances over a continuous stream? We introduce RaRecognize, which (i) estimates a general decision boundary betwee…
In rare disease physician targeting, a major challenge is how to identify physicians who are treating diagnosed or underdiagnosed rare diseases patients. Rare diseases have extremely low incidence rate. For a specified rare disease, only a small number of patients are affected and a fractional of physicians are involve…
Simulates patient pathways to detect delayed rare disease diagnoses.
problem Delayed rare disease diagnoses in France, causing health system and patient harm.
method Probabilistic modelling of patient pathways to create an alert system.
result Alert system detects and refers wandering patients to CRMRs.
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for hidden Markov models often rely on the forward-backward sampler. This makes them computationally slow as the length of the time series increases, motivating the development of sub-sampling-based approaches. These approximate the full posterior by using small random subsequ…
Paper proposes a secure protocol for federated learning.
problem Combining robustness, privacy, and security in federated learning.
method Secure two-server protocol for federated learning.
result Offers both input privacy and Byzantine-robustness.
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.
For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify its statistics, using the minimum number of function evaluations. This problem …
Deep CNNs struggle with rare taxa; one-class classifiers help identify them.
problem Efficiently identifying rare benthic macroinvertebrates in insect monitoring.
method Combining deep CNNs with one-class classifiers to identify rare taxa.
result The proposed approach can improve rare species identification, supporting automation.
Study compares resampling methods for rare event prediction in longitudinal studies.
problem Predicting rare events in longitudinal follow-up studies.
method Comparison of resampling methods to improve standard regression models.
result Effect of sampling rate on model predictive performance.
This paper tackles rare word problem in low-resource language pairs using NMT.
problem Rare word problem in neural machine translation, especially for low-resource languages.
method Three solutions: enhanced source context, morphology learning, and wordnet synonyms.
result Significant improvements in BLEU scores (+1.0 points) on English-Vietnamese and Japanese-Vietnamese.
Kernel embeddings of distributions and the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), the resulting distance between distributions, are useful tools for fully nonparametric two-sample testing and learning on distributions. However, it is rarely that all possible differences between samples are of interest -- discovered difference…
The paper analyzes logistic regression for rare events data, deriving new insights on estimator efficiency and sampling strategies.
problem Binary logistic regression for rare events data with significantly fewer events than controls.
method Derives asymptotic distribution of MLE, proves under-sampling advantage, and compares over-sampling efficiency.
result Under-sampling a small proportion of nonevents can improve efficiency in rare events data analysis.
Paper proposes active learning for sound event detection with reduced annotation effort.
problem Reducing annotation effort for sound event detection.
method Change point detection for candidate selection, mismatch-first farthest-traversal for selection, training with context recordings.
result The proposed system achieves similar performance to full annotation with only 2% of data, reducing annotation effort.
New test uncovers causal links in rare event dynamics.
problem Causal discovery for rare event phenomena in dynamic systems.
method Nonparametric conditional independence test on time-invariant data.
result Validated across simulated and real-world datasets.
Proposes Ada-Sit method for mortality prediction of rare diseases.
problem Data insufficiency and clinical diversity of rare diseases make mortality prediction hard.
method Initialization-sharing multi-task learning method (Ada-Sit) for fast adaptation to similar tasks.
result Experimental results show the proposed model is effective for mortality prediction of diverse rare diseases.
PRESTO improves rare event prediction by shrinking towards proportional odds model.
problem Difficult to predict rare events due to class imbalance.
method PRESTO relaxes proportional odds model by estimating separate weights for transitions between categories, imposing L1 penalty to shrink towards proportional odds.
result PRESTO consistently estimates decision boundary weights under sparsity assumption, improving rare probability estimation.
Deep-PrAE improves rare-event simulation for black-box systems.
problem Evaluating rare safety-critical events in learning-based systems.
method Combines deep neural networks with IS to create statistically guaranteed estimations.
result Deep-PrAE provides accurate bounds on safety-critical event probabilities.