A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Method predicts biomarker trajectories with uncertainty bands for Alzheimer's disease.
We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting. Three examples of random time-changes are provided and the implied volatility sur…
Electronic medical record (EMR) data contains historical sequences of visits of patients, and each visit contains rich information, such as patient demographics, hospital utilisation and medical codes, including diagnosis, procedure and medication codes. Most existing EMR embedding methods capture visit-code associatio…
Framework identifies comorbidities for frequent ED and inpatient visits.
Is it true that patients with similar conditions get similar diagnoses? In this paper we show NLP methods and a unique corpus of documents to validate this claim. We (1) introduce a method for representation of medical visits based on free-text descriptions recorded by doctors, (2) introduce a new method for clustering…
Study automates detection of visitation disruptions in ICU patients.
RECODE uses clustering and embedding to track state visitation counts in RL.
Computational models that forecast the progression of Alzheimer's disease at the patient level are extremely useful tools for identifying high risk cohorts for early intervention and treatment planning. The state-of-the-art work in this area proposes models that forecast by using latent representations extracted from t…
The paper introduces a new intrinsic reward method for exploration in reinforcement learning.
Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…
BeBold improves exploration in sparse-reward tasks by regulating visitation counts.
A web browser should not be only for browsing web pages but also help users to find out their target websites and recommend similar type websites based on their behavior. Throughout this paper, we propose two methods to make a web browser more intelligent about link prediction which works during typing on address-bar a…
Unsupervised model detects healthcare fraud from patient visit data.
The paper analyzes how SGD visits different regions of a non-convex problem's state space.
VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.
New RL approach uses future state and action visitation measures for better exploration.
Paper proposes machine learning model for early Alzheimer's diagnosis.
The paper develops personalized DAG models for web user behavior.
In this paper, we apply neural networks into digital marketing world for the purpose of better targeting the potential customers. To do so, we model the customer online behaviours using dedicated neural network architectures. Starting from user searched keywords in a search engine to the landing page and different foll…
This article was withdrawn by the arXiv.org administrators since it plagiarizes math.GT/0011056.
Predicting the patient's clinical outcome from the historical electronic medical records (EMR) is a fundamental research problem in medical informatics. Most deep learning-based solutions for EMR analysis concentrate on learning the clinical visit embedding and exploring the relations between visits. Although those wor…
We propose a model for the credit markets in which the random default times of bonds are assumed to be given as functions of one or more independent "market factors". Market participants are assumed to have partial information about each of the market factors, represented by the values of a set of market factor informa…
Enhances early risk assessments for pediatric outcomes using contrastive learning.
We show how to learn low-dimensional representations (embeddings) of patient visits from the corresponding electronic health record (EHR) where International Classification of Diseases (ICD) diagnosis codes are removed. We expect that these embeddings will be useful for the construction of predictive statistical models…
Modeling infection hotspots to quantify effects of contact tracing and testing.
Pediatric asthma is the most prevalent chronic childhood illness, afflicting about 6.2 million children in the United States. However, asthma could be better managed by identifying and avoiding triggers, educating about medications and proper disease management strategies. This research utilizes deep learning methodolo…
Study online RL with mismatched dynamics, achieving sublinear regret.
Transforming sparse outcomes into dense process rewards for efficient reinforcement learning.
Reinforcement learning with sparse rewards is still an open challenge. Classic methods rely on getting feedback via extrinsic rewards to train the agent, and in situations where this occurs very rarely the agent learns slowly or cannot learn at all. Similarly, if the agent receives also rewards that create suboptimal m…
The paper introduces return parity for fairness in MDPs, addressing delayed and adverse effects.
In batch reinforcement learning (RL), one often constrains a learned policy to be close to the behavior (data-generating) policy, e.g., by constraining the learned action distribution to differ from the behavior policy by some maximum degree that is the same at each state. This can cause batch RL to be overly conservat…
Algorithm optimizes constrained reinforcement learning with dual variables.
Study how untrained policies explore in RL environments.
We present here a general framework and a specific algorithm for predicting the destination, route, or more generally a pattern, of an ongoing journey, building on the recent work of [Y. Lassoued, J. Monteil, Y. Gu, G. Russo, R. Shorten, and M. Mevissen, "Hidden Markov model for route and destination prediction," in IE…
Effective modeling of electronic health records presents many challenges as they contain large amounts of irregularity most of which are due to the varying procedures and diagnosis a patient may have. Despite the recent progress in machine learning, unsupervised learning remains largely at open, especially in the healt…
We derive the joint density of a Skew Brownian motion, its last visit to the origin, local and occupation times. The result is applied to option pricing in a two valued local volatility model and in a displaced diffusion model with constrained volatility.
Estimating statistical uncertainties allows autonomous agents to communicate their confidence during task execution and is important for applications in safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving. In this work, we present the uncertainty-aware imitation learning (UAIL) algorithm for improving end-to-end control…
Given a huge set of applicants, how should a firm allocate sequential resume screenings, phone interviews, and in-person site visits? In a tiered interview process, later stages (e.g., in-person visits) are more informative, but also more expensive than earlier stages (e.g., resume screenings). Using accepted hiring mo…
Study predicts ad conversions based on URL embeddings.
The K-Mean and EM algorithms are popular in clustering and mixture modeling, due to their simplicity and ease of implementation. However, they have several significant limitations. Both coverage to a local optimum of their respective objective functions (ignoring the uncertainty in the model space), require the apriori…
Next point-of-interest (POI) recommendation aims to offer suggestions on which POI to visit next, given a user's POI visit history. This problem has a wide application in the tourism industry, and it is gaining an increasing interest as more POI check-in data become available. The problem is often modeled as a sequenti…
New algorithm stabilizes RL policy learning through divergence regularization.
Increasingly large electronic health records (EHRs) provide an opportunity to algorithmically learn medical knowledge. In one prominent example, a causal health knowledge graph could learn relationships between diseases and symptoms and then serve as a diagnostic tool to be refined with additional clinical input. Prior…
Study geodesic paths on flat surfaces, comparing length and singularity counts.
We calculate the asymptotic average rate at which a generic geodesic on a finite area hyperbolic 2-orbifold returns to an embedded disc on the surface, as well as the average amount of time it spends in the disc during each visit. This includes the case where the center of the disc is a cone point.
Ensemble model predicts AD progression from CN status with high accuracy.
Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g., whether a series of blood tests are completed at once or in rapid succession should n…
A new graph neural network (NBA-GNN) avoids revisiting nodes to improve accuracy.